GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1018

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#301 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2011 10:55:47 PM | message detail
I just checked the vote-in poll, and Lloyd/Kratos lost to Katherine.

Man, the FFVII anti-voting seems to have exploded the past two years, and such a sudden change for no reason really doesn't make sense. I think the anti-FFVII sentiment may have been getting steadily worse over the years but has been conveniently masked.

2005 - Cloud and Seph removed from the bracket, only face Link and Mario, anti-voting impossible to detect
2006 - Removed from bracket, only in weird multi-polls afterward
2007 - 4ways mask anti-voting
2008 - 4ways mask anti-voting
2009 - No CB
2010 - OOPS

Judging by FFVII's performance in the 2009 Games Contest, it seems to affect the characters more than the game itself, although 2009 was 4ways, so maybe FFVII would face similar troubles in a 1v1 games contest. Cloud and Seph also seem to get it worse than the game's other characters, to the point where Sephiroth was clearly being anti-voted against lesser characters of his own game.

It honestly doesn't seem like that long ago when Cloud hit 87% on CATS and Sephiroth was snapping fodder with mid-80 performances. Now they can't even triple chumps.
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#302 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/14/2011 10:57:09 PM | message detail
all the nerds on my campus still love FFVII

but there are a lot of "higher nerds" that hate those FFVII nerds, so the anti-voting may not be for the game, but for the fanbase itself
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#303 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/14/2011 10:58:17 PM | message detail
Hell, Cloud and Sephiroth are symbols of Japanese Nerd Culture in general, so anybody who hates those "f***ing weeaboos" might anti-vote Cloud and Sephiorth regardless of how they feel of FFVII

but I dunno why voting for Lloyd/Kratos is any better, that's also pretty "weeaboo"
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#304 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/14/2011 10:59:01 PM | message detail
It could just as much be Cloud and Seph showing their age. It's been almost 15 years since FF7 came out.
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#305 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/14/2011 11:00:44 PM | message detail
Radical suggestion.

What if this trend of FF7 getting more and more anti-votes is actually FF7 getting weaker? Weird to think about it, huh?

Does it have to be anti-votes?

Or could the characters just not be as strong as they used to be.

It happened to MM, to Crono, to Sonic. The FF7 boys are just getting weaker.
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#306 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/14/2011 11:04:47 PM | message detail

From: nintendogirl1 | #305
Radical suggestion.

What if this trend of FF7 getting more and more anti-votes is actually FF7 getting weaker? Weird to think about it, huh?

Does it have to be anti-votes?

Or could the characters just not be as strong as they used to be.

It happened to MM, to Crono, to Sonic. The FF7 boys are just getting weaker.


I believe FFVII is getting weaker.

It just doesn't make much sense how it's opening 5 minutes gets worse every damn time.
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#307 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2011 11:07:10 PM | message detail
You're right, I'm blowing the hater sentiment outta proportion. It's mainly because FFVII is getting weaker, but like Alec said, why is its board vote also getting worse? This board is a FFVII stronghold. If anything, its early vote should be getting stronger.

HAAAAAAAATAZ
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#308 | MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/14/2011 11:08:12 PM | message detail
Square (besides possibly KH) is just getting weaker in general on this site. As we head towards a more mainstream fanbase like most other sites it's going to only become more obvious.
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#309 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/14/2011 11:12:25 PM | message detail
Marth is only "high fodder" since when?

I always envisioned tiers that looked like NN, midcarders, fodder where each tier had strong, normal, and weak sub-tiers. For midcarders, the strong ones included folks like MissNo, Charizard, Vincent, Auron. Mid not quite as good, people like Zelda, Sora, Fox, or Leon. Weak would be like Gordon Freeman, Peach, or L-Block. So folks like Marth, Sackboy, and Kratos Aurion would have to be below that, high fodder.
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#310 | greatone10 | Posted 11/14/2011 11:15:04 PM | message detail | (edited)
I think it might be the fact that FFVII was the first entity to win two straight contests (that being 2003 and Spring 2004). I don't even think Link/Zelda managed that until 2006.
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#311 | LOLContests | Posted 11/14/2011 11:17:08 PM | message detail
Hell, Cloud and Sephiroth are symbols of Japanese Nerd Culture in general, so anybody who hates those "f***ing weeaboos" might anti-vote Cloud and Sephiorth regardless of how they feel of FFVII

This. Also see all the people on 4chan complaining about how "f****" (Gay slur) FFX was during its match with MM.
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#312 | JJH777 | Posted 11/14/2011 11:25:15 PM | message detail

From: nintendogirl1 | #305
Radical suggestion.

What if this trend of FF7 getting more and more anti-votes is actually FF7 getting weaker? Weird to think about it, huh?

Does it have to be anti-votes?

Or could the characters just not be as strong as they used to be.

It happened to MM, to Crono, to Sonic. The FF7 boys are just getting weaker.


The main thing that disagrees with this is that Cloud still finished around his usual level on Link last year. It was just everyone else he looked bad against.
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#313 | ZFS | Posted 11/14/2011 11:28:51 PM | message detail
Given the popularity of all things Japanese here, I wouldn't even consider that as the reason. If anything, it's the sentiment that FFVII always wins, even when it doesn't. FFVII is definitely getting weaker, though. Unlike Link, who gets a refresh every few years, Cloud and Sephiroth have gone by with little more than LBP DLC and a digital offering of FFVII on PSN -- which, strangely, is still selling in the top 10 every month! FFVII itself is only getting older, too. It makes sense for it to start falling out of favor like Chrono Trigger has.
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#314 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/14/2011 11:32:53 PM | message detail
The trends of Cloud/Sephiroth could be partly explained by the trends of this poll:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdFJwWW5rem9Eci0zYkxsUGVSNjk0RkE&gid=1

That poll was during the summer, so no ASV in that poll. "Several times a day" does best at the start of the poll, which is also the same group of voters who would be familiar with the contest history of FFVII and its characters.

The last 4 options are dominated by casual voters who don't visit GameFAQs very often, so they would not be familiar with the contest history of FFVII and its characters. The last 4 options also do best in the second half of the poll (when Cloud/Sephiroth do best) because there are very few hardcore voters remaining since they voted in the first half of the poll. Generally, anyone who voted for the last 4 options is unlikely to anti-vote FFVII-related stuff. If they do, it's because they like the other opponent better than Cloud/Sephiroth.
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#315 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2011 11:36:11 PM | message detail
All of Clinkeroth has been getting weaker the past couple of years.
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#316 | Denzokuken | Posted 11/15/2011 12:15:46 AM | message detail
cbaron0 posted...
Alright why is everyone over-reacting here? Cloud opened at 65% on RIDLEY and finished at about 71% and still scored 47% on Link back in 2010.

The current result means nothing.


Best post in the topic.
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#317 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/15/2011 12:23:43 AM | message detail
I love how Ngirl says the exact same thing I do, but my post gets completely ignored.

Fantastic.
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#318 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/15/2011 12:50:22 AM | message detail
ZenOfThunder posted...
all the nerds on my campus still love FFVII

but there are a lot of "higher nerds" that hate those FFVII nerds, so the anti-voting may not be for the game, but for the fanbase itself


Haha that's great!
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#319 | creativename | Posted 11/15/2011 12:53:35 AM | message detail
Well now, this is a pretty miserable result.

I really don't like overreacting but this is just plain bad. Don't like Cloud/Seph's chances against Link anymore, and I think it's very possible they are weaker than Mario/Bowser as well. Of course due to possible SFF they might still luck out and finish ahead of Mario/Bowser in the stats - though I could see Mario/Bowser at least resisting SFF via bandwagon.

As for Frog/Magus, very disappointing by them. Makes their next round match pretty debatable and I don't like their chances against Alucard/Dracula at all anymore, if they make it there. It's too bad because they might be the most fantastic rivalry in the contest.
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#320 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/15/2011 12:57:12 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=4534&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

Cloud/Seph got around an 85% update 10 minutes ago. They might start bringing it back to something respectable in these last 6 hours!
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#321 | The Real Truth | Posted 11/15/2011 12:57:53 AM | message detail
I don't know how these results are bad. The polls just have low vote totals. If you actually look at how many votes the ToS team has received, it's not impressive at all. 3,003 votes? The ToS fanbase is rabid enough to not let their characters fall under a certain percent.
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#322 | ChemisTRE | Posted 11/15/2011 1:01:34 AM | message detail
FFVII is one of the best games ever created. Truth.

Haters gon hate.
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#323 | Achromatic | Posted 11/15/2011 2:35:39 AM | message detail
Yeah I'd take this with a grain of salt. FF7 is prone to anti voting + the rabidness of Tales' base. If this was a 24 hour match FF7 would break 80 easy.
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#324 | transience | Posted 11/15/2011 3:07:46 AM | message detail
wow, bad show today. I think Cloud/Sephiroth have a better chance of losing to the Snakes than beating Link. there's a chance that this is all antivotes and that TOS is strong again, but I'm not sure why that wouldn't show up in a vote-in poll. not a good performance at all.
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#325 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/15/2011 3:13:31 AM | message detail
You'd figure the last contest where Snake beat Sephiroth handily and both Snake and Samus being uncomfortably close to Cloud would've been telling enough.

I think anti-voting is a stretch. I mean, if people are anti-voting Cloud/Seph, they're anti-voting them because those two represent Square, which hasn't made a good game in years (besides maybe DQ9, but that's Enix) and has simply been coasting on their old stuff. I really don't think that many people care enough about the contest to actively vote against CS.

The FF7-oriented fanbase is fading, while the SNES-era FF characters are actually getting stronger. Let that sink in for a minute.
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#326 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/15/2011 3:18:32 AM | message detail
I don't understand.People hate FF 7.But why not Link?Or Mario?Or Samus?I mean I know they are Nintendo but damn!Let us hope it is the last contest.
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#327 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/15/2011 3:23:12 AM | message detail | (edited)

From: PartOfYourWorld | #301
It honestly doesn't seem like that long ago when Cloud hit 87% on CATS and Sephiroth was snapping fodder with mid-80 performances. Now they can't even triple chumps.


Bearing in mind

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4081
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4139

Also that this is a strong and relevant rivalry within the game between the two most popular characters. Calling them "chumps" is hilariously off the mark, this duo could have done some damage if placed elsewhere.

The whole theory of 80%+ here was based solely on an expectation of Rpg SFF and not that Lloyd/Kratos would be turbo-fodder. As has been already pointed ToS may share Nintendo, although I find it weird if Vyse and SoA can get so thoroughly SFF beat down by final fantasy why is ToS avoiding it?
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#328 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/15/2011 3:25:08 AM | message detail
Using x-stats to compare Vyse and Lloyd, how do Terra/Kefka compare to Cloud/Sephiroth?
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#329 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/15/2011 4:19:03 AM | message detail

From: ChemisTRE | #322
FFVII is one of the best games ever created. Truth.

Haters gon hate.


Not as good as OoT...the TRUE Best game ever.
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#330 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/15/2011 4:22:52 AM | message detail
There is not a best game ever.I mean people that don't like RPG's or Action Adventures don't like these 2 games obviously.However I agree that they are good.Now it seems that Cloud has been gaining votes.I think it is night there in USA?
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#331 | greatone10 | Posted 11/15/2011 4:32:29 AM | message detail
It's 7:30 AM East Coast, so maybe FF7 is catching the early morning vote?
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#332 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/15/2011 5:04:41 AM | message detail
Simply calling the vote-in unstable is a safe and reasonable excuse for Lloyd/Kratos differing from their vote-in performances, but it still gives Link/Ganon the easy R1-win over Cloud/Sephiroth. The Bosses are the only team from their vote-in to carry any weight so far; 'atherines were nearly tripled by Sonic/Robotnik, Team WoW nearly gave Link/Ganon the blow-out of the contest, MMX/Zero broke 80% on Team F-Zero, and we don't expect much from BJ/Hitler.

They've got more time to get their act together, but this is the wrong foot for Cloud/Seph to start with.
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#333 | White_Tiger | Posted 11/15/2011 5:14:18 AM | message detail
we have seen weak characters boosting due to a good rivalry. Lloyd/Kratos is actually a pretty good rivalry , so maybe this is not so much antivoting and just the ToS duo being stronger than anticipated (and again we have seen weak character performing better than expected)

I would DEFINITELY take Lloyd/Kratos over Arthas vs. Illidan and Jim vs. Queen Slug-for-a-Butt. Also they have a great picture .
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#334 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/15/2011 6:10:22 AM | message detail
That really is a great picture for Lloyd/Kratos. One of the best of the round.
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#335 | Sun_Sol | Posted 11/15/2011 6:15:56 AM | message detail
Bracket makers better hope that Snake doesn't get 80%+ on Pac-Man. Hell, if he gets like 63% on Crono...
#336 | shane15 | Posted 11/15/2011 7:05:50 AM | message detail
Squall can beat Cloud right?...right? ;_; a man can dream
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#337 | Advokaiser | Posted 11/15/2011 7:18:46 AM | message detail | (edited)
__Smurf__ posted...
That really is a great picture for Lloyd/Kratos. One of the best of the round.

That's the reason I voted for them. The Cloud/Seph one is not fancy at all, but man... that's a surprising underperformance in my eyes.
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#338 | Advokaiser | Posted 11/15/2011 7:17:32 AM | message detail
__Smurf__ posted...
The whole theory of 80%+ here was based solely on an expectation of Rpg SFF and not that Lloyd/Kratos would be turbo-fodder.

Really? Wasn't it expected because of it being an extremely strong rivalry? (as Scorpion/Sub-Zero and Ryu/Ken showed to be...)
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#339 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/15/2011 7:26:20 AM | message detail
Match XXVI: (4) Kratos/Zeus vs. (5) Professor Layton/Don Paolo

Previous Contest

Kratos – 2010
60.98% against Miles “Tails” Prower
45.51% against Charizard

Zeus – N/A
N/A

Professor Layton – 2010
31.21% against Isaac

Don Paolo – N/A
N/A

Analysis

Usually matches between four and five seeds are supposed to be debated, but stuff happens and we could be in for a huge blowout. Also Zeus is our second fictional character in the bracket though given his placement in the bracket whether or not he has any strength won’t matter since his fate in this contest has been sealed.

In terms of being the strongest character in the pair Professor Layton has a really good case at being the weakest character in the bracket. Don Paolo while having a decent rivalry with Professor Layton is not going to be much help in the pair as he also has a case at being the weakest overall character in the bracket. Either way this match is destined to get rather ugly quickly.

Despite getting God of War 3 last contest Kratos was cut short before he could make a deep run into the contest. Kratos by himself would easily win this match and while I don’t feel there are a large number of Greek mythology enthusiasts on GameFAQs I do feel that people will respect the rivalry that goes on between Kratos and Zeus.

I see a lot of people that feel Kratos and Zeus may not break 70%, but just looking at Layton’s performance against Isaac just last contest suggests that Kratos and Zeus could be pushing for 80%. Even with all of the blowouts I don’t see Kratos and Zeus breaking 80%, but a tripling should be attainable.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Kratos/Zeus > Professor Layton/Don Paolo

charmander6000’s Prediction: Kratos/Zeus wins, 76.79% - 23.21%
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#340 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/15/2011 7:29:33 AM | message detail | (edited)
ToS is a very popular rpg on this site, I wouldn't really assume anything to smash its most powerful rivalry combining its two strongest characters by 80% without SFF or some other weirdness. The rivalry really is stronger than the sum of its parts. The Cloud/Seph rivalry strength boost may have been nullified today because of that.

That said its hard to take positives for Cloud/Seph out of today, personally I think they're doing on par with expectations if your expectations of them are for a comfortable ~47% defeat to Link. I wouldn't really support that this is an underperformance though.
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#341 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/15/2011 7:31:43 AM | message detail
Why their picture is from KH thought?
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#342 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/15/2011 7:34:00 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #301
Judging by FFVII's performance in the 2009 Games Contest, it seems to affect the characters more than the game itself, although 2009 was 4ways, so maybe FFVII would face similar troubles in a 1v1 games contest.


The main problem with games is that there isn't anything even remotely on FFVII's level aside from OoT, so even when it looks "bad," it still looks good. Plus, FFVII didn't really face anything too terrible in the last Games Contest anyway. It didn't have any "all fodder" matches.

FFVII still had issues with the board vote in the last Games Contest though. Behold!

Round 1 vs. MK64/SF64/Suikoden: 47.57% at the freeze, finished with 55.05%
Round 2 vs. GE007/SMRPG/MK64: 37.87% at the freeze, finished with 47.30%
Round 3 vs. GE007/SM64/CT: 35.23% at the freeze, finished with 41.25%
Round 4 vs. LTTP/FFVI/SM64: 33.31% at the freeze, finished with 40.06%
Round 5 vs. SMW/SMB3/LTTP: 39.98% at the freeze, finished with 44.77%
Finals vs. LTTP/OoT/FFX: 33.83% at the freeze, finished with 36.75%

So the early struggles are still there.
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#343 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/15/2011 7:37:20 AM | message detail

From: transience | #324
there's a chance that this is all antivotes and that TOS is strong again


Again? Symphonia as a game has always been pretty strong. It finished 21st in GOTD final X-Stats. The game itself has always been pretty popular, especially considering what it is (a non-FF/CT JRPG) and considering no other game in the series is anywhere close to being as popular.

I feel like rivalries can sometimes evoke feelings from the games themselves, so characters who are weak normally but come from strong games may get a bit of a boost. Lloyd and Kratos aren't terrible fodder to begin with. Either one of them would beat Raynor or Kerrigan 1-on-1 pretty easily.

That being said, this is still not a great performance. Certainly not what you were hoping for if you were hoping for Cloud/Sephy beating Link/Ganon.
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#344 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/15/2011 7:38:48 AM | message detail
I laugh every time someone thinks Cloud/Seph can beat Link. Especially after next week.
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#345 | shinigami820 | Posted 11/15/2011 7:57:57 AM | message detail

From: ChemisTRE | #322
FFVII is one of the best games ever created. Truth.

Haters gon hate.


From: The_Djoker | #329
Not as good as OoT...the TRUE Best game ever.


Honestly, both of those games make me sick.
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#346 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/15/2011 7:58:34 AM | message detail
You know, I wonder if the lower vote totals hurt Cloud/Sephy here. That slow start becomes harder to counteract when there aren't as many votes going around the rest of the poll to help you out.

Although I suppose having fewer votes at the start of the poll could cancel that out, but I dunno. Cloud/Sephy have been averaging 78%+ for the last 7 hours, and they're not going to get anywhere close to that.
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#347 | The Mana Sword | Posted 11/15/2011 7:59:25 AM | message detail
We'll see how things go when they get a full 24 hours to recover.
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#348 | The_Djoker | Posted 11/15/2011 8:02:07 AM | message detail
I thinkCloud/Seph will beat Link/Ganon.

People don't give a **** about Ganon. In terms of popularity it goes

Link>>>Cloud>>>Sephiroth>>>>>>>Ganon
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#349 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/15/2011 8:04:37 AM | message detail
Wow, might not even get to 77%. Even Terra got a bigger blowout this round. If these lower votals are causing anti votes to become more prominent, then Cloud better watch out for Snake.
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#350 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/15/2011 8:07:05 AM | message detail
Going to 24 hours should save Cloud/Seph against Solid/Liquid. Snake had everything going for him against Cloud after beating Sephiroth, but despite a strong start and a desperate stall through the TDZ, he couldn't go with him once the morning vote came. The Snakes will do well just to replicate that scenario, IMO.
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