GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1017

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#151 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 11:52:32 AM | message detail
Hmm... tough one. Gonna go with Shep (haven't played MGS4). Saren may be the least known of the four, but at least he isn't actively disliked like Raiden and Vamp seem to be (or have been in the past).

From: FateStayAlbion | #148
Personally I don't understand whats so bad about Saren.


He's not a bad character or anything, but he takes a huge back seat as soon as you get the plot twist. He really and truly becomes a nothing. As soon as you reach the twist, the player stops giving a crap about Saren and starts thinking about much, much bigger things.
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#152 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/13/2011 12:03:58 PM | message detail
Raiden hate has sort of worn off. He was pretty cool in MGS4.
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#153 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 12:15:00 PM | message detail
I wouldn't say he's very popular either though.
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#154 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/13/2011 2:49:40 PM | message detail
I won't say anything definitive about this division until we see Frog/Magus in action, but... it's tough not to already favor Aludrac to win the division. This performance is jaw-dropping.

I'm very glad I bought into the hype the Castlevania duo had - I initially had Shepard/Saren winning the division!
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#155 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 3:10:12 PM | message detail
It's good, yes, but not jaw-dropping. The spread was Alucard with 61%, and most people took it. There are several Oracle predictions with Alucard in the 60s as well. I don't think anything about our perceptions regarding this division have changed in the past 18 hours.
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#156 | transience | Posted 11/13/2011 3:26:04 PM | message detail
well, considering that Shepard might beat Alucard in a contest match, I'd say it's pretty good. this was debated pre-contest. sure, we came to a consensus after seeing the first two weeks of the contest, but this is a nice show. it's far from definitive but they came out and put up a performance that was worthy of discussion.
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#157 | Big Bob | Posted 11/13/2011 3:52:10 PM | message detail
I think Frog and Magus are being overhyped by Chrono Trigger's fans. The difference between them and other rivalries in this contest is that neither of them are the main character of the game, and thus the rivalry is practically invisible to people who haven't played the game. Meanwhile, Castlevania's a long-running series, and you don't have to be a big fan to know that Alucard and Dracula are rivals.

And Alucard straight-up beat Magus last year, and Dracula can only help.
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#158 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2011 3:56:34 PM | message detail
You sort of do Alucard/Dracula isn't talked about a whole lot.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 20/20 Today: Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen & Alucard/Dracula
#159 | th3l3fty | Posted 11/13/2011 4:03:56 PM | message detail
this match is so boring

the percentage has stayed within 0.10% of 63% for over 4 hours now
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#160 | ZFS | Posted 11/13/2011 5:06:25 PM | message detail
This seems about right to me. It's good, but it's not impressive. This wasn't a match I spent much time thinking about. Need to see Frog / Magus, but I still like them for the division. That's a great rivalry from one of the most popular games on this site. They should do well.
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#161 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/13/2011 5:32:52 PM | message detail
th3l3fty posted...
this match is so boring

the percentage has stayed within 0.10% of 63% for over 4 hours now


I hope it gets exactly 63% for the sake of my oracle.

I still think Frog/Magus will out do Alucard/Dracula here.
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#162 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 5:44:50 PM | message detail

From: Big Bob | #157
and thus the rivalry is practically invisible to people who haven't played the game. Meanwhile, Castlevania's a long-running series, and you don't have to be a big fan to know that Alucard and Dracula are rivals.


Good news is that more than enough people have played Chrono Trigger for Frog/Magus to win.
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#163 | bloodhawks return (Moderator) | Posted 11/13/2011 6:05:33 PM | message detail
Out of curiosity, what would the Portal duo have to get in % Vs. Ness for people to think they have a chance to win the division?
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#164 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 6:06:56 PM | message detail | (edited)
65%~ before I'd give them due consideration. I think Shepard/Saren would be stronger than Ness/Giygas. Anything less than 60% and I'd say they have very little chance.
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#165 | The Real Truth | Posted 11/13/2011 6:11:35 PM | message detail
Saren is such a bad ass.
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#166 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/13/2011 6:15:35 PM | message detail
I have Chell/GLaDOS leaving the division and expect the rivalry to push toward a doubling tonight.
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#167 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2011 7:01:07 PM | message detail
Match XXIII: (3) Chell/GlaDOS vs. (6) Ness/Giygas

Previous Contest

Chell – N/A
N/A

GlaDOS – 2010
66.78% against Fawful
31.60% against Kirby

Ness – 2010
64.81% against Geno
45.64% against Big Daddy

Giygas – Villains 2005
15.02% against Ganondorf

Analysis

There’s always a match where despite what the stats say the board goes for something that should be the weaker pair. It may be because we feel that the stats are wrong, but this time it is because we feel that GlaDOS is a different character. Just by looking at their previous contest results should be enough to see that Ness looked to be the more impressive character yet few people are considering a threat.

A lot has happened to GlaDOS since her last contest. Firstly Portal was given out for free on Steam where over 2 million people downloaded the game and earlier this year the sequel, Portal 2 was released. Portal’s jump in strength between the second games contest and the game of the decade contest which didn’t have Portal 2 at the time is supporting of GlaDOS getting stronger as more people gain knowledge of Portal and GlaDOS.

Ness like Captain Falcon may be at a disadvantage due to getting a large portion of his strength from the Smash series where people have no knowledge of Giygas. Then again it would be hard for even Earthbound fans to admit that Ness and Giygas are a rivalry. Overall the format and choice of rival for Ness is going to be his downfall, even if he was somehow still stronger than GlaDOS.

Not sure how I feel about Chell’s strength other than I feel she’s a better rival to GlaDOS and that she would defeat Giygas without too much trouble, I just kind of wished she had more of her portal cannon in the picture. Either way GlaDOS should take this match without any trouble, possibly breaking 60% without too much trouble.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Chell/GlaDOS > Ness/Giygas

charmander6000’s Prediction: Chell/GlaDOS wins, 62.42% - 37.58%
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Rivalry Rumble: 20/20 Today: Gordon Freeman/Dr. Breen & Alucard/Dracula
#168 | The Real Truth | Posted 11/13/2011 7:51:00 PM | message detail
People are over-estimating Portal here and it's gonna hurt. I wouldn't be surprised if Ness wins that match.
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#169 | junk_funk | Posted 11/13/2011 8:03:38 PM | message detail
I would be extremely surprised and very happy.
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#170 | WhiteLens | Posted 11/13/2011 8:09:27 PM | message detail
Ness winning would be so glorious, but I don't see it happening with him losing to Big Daddy last year.

Unless Giygas brings in some kind of occult factor boosting.
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#171 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/13/2011 8:09:28 PM | message detail
The Real Truth posted...
People are over-estimating Portal here and it's gonna hurt. I wouldn't be surprised if Ness wins that match.

EarthBound is my favorite game of all time, and I sincerely think the Ness/Giygas match pic might be the GOAT.

Ness/Giygas have a very, very small chance of winning.
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#172 | Big Bob | Posted 11/13/2011 8:16:47 PM | message detail
Would Lucas/Claus be stronger than Ness/Giygas? Ness has more exposure than Lucas, but even Earthbound fans are having trouble admitting it's a true "rivalry".

Not that it matters, considering Mother 3 is Japan-only.
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#173 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 8:18:01 PM | message detail
Lucas/Claus would do pretty badly, since Lucas is much, much weaker than Ness.
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#174 | junk_funk | Posted 11/13/2011 8:19:30 PM | message detail
If Ness and Lucas were rivals, that would be ideal.
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#175 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/13/2011 8:28:32 PM | message detail
Ness/Pokey would've been the best choicr
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#176 | creativename | Posted 11/13/2011 8:44:12 PM | message detail
Haven't been around for a few days, quick thoughts:
*Ammy - expected doubling.
*Zidane - big underperformance here. But...why does Zidane have red eyes and pink hair?
*Mega Man - expected.
*Phoenix - expected.
*Alucard - expected.

Never played Earthbound but I really love the pic, you get a serious sense of underdog epic flavor there. Also the picture has a major standout factor. I don't think this pic will hurt Ness like people are saying. But I know nothing of Portal so I'm just going to pick Portal with just under 60% since that appears to be what most are going with and I have no clue.

I'm anticipating the Frog/Magus match. Seeing Frog/Magus together is pretty much the best thing about this contest. I hope that they can push mid 60's there to look impressive.

The Cloud/Sephiroth match could go a lot of ways and it will be tough to read things from it - Tales does have it's fanbase here so maybe it can get like 20%. But if there's any RPG SFF or anything like that FF7 could get 85% there. Not sure either result would really say anything new.
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#177 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 8:55:15 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #176
But...why does Zidane have red eyes and pink hair?


Trance Mode.

Whenever characters activate Limit Breaks in FFIX, their physical appearance changes.
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#178 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 8:55:55 PM | message detail
Frog/Magus for high 60s. Aren't Raiden/Vamp supposed to suck? Does the MGS fanbase like that rivalry? I've played MGS2 multiple times and can barely remember it.
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#179 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 8:56:53 PM | message detail
Raiden/Vamp did fairly well in the vote-ins.

Mind you, every rivalry that's been in a vote-in has pretty much blown chunks except for the Bosses, but they still won that vote-in outright.
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#180 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:14 PM | message detail
Chell vs. GlaDOS 75%

6
Ness vs. Giygas 25%

2
TOTAL VOTES 8
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#181 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:17 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Chell vs. GlaDOS 75% 9
Ness vs. Giygas 25% 3
TOTAL VOTES 12
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#182 | tennisboy213 | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Chell vs. GlaDOS 77.78% 21
Ness vs. Giygas 22.22% 6
TOTAL VOTES 27
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#183 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:43 PM | message detail
Off to a good start, 70-30 at 50 votes.
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#184 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:46 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Chell vs. GlaDOS 67% 67
Ness vs. Giygas 33% 33
TOTAL VOTES 100

Nice, vote 100.

67.82% for Alucard/Dracula.
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#185 | voltch | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:54 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Chell vs. GlaDOS 71.11%

32
Ness vs. Giygas 28.89%

13
TOTAL VOTES 45

It was fun while it lasted, bye bye bracket
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#186 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:55 PM | message detail
And that's why almost no one thought Ness would have a chance
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 21/22 Today: Chell/GlaDOS & Frog/Magus
#187 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 9:00:55 PM | message detail
Might mean bad things for Ness if that's what he manages for the early board vote.
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#188 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/13/2011 9:01:00 PM | message detail
Why BlowoutFAQs, why?
#189 | pjbasis | Posted 11/13/2011 9:01:01 PM | message detail
oh shnap
#190 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/13/2011 9:01:19 PM | message detail
yep, looks like Chell/Glad are out next round as expected.
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#191 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/13/2011 9:01:23 PM | message detail
Oh awesome, now I'm on both leaderboards.
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#192 | Achromatic | Posted 11/13/2011 9:02:16 PM | message detail
Only 2 battle perfects got last match wrong.
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#193 | turbopuns | Posted 11/13/2011 9:03:30 PM | message detail
voltch posted...
Vote Accepted
Chell vs. GlaDOS 71.11%

32
Ness vs. Giygas 28.89%

13
TOTAL VOTES 45

It was fun while it lasted, bye bye bracket


I'm right there with ya. :(
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#194 | pjbasis | Posted 11/13/2011 9:04:02 PM | message detail
What's the spread again?
#195 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/13/2011 9:04:20 PM | message detail
Rivalries matter.
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#196 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 9:04:28 PM | message detail
60/40 spread
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#197 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2011 9:04:45 PM | message detail
Damnit. We're going to have a million perfects until Pac/Crash, aren't we.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#198 | Achromatic | Posted 11/13/2011 9:05:03 PM | message detail
Ness is pushing
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#199 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/13/2011 9:05:14 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #195
Rivalries matter.


Neither of these rivalries are all that highly regarded, I reckon. This is just a case of Portal characters being stronger.
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#200 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/13/2011 9:06:47 PM | message detail | (edited)
just under 60-40 at the freeze
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