GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1015
So,
uhhhhh.... as grim as the chances of any upsets look, I'd ask you to
rank the following matches in terms of upset probability: Gordon/Breen over Phoenix/Edgy Shepard/Saren over Alucard/Dracula Ness/Giygas over Chell/GlaDOS Crash/NC over Pac/Blinky Crono/Lavos over the Snakes BJ/Adolf over Sora/Riku I'll say, uh: Ness/Giygas BJ/Adolf Gordon/Breen Shepard/Saren Crash/NC Crono/Lavos (least likely) Really, only the top 3 I can see happening, Ness could get doubled and BJ tripled, for all I know. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
 |
Yesterday's chart: Time | Linkdorf | Arthdan | Votes 0:05 | 86.01% | 13.99% | 879 1:00 | 86.91% | 13.09% | 5583 2:00 | 85.59% | 14.41% | 3331 3:00 | 86.29% | 13.71% | 2545 4:00 | 84.08% | 15.92% | 1985 5:00 | 81.49% | 18.51% | 1610 6:00 | 81.67% | 18.33% | 1506 7:00 | 83.66% | 16.34% | 1769 8:00 | 85.02% | 14.98% | 2243 9:00 | 86.25% | 13.75% | 2567 10:00 | 85.71% | 14.29% | 2779 11:00 | 85.71% | 14.29% | 2856 12:00 | 85.39% | 14.61% | 2498 Pretty typical Zelda fare: Strong early vote, strong morning vote, terrible night vote. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Gordon/Breen Shepard/Saren Ness/Giygas Crono/Lavos BJ/Adolf Crash/NC --- Pobody's nerfect. |
Still
not on the damn leader board.I've only ever been on there once (3rd
just before the final match where L block won.)Looks like i'm gonna have
to gamble a bit more to make it. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Funny/siggy.jpg |
It
is super weird that Crazy Redd is in one of these contests. Great
weird, but still weird. This has to be the weakest group of individual
characters In a contest like... Ever. --- For your BlAcK TuRtLe. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
Yo,
I see the Hall of Fame-topic purged recently. Do you plan to make
another topic soon? I know at one point you had said it would stay open
for weeks to come, so I wanted to make sure I hadn't missed my chance
yet! --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
Man,
I was actually worried Tom Nook and Crazy Redd would win this, due to
their huge pic advantage and the fact that Orochi is the definition of
"who?" Cool beans. I might make the battle leaderboard after all! --- "Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy |
I
think we need a start a rallying topic for a re run of the 2002 contest
for the 10th anniverary of these contests.As mentioned before we'd have
some tasty matches. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Funny/siggy.jpg |
shane15 posted... I think we need a start a rallying topic for a re run of the 2002 contest for the 10th anniverary of these contests.As mentioned before we'd have some tasty matches. Sign me up. Nowadays, I almost wonder if Chop Chop Master Onion could beat Lara...! --- "Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy |
From: Haste_2 | #351 I'll go with: Gordon/Breen over Phoenix/Edgy Crash/NC over Pac/Blinky Shepard/Saren over Alucard/Dracula Crono/Lavos over the Snakes BJ/Adolf over Sora/Riku Ness/Giygas over Chell/GlaDOS --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 17th Today's Prediction: Ammy / Orochi - 73.37% |
Hey there, denizens of the stat topic. It's been a long time since I've posted in one of these, but I'm still entering contests, and I'm still reading these. =P I'm one of the current perfect brackets, but we'll see if it stays that way. Anyway, I'll tier the upsets now........... Actually Likely Gordon/Breen Shepard/Saren Possible, but not Probable Ness/Giygas Crash/Cortex (I went with this upset in bracket, but my battle pick has Pac-Man/Blinky) Not a chance in Hell, barring a miracle Crono/Lavos BJ/Adolf Hitler |
Crash/NC over Pac/Blinky Shepard/Saren over Alucard/Dracula Gordon/Breen over Phoenix/Edgy Ness/Giygas over Chell/GlaDOS Crono/Lavos over the Snakes BJ/Adolf over Sora/Riku IMO --- "Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy |
I believe that the winner of the contest will have a perfect bracket this year. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
Gordon/Breen over Phoenix/Edgy BJ/Adolf over Sora/Riku (Votals are low enough for Adolf to easily cause damage if rallied) Crash/NC over Pac/Blinky Shepard/Saren over Alucard/Dracula Crono/Lavos over the Snakes Ness/Giygas over Chell/GlaDOS --- The Gamer In Me His dark secret is he's really Spark Brushel in disguise. If people knew, he'd be ruined. - Spiral on the black psyche locks |
Mega_Bieber_Fan posted... Why does this bracket suck so bad? 4/5 seed matches should not be blowouts like this. this contest has lower votes averages, it might be b8 has hit a break point on influence of the winners of these matches though discussion/process, and creating a bandwagoning effect if you will so people are voting to stay on the winning side with their brackets/battles, wouldn't take much for a consistent 10% or so difference which is what we are seeing |
Gordon/Breen Shepard/Saren Crash/Cortex Ramza/Delita (I added this, because I feel it deserves to be considered as a potential upset as well) BJ/Adolf Hitler Ness/Giygas Crono/Lavos --- There ain't no gettin' offa this "Cloud/Sephiroth > Link/Ganondorf" hype-train we're on! Next stop: killing the Tales rivalry |
I've
been worried about a BJ/Adolf rally all contest but laughed it off
seeing as most people think it's highly unlikely.It's probably the only
entrant in the whole bracket that's obscure enough to actually pull off a
run. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Funny/siggy.jpg |
It'll get a lot of early joke votes and what not like it did in the vote in poll, but it'll taper off within a couple of hours. --- - |
From: TheCodeisBosco | #359 BOSCO'D --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #363 Nah, most people have Link/Ganon winning so that kills most of them. |
What would you guys think of a Character of the Decade Contest (2000-2010, just like GOTD)? Auron for champ? |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
From: HaRRicH | #356 Oh **** --- Yoblazer: http://oi53.tinypic.com/2hd0dh1.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
I think
I have every vote recorded except for the most recent one, which I
believe might have been TheRaven2. Damn, I need to apologize to him. I
guess I'll remake the topic and leave it up through the weekend as a
last chance sorta thing. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
I believe that the winner of the contest will have a perfect bracket this year. I doubt it, there's going to be an upset that will screw the gurus, heck most people are afraid of Samus/Ridley losing early. Even not if 75% of perfects took Link/Ganondorf to win, 60% took PW > Freeman and 33% took Frog/Magus to win the southwest division (or Alucard/Dracula) we're already down to an estimated 134 perfects. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi |
If
the final is Link > Mario and Samus doesn't lose to Kefka, I think
we'll wind up with a perfect. There are only so many ways the
Samus/Pokemon/Ryu/Bosses gauntlet can go, and I'm sure we still have
perfect brackets taking each of the four. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
From: charmander6000 | #375 I'm not afraid of it! I welcome it! Perfect bracket here I come And then I will come on the postseason episode of The Show and say I CALLED IT when I said there was a chance of someone getting a perfect bracket in the contest on the preseason contest analysis show, and then I will pull a Jim Carrey on the elevator during "Liar Liar" and say IT WAS MEEEEEEEEEEEEE --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
grrr, I get the feeling that picking WaLuigi > Trainers will be the only mistake in my whole bracket --- ~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 17th Today's Prediction: Ammy / Orochi - 73.37% |
Can't
wait for the next batch of match pics to come up because we should get
to see how ridiculously one-sided Phoenix vs. Gordon is. --- http://img710.imageshack.us/img710/8516/whatisdesiresig.gif |
And
then watch Bacon choose the worst PW/Edgeworth picture imaginable.
Nah, that wouldn't ever happen. I'd rather be optimistic. If the final is Link > Mario and Samus doesn't lose to Kefka, I think we'll wind up with a perfect Kefka always gets plenty of bracket support, so we might see a perfect bracket anyway if that happens. =P Edit: I mean if Kefka beats Samus. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Heaps of B8 perfects will fall at Gordon vs PW. I don't understand why PW is the favourite. --- JUMPJUMPJUMP |
You'll understand when he wins. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
Frog/Magus
worries me as a team because not only have they been pretty weak in
recent contests, but they're one of the few rivalries have neither a
game's main hero or villain. Our two most recent examples we've seen
are Nook/Redd (doubled by Ammy/Orochi) and Dan/Sagat (80-20'd despite
Ryu/Ken's good showing). I don't know how easily they even escape the
first round. Yuna/Seymour is a nice example since it's from a
similarly-strong Square-RPG, yet Raiden/Vamp already beat them during
the vote-ins. I get Frog/Magus's preferred over Yuna/Seymour and Raiden/Vamp didn't beat them by that much. Still, it's not a good precedent to overcome when CT's already lost quite a few embarrassing matches -- especially because of Magus. CT's one showing so far was when Crono/Lavos won a vote-in, granted, but Leon/Ada and Raynor/Kerrigan from it were later choke-slammed while Gordon/Breen-doubt grows higher every day. I don't think Frog/Magus get too close to Crono/Lavos, either. They also don't have Dissidia to make them look better outside of their feud, so Terra/Kefka isn't very comforting. Maybe they win the division, but they may struggle one step earlier than many expect too. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
From: HaRRicH | #383 Also not a main hero/main villain rivalry, so I'm not sure what your point is! Frog/Magus will be fine because it's a recognized, respected, and liked rivalry. --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/593815/frasier-and-niles-dance-o.gif |
Raiden's the main guy in MGS2, fulfilling having either a main hero or villain from a game in a rivalry. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
Vamp is not the main villain of any game. He's a side villain. I can use "Yuna is the main character in FFX-2" if we want to play that card! --- http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif |
Valid point, so let's leave Magus/Frog alone with Dan/Sagat and Nook/Redd. Still not a nice stat. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
I
hope you can see the difference between Frog/Magus and those rivalries!
Dan/Sagat and Nook/Redd are bad because the characters involved are
ridiculously weak and the rivalries themselves are weak. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Yeah Frog/Magus cannot be compared to those two. Much much more popular, and an actually good rivalry. --- Keeping this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. 7/7/07 Yankees Fan. Jaguars Fan. Mark Sanchez Wannabe. |
Of
course, but it's not hard to imagine a rivalry between two
side-characters from a sixteen-year-old RPG not being as respected
today, especially when the genre's no longer led by Square here. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg Nominate E P O N A. |
Shepard/Saren over Alucard/Dracula Gordon/Breen over Phoenix/Edgy Crono/Lavos over the Snakes BJ/Adolf over Sora/Riku Ness/Giygas over Chell/GlaDOS Crash/NC over Pac/Blinky Anything below Gordon/Breen I consider to be a very low chance of happening, Gordon/Breen I consider possible but still unlikely, and Shepard/Saren I think is highly probable. --- Thanks for reinforcing your stupidity, jerks. Einstein > You |
So you all believe no perfect?That is fine.I want Cloud to win though or at least Hitler.That would be hilarious! --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
A perfect is always possible,
but I think some people are severely underestimating how difficult some
of the later rounds truly are. This first round is a friggin
cake-walk. But there are key matches between rounds 2 and 4 that will
end up determining just how far some brackets will go. --- PSN - Aevio "I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa |
Gordon/Breen over Phoenix/Edgy Crash/NC over Pac/Blinky Ness/Giygas over Chell/GlaDOS Shepard/Saren over Alucard/Dracula Crono/Lavos over the Snakes BJ/Adolf over Sora/Riku --- peace comes from within |
I think Phoenix gets at least 60%. not even kidding here! --- xyzzy |
From: HaRRicH | #390 It's not hard to imagine a rivalry from one of the most popular games on the site being very respected today. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
From: whatisurnameplz | #397 Losing to Knuckles is bad? Let's be honest: Do we really think Frog/Magus are that much weaker than Sub-Zero/Scorpion? They don't have to be very strong to win this division. There are no heavy hitters in it. Alucard and Shepard are the strongest individual characters in it, but they're not very far ahead of Frog or Magus either, I'd wager. --- http://img710.imageshack.us/img710/8516/whatisdesiresig.gif |
Well,
we have seen Alucard vs. Magus recently, and it didn't go well for
Chrono Trigger, but I do think Frog vs. Magus is stronger than the whole
of its parts, and Dracula is a total X-factor. --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk Future 2011 Rivalry Guru Champion! |
Ignore my above post. I could have sworn Magus lost to Knuckles! (in 2010) Still, he lost to Alucard, who isn't really the strongest character out there. Plus, Frog lost to Bowser, which is the same case of losing to someone that isn't really that strong, and it's not like the matches were that close, either. These are 60-40 losses we are talking about! --- Thanks for reinforcing your stupidity, jerks. Einstein > You |
