GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1015

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#251 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 11:14:05 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #246
I said this would be a sextupling and it's right around there. I wouldn't overhype Link based on this. He's still quite vulnerable from everything we've seen that actually meant something.


I agree. Link still looks a bit more vulnerable based on the other matches we've seen, but we can't say that he looks vulnerable because he himself looked bad. He's certainly not dropping the ball with this beatdown. The 84% is the Spread line, and I bet a ton on Arthas (woooooops).
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#252 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 11:14:06 PM | message detail
That is weird.

I literally don't imagine anyone on B8 as a girl unless they say they are.

And even then...!
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#253 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 11:15:01 PM | message detail
And Zen, I'll try, but I doubt I'll be able to cook up better Pokemon pics than KP. And if my bracket is dead, I'll be on the SF side anyway.
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#254 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 11:15:39 PM | message detail
If INDESTRUCTIBLE isn't on Ryu/Ken's match pic somewhere I will hurt someone
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#255 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 11:16:52 PM | message detail
Oh wow, gotta remember that. I have to sneak Indestructible there.

I actually wanted to sneak in a micro-sized Barkley/Jordan somewhere during the contest... and that seems as good a time as any to try.
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#256 | ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2011 11:18:48 PM | message detail
ok I'll put INDESTRUCTIBLE on there. what font?
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#257 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/10/2011 11:53:11 PM | message detail
junk_funk posted...
Greyfeld posted...
LOL I'll sig-bet you that Phoenix/Edgeworth spanks Gordon/Breen all the way home.

Bah sue me. Can't sleep. I'm up now and playing FFVI.

VERY interested. Never had one of these before. How does it work? When Gordon whomps Phoenix I get to make a sig for you that you have to use for X amount of time right?

How about we keep the sig for 60 days after the match? And no posting with alts. Then you got yourself a deal.


I don't have any alts, so it doesn't really matter.

And only 60 days? I was thinking more like 6 months.
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#258 | pjbasis | Posted 11/11/2011 12:02:03 AM | message detail
Aw I wanna sig bet somebody toooooo
#259 | bloodhawks return (Moderator) | Posted 11/11/2011 12:14:14 AM | message detail
I see a lot of people making very conservative oracle picks for Chell/GLaDOS. After seeing this poll http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4397 I feel like they should put quite a beating on Ness. There are quite a few good games on there, and Ness has always been fairly weak. Thoughts?
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#260 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/11/2011 12:24:50 AM | message detail
Chell / GlaDOS is the favorite but Nintendo hasn't lost a match yet? Ness seems about equal with GlaDOS, while their partners are likely fodder. Portal should have the wider audience but that's still not convincing enough to predict like 70-30 or somewhere close to the blowouts we've been having.
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#261 | bloodhawks return (Moderator) | Posted 11/11/2011 12:26:59 AM | message detail
I agree, I just saw a lot of predictions of about 55%, I was thinking 63-65%. And I feel that GLaDOS is stronger than Ness 1 v 1, especially after a new Portal game that was very popular.
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#262 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/11/2011 12:34:23 AM | message detail
Other than Wright Freeman and Ramza Nightmare, I'm not going below ~60% for the remainder of round one unless matches actually start becoming that close. The gap I have right now was primarily made by three unpredicted blowouts.
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#263 | creativename | Posted 11/11/2011 2:04:17 AM | message detail
Going through the bracket, the only matches I have any real reservations about are (in order of importance):

*Link/Ganon vs. Cloud Sephiroth - I might favor Link slightly, but am totally comfortable with my Cloud/Seph pick.

*Mario/Bowser vs. finalist - could be some wonkieness in favor of Mario/Bowser here if people are sick of the LAW or FF7 gets anti-votes

*Samus vs. SF duo - I've got Samus but wish I had Ken/Ryu. Close call.

*Trainers vs. SF - Pretty confident in Ken/Ryu winning this 55/45, although a super-biased Charizard/Blastoise sprite pic might make them overperform, which is a cause for concern

*Frog/Magus vs. Alucard/Dracula - I have confidence in Frog/Magus here, think they'll do great in this format, but the vampires are no joke and the format works well for them too. Have a feeling this could be an epic match.

*Dante vs. Sora - picked Sora but have no confidence in either Sora or Dante. Probably my most "I have no freakin clue" match of the contest.

*Phoenix vs. Gordon - Pretty confident in PW duo.

*Soul Calibur vs. FFT - give the edge to SC, more name recognition and also a fighting game rivalry, but Ramza and Delita could surprise.
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#264 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/11/2011 2:25:09 AM | message detail
I feel the same way about Nightmare vs Ramza. Siegfried/Nightmare aren't all that iconic, and I'm not convinced that fighting games get much of a boost in this format (Ryu/Ken and the MK Ninjas imo draw their strength from popularity, a great rivalry, and generally being nostalgic icons from the 90s). In terms of X stats, Nightmare comes up stronger, but I feel he probably gets a lot of his strength from character design.

When I think about it like that, the Square duo look alright, but then their character design just seems so bland, and I could see SC dominating in that regard. Urgh.
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#265 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/11/2011 2:57:11 AM | message detail
The thing about Ramza/Delita which makes me uneasy is that Delita has the potential to be stronger than Ramza (or do we have some sort of data on him already?). He wouldn't need to be that much stronger than Ramza to be equal to 2k8 Nightmare.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
#266 | Big Bob | Posted 11/11/2011 3:12:58 AM | message detail
My reasoning for picking Siegfried/Nightmare was "GameFAQs doesn't care about either of these duos, but DAT TOP OPTION and the fact that the SC guys have big-ass swords will probably be enough to win"
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#267 | Lightning Strikes | Posted 11/11/2011 3:26:21 AM | message detail
Well, Link is easily beating what he should be doing on Arthas. It looks like rivalries matter... In Link's favour. GG contest.

Oh Link Always Wins, I love you so much.
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#268 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/11/2011 3:30:30 AM | message detail
So even the previous match the bosses were the favorites.I didn't expected that.
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#269 | LarryTheNo10Cat | Posted 11/11/2011 3:49:07 AM | message detail
Are Nook/Redd sure losers next round?!

I had to to win
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#270 | ffmasterjose | Posted 11/11/2011 4:08:21 AM | message detail
Oh man I had Yuna/Seymour going deep.

Whoops
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#271 | Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/11/2011 4:26:02 AM | message detail | (edited)
Myself the only problem in round 1 is that I have Phoenix lose.Otherwise I believe I could had the entire first round perfect.Also no close match so far.Close match for me is if the winner ends up with less than 53%.I wonder when the first close match will be.
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#272 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2011 4:59:27 AM | message detail
Ness/Giygas are going to do worse than expected for the same reason CF/Black Shadow did: Ness's feud comes from his original series instead of the series people like him for. We've seen Giygas do terrible too, worse than I would ever take Chell (even after considering Giygas faced Ganondorf). Meanwhile, GLaDOS has plenty of reason to improve; Portal 2 was likely GotY until today, it gave her much more face-time than the original, she'll get significantly better pictures now, and many more copies of Portal 1 have been given away for free since the last time we saw her. She's no longer the secret kept until the end of one game -- she's the star of the series.

Chell/GLaDOS is a good rivalry, too, so it shouldn't ever be close. I'll be expecting maybe a doubling.
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#273 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 11/11/2011 5:09:00 AM | message detail
bloodhawks return posted...
I see Chris/Wesker > Bosses. Of course, I'm biased because I have Chris Wesker > Samus/Ridley in my bracket as well. >_>

What.

We already saw that Chris, the stronger character in that pairing, is ever so slightly weaker than Ridley, by far the weaker character in that pairing. We saw it just last contest, where they both got knocked out by Cloud and Ridley had a slightly better percentage.
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#274 | junk_funk | Posted 11/11/2011 6:46:58 AM | message detail | (edited)
Greyfeld posted...
And only 60 days? I was thinking more like 6 months.

6 months is little longer than I wanted. Let's do 4. Deal?
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#275 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2011 6:59:23 AM | message detail
Match XVIII: (4) Amaterasu/Orochi vs. (5) Tom Nook/Crazy Redd

Previous Contest

Amaterasu – 2010
52.59% against Shadow the Hedgehog
40.41% against Luigi

Orochi – N/A
N/A

Tom Nook – 2008
8.65% against Mega Man X, Mudkip and Lloyd Irving

Crazy Redd – N/A
N/A

Analysis

Amaterasu in my opinion has been the biggest success coming from a niche game. Every season she seems to impress people with strength that to most people seems to be unlikely. Tom Nook makes his fourth appearance in a contest where he keeps looking worse and worse. With all the blowouts we’ve been getting this match should be no different.

Crazy Redd probably has an argument at being one of the weakest characters in the history of contests. Animal Crossing fans don’t care about the characters in the games and Crazy Redd is a minor character that doesn’t even stay in the town at all times, he makes an appearance once a week where people can risk buying fake art and other stuff. While he isn’t as forgettable as the neighbours or other visitors that come to your town almost everyone either hates him or doesn’t care about his existence.

I’m not sure what the extent of the rivalry between Amaterasu and Orochi are, but I would take Amaterasu to easily win against Tom Nook and Crazy Redd alone so any help will increase the blowout. Given some of Tom Nook’s earlier performances I feel Amaterasu and Orochi should be able to clear 70% without too much trouble.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Amaterasu/Orochi > Tom Nook/Crazy Redd

charmander6000’s Prediction: Amaterasu/Orochi wins, 74.24% - 25.76%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#276 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/11/2011 7:18:17 AM | message detail
I feel like Mario/Bowser would be the favorite over Cloud/Sephiroth. Mario/Bowser is far more iconic and I feel like Mario would beat Cloud with around 54% at this time. Cloud/Sephy upsetting Link would be Mario's ticket to winning this tournament, IMO.
#277 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2011 7:45:15 AM | message detail
Link couldn't get 54% on Cloud, why would Mario?
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#278 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/11/2011 8:28:29 AM | message detail
/wakes up

Ahhhhh, good to see the Hylian Hammer is back in town. I was looking forward to this. Looks like Link gives no ****s about a bad pic, a lame rival, or anything else.
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#279 | ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/11/2011 8:36:08 AM | message detail
KanzarisKelshen posted...
/wakes up

Ahhhhh, good to see the Hylian Hammer is back in town. I was looking forward to this. Looks like Link gives no ****s about a bad pic, a lame rival, or anything else.


Link does not care for your silly gimmicks such as rivals! He only deals in curb stomp battles!
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#280 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/11/2011 8:37:37 AM | message detail
Ya know, I've gotta ask again about the Amaterasu/Orochi rivalry. Is it a solid in-game rivalry? I've asked like three times with no real answers. Has freakin no one in this topic played Okami
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#281 | KanzarisKelshen | Posted 11/11/2011 8:38:39 AM | message detail
He's the main villain and you're hyped up to beat him all game long yeah.
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#282 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/11/2011 8:40:08 AM | message detail
From: PartOfYourWorld | #280
Ya know, I've gotta ask again about the Amaterasu/Orochi rivalry. Is it a solid in-game rivalry? I've asked like three times with no real answers. Has freakin no one in this topic played Okami

I didn't finish it, but I got a fair way through and he's very much a final boss, looming evil, kinda figure. A final boss rather than a rival. Never bothers you personally except in boss fights.

So no.
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#283 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2011 8:40:14 AM | message detail
Pfft... Link doesn't even have the biggest blowout of the contest.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#284 | The Mana Sword | Posted 11/11/2011 8:41:21 AM | message detail
Orochi is really only the villain for the first 1/3 of the game.
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#285 | ZFS | Posted 11/11/2011 8:41:48 AM | message detail
It's a better version of the Link/Ganon rivalry, basically. It's pretty good.
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#286 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/11/2011 8:49:06 AM | message detail
Link couldn't get 54% on Cloud, why would Mario?

I honestly don't know. I can't quite explain it. I think the dynamics between the very top characters are a bit different than in other matches. Mario getting around 54% is what I feel right now based on how Cloud and Sephy did against Snake and Samus. Then again, whenever Mario meets Sephiroth he gets destroyed. Like I said, I think the dynamics at the top are different than between other characters.
#287 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/11/2011 8:50:19 AM | message detail
I agree, I just saw a lot of predictions of about 55%, I was thinking 63-65%. And I feel that GLaDOS is stronger than Ness 1 v 1, especially after a new Portal game that was very popular.

http://thengamer.com/xstats/?name1=Ness&year1=2010c&name2=GlaDOS&year2=2010c

What's it's not unreasonable for GlaDOS to boost significantly from Portal 2, she did need a sizable boost just to get to where Ness is.
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#288 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/11/2011 8:53:57 AM | message detail
junk_funk posted...
Greyfeld posted...
And only 60 days? I was thinking more like 6 months.

6 months is little longer than I wanted. Let's do 4. Deal?


lol and here I thought you were confident in your pick. Well, if you're that nervous about it, I guess I can let you squirm out of those extra two months ;)
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#289 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/11/2011 8:55:31 AM | message detail
I expect this to be in the 70s. Joke rivalries are not fairing well.
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#290 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2011 8:59:04 AM | message detail
Poo broke 40% on Ike
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#291 | Master Moltar | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:11 AM | message detail
Amaterasu vs. Orochi 87.5%

7
Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd 12.5%

1
TOTAL VOTES 8
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#292 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:17 AM | message detail
Amaterasu vs. Orochi 80%

8
Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd 20%

2
TOTAL VOTES 10
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#293 | Mannequin Depressive | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:29 AM | message detail
Amaterasu vs. Orochi 77.78%

14
Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd 22.22%

4
TOTAL VOTES 18
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#294 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:31 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Amaterasu vs. Orochi 76.92%

10
Tom Nook vs. Crazy Redd 23.08%

3
TOTAL VOTES 13
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#295 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:39 AM | message detail
this is getting ridiculous
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 17th
Today's Prediction: Link / Ganon - 82.89%
#296 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:45 AM | message detail
These votals seem abysmal.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#297 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:50 AM | message detail
BlowoutFAQs.
#298 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:55 AM | message detail
XD what a killing
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#299 | th3l3fty | Posted 11/11/2011 9:00:58 AM | message detail
dem blowouts
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#300 | metoolfan | Posted 11/11/2011 9:01:08 AM | message detail
Ammy rocking face early on, holy crap
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