GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1015

First | Previous | Page 4 of 10 | Next | Last
#151 | pjbasis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:07:45 PM | message detail
The Warcraft guys would no doubt stomp Earthworm Jim too....damn.
#152 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:07:52 PM | message detail
Yeah, the Bosses were only a slight favorite in the Battle Challenge. Surprised so few people banked.

We had more people bank on Terra/Kefka vs. Vyse/Galcian, for cryin' out loud.
---
http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif
#153 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:07:59 PM | message detail
I am so furious that I didn't take Phoenix and it's going to cost me a perfect first round.

And I am so furious that Link just guaranteed himself another contest victory. I need to go kill something.
---
http://img339.imageshack.us/img339/984/rvpi.jpg
"I was wrong" - SmartMuffin
#154 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:08:00 PM | message detail
Nice top 10, last time I was this high was in 2004.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#155 | Xuxon | Posted 11/10/2011 9:08:20 PM | message detail
Cloud/Seph are still winning this contest BTW. I haven't doubted that for a moment and I picked Link 86% in my oracle.
#156 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:08:50 PM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #150
I gotta say, the casuals have been much more savvy this year.


I would say that with a contest like this and as few brackets as we have, a lot of people who actually filled out a bracket are probably going to be people who love and regularly follow these contests to begin with, so we've been seeing some pretty high prediction percentages.
---
http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif
#157 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2011 9:09:04 PM | message detail
Bracket stats have updated. Only 55.06% for the Bosses and Bacon picked Tidus/Jecht in that match.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#158 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:09:26 PM | message detail

From: Xuxon | #155
Cloud/Seph are still winning this contest BTW. I haven't doubted that for a moment and I picked Link 86% in my oracle.


Are you freaking daft?
---
http://img339.imageshack.us/img339/984/rvpi.jpg
"I was wrong" - SmartMuffin
#159 | pjbasis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:09:27 PM | message detail
It's not like anyone that's gone up to bat yet was gonna beat Link anyway.

The first shot was fired now.
We will see how Cloud answers this.
#160 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/10/2011 9:10:04 PM | message detail
Xuxon posted...
Cloud/Seph are still winning this contest BTW. I haven't doubted that for a moment and I picked Link 86% in my oracle.

After seeing this, the only way Cloud/Seph can be the favorite is if they crack... like, 90% on the ToS duo.
---
"Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy
#161 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:10:34 PM | message detail
No love for Warcraft
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#162 | foxhead84 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:10:54 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
I am so furious that I didn't take Phoenix and it's going to cost me a perfect first round.

And I am so furious that Link just guaranteed himself another contest victory. I need to go kill something.


need to kill something... go play some call of duty... (great episode of The Show btw)
---
Link's is pretty much the video game equivalent of the Jesus story. -- Yoblaser
#163 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:11:01 PM | message detail
Eh, you guys are overreacting if you think this says anything definite about anyone's contest chances other than Arthas/Illidian's.
---
http://i.minus.com/iH9vIGOBoyTQ2.gif
#164 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:11:03 PM | message detail
Wow, look at this start from Link! Hey you guys, can you believe this?!

And Ganon is here too!
---
Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#165 | SabrielAbhorsen | Posted 11/10/2011 9:11:38 PM | message detail
So, worst match pics ever? It's a gray smear vs a couple pairs of glowing eyes.
---
Inter-planetary-mega-stellar-hydro-static.
There's no gravity between us. Our love is automatic.
#166 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/10/2011 9:13:57 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4481

Arthas/Illidan and Lloyd/Kratos did about the same in the vote in. Think Cloud can outdo this performance?
---
http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png
http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png
#167 | foxhead84 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:14:08 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#168 | MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:15:14 PM | message detail
is Allen being intentionally bad to let people have karma or what
---
For your BlAcK TuRtLe.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
#169 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:20 PM | message detail

From: foxhead84 | #162
need to kill something... go play some call of duty... (great episode of The Show btw)


hahaha nice. Thanks!

From: MoogleKupo141 | #168
Allen being intentionally bad


I think you may be on to something.
---
http://img339.imageshack.us/img339/984/rvpi.jpg
"I was wrong" - SmartMuffin
#170 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:30 PM | message detail

From: FateStayAlbion | #166
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4481

Arthas/Illidan and Lloyd/Kratos did about the same in the vote in. Think Cloud can outdo this performance?


Cloud/Sephiroth could possibly apply some sort of "RPG SFF" there.
---
http://img710.imageshack.us/img710/8516/whatisdesiresig.gif
#171 | pjbasis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:35 PM | message detail
SFF means Cloud is gonna freakin' obliterate Lloyd.

It may be our first 90 in a while.
#172 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:57 PM | message detail
Link will probably fall 1-2% over night. But Cloud / Seph will be TDZ all night + RPG SFF... Oh my.
---
"Getting lucky 100% of the time... it's called PRO SKILL."
-BlAcK TuRtLe
#173 | WaIker | Posted 11/10/2011 9:17:06 PM | message detail

From: pjbasis | #171
SFF means Cloud is gonna freakin' obliterate Lloyd.

It may be our first 90 in a while.


'they are both jrpgs that means they sff'
---
Boomshine
~Justin_Crossing
#174 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/10/2011 9:18:49 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
15------1413------63.77
14------2514------48.09
13------3575------51.78
12------3301------55.50
11------2347------57.35
10------1313------59.41
9--------617--------60.78
8--------240--------67.08
7--------105--------59.05
6--------42----------47.62
5--------14----------71.43
4--------11----------54.55
3--------9------------44.44
2--------15----------26.67
1--------12----------0.00
0--------24----------8.33

The perfects do quite well on this match realtive to the rest of the field. Oddly the -1s do quite badly and the prediction percentage actually starts improving as you go down the tiers. The -7s (8 points) actually end up doing better than the perfects although there were only 240 of them. For the most part, the 0 brackets knew what they were doing. Only 2 of the 24 fell on this match.

The Top 50 didn't do as well as the perfects in general did. 24 people fell off the Top 50. Former first place TheKnightOfNee, Allforthedemos, qzecwx, UshiromiyaMaria, pokemonandrew, ErmacMKA, TheGreatSpeez, Rhyno15, ymihere387, EdmondTan, Gamer3127, LethalAffinity, wilkensm, SoLoRiGiNaToR, PickYourName, JCash1313, Julian_Caesar, chillaxin_homie, nitin788, Jecht, FinalJustice, Grimyoukai, Imperator69 and DarkFlameReaper did not have Big Boss vs. The Boss winning the match.
---
Pokemon VGC2011 NW Regional - Top 8
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
#175 | nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/10/2011 9:18:52 PM | message detail
From: FateStayAlbion | #166
Arthas/Illidan and Lloyd/Kratos did about the same in the vote in. Think Cloud can outdo this performance?

Should hope so. Lloyd > Arthas = Kratos > Illdian IMO, but there should be RPG SFF to rely on. The FF7 boys need to at least match Link IMO.

But at these %ages, it's hard to tell very much at all.
---
Ho hum.
#176 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:21:04 PM | message detail
Are we forgetting that Cloud and Sephiroth get anti-voted?
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#177 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/10/2011 9:22:06 PM | message detail
is Allen being intentionally bad to let people have karma or what

If Cloud vs. Sephiroth pulls through, he'll wreck a lot of people. If they fail, a good first round wouldn't save him anyways.
---
Pokemon VGC2011 NW Regional - Top 8
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
#178 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:22:11 PM | message detail
nintendogirl1 posted...
From: FateStayAlbion | #166
Arthas/Illidan and Lloyd/Kratos did about the same in the vote in. Think Cloud can outdo this performance?

Should hope so. Lloyd > Arthas = Kratos > Illdian IMO, but there should be RPG SFF to rely on. The FF7 boys need to at least match Link IMO.

But at these %ages, it's hard to tell very much at all.


I'd say that Cloud/Seph needs to beat Link's % to claim to have a shot at winning in the semifinals. There are just too many intangibles going for them for anybody to be happy with 85%.
---
PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#179 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:22:28 PM | message detail
Cloud's gotten 87% in a match before.

Granted, that was in 2003 against CATS, but it's not out of the realm of possibility.
---
http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif
http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif
#180 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:23:36 PM | message detail
As weak as ToS are Lloyd/Kratos would destroy CATS
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#181 | junk_funk | Posted 11/10/2011 9:23:57 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis posted...
I am so furious that I didn't take Phoenix and it's going to cost me a perfect first round.

You're picks solid Extha. You should have more confidence. Gordon is gonna mop.

- Gordon's best victories - Ike, Duke Nukem, Scorpion, Peach, Ganon (potential SFF by Samus)

Phoenix best - barely beat Bomberman

Miles best - Axel Steel and Agent J

Phoenix is a perfect example of over hyped garbage by Board 8. He'll get the board vote, but no way he wins. Anyone who takes him is done for. Doesn't matter if the match pic is the best ever. Doesn't matter they have the better rivalry. No one has ever heard of them anyways. It's like saying Guybrush Threepwood and LeChuck have a great rivalry going on but who the hell cares besides Board 8?
---
Pobody's nerfect.
#182 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:24:17 PM | message detail
That doesn't really matter for the purposes of this contest. Link doesn't get 85% on Arthas either.
---
http://i52.tinypic.com/2zfiu09.gif
http://i54.tinypic.com/10729w2.gif
#183 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:25:10 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy also got 86% on Diablo in the Series Contest.

This contest reminds me a lot of the Series Contest, really.
---
http://i.imgur.com/fe05x.png
http://i.imgur.com/stNJf.png
#184 | Xcarvenger | Posted 11/10/2011 9:25:53 PM | message detail
No one has ever heard of them anyways.

Apparently more than 75% of the site has.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4488
---
http://www.megaupload.com/?d=77WDL08B
#185 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2011 9:26:47 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #183
Final Fantasy also got 86% on Diablo in the Series Contest.

This contest reminds me a lot of the Series Contest, really.


Was just thinking that.

A small, predictable bracket that produces some fun results due to SmartVoterFAQs
---
Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
#186 | junk_funk | Posted 11/10/2011 9:29:45 PM | message detail | (edited)
Xcarvenger posted...
No one has ever heard of them anyways.

Apparently more than 75% of the site has.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4488


That tells me 75% has never even bothered to buy it. That's it.
---
Pobody's nerfect.
#187 | th3l3fty | Posted 11/10/2011 9:29:50 PM | message detail
LINK UNDER 90% YET ANOTHER WARNING SALVO

right yo?
---
thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#188 | Achromatic | Posted 11/10/2011 9:29:50 PM | message detail

From: junk_funk | #186
Xcarvenger posted...
No one has ever heard of them anyways.

Apparently more than 75% of the site has.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4488


That tells me 75% has never even played it. That's it.


That tells me you failed math.
---
"intention doesn't matter? clearly your cashier degree did not require a law course." - ND to Joyrock on the legality of drinking a soda before paying
#189 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:30:12 PM | message detail

From: junk_funk | #186
That tells me 75% has never even played it. That's it.


This post tells me you can't do math.

Also, how high do you think HL's play rate is?
---
http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg
#190 | Neosadus | Posted 11/10/2011 9:31:46 PM | message detail
If you wanna see whether the vote factor is either "which side has the stronger characters" or "better rivalry > not-so-better rivalry" then just do a match at the end being Cloud vs. Mario against Link vs. Ganondorf. Cloud and Mario has absolutely nothing to do with each other (being in a video game context) so zero rivalry there. And Link vs. Ganondorf obviously has a decent enough rivalry going on and commonly known among most gamers. The main three characters of subject are all of "similar" tier in terms of strength. Ganon being the odd one out obviously, but shouldn't matter if people are voting rivalry sake. But if Cloud/Mario wins we know its people looking at all 4 characters and picking the side with 2 characters favoring over the other 2.

In my opinion I think it's more about the strength of the 2 characters rather than the rivalry factor between the two characters. Only by an assumption that more gamers would be more likely to know all 128 characters in the contest by appearance, word of mouth, or brief summaries rather than the full informed history behind each character to weight in the overall rivalry factor among playing all of the full games of said characters and many different games if a franchise of said characters.
---
------
---------
#191 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2011 9:31:54 PM | message detail
I was starting to worry about Phoenix/Gordon, but Boss winning helped me realize that people will vote for a legit rivalry over the top option. Match is still a tossup though.
---
Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
#192 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:32:36 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #191
I was starting to worry about Phoenix/Gordon, but Boss winning helped me realize that people will vote for a legit rivalry over the top option. Match is still a tossup though.


Too bad Gordon/Breen isn't a legit rivalry...!
---
http://img.imgcake.com/nio/26leonpngat.png
http://img.imgcake.com/nio/daigohadoupnguj.png
#193 | Sorozone | Posted 11/10/2011 9:33:00 PM | message detail
I do think that Board 8 is overhyping him, but I still think Phoenix will pull out a narrow victory.

I don't see how anyone can see either side being a lock.
---
-
#194 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2011 9:33:58 PM | message detail
th3l3fty | Posted 11/11/2011 12:29:50 AM | message detail | quote
LINK UNDER 90% YET ANOTHER WARNING SALVO


This result is fine for Link so far. If he stays above 85%, he'll at least match Mario's result and Arthas/Illidan should be stronger than Jim/Queen.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#195 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/10/2011 9:34:37 PM | message detail
LINK UNDER 90% YET ANOTHER WARNING SALVO

Link returns fire! Poll at 11:00.

Also, what do you guys think will be the rivalries most punished by the x-stats? Vyse / Galacian is gonna look really, really bad if Samus opens up on Kefka and then loses somewhere down the road to somebody else in the top half, who then loses because the top half is not the bottom half that has Link and Cloud.
---
"Getting lucky 100% of the time... it's called PRO SKILL."
-BlAcK TuRtLe
#196 | junk_funk | Posted 11/10/2011 9:35:38 PM | message detail | (edited)
Nah. Not a lock. Just listened to The Show and trying to convince ExTha to stand up for his pick instead of worrying about it. It's a legit pick.

I reiterate...

- Gordon's best victories - Ike, Duke Nukem, Scorpion, Peach, Ganon (potential SFF by Samus)

Phoenix best - barely beat Bomberman

Miles best - Axel Steel and Agent J
---
Pobody's nerfect.
#197 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:35:39 PM | message detail
Only way I see Freeman winning is if people that would take Freeman > PW individually don't care about the rivalry in the large scale.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi
#198 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:35:44 PM | message detail
This is, admittedly, the first time Link has avoided a warning salvo in ten matches.
---
Yoblazer: http://oi52.tinypic.com/ad21i1.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#199 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 9:36:26 PM | message detail

From: junk_funk | #196
Ganon (potential SFF by Samus)


Man, if you think Gordon beat Ganondorf legit...

But the issue here is that you're comparing 1-on-1 strength, and we've already seen that doesn't necessarily matter.
---
"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
#200 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:37:09 PM | message detail
I reiterate...

- Gordon's best victories - Ike, Duke Nukem, Scorpion, Peach, Ganon (potential SFF by Samus)

Phoenix best - barely beat Bomberman

Miles best - Axel Steel and Agent J


Rivalry Factor. Freeman would have no problem if the contest was just called a tag-team contest.
---
BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 16/16 Today: Link/Ganondorf & Amaterasu/Orochi