GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1014

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#451 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/10/2011 9:03:57 AM | message detail
Ho hum, another 60-40 blowout. And Tidus scared me enough to bank this match.
#452 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/10/2011 9:04:01 AM | message detail
Aaaaand 60-40, good job Snak.e
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When you've got a pretty-boy monkey on your back constantly calling you a puppet, you hardly want to seem like you're happy to be used. - DSakaCharanJ
#453 | LOLContests | Posted 11/10/2011 9:04:09 AM | message detail
Tidus hasn't won a match in over 5 years. Ouch.
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"Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka
This is Yesmar.
#454 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2011 9:04:20 AM | message detail
Okay, so I managed to escape the fire on this match to keep my battle streak going. I had to start up a new streak after picking against Donkey Kong. So I plan to not bank for the rest of this round, which I think I can do.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#455 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/10/2011 9:04:25 AM | message detail
MGS3 SPOILERS

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TEjuK1pyVI
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 27th
Today's Prediction: Chris / Wesker - 68.09%
#456 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/10/2011 9:04:59 AM | message detail
Anti-Crying Factor Confirmed.
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Current Let's Play: Final Fantasy IV (FF2US)
http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3445328
#457 | shinigami820 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:08:28 AM | message detail | (edited)
My God, this match had me extremely worried. So far, it looks like I made the right choice.

Who's laughing now, Tidus?!
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#458 | shane15 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:06:28 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#459 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/10/2011 9:06:07 AM | message detail
511 at the freeze, votal aren't that low. It was 441 yesterday
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When you've got a pretty-boy monkey on your back constantly calling you a puppet, you hardly want to seem like you're happy to be used. - DSakaCharanJ
#460 | XIII_socks | Posted 11/10/2011 9:06:13 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #454
Okay, so I managed to escape the fire on this match to keep my battle streak going. I had to start up a new streak after picking against Donkey Kong. So I plan to not bank for the rest of this round, which I think I can do.




Me too! Yessssss!
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#461 | Iamthekuzalol | Posted 11/10/2011 9:06:48 AM | message detail
"Salute"
#462 | shane15 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:06:54 AM | message detail
#463 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/10/2011 9:08:09 AM | message detail
Me three.

Except I might choose to bank on Ramza/Nightmare.
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There ain't no gettin' offa this "Cloud/Sephiroth > Link/Ganondorf" hype-train we're on!
Next stop: killing the Tales rivalry
#464 | XIII_socks | Posted 11/10/2011 9:08:35 AM | message detail
Hopefully enough people banked for me to get on the battle leaderboard.
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#465 | Haguile | Posted 11/10/2011 9:10:05 AM | message detail

From: XIII_socks | Posted: 11/10/2011 12:08:35 PM | #464
Hopefully enough people banked for me to get on the battle leaderboard.


Hoping for the same here. I have a perfect battle bracket and still...nothing.
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#466 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:10:17 AM | message detail
XIII_socks posted...
Hopefully enough people banked for me to get on the battle leaderboard.

I ALMOST banked, because of all this "omg, FFX gonna win!!" talk that's been going on. But I'm glad I didn't. I really needed to ride this out to make it past all the other people banking and resetting to 0.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#467 | Achromatic | Posted 11/10/2011 9:10:49 AM | message detail
I debated this match long and hard but at the end of the day I asked myself "Can I see Tidus really winning a match?"

I said no.

Also Tidus is the 2 seed so a lot of casuals should get burned alive for this one.
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http://img.imgcake.com/Chris2pngas.png
#468 | pjbasis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:11:50 AM | message detail
Damn.

Really hoping it would be closer than this.
#469 | XIII_socks | Posted 11/10/2011 9:11:56 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #466
XIII_socks posted...
Hopefully enough people banked for me to get on the battle leaderboard.

I ALMOST banked, because of all this "omg, FFX gonna win!!" talk that's been going on. But I'm glad I didn't. I really needed to ride this out to make it past all the other people banking and resetting to 0.


I am REALLY sorely tempted to bank on Phoenix/Gordon. If I'm on the leaderboard before then, I will I think.
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#470 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:12:50 AM | message detail
Achromatic posted...
I debated this match long and hard but at the end of the day I asked myself "Can I see Tidus really winning a match?"

I said no.

Also Tidus is the 2 seed so a lot of casuals should get burned alive for this one.


I kept thinking about the match, and I kept thinking to myself, "You know, if it were Auron instead of Tidus..." and eventually I convinced myself that Tidus just isn't that strong.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#471 | transcience | Posted 11/10/2011 9:13:04 AM | message detail
this is pretty expected, I think - Naked Snake would 60/40 Tidus, so nothing unexpected here. I wonder how the Wesker matchup will go.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#472 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2011 9:13:12 AM | message detail
So no loser has managed to break 45% yet, strange contest. The predictability in the winner is one thing but the comfort zone every favourite has had so far isn't exactly inspiring confidence for some close matches.
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Smurf, the cream of Sonic fanboyism
#473 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:14:19 AM | message detail
I think Bosses are going to rip Wesker to shreds. It's a legit rivalry, but gamers' emotional attachment to MGS3 will stomp all over it. Chris/Wesker really benefited from going up against maybe the weirdest rivalry in the bracket.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#474 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:14:42 AM | message detail
XIII_socks posted...
From: Greyfeld | #466
XIII_socks posted...
Hopefully enough people banked for me to get on the battle leaderboard.

I ALMOST banked, because of all this "omg, FFX gonna win!!" talk that's been going on. But I'm glad I didn't. I really needed to ride this out to make it past all the other people banking and resetting to 0.
I am REALLY sorely tempted to bank on Phoenix/Gordon. If I'm on the leaderboard before then, I will I think.


Depending on how many perfect brackets are left after this match, I'll probably end up riding that one out, too. As much as I want to bank before I get blindsided by something, banking with a couple hundred perfect brackets hanging over my head isn't going to do me any good.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#475 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:15:08 AM | message detail
You know it's over for FFX when it's getting 70/30'd in Asia. Oof.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#476 | transcience | Posted 11/10/2011 9:15:25 AM | message detail
I was thinking... Chris/Wesker beats Leon/Ada, right?
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#477 | ZFS | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:25 AM | message detail
Big Boss should beat Chris and Wesker by even more than they're winning here, I would guess. There's more likely to be people that might vote for Wesker that will default to Big Boss.
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peace comes from within
#478 | junk_funk | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:30 AM | message detail
transcience posted...
I was thinking... Chris/Wesker beats Leon/Ada, right?

Leon beats Chris or Wesker. But ya, Ada would screw Leon over in that one.
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Pobody's nerfect.
#479 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2011 9:16:47 AM | message detail
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2011 12:13:12 PM | message detail | quote
So no loser has managed to break 45% yet, strange contest. The predictability in the winner is one thing but the comfort zone every favourite has had so far isn't exactly inspiring confidence for some close matches.


Once we get to round 2, the frequency of close matches will increase. We'll start seeing more of them in the later rounds.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#480 | transcience | Posted 11/10/2011 9:17:00 AM | message detail
going for it on Phoenix/Gordon is basically saying you're riding out the whole division. if you go for it there, don't bank until Ramza or Pac-Man.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#481 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2011 9:17:11 AM | message detail
In this contest, probably. Wesker seems like he's taking over. After MvC3, he could probably take Ken in that rematch (Ken was helped by the day match anyway). And it's just the most legit rivalry in the series. Chris is plain and only the third strongest protagonist, but everyone knows Chris/Wesker is the base character conflict.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#482 | shane15 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:18:39 AM | message detail
I'm still running a perfect in both bracket and battle.If i manage to get on the leaderboard before Pheonix and Gordon face off i might just bank on it otherwise i'll just stick it all on Pheonix.
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#483 | pjbasis | Posted 11/10/2011 9:21:27 AM | message detail
Chris/Wesker stomps all over Leon/Ada.

They'll at least make a closer match than FFX next round.
#484 | junk_funk | Posted 11/10/2011 9:22:46 AM | message detail
Now I'm excited to see the leader board at midnight. Hope my name squeezes in there for the second time in contest history.
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Pobody's nerfect.
#485 | Articuno2001 | Posted 11/10/2011 9:33:12 AM | message detail
My speed bracket will finally fall off the leaderboard after this.
It was a good run, I guess.

Funny how my speed bracket has overtaken my actual in points. Maybe I shouldn't think so much when making picks.
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2011 Rivalry Rumble Contest - 12/14 points, Today: Chris Redfield/Albert Wesker, Big Boss/The Boss
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#486 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 11:07:53 AM | message detail
Well that wasn't even close.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 14/14 Today: Chris/Wesker & Big Boss/The Boss
#487 | th3l3fty | Posted 11/10/2011 11:22:22 AM | message detail
every single "debated" match has turned into a snoozefest

Phoenix/Edgey with 60% let's do this
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#488 | LOLContests | Posted 11/10/2011 11:32:06 AM | message detail
I was thinking about it, and the last two contests really spoiled us in terms of first rounds. Historically, there have not been that many upsets in them, 2002 aside.

2002: 4-6 (Morrigan/Aya/Alucard/Tina. Not sure if Kyo/Jill/Strider were favorites or not)
2003: 1 (Shadow)
Sp2004: 2 (SMRPG/Starcraft)
2004: 1 (Tails)
Sp2005: 2 (Diablo/M. Hand)*
2005: 3 (Ness/Knuckles/Pac-Man)
2006: 2 (Castlevania/Warcraft)*
Fall 2006: 3 (Vincent/Luigi/Sub-Zero)
2007-2009: Around 13-16 in each contest, which is actually on par with the other contests when you take into account there are 5 different predictions going on in each match.
2010: 8 (Ammy/The Boss/Altair/Arthas/Kratos/Sub-Zero/Terra/Missingno)
Fall 2010: 7 (Deus Ex/Street Fighter IV/Halo 3/Morrowind/Valkriya/Persona 3/Marvel Vs. Capcom 2)

Even if you take the doubled first round into account, those are higher than average numbers for the past two years.


*Actually some of the best 1v1s if you adjust for a lower number of contestants
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"Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka
This is Yesmar.
#489 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/10/2011 11:41:44 AM | message detail
The problem is, I have a feeling that we're headed towards 0 guru upsets in round 1 this year. Every debated match so far has turned into an Ulti-style blowout.
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There ain't no gettin' offa this "Cloud/Sephiroth > Link/Ganondorf" hype-train we're on!
Next stop: killing the Tales rivalry
#490 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/10/2011 11:48:54 AM | message detail | (edited)
Does Link get under 80% tonight? Thrall kept him under 80% last year, and Arthas is stronger. Ganon probably helps more than Illy though.
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#491 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/10/2011 11:46:00 AM | message detail | (edited)
We really dropped the ball this contest by not nominating Samus/Dark Samus as a rivalry. It would been the perfect chance to get a new clone character into these contests.

EDIT: Meant to post this in the Megaman topic, but I guess I'll leave it here as well.
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There ain't no gettin' offa this "Cloud/Sephiroth > Link/Ganondorf" hype-train we're on!
Next stop: killing the Tales rivalry
#492 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2011 11:53:11 AM | message detail
Seems like Tidus/Jecht might get the ASV here. He nearly won an update over the Bosses earlier.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#493 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2011 11:55:49 AM | message detail
Oh Tidus, you are the only character who has been in every character battle and still haven't ever made it to round 3. Just like last year you had a great shot, but you blew it.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Black Turtle > Me
#494 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2011 12:00:32 PM | message detail
I still don't get why anyone expected this to be closer than 55/45.

If even the fanboys (i.e., me) won't argue for the upset, stay far away from it.
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#495 | th3l3fty | Posted 11/10/2011 12:14:43 PM | message detail
I think people just want a close match, so they keep hoping the next match that seems debatable will be the one
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thelefty for analysis crew 2008 imo -tranny
I have a third degree burn in flame-o-nomics -Sir Chris
#496 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 12:16:04 PM | message detail
As a person with Freeman winning I wouldn't hype PW/Freeman unless Half-Life 3 get announced.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 14/14 Today: Chris/Wesker & Big Boss/The Boss
#497 | Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2011 12:17:56 PM | message detail
When you picked Phoenix, you picked the Wright pair!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Black Turtle > Me
#498 | Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2011 12:18:59 PM | message detail
I just can't wrap my head around Phoenix winning that match. That's why I stuck with the last free man.
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Game of the Decade? More like Guru of the Decade mirite?
#499 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2011 12:21:37 PM | message detail
rivalries matter
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rivalry Rumble: 14/14 Today: Chris/Wesker & Big Boss/The Boss
#500 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/10/2011 12:21:47 PM | message detail
Don't play Earthbound.

Ultima, the anti-Ulti.
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There ain't no gettin' offa this "Cloud/Sephiroth > Link/Ganondorf" hype-train we're on!
Next stop: killing the Tales rivalry