GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1014

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#1 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/8/2011 9:06:48 AM | message detail
Your hope ends here...

And your meaningless existence with it.


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.
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Hyped for UMvC3
http://crosscounter.tv/storage/Colors11.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1319937170306
#2 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2011 9:07:40 AM | message detail
I can't let you do that, Yuna.
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#3 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:07:50 AM | message detail
And stay up there!

NA vs. the world so far.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#4 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:08:49 AM | message detail
#5 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/8/2011 9:10:23 AM | message detail
Not much change on that update.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#6 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/8/2011 9:10:32 AM | message detail
yeah, hold your ground Fox
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 34th
Today's Prediction: Fox / Wolf - 60.58%
#7 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/8/2011 9:10:52 AM | message detail
Fox isn't in any danger.
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caps
#8 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/8/2011 9:10:54 AM | message detail
#9 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/8/2011 9:11:20 AM | message detail
Remake boost
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caps
#10 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/8/2011 9:11:40 AM | message detail
UpsetCravingBoardFAQs
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#11 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:11:46 AM | message detail
Board votes seem to be more diluted in day matches.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#12 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2011 9:13:13 AM | message detail
FateStayAlbion posted...
So FFX had an equal board vote to Smash? First time I've seen that!

I don't think Fox is getting to Smash vote, to be perfectly honest. Wolf isn't in SSBB, is he? (I haven't played it, so I don't know) If he isn't this may be a case of "I don't know who the hell Wolf is."
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PSN - Aevio
"I'm on a Goomba." - BlackMageJawa
#13 | TRE Public Account | Posted 11/8/2011 9:13:39 AM | message detail
Wolf is in SSBB
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Pokemon VGC2011 NW Regional - Top 8
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
#14 | transcience | Posted 11/8/2011 9:14:06 AM | message detail
Square boost? based on Guybrush Threepwood, Yuna losing to a guy that got killed by Sora and Cecil keeping up with Waluigi? slow down, guys. let's see Big Boss vs. Tidus/Jecht or at least something of note first.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#15 | pjbasis | Posted 11/8/2011 9:14:11 AM | message detail
Wolf is in Brawl and is prominent in Star Fox 64.

No way he's not known.
#16 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/8/2011 9:14:13 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
FateStayAlbion posted...
So FFX had an equal board vote to Smash? First time I've seen that!

I don't think Fox is getting to Smash vote, to be perfectly honest. Wolf isn't in SSBB, is he? (I haven't played it, so I don't know) If he isn't this may be a case of "I don't know who the hell Wolf is."


Wolf is in SSBB. I don't see it much different then the Kirby/Meta Knight rivalry in terms of whos voting for them.
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http://raptr.com/badge/cf898f37d9c30ef120ada6c35e636ad3/fs.png
http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png
#17 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2011 9:15:19 AM | message detail
So what does everything think Ryu/Ken needs on these guys to be the favorite in R3? I don't think the Waluigi match will be very reliable.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#18 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/8/2011 9:15:25 AM | message detail
Okaaaaay then, Board 8 is craving them some Square upsets!
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#19 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/8/2011 9:16:18 AM | message detail
Ouch, that update was brutal.
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http://images.wikia.com/finalfantasy/images/0/0e/Ffx-bahamut.jpg
Support Bahamut if we ever get another real contest.
#20 | Mega_Bieber_Fan | Posted 11/8/2011 9:16:24 AM | message detail
http://img850.imageshack.us/img850/4402/yunaseymour1.png


Why wasn't my Yuna/Seymour pic used? It's way better than the one used today


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sig
#21 | pjbasis | Posted 11/8/2011 9:16:35 AM | message detail
Nice jump
#22 | transcience | Posted 11/8/2011 9:17:01 AM | message detail
well, Fox/Wolf beat Luigi..... right?
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#23 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/8/2011 9:17:03 AM | message detail
whew.

Three perfect divisions, I don't think I've ever been able to do that.
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"I was wrong" - SmartMuffin
#24 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/8/2011 9:17:48 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #023
whew.

Three perfect divisions, I don't think I've ever been able to do that.


Same here
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caps
#25 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2011 9:18:03 AM | message detail
After this performance, yeah.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#26 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/8/2011 9:18:45 AM | message detail
This is probably the easiest first 3 divisions in a long time, but yeah. I really wish Bacon threw in more questionable matches
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http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png
#27 | transcience | Posted 11/8/2011 9:20:41 AM | message detail
I'd say that it's impossible to know going in. too many variables.

I'd say... 65% to be the clear favorites, but there's more to it - if Red/Blue can go to town on Luigi, I won't completely dismiss that as a wonky result.

does Fox/Wolf beat Leon/Ada?
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#28 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/8/2011 9:20:41 AM | message detail
man, Fox is going berserk
go for 60!
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 34th
Today's Prediction: Fox / Wolf - 60.58%
#29 | transcience | Posted 11/8/2011 9:21:51 AM | message detail
Fox really recovered. a nice predictable day today. first one in a while despite the picks being pretty obvious. this contest has been pretty surprising despite the lack of upsets.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#30 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:22:14 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #023
whew.

Three perfect divisions, I don't think I've ever been able to do that.


It's the first round. Real men get 3/4 perfect divisions the whole way.
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##Alec
#31 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/8/2011 9:22:14 AM | message detail

From: transcience | #027
does Fox/Wolf beat Leon/Ada?


Barely.

I love RE4 but I don't care for any of the characters.
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caps
#32 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/8/2011 9:22:49 AM | message detail
Wow, Fox and Wolf have really turned things around.

What the heck is up with the board votes this year? >_> At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if Phoenix and Edgey didn't get a B8 push!
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"Claire likes to say 'You can be part of the problem, or part of the solution.' But I happen to believe you can be both." - Phil Dunphy
#33 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/8/2011 9:25:15 AM | message detail

From: transcience | #029
Fox really recovered. a nice predictable day today. first one in a while despite the picks being pretty obvious. this contest has been pretty surprising despite the lack of upsets.


Kinda, I'm still not sure. The most surprising thing so far is that rivalries (and the lack of em) matter, which many of us speculated and banked on with our predictions. In some cases, they've just mattered a bit more than we thought. After this and some of the GotD results, I think we've put to rest the vile notion and GameFAQs voters are incapable of thinking.

Also, assuming we get the Link>Mario final, there's still a real chance people finish perfect. I had no idea we still had almost 2000 perfects.
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Yoblazer: http://oi53.tinypic.com/2hd0dh1.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#34 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/8/2011 9:25:25 AM | message detail
DA-AM!
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LM
#35 | TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/8/2011 9:26:04 AM | message detail
#36 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2011 9:27:10 AM | message detail
Do we seriously have two full divisions of boring before Phoenix?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#37 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/8/2011 9:28:19 AM | message detail
Fox really is going for 60. You boardvoters and your secret crushes on Seymour got me all worried.
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When you've got a pretty-boy monkey on your back constantly calling you a puppet, you hardly want to seem like you're happy to be used. - DSakaCharanJ
#38 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/8/2011 9:28:22 AM | message detail
Phoenix is a lock. UMvC3 hype.
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caps
#39 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:28:23 AM | message detail
I have no idea how to explain that. Oh well, normal service is resumed.
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#40 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/8/2011 9:30:03 AM | message detail
I'd be perfect for now if I hadn't picked Guybrush out of nothing but sheer fanboyism. :)

Wolf is in Brawl but everyone I've spoken to absolutely hates him in the game. He's terrible to use. Very different than Meta Knight.
#41 | transcience | Posted 11/8/2011 9:31:44 AM | message detail
the first two divisions were pretty boring too. let's see what happens before calling them boring.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
#42 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:31:58 AM | message detail
There's plenty of room for upsets deep in the bracket in this contest. Red/Ryu/Boss taking out Samus should break a lot of perfects.
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90s games > 00s games
#43 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/8/2011 9:33:13 AM | message detail
I had Ryu/Ken > Samus/Ridley for about 90% of the predicting period, and then when I actually sat and thought about just how huge the gap between Samus' and Ryu's performances on Cloud were last time I switched. -_-
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Praise the Black Turtle, Game of the Decade Guru Champ.
(Well, I never promised creativity, did I?!)
#44 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/8/2011 9:34:39 AM | message detail
Have to say even as a fan of Star Fox, Wolf is a terrible, terrible character and a really feeble rival. Disappointed Yuna is doing so badly here.
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Smurf, the cream of Sonic fanboyism
#45 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/8/2011 9:40:23 AM | message detail
so close to 60%
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~ Rivalry Rumble Oracle Challenge ~ Rank - 34th
Today's Prediction: Fox / Wolf - 60.58%
#46 | ZFS | Posted 11/8/2011 9:41:49 AM | message detail
woo Fox

perfect bracket continues
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peace comes from within
#47 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/8/2011 9:43:19 AM | message detail
Fox is certainly going above 60% with that ASV.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#48 | lancealots_son | Posted 11/8/2011 9:49:16 AM | message detail
I know its still a ways off but does Frog/Magnus have any hope of beating Raiden/Vamp?
I still have a perfect bracket and was looking ahead and noticed I had Frog> Phoenix and then came to the conclusion that I dun goofed. Whats the consensus on Froggies strength?
#49 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/8/2011 9:50:01 AM | message detail
Most expect him to beat raiden.
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Smurf, the cream of Sonic fanboyism
#50 | ZFS | Posted 11/8/2011 9:50:41 AM | message detail
Frog/Magus should beat up on Raiden/Vamp pretty easy.
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peace comes from within