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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1013

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#301 | pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2011 8:57:28 PM | message detail
The Ratchet team is also fairly weaker than the Leon team, and if the SF team is stronger than the MK team, we should be looking at high 70s.
#302 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/7/2011 8:57:40 PM | message detail
I am ready for the Ryu/Ken beatdown to shut up all my fellow pokefans.
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#303 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 8:57:59 PM | message detail
R.I.P. Smokin' Joe
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#304 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:00:16 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Ryu vs. Ken 80.95% 17
Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious 19.05% 4
TOTAL VOTES 21

Board vote
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#305 | tennisboy213 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Ryu vs. Ken 80% 16
Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious 20% 4
TOTAL VOTES 20
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Anyone who has appeared in a video game should be allowed in the next character battle.
#306 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2011 9:00:31 PM | message detail
Ryu vs. Ken 75.86%

22
Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious 24.14%

7
TOTAL VOTES 29

Not the early board vote I was hoping for.
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#307 | pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2011 9:00:54 PM | message detail
Looks good
#308 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:01:00 PM | message detail
#309 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/7/2011 9:01:12 PM | message detail
whoa, only 60% picked WaLuigi
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#310 | pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2011 9:01:27 PM | message detail
Pretty damn stable for the board vote.
#311 | Glenn_and_Toad | Posted 11/7/2011 9:01:40 PM | message detail
steady at 82% after a minute
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#312 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/7/2011 9:01:59 PM | message detail
**** YEAH

So glad I have these guys winning the division.
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#313 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2011 9:02:10 PM | message detail
Trainers/Fighters match of the year.
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#314 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/7/2011 9:02:15 PM | message detail
Well, so far I'd say Ryu/Ken are showing they are ready for the challenge.
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#315 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:02:32 PM | message detail
Gamefaqs didn't update for the end of daylight savings time?
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#316 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2011 9:02:42 PM | message detail
Hope they can hold this percentage for 12 hours.
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#317 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:03:22 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #316
Hope they can hold this percentage for 12 hours.


Ryu/Ken probably won't drop too much at the end of the first hour. Ratchet is very day-oriented.
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#318 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2011 9:04:36 PM | message detail

From: FateStayAlbion | #314
Well, so far I'd say Ryu/Ken are showing they are ready for the challenge.


Yeah.

Color me excited.
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#319 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/7/2011 9:04:46 PM | message detail
Indestructible!

The division finals are gonna be good.
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#320 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/7/2011 9:06:15 PM | message detail
Street Fighter typically doesn't have a good board vote, right? Can it stay over 80% here?
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#321 | Janus5000 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:07:27 PM | message detail | (edited)
Cute (almost) quintupling here. Morning won't be kind to the duo, but they shouldn't drop much if at all overnight. Should finish well above 80%.

Not sure how much this is worth since Ratchet's resume is hardly better than Kerrigan's, but the division finals so far look good.
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#322 | NewerShadow | Posted 11/7/2011 9:07:30 PM | message detail
Looks like Allen's fix for the Battle Leaderboard either didn't take or reintroduced the previous problem, it's back to showing incorrect standings.
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#323 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:07:58 PM | message detail

From: Janus5000 | #321
Not sure how much this is worth since Ratchet's resume is hardly better than Kerrigan's


2010 Ratchet is way stronger than any of Kerrigan's appearances.

But that doesn't really mean much for this contest.
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#324 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/7/2011 9:08:07 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
9--------2767------70.58
8--------4579------59.88
7--------4183------58.62
6--------2464------56.53
5--------1041------56.48
4--------333--------48.65
3--------105--------53.33
2--------34----------35.29
1--------17----------0.00
0--------29----------6.90

A superstar performance by the perfects relative to the rest of the field. While the -1s to -4s hover in the mid to high 50s, the perfects do more than 10 percentage points better and break 70. That's nothing compared to the Guru's 90.09% support for Luigi, though. We lose 2 more zero brackets this time as well.

13 people fell off the Top 50 this time. Gatarix, GANON1025, Kibago, Jubilation_Lee, vcharon, Glucose7, WrenchNinja, StriderTuna, dingo_of_jawaii, anything92, Wadeimus, seekerrhl and steve_madsci did not have Luigi vs. Waluigi winning their match.
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#325 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/7/2011 9:09:07 PM | message detail
799 Votes at the freeze... anyone remember what the trainers got?
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#326 | ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2011 9:09:30 PM | message detail
Honestly looking at this right now I'd call the Fighters the favorite. Not really based off anything other than my gut. This is a damn legit performance though.
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#327 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/7/2011 9:09:48 PM | message detail
jacko_vdz posted...
799 Votes at the freeze... anyone remember what the trainers got?

946
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#328 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:09:59 PM | message detail

From: jacko_vdz | #325
799 Votes at the freeze... anyone remember what the trainers got?


946.
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#329 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:10:22 PM | message detail
Pretty stable, looks like.
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#330 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:11:42 PM | message detail
Well, thankfully we don't have to hear any more pokefear overconfidence.
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#331 | pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2011 9:13:12 PM | message detail
We'll see how R2 goes before we make any judgement calls, but it looks close at least.
#332 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:14:10 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | Luwaigi | Cecbez | Votes
0:05 | 55.35% | 44.65% | 542
1:00 | 56.01% | 43.99% | 4901
2:00 | 53.23% | 46.77% | 3934
3:00 | 55.55% | 44.45% | 3638
4:00 | 56.44% | 43.56% | 3820
5:00 | 56.36% | 43.64% | 3763
6:00 | 56.86% | 43.14% | 3637
7:00 | 55.43% | 44.57% | 3314
8:00 | 54.92% | 45.08% | 3037
9:00 | 55.67% | 44.33% | 2743
10:00 | 55.60% | 44.40% | 2480
11:00 | 53.07% | 46.93% | 2359
12:00 | 51.72% | 48.28% | 1920

Surprisingly little shifting considering it was Mario vs. Final Fantasy during the day. Luigi/Waluigi do a little better during the ASV and Cecil/Golbez do a little better at night, but nothing drastic.
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#333 | jacko_vdz | Posted 11/7/2011 9:14:38 PM | message detail
AlecTrevelyan006 posted...
Well, thankfully we don't have to hear any more pokefear overconfidence.

http://images.cheezburger.com/completestore/2010/8/17/133327d6-54ca-44c9-8f27-763e42775a29.jpg
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#334 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/7/2011 9:14:45 PM | message detail
Luigi/Waluigi are still beating the Trainers, guys, what are you talking about
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#335 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/7/2011 9:15:59 PM | message detail
I'd take Ratchet/Nefarious over Raynor/Kerrigan, and Ryu/Ken isn't working with a massive pic advantage either.

Clearly, nothing's set in stone; nothing ever is when it comes to Pokemon. But I'm optimistic about a Ryu/Ken win.
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#336 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/7/2011 9:16:00 PM | message detail
AlecTrevelyan006 posted...
Well, thankfully we don't have to hear any more pokefear overconfidence.

lol I ignored this board the majority of the day, because I was confident that Ryu/Ken's performance would be more than enough to shut them up. I didn't need to beat my head against it all day :P
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#337 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2011 9:16:43 PM | message detail
Very nice division, and at least the Trainers and Fighters aren't wasted. One of them will get a great crack at the Noble 9 (assuming Samus even makes it there, which isn't the guarantee I thought it was a week ago).
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#338 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:16:44 PM | message detail
Looks like a Big Boss/The Boss beating performance to me!
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#339 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:17:08 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #337
Very nice division, and at least the Trainers and Fighters aren't wasted. One of them will get a great crack at the Noble 9 (assuming Samus even makes it there, which isn't the guarantee I thought it was a week ago).


Well, they still will, because they'll get a shot at Mario/Bowser!
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#340 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2011 9:18:57 PM | message detail
True, although I wouldn't call that one a "great crack."
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#341 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:19:53 PM | message detail
Not many better opponents to face to see what you're really worth!

Well, as long as you're Ryu/Ken anyway.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
#342 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2011 9:22:04 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4520&region=USXCA

Come on, Cali! I want 90% outta you!
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#343 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:22:45 PM | message detail
No California ASV for the fighters today.

Could be huge against the Trainers, assuming the match is on a weekday!
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#344 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:23:18 PM | message detail
I don't think Red/Blue or Ryu/Ken's chances of beating Mario/Bowser are zero. Very low, but not zero.
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#345 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:24:06 PM | message detail
The Trainers would just compensate with the larger East Coast ASV.
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#346 | izNotPerfect | Posted 11/7/2011 9:24:21 PM | message detail
I'm starting to seriously doubt my bracket pick of Samus/Ridley getting to semis.
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#347 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/7/2011 9:27:05 PM | message detail
izNotPerfect posted...
I'm starting to seriously doubt my bracket pick of Samus/Ridley getting to semis.

I thought I had Samus/Ridley getting there, but I just double-checked my bracket, and I actually have Ryu/Ken making it instead.

That should be such a dumb pick. It really should be. And yet... it might just be the saving grace of my bracket.
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#348 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/7/2011 9:27:11 PM | message detail
I've already given up on my pick of Samus/Ridley to the semis.
#349 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2011 9:27:54 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #345
The Trainers would just compensate with the larger East Coast ASV.


LOL acting like anything can stop the California ASV
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#350 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/7/2011 9:30:02 PM | message detail
I'm glad I didn't let the trainer hype get out of hand because this would be a cold shower.
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