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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1012

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#51 | 14_and_counting | Posted 11/6/2011 9:30:43 AM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #044
14_and_counting posted...
From: TheCodeisBosco | #033
If the Trainers beat Ryu/Ken because of rivalry factor, that's really depressing.

The only thing the trainers have going for them are awesome match pics. The characters themselves kind of suck.


Gary ****ING Oak. And you will respect his girth.


Know your place Knave.


Gary and Blue are different.

Gary was pretty damn funny. Blue has "SMELL YA LATER," a cool conspiracy theory about his Raticate, and absolutely nothing else.




Except they are not. Gary and Ash (And Satoshi and Shigeru in Japan) are also their default names, so yeah, they are the the same
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From: Regaro_Ukiera |
MWC is god-tier
#52 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:30:46 AM | message detail
We already saw Raynor/Kerrigan in the vote-ins, and they got 32% on Crono/Lavos. Red/Blue could do very well and not meet the expectations everyone is setting for them because they still equate Kerrigan with what happened 5 years ago.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#53 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:30:46 AM | message detail

From: junk_funk | #002
The ANCHOR factor strikes again!


No, it really doesn't, Mr. Confirmation Bias. Ada Wong vs Scorpion is not nearly this big a beatdown.
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#54 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:31:26 AM | message detail
Or was it 6 years ago? Whatever. Before Starcraft 2.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#55 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:32:27 AM | message detail
Actually, let me make this easier.

Raynor/Kerrigan almost beat Gordon/Breen in the vote-ins. How badly do you think Red/Blue beat Gordon/Breen?
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#56 | 14_and_counting | Posted 11/6/2011 9:33:12 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #050
GranzonEx posted...
From: Greyfeld | #030
Somebody didn't see Red go 40-60 against MMX last year.
Doesn't matter. Red/Blue represents their game. A top 5 game on this site. Put those two together they can stomp their way through pretty much everything. Only possible if people vote based on rivalries.


Pokemon Trainer Red proved last year that characters =\= games. And Ryu's popularity, despite how badly fighting games do on this site, also repeatedly proves it.

The strength of the individual RBY games in these contests have zilch to do with how well the trainers do in the contest.

You can't make a direct comparison between games and characters in these contests.




Really, cause Ocarina of Time, FF VII, SM 64, SMW, Super Metroid, Chrono Trigger, MGS, MGS 3, and MGS 4 disagree, ALOT.

The only real exception of the characters that matter are Megaman 2 or Sonic the Hedgehog. And the problem there is we don't really know how strong they are because they were utterly massacred by Zelda and Mario.
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From: Regaro_Ukiera |
MWC is god-tier
#57 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 9:33:39 AM | message detail
lol I find it highly amusing that some people are still trying to convince themselves that the rivalry factor doesn't exist.
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#58 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2011 9:34:01 AM | message detail
Wow. 73%? It looks like Resident Evil has taken a tumble since last contest, and voters really care about the rivalries.
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#59 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:34:56 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #055
Actually, let me make this easier.

Raynor/Kerrigan almost beat Gordon/Breen in the vote-ins. How badly do you think Red/Blue beat Gordon/Breen?


I wasn't convinced with the Crono/Lavos talk, but this is interesting, actually.
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#60 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:35:03 AM | message detail
Actually, guess what else was in that vote-in poll!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4482

This entire poll looks like ASS now. Phoenix is coming for you, Gordon.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#61 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/6/2011 9:35:06 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #048
Also calling it now: Red/Blue underperform significantly relative to what we're seeing now.

Kerrigan/Raynor is an enormously contrasting opponent, and I think PC gamers actually like it.


Yep.
Pkmn trainers aren't breaking 70%
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#62 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/6/2011 9:36:07 AM | message detail
Rivalry factor exists and and if they cancel each other out, then the rivalry from the stronger game wins.
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#63 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:36:57 AM | message detail
Also, if rivalry factor exists, that makes it harder for Red/Blue to blow out Raynor/Kerrigan. Unlike the fakers that got blown out today, Raynor/Kerrigan is actually a really great rivalry among those who know it.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#64 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/6/2011 9:37:12 AM | message detail
14_and_counting posted...
From: TheCodeisBosco | #044
14_and_counting posted...
From: TheCodeisBosco | #033
If the Trainers beat Ryu/Ken because of rivalry factor, that's really depressing.

The only thing the trainers have going for them are awesome match pics. The characters themselves kind of suck.


Gary ****ING Oak. And you will respect his girth.


Know your place Knave.

Gary and Blue are different.

Gary was pretty damn funny. Blue has "SMELL YA LATER," a cool conspiracy theory about his Raticate, and absolutely nothing else.


Except they are not. Gary and Ash (And Satoshi and Shigeru in Japan) are also their default names, so yeah, they are the the same


I didn't word that last post well, sorry! I agree that they're the same character, but the portrayal in the TV show and the portrayal in the video games are quite different. In the TV series, Gary's pretty funny; but he's straight-up bland in the games!

And Red/Ash isn't good in any form.
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#65 | GranzonEx | Posted 11/6/2011 9:37:47 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #063
Also, if rivalry factor exists, that makes it harder for Red/Blue to blow out Raynor/Kerrigan. Unlike the fakers that got blown out today, Raynor/Kerrigan is actually a really great rivalry among those who know it.


Lol PC games on GameFAQs.
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#66 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:38:02 AM | message detail
Red has more personality in three ellipses than Ryu and Ken have in all of their games combined.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#67 | JaKyL25 | Posted 11/6/2011 9:38:18 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #060
Actually, guess what else was in that vote-in poll!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4482

This entire poll looks like ASS now. Phoenix is coming for you, Gordon.


Awww man so many genuinely good rivalries in that poll getting shut out.
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#68 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:41:07 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #066
Red has more personality in three ellipses than Ryu and Ken have in all of their games combined.


Ryu, maybe I'll buy this as a jab.

But Ken? What the hell is wrong with you?
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#69 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/6/2011 9:41:44 AM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #044
Blue has "SMELL YA LATER," a cool conspiracy theory about his Raticate


You make it sound like Ryu and Ken are oozing with personality and can surpass this. >_>
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#70 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:42:15 AM | message detail
Ken sucks. The problem with Ryu and Ken is that they speak. You know how bland they are. Red being silent combined with the little bits of story the games gives me lets me imagine much more. Same thing with a guy like Crono!
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#71 | TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/6/2011 9:42:34 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
Red has more personality in three ellipses than Ryu and Ken have in all of their games combined.

I will admit, Red's cameo in GSC was really, really cool.
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#72 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 9:42:58 AM | message detail
14_and_counting posted...
Really, cause Ocarina of Time, FF VII, SM 64, SMW, Super Metroid, Chrono Trigger, MGS, MGS 3, and MGS 4 disagree, ALOT.

The only real exception of the characters that matter are Megaman 2 or Sonic the Hedgehog. And the problem there is we don't really know how strong they are because they were utterly massacred by Zelda and Mario.


You mean the MGS 4 that lost to Shadow of the Colossus in last year's GOTD, despite Wander being turbofodder?

The fact that those games do well in contests is not directly related to character strength. There's a correlation, not a causation.

You're completely glossing over Dante, Ryu, Kratos, Kirby, L-block (and a number of others), being blatantly stronger than their games. Or how Tidus, Liquid Snake, GlaDos, etc etc being a hell of a lot weaker than their games.
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#73 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/6/2011 9:43:00 AM | message detail
Bit of a shame how Squall/Seifer are placed, if rivalrys really are that big of a factor that duo could have done some serious damage if it had anyone else in the last 8.
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#74 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:43:11 AM | message detail
Ken's personality is better than pretty much every human Pokemon character combined.

So S Rank.
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#75 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:43:41 AM | message detail
Ken is like Dante if Dante sucked.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#76 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/6/2011 9:44:11 AM | message detail
I'm willing to have a sig bet with someone over Red/Ryu
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Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?
#77 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:44:32 AM | message detail
Arg why am I considering banking on Luigi
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#78 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:45:51 AM | message detail
Red is like Crono if Crono sucked more.
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#79 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:46:28 AM | message detail
Your face is like a face. If it sucked.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#80 | LOLContests | Posted 11/6/2011 9:48:10 AM | message detail
Ryu/Ken is a much bigger rivalry in the video game world than Red/Blue, and if people don't realize that I question how much they even know about video game culture/history. And this is coming from someone that barely even plays video games anymore.
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#81 | 14_and_counting | Posted 11/6/2011 9:48:36 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #072
14_and_counting posted...
Really, cause Ocarina of Time, FF VII, SM 64, SMW, Super Metroid, Chrono Trigger, MGS, MGS 3, and MGS 4 disagree, ALOT.

The only real exception of the characters that matter are Megaman 2 or Sonic the Hedgehog. And the problem there is we don't really know how strong they are because they were utterly massacred by Zelda and Mario.


You mean the MGS 4 that lost to Shadow of the Colossus in last year's GOTD, despite Wander being turbofodder?

The fact that those games do well in contests is not directly related to character strength. There's a correlation, not a causation.

You're completely glossing over Dante, Ryu, Kratos, Kirby, L-block (and a number of others), being blatantly stronger than their games. Or how Tidus, Liquid Snake, GlaDos, etc etc being a hell of a lot weaker than their games.




I'm not glossing over anything. I said in my last post, of the characters that matter, then I put the 9 strongest. If you want you can add the high tier square characters, and the other high tier (Zelda, Ganondorf, Bowser, Luigi, X, etc) characters the same thing still happens. Only when you get passed the really strong characters do you find that character is not roughly equal to games for strength. Either Pikachu or Dante is the first exception, (one being weaker, the other being stronger than their games) but they are also #20 or worse on the site strength list.
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From: Regaro_Ukiera |
MWC is god-tier
#82 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/6/2011 9:49:48 AM | message detail

From: LOLContests | #080
Ryu/Ken is a much bigger rivalry in the video game world than Red/Blue, and if people don't realize that I question how much they even know about video game culture/history. And this is coming from someone that barely even plays video games anymore.


Why would you add that last line which discredits everything you said before it?
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#83 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2011 9:50:41 AM | message detail
I'm actually worried Luigi/Waluigi receive some sort of rivalry boost. The rivalries we've seen do well so far are things that are very obviously known rivalries. As bad as Luigi/Waluigi is, it's way more well-known than Cecil/Golbez.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#84 | kinsho3 | Posted 11/6/2011 9:50:49 AM | message detail
Greyfeld posted...
You're completely glossing over Dante, Ryu, Kratos, Kirby, L-block (and a number of others), being blatantly stronger than their games. Or how Tidus, Liquid Snake, GlaDos, etc etc being a hell of a lot weaker than their games.

Just a lurker here, but I'm surprised nobody's talking about this match's implication for Dante/Vergil vs. Sora/Riku. If long-standing rivalries seem to be the key to doing well this contest, Sora/Riku are by far the heavy favorites. Which sucks for my bracket. Crap.
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Drop it to the floor...
#85 | 14_and_counting | Posted 11/6/2011 9:52:24 AM | message detail

From: kinsho3 | #084
Greyfeld posted...
You're completely glossing over Dante, Ryu, Kratos, Kirby, L-block (and a number of others), being blatantly stronger than their games. Or how Tidus, Liquid Snake, GlaDos, etc etc being a hell of a lot weaker than their games.

Just a lurker here, but I'm surprised nobody's talking about this match's implication for Dante/Vergil vs. Sora/Riku. If long-standing rivalries seem to be the key to doing well this contest, Sora/Riku are by far the heavy favorites. Which sucks for my bracket. Crap.




If Rivalries actually mater, SoraRiku should win the division. As much as Squall and Seifer sorta kinda had an intense rivalry (and would have been way better with competent writers) in the it is simply lacking. Sora Riku however,
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From: Regaro_Ukiera |
MWC is god-tier
#86 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/6/2011 9:53:59 AM | message detail
Just a lurker here, but I'm surprised nobody's talking about this match's implication for Dante/Vergil vs. Sora/Riku. If long-standing rivalries seem to be the key to doing well this contest, Sora/Riku are by far the heavy favorites. Which sucks for my bracket. Crap.

Maybe I'm wrong but I didn't think either of those rivalries were significantly older than the other.
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#87 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:54:46 AM | message detail
Or it could be that it's not about how long standing it is but how good it is.

Dante/Vergil is a better rivalry than Sora/Riku.

I wouldn't give up on that one yet.
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#88 | Lopen | Posted 11/6/2011 9:55:49 AM | message detail
And yeah technically Dante/Vergil has a year or two on Sora/Riku.

Though if you wanna remove technicality it's the other way around.

Still not a huge edge either way
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#89 | kinsho3 | Posted 11/6/2011 9:58:04 AM | message detail
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Maybe I'm wrong but I didn't think either of those rivalries were significantly older than the other.

That's true, but the Sora/Riku rivalry is definitely more established across the KH series. Dante/Vergil is a one-time thing (if you don't count Nelo Angelo from DMC1)
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Drop it to the floor...
#90 | Mr3790 | Posted 11/6/2011 9:58:23 AM | message detail
BT: That's a bet I'll have to take.
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#91 | kinsho3 | Posted 11/6/2011 10:01:03 AM | message detail
Lopen posted...
Dante/Vergil is a better rivalry than Sora/Riku.

Same reason why I went with them in my bracket. I see Sora/Riku less as rivals and more as great material for yaoi fanfics.
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Drop it to the floor...
#92 | IngmarBirdman | Posted 11/6/2011 10:01:13 AM | message detail
To think, we will be seeing a repeat of this round two when X-Zero trashes Bartz-Gilgamesh and Sub-Scorpion trashes DK-KRool. It also seems like their round 2 opponents are weaker...
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#93 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 10:03:05 AM | message detail
14_and_counting posted...
I'm not glossing over anything. I said in my last post, of the characters that matter, then I put the 9 strongest. If you want you can add the high tier square characters, and the other high tier (Zelda, Ganondorf, Bowser, Luigi, X, etc) characters the same thing still happens. Only when you get passed the really strong characters do you find that character is not roughly equal to games for strength. Either Pikachu or Dante is the first exception, (one being weaker, the other being stronger than their games) but they are also #20 or worse on the site strength list.

Then you admit that Red isn't as strong as RBY.
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#94 | JaKyL25 | Posted 11/6/2011 10:03:06 AM | message detail

From: IngmarBirdman | #092
To think, we will be seeing a repeat of this round two when X-Zero trashes Bartz-Gilgamesh and Sub-Scorpion trashes DK-KRool. It also seems like their round 2 opponents are weaker...


Except this time in 24-hour matches.

Joy.
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#95 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 10:08:03 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I'm actually worried Luigi/Waluigi receive some sort of rivalry boost. The rivalries we've seen do well so far are things that are very obviously known rivalries. As bad as Luigi/Waluigi is, it's way more well-known than Cecil/Golbez.

You still think Luigi's going to beat Cecil? I haven't played FF4 all the way through, so I don't know how much of a rivalry the latter is. But Cecil is only about 30 spots behind Luigi in the x-stats. With the massive boosts we've seen rivalries give, getting dragged down by Waluigi could mean a round-1 upset for the green plumber.
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#96 | JaKyL25 | Posted 11/6/2011 10:10:47 AM | message detail
Pretty sure Waluigi > Golbez in a 1-on-1.

No way of knowing for sure but that's my pick.

Cecil/Kain is a more interesting rivalry than Cecil/Golbez anyway.
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#97 | pyresword | Posted 11/6/2011 10:13:45 AM | message detail
Red is not as strong as RBY, that much is a given. Red vs. Blue, on the other hand, is much much closer in strength to the games I believe, as do many others.

I'll go out on a limb and say this also, despite being an iconic rivalry, I can't imagine that helping Ryu/Ken much against Red/Blue. I don't think Ryu/Ken will draw in any voters that Ryu wouldn't by himself, at least not against an equally iconic rivalry in the form of Red/Blue. (I would even call Red/Blue more iconic.)
#98 | JawolopingJeff | Posted 11/6/2011 10:14:58 AM | message detail
I have a feeling the format of the poll benefits characters that fight each other in their games. Sub-Zero VS Scorpion and Leon VS Ada. I've never played RE4, but do Leon and Ada ever actually fight each other? Meanwhile, in a fighting game, all the characters ever do is fight each other. I think Ryu/Ken will also have a lot of success. Competitive rivalries > friendly rivalries. It shouldn't be called the rivalry factor, it should be the versus factor.
#99 | ZFS | Posted 11/6/2011 10:15:06 AM | message detail
Sub/Scorpion are killing it. Gives me hope for my Ryu > Samus upset! Woo!
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#100 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 10:15:15 AM | message detail
pyresword posted...
Red is not as strong as RBY, that much is a given. Red vs. Blue, on the other hand, is much much closer in strength to the games I believe, as do many others.

I'll go out on a limb and say this also, despite being an iconic rivalry, I can't imagine that helping Ryu/Ken much against Red/Blue. I don't think Ryu/Ken will draw in any voters that Ryu wouldn't by himself, at least not against an equally iconic rivalry in the form of Red/Blue. (I would even call Red/Blue more iconic.)


I said the exact same thing about X/Zero, and then they quadrupled the catherines.
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