GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1011
From: FateStayAlbion | #343 If Kirby/Meta Knight is any indication, it almost certainly will. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
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Wow, 58% in Europe and 65% in Asia for Ezio. DK is gonna bleed a lot over night.. it may even get under 60%. Based on the amount he's dropping right now we could be seeing another Kirby/Jill situation. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 6/6 Today: Donkey Kong/King K. Rool & Sub-Zero/Scorpion |
Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 1:30:44 AM | message detail | quote Like Ngirl said, Europe loves their Ubisoft. Also, Ubisoft is based in France. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
I imagine that by the end of next hour Ezio will start stalling. --- KingBartz: Oracle Ranked #49 Bracket is 6/6 with today's pick being Ezio/Rodrigo |
Also, Ubisoft is based in France. However Assassin's Creed is made in Canada by Ubisoft Montreal. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 6/6 Today: Donkey Kong/King K. Rool & Sub-Zero/Scorpion |
I imagine that by the end of next hour Ezio will start stalling. I doubt that he'll stall for any length of time, he may get cuts here and there, but DK should gain (albeit at a slower rate) until the end of the poll. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 6/6 Today: Donkey Kong/King K. Rool & Sub-Zero/Scorpion |
Not to mention that DK/K. Rool are from a European game as well. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka This is Yesmar. |
Yeah, Assassin's Creed was developed by one of Ubisoft's worldwide branches. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
From: charmander6000 | #352 Wow, 58% in Europe and 65% in Asia for Ezio. DK is gonna bleed a lot over night.. it may even get under 60%. Based on the amount he's dropping right now we could be seeing another Kirby/Jill situation. Jill also pulled in 7.5% less in Europe and 6% less in Asia than Ezio is atm. DK is going lowwww. --- :D |
If DK wants to finish at around 50.30 or so that's just fine for my oracle tbh. --- Ngirl is a toll bridge - Wigs Gotta pay if you want to come inside! - Ngirl |
not dominating Europe --- .... |
That's what happens when only 30 people have voted. --- BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls Rivalry Rumble: 6/6 Today: Donkey Kong/King K. Rool & Sub-Zero/Scorpion |
Bah. Ezio was at 57% in Europe a couple minutes ago. Curse you high variance low sample numbers! --- My bane. |
Percentage heading back up --- :> |
From: charmander6000 | #363 That's what happens when only 30 people have voted. 80 actually! 41-39 to Ezio. --- Maybe. |
Ok, I give up. gg Ezio --- KingBartz: Oracle Ranked #49 Bracket is 6/6 with today's pick being Ezio/Rodrigo |
93 votes for Europe now. Should be 47-46 for Ezio. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RcP91tQ4ZSM That is all. --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
How are you guys viewing Europe votals? --- KingBartz: Oracle Ranked #56 Bracket is 6/6 with today's pick being Ezio/Rodrigo |
We are using the percentages for Europe to make an attempt to calculate their vote totals. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
ah, that sounds difficult --- KingBartz: Oracle Ranked #56 Bracket is 6/6 with today's pick being Ezio/Rodrigo |
From: KingBartz | #370 How are you guys viewing Europe votals? With MATHS! 80 votes is the minimum split that could give that %age. Ditto 93. It could also be any multiple of those as well. --- But definitive answers is more fun. |
Hard for me to believe it, but I guess it's safe to say DK's overall strength has grown in the past couple of years? --- ------ --------- |
It
becomes a lot more difficult when dealing with a huge number of votes
from one region. Kind of why it would be very difficult to calculate
the number of votes from California, but doing Wyoming would be very
easy. This also gives you a rough idea of how many votes are from Europe as the poll progresses: https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdHpEYmJDdktneHBQQXNoVXdLcUY3cEE The vote totals in that poll are a lot higher than today's match, but it's the percentages that really matter here. Although this match started one hour earlier in Europe, there isn't much difference between Europe's performance between 11:00 PM-12:00 AM and 12:00 AM-1:00 AM. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
DKC:R would have boosted DK's strength a little, but I think this has more to do with Ezio sucking than DK looking stronger. Ezio has a crappy rivalry, weird looking name, and for more casual voters he might not be instantly recognizable in his pic (I think a front on view might have helped him quite a bit). --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
Rivalry. Factor. We have a contest. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. |
I'm starting to wonder a bit more about Siegfried/Ramza. Riku actually faced both protagonists in 2008 and 2010. How much stock you want to put in his 4way match with Siegfried is up to you, but Riku got 62% on both guys. One would think Nightmare would make a better back-up than whoever this Delita is, but I wouldn't know for sure. Ramza's side also has RPG factor during a contest where RPGFAQs may shine a little brighter. I'm thankful it's a day match, anyway. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
This
is one of the few cases where I really do think rivalry factor matters.
Even a good number of people who beat every AC probably have no
idea/forgot who Rodrigo is. The pairings hurting Ezio considerably. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #378 Reading this literally made me sad. Nightmare is stronger than Siegfried, for the record. But Ramza lost to Hogger and nearly lost to Laharl, and Delita's going to be worse than that. And yet that match makes me nervous. I can't put my finger on it. --- http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/7760/222bj.jpg |
http://images.wikia.com/finalfantasy/images/2/2d/FFT_Delita.jpg nevermind lol --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Delita has the best hairstyle in the FF series. When my hair was longer, I would comb my hair straight back after getting out of the shower to look like Delita. oh to be a teenager again --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
I think the updater broke. Did the time zone change just happen? --- [NO BARKLEY NO PEACE] |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 1:30:44 AM | message detail | quote Like Ngirl said, Europe loves their Ubisoft. Also, Ubisoft is based in France. The last time I checked, France was in Europe. --- PSN - Aevio BlackMageJawa - "I'm on a Goomba." |
Oh ffs Ezio... NintendoFAQs back in full force. Either that or CasualFAQs has left the building. In any case, 60-40? So lame. --- "Getting lucky 100% of the time... it's called PRO SKILL." -BlAcK TuRtLe |
-Tofa7- posted... DKC:R would have boosted DK's strength a little, but I think this has more to do with Ezio sucking than DK looking stronger. Ezio has a crappy rivalry, weird looking name, and for more casual voters he might not be instantly recognizable in his pic (I think a front on view might have helped him quite a bit). Yeah, I think Ezio would win this 1v1. But I made this same argument weeks ago. Even as somebody who's played the three main AC games, I was like, "Who the hell is Rodrigo??" Of course, i had my doubts about this match before the contest started, but after we saw X/Zero pull 81%, and Bartz/Gilgamesh nearly double anything, it became pretty clear that the rivalry was going to give DK a serious boost. --- PSN - Aevio BlackMageJawa - "I'm on a Goomba." |
IngmarBirdman posted... Oh ffs Ezio... NintendoFAQs back in full force. Either that or CasualFAQs has left the building. In any case, 60-40? So lame. lol it's called SmartVoterFAQs, deal with it :P --- PSN - Aevio BlackMageJawa - "I'm on a Goomba." |
FinalFantendoFAQs --- ~Wigs~ Board 8's #1 Hydrocity Zone Fanboy Black Turtle is a pretty cool guy! |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 2:10:29 AM | message detail | quote The last time I checked, France was in Europe. Of course I know that already. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- posted... Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2011 2:10:29 AM | message detail | quote The last time I checked, France was in Europe. Of course I know that already. Then I'm afraid I missed the point of your post. --- PSN - Aevio BlackMageJawa - "I'm on a Goomba." |
I
was trying to explain why Europe loves their Ubisoft, so I pointed out
that Ubisoft was based in France. Which would be why Europe loves their
Ubisoft. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ! |
Bracket-voting playing a bigger role? 15K brackets, we assume most of these guys are voting and voting for their choice. And this is out of 30-40K votes? No coincidence that nearly every match so far has seemed more of a killing than expected for the victor, as well as the fact we haven't had a match where at least 60% of the site didn't predict correctly? --- "Getting lucky 100% of the time... it's called PRO SKILL." -BlAcK TuRtLe |
-LusterSoldier- posted... I was trying to explain why Europe loves their Ubisoft, so I pointed out that Ubisoft was based in France. Which would be why Europe loves their Ubisoft. Ah, sorry about that. The interwebz confusled me :P --- PSN - Aevio BlackMageJawa - "I'm on a Goomba." |
From: IngmarBirdman | Posted: 11/6/2011 5:35:04 PM | #393 In that case, Link/Ganondorf is a lock! --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
IngmarBirdman posted... Bracket-voting playing a bigger role? 15K brackets, we assume most of these guys are voting and voting for their choice. And this is out of 30-40K votes? No coincidence that nearly every match so far has seemed more of a killing than expected for the victor, as well as the fact we haven't had a match where at least 60% of the site didn't predict correctly? This is a scary thought. However, I know that even though I make a bracket, I always vote for my favorite rather than what my bracket says, so I'd guess there are a good number of bracket-makers that do that as well. (That subsection is probaly the minority though) |
Nah, no one actually thinks their one vote is gonna sway anything. There will be some, but not nearly most. |
There
may be fewer votals, but there are also fewer brackets. I don't think
it'll make a notable difference, especially since bracket voting should
(theoretically) taper off the further we get into a contest, and because
a result will have to be pretty close (closer than any of these matches
have been) for it to even matter. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
IngmarBirdman posted... Bracket-voting playing a bigger role? 15K brackets, we assume most of these guys are voting and voting for their choice. And this is out of 30-40K votes? No coincidence that nearly every match so far has seemed more of a killing than expected for the victor, as well as the fact we haven't had a match where at least 60% of the site didn't predict correctly? Somebody trying to convince himself that he was cheated out of the points in his bracket? --- PSN - Aevio BlackMageJawa - "I'm on a Goomba." |
I'm
just pointing out possible trends. I don't need to be defensive; I get
my fill of that behavior from plenty of folks around here. In any case, I know the number of submitted brackets has also declined but do we have a good estimate year by year of the ratio of brackets to average votals? Also important would be how many "for fun" brackets exist; does the 15552 from this year also include those? --- "Getting lucky 100% of the time... it's called PRO SKILL." -BlAcK TuRtLe |
