GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1011

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#101 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 10:18:57 AM | message detail
I think the biggest issue I have with this match is that, all joke aside, DK really is a choker. That's not just a joke. it's a result of no one really caring about him. He's going to struggle in any match that's reasonably close.

If I was a smarter person, I would bank tonight.
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#102 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:21:58 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I would take Ezio>DK without any real hesitation. There's not a reason for DK to win that. I'm banking on rivalry factor, here.

lol wait, what? You're taking Ezio > DK, based on rivalries? Really??

You do realize that even the majority of people who've actually played the AC games don't know who the hell Rodrigo is, right?
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#103 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/5/2011 10:24:04 AM | message detail
I am reasonably sure that proportionally, each game Ezio has boosts him more than DKCR boosted DK.

It does raise an interesting question. New games do 2 things for a character, it brings new fans and it makes the character more relevant. AC2 was released two months before the contest started and I'm not feeling that the hype for Relevations is any higher than the talk after AC2 was released so overall I feel that it's negated. Ezio has to hope that a significant amount of people bought Brotherhood and not AC2 in order to get a boost, especially considering he isn't any more likeable/dislikeable between games.
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#104 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:26:22 AM | message detail
I agree with Leon about the "eye test." Ezio got 60% on Simon in a (very likely) favorable day match. Since when is DK incapable of such a feat? Also, DK was roughly comparable to Altair in 2010 going through Vivi, and Altair may have been stronger than Ezio back then (I'd take 59% on Liquid over 60% on Simon).

One thing that I can't recall ever really discussing, actually, are those Altair/Ezio first round matches.

Altair - 59.12% on Liquid Snake
Ezio - 59.71% on Simon Belmont

Doesn't that make Altair seem a LOT stronger? And doesn't that really fail the eye test? I've thought about why this happened, and the only thing I can really come up with is Simon's appeal as a classic gaming character. Liquid doesn't really have that, and likely has a more similar appeal to the Assassin'd Creed guys (more similar than Simon would, anyway). Rationalizing things that way really pushed me in favor of DK/Rool.
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#105 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/5/2011 10:26:53 AM | message detail
KP meant that he'd take Ezio > DK, 1v1, without a second thought, but due to rivalry factor he's taking DK/K. Rool here.
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#106 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:31:04 AM | message detail
Kotetsu534 posted...
KP meant that he'd take Ezio > DK, 1v1, without a second thought, but due to rivalry factor he's taking DK/K. Rool here.

Ah, my mistake. Yeah, that's how I feel about it too.
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#107 | swirIdude | Posted 11/5/2011 10:31:14 AM | message detail
The problem with using Altair/Liquid Snake as part of your argument is that Liquid Snake is an enigma. I have no idea what to make of any of his matches.
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#108 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:33:35 AM | message detail

From: swirIdude | #107
The problem with using Altair/Liquid Snake as part of your argument is that Liquid Snake is an enigma. I have no idea what to make of any of his matches.


Fair point, but he's never shown that he was fail enough to be challenged by Simon Belmont. Not even close.
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#109 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 10:35:10 AM | message detail
This is why that Simon/Ezio result happened.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3694

Simon bulked up that year. Ezio's performance on Zelda is basically exactly what Altair would have gotten.
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#110 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/5/2011 10:35:31 AM | message detail
You might be right about Liquid's overlap with newer "casual" characters. I'm thinking of the time he went toe-to-toe with Alucard, then got destroyed by him when Halo 3-powered Master Chief arrived.
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#111 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:36:24 AM | message detail
swirIdude posted...
The problem with using Altair/Liquid Snake as part of your argument is that Liquid Snake is an enigma. I have no idea what to make of any of his matches.

It's difficult, because most of Liquid's appearances are in 4-ways. I mean, the best match I can come up with for comparison is:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=3248&num=4

Where he puts up a decent showing against Luigi in 2008. We have some SFF going on between Roxas and Sho (both being RPG characters), but nothing that I can tell that should directly effect Liquid's performance in the match.

That said, it was also 3 years ago, he could have dropped since then.
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#112 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 10:38:02 AM | message detail
I fail to see how DK vs K. Rool is a beneficiary of RIVALRY FACTOR. That rivalry is more "hero vs final boss" than anything

Hell I think anyone who thinks they are doesn't really get the concept.
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#113 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 10:39:53 AM | message detail
Basically I see tomorrow's match as Ezio vs DK straight up

Ezio wins that one, considering we've seen Altair do slightly better against Vivi in the past than DK did, and Assassin's Creed has nowhere to go but up
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#114 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/5/2011 10:40:09 AM | message detail

From: IngmarBirdman | #078
Banking tonight seems silly, it's only 2100 points

This. Also consider, there will be many people who don't bank and choose either Ezio or DK. The ones that choose correctly and hold out until Phoenix v. Gordon end up with 21,000 whereas the banked guys get 2,100 + 9,200.


Assuming every match after actually goes to plan. You never know when a fluke match will pop up that takes everyone by surprise.

In which case, those who banked will actually have a nice little advantage.
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#115 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:41:14 AM | message detail
Lopen posted...
I fail to see how DK vs K. Rool is a beneficiary of RIVALRY FACTOR. That rivalry is more "hero vs final boss" than anything

Hell I think anyone who thinks they are doesn't really get the concept.


Considering the multitude of rivalries in this contest with the exact same setup that are poised to reap the benefits from the "rivalry factor," this sounds like a very silly argument.

Besides, nobody is expecting K. Rool to make DK look godlike. We just expect him to do more than the "absolutely nothing" that Rodrigo will do for Ezio.
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#116 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 10:41:21 AM | message detail
DK vs. K. Rool is an old rivalry that's been around for a while. That's basically all it needs to be.
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#117 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:43:12 AM | message detail
One thing Ezio has going for him is the match pic. HM managed to make Rodrigo look not as fat and uncool as I was hoping for.
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#118 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 10:44:55 AM | message detail
It's not an old rivalry because it's not a rivalry at all. When I think of Donkey Kong, hell, Donkey Kong Country even, it takes a long time for me to think about K. Rool.

This board is full of DKC fanboys so I don't think this is going to resonate but hero vs final boss by itself is not going to benefit from the format, and I doubt many see DK vs K. Rool as anything more than that.
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#119 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/5/2011 10:46:59 AM | message detail
YOU are out of touch, man. YOU are out of touch!
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#120 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 10:49:06 AM | message detail
I don't know if I can take that post seriously considering you said that Dante/Vergil would benefit from this format more than all but 2 entrants!
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#121 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 10:51:00 AM | message detail
I don't see what the problem with that is! It's not like maximum rivalry factor benefit = wins the contest-- I still have Link/Ganondorf in the final four despite thinking their overall strength gets hurt by the rivalry not adding much and no one giving a crap about Ganondorf.
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#122 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 10:55:08 AM | message detail
For a rivalry to be benefited at all, you have to have actually played the game, or at least heard of it. Dante/Vergil is very popular among DMC fans, but it doesn't have much recognition outside of that fanbase.

Really, that's why DK probably wins tonight. People at least know his rivalry. Rodrigo is one of the few people in the contest (maybe the only person, actually) that I hadn't heard of before.
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#123 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 10:58:49 AM | message detail
I'm of course speaking relative to the strengths of the characters in the first place. Sol vs Ky at #4 should be the biggest issue on that list if you thought I was going for absolute strength.

Unless you're saying the majority of regular Dante voters haven't played DMC3. In which case I must disagree with you. The game is hardly obscure or anything like that. It's got a few re-releases and sales well over 5 million I believe at this point.
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#124 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 11:01:05 AM | message detail
DMC3 is actually the worst-selling game in the series. Blame DMC2.

And yeah, most of Dante's voters probably haven't played a DMC game. He's more of a symbol/cool design than anything else.
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#125 | AxemRedRanger | Posted 11/5/2011 11:01:50 AM | message detail
5 million?
Pretty sure that's waaaaaaaaaaay off.
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#126 | Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/5/2011 11:02:11 AM | message detail | (edited)
And yeah, most of Dante's voters probably haven't played a DMC game.

O.o
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#127 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/5/2011 11:03:18 AM | message detail
I doubt most, but Dante probably does have a decent portion of his votes coming from people that haven't played the game
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#128 | UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/5/2011 11:05:13 AM | message detail
Our first good match this contest revolves around Donkey Kong.

Seriously.
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#129 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 11:07:33 AM | message detail
VGCHARTZ says Dante's Awakening only has 1.93 million so my bad.

Granted I don't entirely trust that site considering it says says DMC: SE only has 0.05 million. But it's still probably a decent ballpark.

Still though, that's not really obscure.
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#130 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/5/2011 11:11:48 AM | message detail
Our first good match this contest revolves around Donkey Kong.

Seriously.


Match will be remembered in history if Ezio comes back in the 13th hour.
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#131 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 11:12:26 AM | message detail
It's not obscure, I just don't think it overlaps well with GameFAQs. Modern Warfare sells a billion copies but you would never say any rivalries from the series would do well here.
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#132 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 11:14:08 AM | message detail
Also,

http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/business/million.html

Devil May Cry 4 - 2.6 million
Devil May Cry - 2.16 million
Devil May Cry 2 - 1.7 million
Devil May Cry 3 - 1.3 million

Doesn't account for special edition/rereleases, but yeah.
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#133 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 11:14:35 AM | message detail
I don't buy that Dante is a top 15-20 guy in our contests fueled entirely on design. That's just kinda ridiculous to me. Especially considering the guy got a pretty decent boost in 2005 after DMC3.
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#134 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 11:18:37 AM | message detail
It's not entirely by design, but it's telling when Assassin's Creed 2 vs. DCMC1/3 would be a debatable match while Dante vs. Ezio/Altair would be a slaughter.
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#135 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/5/2011 11:20:49 AM | message detail
Lopen posted...
I don't buy that Dante is a top 15-20 guy in our contests fueled entirely on design. That's just kinda ridiculous to me. Especially considering the guy got a pretty decent boost in 2005 after DMC3.

I think I've only played a DMC game for something like 20 minutes in my lifetime, and I totally vote for him from time to time. It's the "badass" factor.
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#136 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 11:21:04 AM | message detail
I just don't really think that means that the games have low playership here as much as people really like Dante.

And as such those people will really like Dante vs Vergil. Makes more sense than people voting for Dante in droves cause OMG WHITE HAIR + TRENCHCOAT KYAA~ if you ask me. I mean yeah his design helps but not to the point where I don't think the games have been played here.
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#137 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 11:23:38 AM | message detail
It's hard for me to believe that when freaking Lightning got 36% on Sonic before her game ever even came out. Most people don't get the chance to play everything, or most games. People voting for stuff they haven't played happens a lot, I think. Just look at today's poll! Dante gets a decent amount of his strength from the games, but do you think he would be anywhere near as strong if, say

http://fc03.deviantart.net/fs70/f/2010/259/6/c/the_new_dante_dmc_by_firefoxkairan-d2yty5f.jpg

This was on the front page?
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#138 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 11:25:55 AM | message detail
Well I love the games and even I wouldn't vote for that out of disgust so that doesn't really prove your point.
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#139 | Lopen | Posted 11/5/2011 11:27:01 AM | message detail
And Lightning wasn't all design, that was OMG FFXIII hype too. Being in the Final Fantasy series will get yo uthat.
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#140 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/5/2011 11:28:40 AM | message detail

From: Lopen | #118
Donkey Kong Country even, it takes a long time for me to think about K. Rool.


Gangplank Galleon and K. Rool Duel are enough for me to like K. Rool!

Now we'll ignore everything that happened after DKC2.
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#141 | junk_funk | Posted 11/5/2011 12:01:25 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#142 | dragon22391 | Posted 11/5/2011 12:07:44 PM | message detail
You know what I'm hyped for? Seeing if x/zero can top their r1 performance on the craptastic duo of Bartz/Gilgamesh. 85% let's do it
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#143 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/5/2011 12:19:03 PM | message detail
For what it's worth, Vincent would be getting 68.67% on Bartz/Gilgamesh if Guybrush/LeChuck is equal to the same Guybrush that got destroyed by Vincent. So X/Zero is in good shape to break 75% next round and probably breaks 80% as well.
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#144 | WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/5/2011 12:22:08 PM | message detail
There's something amazing about seeing a FF character doubling something in North America...and losing in Europe.
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#145 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/5/2011 12:28:10 PM | message detail
Our first good match this contest revolves around Donkey Kong.


Hey, don't diss DK, he gave us the memorable DK vs. Master Chief
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#146 | Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/5/2011 12:37:02 PM | message detail
Our first good match this contest revolves around Donkey Kong.

Seriously.


What's wrong with that? Donkey Kong is good at getting himself into interesting matches.
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#147 | pjbasis | Posted 11/5/2011 12:45:32 PM | message detail
Actually I didn't expect Guybrush to do this bad.

I think Bartz and Gilgamesh could beat Falcon at this rate.
#148 | leo3leo | Posted 11/5/2011 12:54:03 PM | message detail
Donkey Kong and K.Rool will always have their rivalry from the cartoon...!
#149 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/5/2011 12:56:23 PM | message detail
Speaking of Lightning, we've had some time and some matches since this vote-in poll:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4480

What happened to her here? On one hand, her rival likely brought her down (which we've seen with Captain Falcon's rivalry). On the other hand, they lost hard to Yuna's rivalry (which suffers from a similar issue), and Yuna may not have ever been able to do as well on Sonic as Lightning did pre-FF13.

Either way, she went from advancing past a vote-in Missingno won before getting 36.14% on Sonic...to getting last place in a vote-in Raiden/Vamp won. That's a humongous difference. Do you blame the rival or the game here?
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#150 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/5/2011 1:01:04 PM | message detail
The rivalry, the game, and SFF sounds about right.
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