GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1010

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#51 | AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/4/2011 7:53:26 AM | message detail
Well, America is waking up and slowing the trim. Looks like Jill won't hit 42%. Damn.
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#52 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2011 7:59:37 AM | message detail
Haha, that was a massive overnight collapse. The other shoe had to drop for Kirby.
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#53 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/4/2011 8:10:39 AM | message detail
Yeah, this is why we should, once again, never make contest predictions off of the first hour.
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#54 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 8:12:47 AM | message detail
Kirby/Sonic is going to be brutal in Europe... that might be what kills Kirby next round.
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#55 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2011 8:14:45 AM | message detail
Jill got very close to winning an hour overnight. Sonic could pull some 60% hours next round.
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#56 | KingBartz | Posted 11/4/2011 8:28:03 AM | message detail
I'm shocked at all the predictions of Sonic failing to quadruple today.

I know TJF and day match but isn't Catherine like terribly niche and obscure?
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#57 | smitelf | Posted 11/4/2011 8:28:05 AM | message detail

From: __Smurf__ | #045
75-25 is pretty much the expected result. I'd imagine Sonic would need to dip deep into the 60's for him to be in Kirby territory. Which was always going to be a pretty illogical upset pick to begin with.


Yeah, but this board loves its upset theories :) Anything less than a tripling will be seen as weakness on his part.
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#58 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 8:29:11 AM | message detail
KingBartz posted...
I'm shocked at all the predictions of Sonic failing to quadruple today.

I know TJF and day match but isn't Catherine like terribly niche and obscure?


Thats why I think he'll get an easy 80%. I think Catherine will be weaker than Earthworm Jim.. and if Mario can get 85% on Jim, I don't see why Sonic can't get 80% on some super niche Atlus characters.
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#59 | Kamekguy | Posted 11/4/2011 8:32:19 AM | message detail
Because Catherine actually has an active fanbase?

And the best competitive scene ever?

I mean I might be overrating the Catherines a bit, but I'd be shocked if Sonic broke 80%.
#60 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 8:33:17 AM | message detail
Kamekguy posted...
Because Catherine actually has an active fanbase?

And the best competitive scene ever?

I mean I might be overrating the Catherines a bit, but I'd be shocked if Sonic broke 80%.


I'd be surprised if even 15% of gamefaqs has played Catherine. If Sonic doesn't break 80%, it'll be because of anti-votes, not Catherines popularity.
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#61 | KingBartz | Posted 11/4/2011 8:33:54 AM | message detail
I had an 86% pick and lowered is to 84% out of concern.

But the match pic isn't even flattering for the Catherines, Don't see how Sonic can get less than 80%
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#62 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/4/2011 8:34:38 AM | message detail
When does Sonic quadruple anyone? I remember people calling for the fall of Sonic after he struggled to triple Jin Kazama and he went on to have one of his strongest contests yet. He got 80% against CATS and Terry Bogard which is pretty much his ceiling. I'd imagine Catherine can do better than that with a recent release, TJF and not to mention Robotnik dragging him down. 75% would be an on-par result in my books, I'd be happy with that.
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#63 | Kamekguy | Posted 11/4/2011 8:35:04 AM | message detail
Yes, but Catherine would be one of the few niche-type games that the obsessive Gamefaqs community could still attract.

Still, yes, I'd probably take Mario or Link or Mega Man to break 80% here.
#64 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/4/2011 8:38:51 AM | message detail
Catherine sold like 200k in the USA and got a good amount of press for being what it is. It isn't that niche.
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#65 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/4/2011 8:45:34 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
Haha, that was a massive overnight collapse. The other shoe had to drop for Kirby.

It was 9:05 when I quoted Leon's post about a doubling and said, and I quote, "Jill will come back overnight, this won't be anywhere near a doubling by the time the morning vote hits."

Of course, since I'm not one of the B8 personalities, my post got lost in the rush of other nonsense being posted.
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#66 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2011 8:47:57 AM | message detail
I think everyone knew this could not stay near a doubling, but yes, good call. I was thinking it'd end around 60 at that time, though Jill's slow gains the first hour made me think it'd end up being more like 62. Happy to see that Kirby's overnight vote really is bottom of the barrel.
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#67 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/4/2011 8:49:59 AM | message detail
Oh hey, we broke 30,000 votes. Yay!
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#68 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2011 8:51:56 AM | message detail
I think most of us knew Kirby would drop overnight, but most didn't expect him to fall under 60% after still getting 65% after the first hour.

Kirby is going to have to survive the dead zone if it wants to challenge Sonic
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#69 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/4/2011 8:52:16 AM | message detail
__Smurf__ posted...
When does Sonic quadruple anyone? I remember people calling for the fall of Sonic after he struggled to triple Jin Kazama and he went on to have one of his strongest contests yet. He got 80% against CATS and Terry Bogard which is pretty much his ceiling. I'd imagine Catherine can do better than that with a recent release, TJF and not to mention Robotnik dragging him down. 75% would be an on-par result in my books, I'd be happy with that.

I don't think Robotnik is going to hurt Sonic at all. People keep saying that he will, but I just don't see it happening. Even if Knuckles is a "better" rivalry, Robotnik is classic nostalgia. I can clearly remember the hours upon hours I spent playing through the original Sonic the Hedgehog on the Sega Genesis, and Sonic the Hedgehog 2 on the Sega Game Gear; both of which starred Robotnik as the main antagonist.
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#70 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/4/2011 8:54:13 AM | message detail
red sox 777 posted...
I think everyone knew this could not stay near a doubling, but yes, good call. I was thinking it'd end around 60 at that time, though Jill's slow gains the first hour made me think it'd end up being more like 62. Happy to see that Kirby's overnight vote really is bottom of the barrel.

I was crossing my fingers and hoping he dropped below 58% for my spread bet, but it looks like I just barely missed it. Ah well, after totally screwing myself on the Mario/Bowser bet in the first round, I didn't really expect to come back from it.
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#71 | TRE Public Account | Posted 11/4/2011 8:54:33 AM | message detail
I think when most people say "hurt" they mean the character helps a lot less than the other team's second character. Meta Knight is definitely worth a lot more than Robotnik is.
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#72 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/4/2011 8:56:53 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #069
__Smurf__ posted...
When does Sonic quadruple anyone? I remember people calling for the fall of Sonic after he struggled to triple Jin Kazama and he went on to have one of his strongest contests yet. He got 80% against CATS and Terry Bogard which is pretty much his ceiling. I'd imagine Catherine can do better than that with a recent release, TJF and not to mention Robotnik dragging him down. 75% would be an on-par result in my books, I'd be happy with that.

I don't think Robotnik is going to hurt Sonic at all. People keep saying that he will, but I just don't see it happening. Even if Knuckles is a "better" rivalry, Robotnik is classic nostalgia. I can clearly remember the hours upon hours I spent playing through the original Sonic the Hedgehog on the Sega Genesis, and Sonic the Hedgehog 2 on the Sega Game Gear; both of which starred Robotnik as the main antagonist.


I haven't seen any evidence that people aren't voting on raw character strength yet. Mind, I also haven't seen any evidence that people aren't just ignoring the weaker character in the rivalry either. Make these matches Mario v Earthworm Jim, Ike v Conker and Kirby v Jill and they all fall right into line with expectations.
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#73 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/4/2011 8:57:34 AM | message detail
Meta Knight might be worth a bit now because of Smash. I think you are seriously underestimating Robotnik though.
#74 | Greyfeld | Posted 11/4/2011 8:58:24 AM | message detail
__Smurf__ posted...
I haven't seen any evidence that people aren't voting on raw character strength yet. Mind, I also haven't seen any evidence that people aren't just ignoring the weaker character in the rivalry either. Make these matches Mario v Earthworm Jim, Ike v Conker and Kirby v Jill and they all fall right into line with expectations.

This is true. But if this is the case, then Robotnik can't really hurt Sonic, can he?

That said, I fully expect to see how the "rivalry factor" plays out when we see the DK/Ezio matchup.
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#75 | TRE Public Account | Posted 11/4/2011 8:59:23 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2016

Not exactly pretty.
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#76 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/4/2011 9:00:31 AM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik 75%
6

Katherine vs. Catherine 25%
2

TOTAL VOTES 8
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#77 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2011 9:00:39 AM | message detail
unsurprisingly board 8 has a lot of catherine fans
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Rival Rumble: 2/2 Today: Kirby/Meta Knight & Sonic/Robotnik
#78 | XIII_rocks | Posted 11/4/2011 9:00:40 AM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Dr. Robotnik 73.17%

30
Katherine vs. Catherine 26.83%

11
TOTAL VOTES 41

Go Sonic >_>
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#79 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/4/2011 9:01:04 AM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll posted...
Meta Knight might be worth a bit now because of Smash. I think you are seriously underestimating Robotnik though.

I can see Meta Knight attracting a few votes Kiby wouldn't, I can't see Robotnik making anyone vote for the pair Sonic wouldn't already guarantee.
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#80 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/4/2011 9:01:28 AM | message detail
This'll get ugly for Catherine/Katherine soon
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Today's Prediction: Kirby/Meta Knight with 58.31%
#81 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/4/2011 9:01:43 AM | message detail
We hit 100 votes in under a minute. I think that's a bit better than yesterday.
#82 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2011 9:02:36 AM | message detail
48 charmander6000 3 Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth

Oh yeah. This is also the earliest I've reached the leaderboard.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rival Rumble: 2/2 Today: Kirby/Meta Knight & Sonic/Robotnik
#83 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 9:03:13 AM | message detail
I still think 80% is possible. That ASV is gonna be ugly for Cath.
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#84 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/4/2011 9:03:17 AM | message detail
Yeah looks fine for Sonic, if you're nearly hitting expectations during the board vote against Atlus you won't have a lot to worry about.
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#85 | transcience | Posted 11/4/2011 9:03:25 AM | message detail
we really can't draw one minute conclusions anymore if we can't even get to 100 votes! yeesh

next
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#86 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2011 9:03:33 AM | message detail
Standard, expected, win for Sonic. I think MK is better as a partner than Robotnik, but probably not by enough to overcome the Sonic/Kirby gap.
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#87 | TheOneAboveAll | Posted 11/4/2011 9:04:03 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2016

Not exactly pretty.


It's not so much more than Link beat Sonic by. I think we have to assume that for some reason there is at least a bit of SFF between the Zelda and Sonic series.
#88 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/4/2011 9:04:46 AM | message detail
I think people are underselling Robotnik. He's weak, yeah, but he's still a good rival for Sonic.
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#89 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2011 9:05:15 AM | message detail
Sonic probably won't break 80%, but it looks like he'll get the tripling.
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
Rival Rumble: 2/2 Today: Kirby/Meta Knight & Sonic/Robotnik
#90 | GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/4/2011 9:05:35 AM | message detail
Well yeah, it's not as if the average voter is gonna be disappointed that Robotnik is there instead of Knux or Shadow
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Today's Prediction: Kirby/Meta Knight with 58.31%
#91 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2011 9:05:38 AM | message detail
37 Link/Ganon brackets vs. 5 Cloud/Sephiroth brackets on the leaderboard. Good, let's do this.
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#92 | Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/4/2011 9:05:41 AM | message detail
Heh. Exactly 500 votes at the freeze.
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#93 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 9:06:07 AM | message detail
KamikazePotato posted...
I think people are underselling Robotnik. He's weak, yeah, but he's still a good rival for Sonic.

Still woulda been way better with Knuckles, though. How did Robotnik get more noms? Was he on the suggested list or something?
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#94 | abdou | Posted 11/4/2011 9:06:48 AM | message detail
Only 40 votes better than Ike/B.Knight ..
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#95 | transcience | Posted 11/4/2011 9:07:14 AM | message detail
I think Kirby taking the early lead on Sonic is kinda guaranteed. he should bleed throughout the day though. interesting match.
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#96 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/4/2011 9:07:35 AM | message detail
Still woulda been way better with Knuckles, though. How did Robotnik get more noms? Was he on the suggested list or something?

They were both on the suggested list. We just suck.
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#97 | __Smurf__ | Posted 11/4/2011 9:07:52 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #088
I think people are underselling Robotnik. He's weak, yeah, but he's still a good rival for Sonic.


It brick walls Sonic which is the problem. He'd need the fan favourite Knuckles with him combined with some Mario/Shadow weirdness to take down Mario/Bowser. It ain't going to happen with Robotnik and the Kirby upset wouldn't even happen if he was paired with Silver.
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#98 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2011 9:08:37 AM | message detail
I think Kirby taking the early lead on Sonic is kinda guaranteed. he should bleed throughout the day though. interesting match.

Kirby needs to take the lead at the beginning if it wants to make it interesting. Sonic will crush it during the dead zone and in the day Kirby probably won't be smashing Sonic that badly.
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Rival Rumble: 2/2 Today: Kirby/Meta Knight & Sonic/Robotnik
#99 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 9:08:56 AM | message detail
MarquessLaus posted...
Still woulda been way better with Knuckles, though. How did Robotnik get more noms? Was he on the suggested list or something?

They were both on the suggested list. We just suck.


Huh, that doesn't make sense then. For me at least, when I think of Rivals in gaming, Sonic/Knux is one of the first to come to mind... since its a similar rivalry to Ryu and Ken.
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#100 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/4/2011 9:09:12 AM | message detail
red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2011 10:59:37 AM | message detail | quote
Haha, that was a massive overnight collapse. The other shoe had to drop for Kirby.


Overall, Kirby only finished about 1% higher against Jill than his match against Rikku. The result falls in line with my thought that Rikku is slightly stronger than Jill.


FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/4/2011 11:29:11 AM | message detail | quote
Thats why I think he'll get an easy 80%. I think Catherine will be weaker than Earthworm Jim.. and if Mario can get 85% on Jim, I don't see why Sonic can't get 80% on some super niche Atlus characters.


Sonic isn't really a guy who is going to give you those 80% blowouts, so you will be disappointed if you think that was going to happen. I really don't understand all of the Oracle predictions in the high 70s and 80s, because Sonic is no Mario and I think Katherine/Catherine is stronger than Earthworm Jim.
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