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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1008

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#401 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 2:18:31 PM | message detail
Thanks for posting the picture (saves me the time to search it out). I guess that does technically establish a precedent, but that was a CJayC era picture made by CJayC. He probably took the first/easiest Ratchet render he could find. It's not all that similar to this case, where match results can be changed. Imagine if Red/Blue get Charizard/Blastoise and roll through the Street Fighters (or heck, imagine they lose regardless). What's now stopping people from throwing Samus into Ridley's pics, or Mario into Wario's?
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
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#402 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2011 2:21:19 PM | message detail
#403 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 3:25:07 PM | message detail
http://oi43.tinypic.com/dqnec8.jpg
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#404 | pjbasis | Posted 11/2/2011 3:53:36 PM | message detail
So I have Chris/Wesker > Big Boss/The Boss in my bracket.
#405 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 5:03:35 PM | message detail
Message From PartOfYourWorld on 11/02/2011
Quick question that some people on Board 8 are wondering: will you be accepting Pokemon Trainer Red/Blue pictures that showcase actual Pokemon (such as Charizard and Blastoise) beside/behind the trainers?

Message From GameFAQs on 11/02/2011
Sure, as long as they're appropriate to the characters.


Ho boy.
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Yoblazer: http://oi52.tinypic.com/ad21i1.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#406 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/2/2011 5:11:39 PM | message detail
Oh dear.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#407 | redrocket | Posted 11/2/2011 5:13:22 PM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld posted...
Message From PartOfYourWorld on 11/02/2011
Quick question that some people on Board 8 are wondering: will you be accepting Pokemon Trainer Red/Blue pictures that showcase actual Pokemon (such as Charizard and Blastoise) beside/behind the trainers?

Message From GameFAQs on 11/02/2011
Sure, as long as they're appropriate to the characters.


Ho boy.


Brackets are still open guys!
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From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch
#408 | KamikazePotato | Posted 11/2/2011 5:15:16 PM | message detail
**** this ****. Switched to Red/Blue>Ryu/Ken, Dante/Vergil>Sora/Riku. Neither will happen, but I'd rather support my favorites in defeat.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
#409 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 5:16:24 PM | message detail
Switching to Trainers > Street Fighters as well. Trainers > Samus even seems like a plausible upset now.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#410 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/2/2011 5:43:39 PM | message detail
That seems like a dumb rule. Couldn't you make Link/Ganon vs Cloud/Sephiroth essentially a group picture of Zelda vs FF7 then? Seems to open up too many weird possibilities. They should just limit to the characters in the match.

I doubt it'll matter much, though. I don't see how a picture can make Red go from being equal to Ocelot to beating Ryu.
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http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png
#411 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/2/2011 5:54:07 PM | message detail
The picture alone won't increase Red's strength from Ocelot's level to Ryu's level. The people who are picking Red over Ryu are also hoping for a rivalry boost as well, which would increase Red's strength more than any picture could.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#412 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/2/2011 6:02:54 PM | message detail
Ok, so I just switched to Jill > Kirby (just like last time!). But then I realized I had Kirby/MK beating Sonic/Robotnik in round 2 before, because Robotnik sucks. More hard decisions!
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90s games > 00s games
#413 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/2/2011 6:03:18 PM | message detail
I could see Charizard/Blastoise's additions boosting the rivalry-aspect for Red/Blue, but I don't think they would do much if they were just in the background for Red or Blue in a standard Character Battle either. It'll be fascinating to watch.
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http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Nominate E P O N A.
#414 | transience | Posted 11/2/2011 6:04:05 PM | message detail
I'd probably take Ryu/Ken over Charizard/Blastoise, so that won't affect my pick.
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xyzzy
#415 | MarquessLaus | Posted 11/2/2011 6:11:21 PM | message detail
What would be "appropriate" for Red and Blue? Charizard, Pikachu, Pidgeot on one side Blastoise, Eevee and Fearow on the other?
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When you've got a pretty-boy monkey on your back constantly calling you a puppet, you hardly want to seem like you're happy to be used. - DSakaCharanJ
#416 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/2/2011 6:12:36 PM | message detail
Gah, wussed out of Conker > Ike. Ike is just too much stronger than Conker, and no amount of villain blandness will drag him down enough.
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#417 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/2/2011 6:30:13 PM | message detail
#418 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/2/2011 6:32:58 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, there's a contest that's about to start or something.
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Wylvane
Guru Contest Winner Black Turtle is a wonderful user.
#419 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 11/2/2011 6:33:06 PM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
someone hasn't played PoR

Just like most people, which is the problem. Outside of the real Fire Emblem fans, he's just some generic knight that won't help Ike.
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http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png
#420 | YoAriel33 | Posted 11/2/2011 6:35:10 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#421 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/2/2011 6:47:27 PM | message detail
Anyone know all the board contests going on other than predicting the bracket %?
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*is Dranze*
I lost my girl and lost to Black Turtle. Can't get worse.
#422 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 6:51:43 PM | message detail
Must... resist... switching to Jill in the last five minutes
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Yoblazer: http://oi52.tinypic.com/ad21i1.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#423 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 11/2/2011 6:54:07 PM | message detail | (edited)
Random post involving numbers; this seemed like the place to put it: Or rather "posts"; due to size, this will have to be a two-parter.

Went through all of the contest histories on the wiki. Not going to bother listing all of the fodders that didn't make many appearances, but here are your tiers based solely on winning percentage, though appearances will also factor into it. Ties in percentage are broken down in order of number of appearances; further ties are listed in alphabetical order.

Legitimately a Beast (at least 10 wins and a winning percentage of .667 or better)
1. Link, .955 (32-2)
2. L-Block, .833 (10-2)
3. Cloud Strife, .829 (34-7)
4. Solid Snake, .822 (37-8)
5. Sephiroth, .800 (32-8)
6. Samus Aran, .795 (31-8)
7. Mario, .784 (29-8)
8. Mega Man, .758 (25-8)
8. Sonic the Hedgehog, .758 (25-8)
10. Crono, .750 (24-8)
11. Vincent Valentine, .688 (11-5)

Reliably Good (at least three contest appearances and a .500 record or better)
1. Tifa Lockhart, .692 (9-4)
2. Bowser, .652 (15-8)
2. Squall Leonhart .652 (15-8)
4. Luigi, .650 (13-7)
5. Zelda, .647 (11-6)
6. Pikachu, .643 (9-5)
7. Dante, .636 (14-8)
7. Ganondorf, .636 (14-8)
9. Auron, .632 (12-7)
9. Sora, .632 (12-7)
11. Kirby, .619 (13-8)
11. Ryu, .619 (13-8)
13. Master Chief, .611 (11-7) (I was amazed to see Master Choke up this high)
13. Yoshi, .611 (11-7)
15. Sub-Zero, .600 (6-4)
16. Zero, .588 (10-7)
17. Aerith Gainsborough, .583 (7-5)
17. Leon Kennedy, .583 (7-5)
19. Amaterasu, .571 (4-3)
19. Diablo, .571 (4-3)
21. Scorpion, .545 (6-5)
22. Alucard, .529 (9-8)
23. Fox McCloud, .500 (5-5)
23. Frog, .500 (5-5)
23. Kratos, .500 (5-5)
23. Liquid Snake, .500 (5-5)
23. Vivi, .500 (5-5)
23. Yuna, .500 (5-5)
29. Big Boss, .500 (4-4)
29. Tommy Vercetti, .500 (4-4)
31. Mewtwo, .500 (3-3)

Impressive Newbies (at least two wins, but no more than two appearances--note, this tier also includes some who benefited from stuff like the Villains Contest)

1. Charizard, .800 (4-1)
2. Mega Man X, .714 (5-2)
2. Weighted Companion Cube, .714 (5-2)
4. Zack Fair, .667 (4-2)
5. Dr. Robotnik, .667 (2-1)
5. Jecht, .667 (2-1)
5. Missingno., .667 (2-1)
8. Altair, .600 (3-2)
9. Ada Wong, .500 (2-2)
9. Big Daddy, .500 (2-2)
9. Chun Li, .500 (2-2)
9. Mudkip, .500 (2-2)
9. Nightmare, .500 (2-2)
9. Vergil, .500 (2-2)
#424 | TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 11/2/2011 6:53:45 PM | message detail
Our Favorite Losers (at least three losses and a losing record)
1. Knuckles the Echidna, .462 (6-7)
2. Ryu Hayabusa, .455 (5-6)
3. Lara Croft, .444 (4-5)
3. Riku, .444 (4-5)
5. Captain Falcon, .429 (3-4)
6. Donkey Kong, .417 (5-7)
6. Jill Valentine, .417 (5-7)
6. Kefka, .417 (5-7)
9. Duke Nukem, .400 (4-6)
9. Magus, .400 (4-6)
9. Pac-Man, .400 (4-6)
12. Ike, .400 (2-3)
12. Marcus Fenix, .400 (2-3)
12. Max Payne, .400 (2-3)
12. Midna, .400 (2-3)
12. Princess Peach, .400 (2-3)
12. Raiden, .400 (2-3)
12. Terra Branford, .400 (2-3)
12. The Boss, .400 (2-3)
12. Wario, .400 (2-3)
21. Gordon Freeman, .385 (5-8)
21. Tidus, .385 (5-8)
23. Revolver Ocelot, .375 (3-5)
24. KOS-MOS, .333 (3-6)
24. Ness, .333 (3-6)
26. Phoenix Wright, .333 (2-4)
26. Rikku, .333 (2-4)
26. Shadow the Hedgehog, .333 (2-4)
26. Zidane Tribal, .333 (2-4)
30. Arthas Menethil, .250 (1-3)
30. Balthier Bunansa, .250 (1-3)
30. Chris Redfield, .250 (1-3)
30. HK-47, .250 (1-3)
30. Ken Masters, .250 (1-3)
30. Marth, .250 (1-3)
30. Meta Knight, .250 (1-3)
30. Roxas, .250 (1-3)
30. Ryo Hazuki, .250 (1-3)
39. Bomberman, .200 (1-4)
39. Isaac, .200 (1-4)
39. Lloyd Irving, .200 (1-4)
39. Sam Fisher, .200 (1-4)
39. Vyse, .200 (1-4)
44. Albert Wesker, .167 (1-5)
44. Laharl, .167 (1-5)
44. Ratchet, .167 (1-5)
47. Crash Bandicoot, .143 (1-6)
47. Tails, .143 (1-6)
49. CATS, .000 (0-8)
50. Guybrush Threepwood, .000 (0-5)
51. Geno, .000 (0-4)
51. Kratos Aurion, .000 (0-4)
53. Axel, .000 (0-3)
53. Banjo, .000 (0-3)
53. Cecil Harvey, .000 (0-3)
53. Conker, .000 (0-3)
53. Jak, .000 (0-3)
53. Miles Edgeworth, .000 (0-3)
53. Prince of Persia, .000 (0-3)
53. Ramza Beoulve, .000 (0-3)
53. Ridley, .000 (0-3)
53. Sarah Kerrigan, .000 (0-3)
53. Simon Belmont, .000 (0-3)
53. Tom Nook, .000 (0-3)

Yeah, I was really bored. I figure some of those "reliable fodders" could be improving this contest due to having strong partners (Ridley seems like an especially good bet; he could even be pulled up to the point where he has a winning record), but it's still interesting. Also, remind me again why there are people who think Jill has a shot at reprising her 2002 win over Kirby?
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(This space for rent...okay, not really)
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
#425 | JawolopingJeff | Posted 11/2/2011 6:53:53 PM | message detail
Don't do it.
#426 | BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/2/2011 6:57:09 PM | message detail
Master Chief isn't that surprising. He always managed to get a high seed, so he had plenty of opportunities to blow out fodder before getting beat. Plus there was his 2007 run.

The real surprise in that list is Sub-Zero being so high.
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#427 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/2/2011 6:58:00 PM | message detail
2 minutes until lockdown.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#428 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 7:02:15 PM | message detail
Whoa what the, just realized my clock is three minutes ahead.
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Yoblazer: http://oi52.tinypic.com/ad21i1.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#429 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 7:03:14 PM | message detail
LOCKED
DOWN

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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#430 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/2/2011 7:03:31 PM | message detail
The lockdown occured exactly at 10:02:20 PM.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#431 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/2/2011 7:03:41 PM | message detail
I made a last minute switch to the Pokemon Trainers over Luigi >_>.
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*is Dranze*
I lost my girl and lost to Black Turtle. Can't get worse.
#432 | Hitagi | Posted 11/2/2011 7:05:27 PM | message detail
I made a last minute switch to the Pokemon Trainers over Samus.

feels bad man
#433 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2011 7:08:09 PM | message detail
#434 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/2/2011 7:12:09 PM | message detail
#435 | red sox 777 | Posted 11/2/2011 7:14:22 PM | message detail
Ready to go! Less than 2 hours away. I think I've got plenty of upsets this year, after a pretty boring bracket last time.
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90s games > 00s games
#436 | charmander6000 | Posted 11/2/2011 7:16:16 PM | message detail
Match I: (1) Mario/Bowser vs. (8) Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt

Previous Contest

Mario – 2010
81.04% against Falco Lombardi
63.16% against Big Boss
74.10% against Ike
58.38% against Mega Man
53.59% against Charizard
35.43% against Link

Bowser – 2010
63.22% against Frog
61.68% against Kefka
54.70% against Sora
45.27% against Charizard

Earthworm Jim – 2004
17.02% against Mega Man

Queen Slug-for-a-Butt – N/A
N/A

Analysis

After a year of waiting SBAllen finally gives us a contest and we finally got that tag team tournament that was thrown around every now and then. The new format will probably alter expected results and it at least makes Link not a lock though he is still considered to be the heavy favourite according to the board.

It has been a while since we last saw Earthworm Jim and since then he’s had his Genesis game remade onto the Playstation 3 and Xbox 360, nothing that should make him look any stronger than his 2004 self. The pair survived the vote-in to reach the contest, but when you consider some of the competition and that the Queen has “butt” in her name which probably garnered a few extra votes it isn’t that surprising that the pair reached this contest.

I feel relative to the rest of the noble nine Bowser brings more strength to the group. Even though Bowser was SFF by Mario in 2004 he did hold up rather well which suggests that people do prefer him and that he isn’t just a Mario proxy. You also have to take into account that the partners that most of the noble nine have are significantly weaker before taking any SFF into account and then you have Ganondorf which adds very little to Link. Sadly there’s very little to test this on before the final as all the threats are on the opposite side of the bracket. Maybe if Samus avoids SFF for once.

It’ll be interesting to see how voting will change compare to other contests. While the majority may just pick their favourite out of the group and be done we could see some interesting tactics. People could actually take the rivalries into account sort of like how people did it with the Game of the Decade or we could see shifts in voting where people may take their second and third favourite characters over their first favourite should they not like the partner. Either way that requires knowledge of both games in order to make such a decision which means it may take a while before we start seeing the effects of voting pattern change.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Mario/Bowser > Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-Butt

charmander6000’s Prediction: Mario/Bowser wins, 84.21% - 15.79%
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BOP Results: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/Rivalry%20BOP.xls
BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/60566352
#437 | Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/2/2011 7:39:28 PM | message detail
Mario's going to make Jim into his personal butt-floss.
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http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3445328
#438 | The Mana Sword | Posted 11/2/2011 7:50:27 PM | message detail
Huh.

Is anyone else's bracket not showing their pick for the finals.
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I wish I could wear skirts and dresses :( -GMUN
#439 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/2/2011 7:51:24 PM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #438
Huh.

Is anyone else's bracket not showing their pick for the finals.


Yeah, so no worries.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
#440 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/2/2011 7:51:50 PM | message detail
I've got the same problem that you have too.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!
#441 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2011 7:52:25 PM | message detail
#442 | JawolopingJeff | Posted 11/2/2011 7:56:17 PM | message detail
I was also nervous for a sec.
#443 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/2/2011 8:12:55 PM | message detail
Yeah, I guess everybody has that problem...
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LM
#444 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2011 8:30:55 PM | message detail
You know, I think this is the first year I've only made one bracket. I usually make several, including a favorites bracket.

Goes to show.
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#445 | LeonhartFour | Posted 11/2/2011 8:32:10 PM | message detail
Oh right, I guess I had better get my trends charts ready.
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#446 | YoboD | Posted 11/2/2011 8:38:37 PM | message detail
Really wishing I switched to Chell/GlaDOS > Frog/Magus
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Not today
#447 | foxhead84 | Posted 11/2/2011 8:40:04 PM | message detail
YoboD posted...
Really wishing I switched to Chell/GlaDOS > Frog/Magus

Really wishing I switched to Frog/Magus > Alucard/Dracula
#448 | legendmusketeer | Posted 11/2/2011 8:42:52 PM | message detail
I just don't know how strong Chell/GlaDOS will be.
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LM
#449 | MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/2/2011 8:47:41 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #444
You know, I think this is the first year I've only made one bracket. I usually make several, including a favorites bracket.


Same here, but it has more to do with me having a busier life this time around.
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*is Dranze*
I lost my girl and lost to Black Turtle. Can't get worse.
#450 | HaRRicH | Posted 11/2/2011 8:51:22 PM | message detail
I'm counting on Chell/GLaDOS to take the division. Portal 2 plus the good pictures/facetime coming from it for her first time should do GLaDOS quite well, and Chell's quality of rivalry with her should ease or even overcome the issue of her recognition.
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Nominate E P O N A.