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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 997

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#51 | pjbasis | Posted 5/7/2011 11:30:21 AM | message detail

From: FFaddict1313 | #204
Surprised at Phantom Hourglass > Spirit Tracks, isn't the latter supposed to be way better or something?


Way better is a stretch, but it was better.

But in this case, I probably would have guessed PH would win, just for being the first Zelda game that came out during the peak of the DS's popularity.
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#52 | LOLContests | Posted 5/7/2011 2:54:52 PM | message detail
Mortal Kombat is really popular in the South for whatever reason, according to Geolocation results. Pokemon seems to do best on in New England/Mid-Atlantic, but Nintendo always does well there so no big surprise. B/W wasn't able to do much with California, which is surprising but I guess the techie love for Portal overwhelmed their Japan love in this case.
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#53 | pjbasis | Posted 5/7/2011 3:16:06 PM | message detail | (edited)
Full results for Round 1.
You can tell I'm dying for a contest to be announced.

Ocarina of Time - 43122 [94.87%]
Zelda's Adventure (CDi) - 2332 [5.13%]

Phantom Hourglass - 21303 [60.24%]
Spirit Tracks - 14061 [39.76%]

Oracle of Seasons - 19283 [57.84%]
Oracle of Ages - 14053 [42.16%]

Legend of Zelda - 12821 [31.24%]
Wind Waker - 28218 [68.76%]

Link to the Past - 38808 [94.14%]
Wind of Gamelon (CDi) - 2416 [5.86%]

Majora's Mask - 36296 [89.44%]
Four Swords Adventures - 4285 [10.56%]

Link's Awakening - 23234 [62.20%]
Minish Cap - 14121 [37.80%]

Twilight Princess - 37103 [89.43%]
Adventure of Link - 4084 [10.57%]
#54 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/7/2011 7:26:32 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
#55 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/7/2011 7:38:47 PM | message detail
pjbasis | Posted 5/5/2011 9:51:32 PM | message detail | quote
http://www.ign.com/tournaments/greatest-zelda-game


How did you even find that contest? I couldn't find any links on that site which would take me to the contest home page.
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#56 | HaRRicH | Posted 5/7/2011 8:24:58 PM | message detail
pjbasis posted...
Legend of Zelda - 12821 [31.24%]
Wind Waker - 28218 [68.76%]


Here's a performance worth noting. Anybody still want to take the original LoZ over LoZ:WW here after this? FF2/4 beating down FF1 here doesn't help the original's case, either.
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#57 | red sox 777 | Posted 5/7/2011 8:40:51 PM | message detail
Think I'll go with WW after seeing that. It'll probably be closer on Gamefaqs, but taking Zelda 1 feels like a big stretch.
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#58 | LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/7/2011 8:45:45 PM | message detail
Zelda 1 (2009g) has a strength of 31.28 against Base Link.
Wind Waker (2009g) has a strength of 28.73 against Base Link.

Zelda 1 54.08% 64,403
Wind Waker 45.92% 54,694
TOTAL VOTES 119,098
Zelda 1 wins with 54.08% of the vote!
A 9,709 vote margin of victory.
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#59 | charmander6000 | Posted 5/7/2011 8:54:52 PM | message detail
If you want to go the x-stats way you have to remember WW was behind Melee.

I think the only way people can justify LoZ > WW is if they think WW is hated by Zelda fans.
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#60 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/7/2011 8:57:19 PM | message detail
Zelda 1 won't perform all that differently from Mario 1 and FFI, really. It'll do well on its own, but it won't stand up to well liked titles in the series very well. If Zelda 1 is beating Wind Waker, then you're not far from making Zelda 1 the 3rd strongest game in the series anyway.
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#61 | AxemPink | Posted 5/7/2011 9:14:58 PM | message detail | (edited)
WYOMING;D

wait. Curse you, Hawaii!
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#62 | pjbasis | Posted 5/7/2011 11:01:16 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #255
How did you even find that contest? I couldn't find any links on that site which would take me to the contest home page.


It was easy when they first posted it and when they posted the results of Round 1.
For now though, you can find it by going to the Wii page, and finding the Zelda "panel," which has it there.
#63 | HaRRicH | Posted 5/8/2011 8:40:45 AM | message detail
charmander6000 posted...
I think the only way people can justify LoZ > WW is if they think WW is hated by Zelda fans.

After LoZ:WW won GotY and broke 43% on our GotD (which was another LoZ-game assumed to be hated), this shouldn't be a real concern anymore...though I could see some people using it anyway.
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#64 | HaRRicH | Posted 5/8/2011 10:44:58 AM | message detail
Since Portal 2 easily took yesterday's GotY-so-far poll, I want to mention one other character (spoiler-free) from it that we haven't mentioned much: Wheatley. You see him a lot through-out the game and he's got a lot of varied worthwhile dialogue too, so I think he'll get the nominations to reach a contest (though somebody should really start a rally for him anyway). He's absent in the co-op mode, however.

I expect him to be stronger than GLaDOS was last time, though that by itself doesn't mean a lot since she was once pretty weak and is going to look a lot better next time. I figure he won't get easily embarrassed though, even if he had to go against GLaDOS.


I also don't expect a whole lot from WCC boost-wise unless a lot of Portal 2-fans new to the series "get" it without playing the original Portal (or go back to play it). It shouldn't work miracles anyway.
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#65 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/8/2011 4:58:15 PM | message detail
Since Portal 2 easily took yesterday's GotY-so-far poll

Portal 2 will definitely be weaker by the time we do the GotY polls in early January. As we've seen many times in the past, GotY polls favor recent games when it comes to to which game will dominate the poll.
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#66 | HaRRicH | Posted 5/8/2011 10:17:02 PM | message detail
That's fine -- it's already several weeks old and still in the midst of the PSN-fiasco, so I don't know it'll fade away that much from now. It may not necessarily win GotY (LoZ:SS and ME3 are likely the favorites), but it should continue to look good despite them.

Besides that, I don't see how you're going to talk down about Portal 2's effect on this site after it won that poll easily. I didn't insinuate it was GotY-period, but it is still the biggest game so far this year and probably will be for several more months.
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#67 | TheOceIot | Posted 5/8/2011 10:19:32 PM | message detail | (edited)
ME3 got delayed to 2012. Skyrim might be a contender though.
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#68 | PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/8/2011 10:19:32 PM | message detail
Mass Effect 3 was delayed to 2012. Zelda is the overwhelming GotY favorite now.
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#69 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/8/2011 10:19:34 PM | message detail
Well, we saw how Pokemon games that weren't R/B/Y and G/S/C did in GOTD, so I don't know if I put a huge amount of stock in beating B/W, even if it did win handily.

Not that we should take GOTY polls strictly at face value anyway.
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#70 | GintokiSaotome | Posted 5/8/2011 11:19:21 PM | message detail
HaRRicH posted...
pjbasis posted...
Legend of Zelda - 12821 [31.24%]
Wind Waker - 28218 [68.76%]

Here's a performance worth noting. Anybody still want to take the original LoZ over LoZ:WW here after this? FF2/4 beating down FF1 here doesn't help the original's case, either.


I always figured original Legend of Zelda would get beat down by any notable game in the series. It struck me as a series vote more than anything
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#71 | AxemPink | Posted 5/9/2011 12:14:17 PM | message detail
Well, now that GameFAQs 12 is out, hopefully we get a contest announcement before long.
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#72 | foxhead84 | Posted 5/9/2011 7:48:46 PM | message detail
Wind of Gamelon ???
#73 | paulg235 | Posted 5/9/2011 7:54:17 PM | message detail
AxemPink posted...
Well, now that GameFAQs 12 is out, hopefully we get a contest announcement before long.
WE WANT THE DAMN BRACKET! time?
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#74 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/9/2011 8:46:44 PM | message detail
Epic poll in less than 15 minutes from now. The Male/Female poll will be re-run again.
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#75 | pjbasis | Posted 5/9/2011 9:03:51 PM | message detail
What are the trends for female voters?
#76 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/9/2011 9:13:12 PM | message detail
I've never bothered to do trends on a poll like this, but I'll do this time. Even though there probably won't be anything interesting for trends.

Hmm, Male dropped over a whole percent on that second update. So much for the idea that "Female" is getting joke voted with the board vote.
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#77 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/9/2011 9:14:27 PM | message detail
Aw yeah, Female is winning in Japan.

Hot Asian chicks on GameFAQs confirmed
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#78 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/9/2011 9:33:50 PM | message detail | (edited)
Male is just collapsing here. It's already dropped another whole percent since the second update of the poll.

Damn, Japan just switched over to Male just now. France remains as the only country that's still going for Female, but that will change soon.
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#79 | HaRRicH | Posted 5/10/2011 7:51:39 PM | message detail
After today's sixth gender-poll, GameFAQs's female-population has grown in percentage every time it's been rerun.

Yoshi's gonna be unstoppable after another twenty-five polls or so.
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#80 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2011 7:52:22 PM | message detail
More like Squall is going to be the champion of these contests pretty soon!
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#81 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/10/2011 8:10:35 PM | message detail
After today's sixth gender-poll, GameFAQs's female-population has grown in percentage every time it's been rerun.

It is just slightly higher this time around. Hell, Female was above 10% for a brief period of time around 2:00 AM, but Male just went berserk at night and went up in percentage for the entire day (starting at 2:10 AM). I suspect 4chan might have been rallying for Female, based on a topic I saw over at the Poll of the Day board. Male started at 93.78% with the board vote and was going down in percentage on almost every single update between 12:10 AM and 2:10 AM.
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#82 | pjbasis | Posted 5/10/2011 8:14:48 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
More like Squall is going to be the champion of these contests pretty soon!

Now this is something I can get behind!
#83 | paulg235 | Posted 5/10/2011 8:16:18 PM | message detail
Squall will be lucky to have a match between Crono or Sonic and beat them.
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#84 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2011 8:17:24 PM | message detail
The Female Vote will become a factor soon enough!
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#85 | Azp2k32 | Posted 5/10/2011 8:25:33 PM | message detail
LeonhartFour posted...
The Female Vote will become a factor soon enough!

Will this lead to an anti-TJF vote, cancelling the 2 out?
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#86 | paulg235 | Posted 5/10/2011 8:26:50 PM | message detail
Speaking of Squall/Sonic, interesting thing to note.

Comparing Squall's 2004 win on Kirby with Sonic's 2010 win;

Sonic: 54.61% (39575/72469)
Squall: 55.01% (51462/93546)

Also consider that Squall was the bottom option of his poll whereas Sonic was at the top, as well as Sonic's match was 12 hours (and a night match)...

Squall might actually have a pretty good shot at upsetting if they ever meet this year!
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#87 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2011 8:28:09 PM | message detail
Squall is still the only character to break 55% on Kirby 1-on-1.
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#88 | AxemPink | Posted 5/10/2011 10:17:01 PM | message detail
Squall/Sonic has looked debatable for a long time now.

Only reason I might not take Squall over Sonic if it comes up this year is that Sonic has actually had a pretty good year since last contest, with Sonic 4 and Sonic Colors being well-received (for Sonic games anyways) and Sonic Generations having some hype.

Mega Man's seeming recovery last character battle probably had something to do with MM9 and MM10, and Sonic has gotten a lot more hate in the past for the quality of his recent games than Mega Man did, so he might have further to bounce back, although Mega Man was arguably at the point where any publicity was good publicity.

Brawl and Olympic Games, granted, either did not help Sonic or only stalled him from looking even worse, but Nintendo fans already knew who Sonic was and likely had a fixed opinion of him that wasn't going to change just because he made it into a few multiplayer games, and those games did nothing to detract from how hated a lot of Sonic's recent games were.
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#89 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2011 10:21:25 PM | message detail
Nah, the Brawl announcement definitely helped him, if only temporarily. Squall would've beaten him outright twice in 2007 if Sonic hadn't been announced for Brawl mid-contest.
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#90 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/10/2011 11:08:36 PM | message detail
Poll updates for yesterday's poll:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tYfRkzwz-U1ykjmKsgP0FAA


For the strange push that Female made to reach 10% (after starting under 7% at the board vote), I highly suspect there was rallying going on. 4chan is the most likely suspect. It's too late for me to check there for signs of rallying. If they did rally, it probably involved one or more people posting pictures of nude women while telling other people to vote for "Female".

So I guess it's up to you guys to decide if there might have been rallying in that poll, based on the updates. This is pretty strange stuff:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tYfRkzwz-U1ykjmKsgP0FAA&gid=1

The board vote for Male is very similar to the hours that came after 4:00 AM.
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#91 | AxemPink | Posted 5/11/2011 2:19:44 AM | message detail
So what does it mean that Luigi did almost as well on Link in 2010 as Sonic did?
I have serious trouble buying that Link could SFF Sonic more than Luigi. Let's assume it didn't hurt one more than the other.
Amaterasu got 35% and then 33.7% on Crono in 2008. Being last in the thought-to-be important Crono/Ryu/L-Block match probably underrated her, so I'd think the first result is closer to her real strength.
Amaterasu broke 40% on Luigi in 2010. She probably did overperform there because it was a night match and her support in North America was far lower than anywhere else, so lower her to 39% or so. That gives her 37.8% on Sonic, which sounds reasonable.
Was Sonic just that bad, is Luigi that good, or is Sonic just trolling us at this point?
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#92 | GintokiSaotome | Posted 5/11/2011 3:09:35 AM | message detail
I mean, I'm not going to doubt your trends Luster but...

Why would they bother rallying for a Male/Female poll where females only have 8-9% as it is?
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#93 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/11/2011 4:15:13 AM | message detail
I think they rallied just for the lulz, since females are a huge minority on GameFAQs. And it would be easier to rally for the option that's losing.
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#94 | charmander6000 | Posted 5/11/2011 7:28:32 AM | message detail
Sonic is pretty Nintendo now so I wouldn't be surprised if it got SFF as much as the Mario series.

Based on their match against Link Luigi is expected to get 48.5% on Sonic and considering that Kirby broke 45% and Ganondorf with a decent picture probably would have done the same that probably isn't too far from what Luigi would get.
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#95 | red sox 777 | Posted 5/11/2011 8:34:30 AM | message detail
Sonic is just that bad. He did 8% worse on a weaker Kirby this year than in 2006, too.
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#96 | -LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/11/2011 6:35:17 PM | message detail
Confirmed: Someone on GameFAQs just admitted to rallying for "Female" on 4chan by posting porn pictures of women. That would explain the huge push that Female made to reach 10%.
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#97 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 5/12/2011 12:17:46 PM | message detail
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#98 | HaRRicH | Posted 5/12/2011 12:18:54 PM | message detail
I'll leave it to pjbasis for the percentage-updates again, but there's been a big upset on IGN's LoZ-contest: Majora's Mask edged out Link to the Past.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/57523829

They now have OoT VS WW and MM VS TP in the Final Four.
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#99 | FateStayAlbion | Posted 5/12/2011 12:21:14 PM | message detail
HaRRicH posted...
I'll leave it to pjbasis for the percentage-updates again, but there's been a big upset on IGN's LoZ-contest: Majora's Mask edged out Link to the Past.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/57523829

They now have OoT VS WW and MM VS TP in the Final Four.


Are we 100% sure that MM doesn't beat Link to the Past here? All these older SNES games have no where to go but down these days
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#100 | LeonhartFour | Posted 5/12/2011 12:23:13 PM | message detail
Are we 100% sure that MM doesn't beat Link to the Past here?

I'd say probably not, but it'd be closer than expected, I think.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4194
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3508

I mean, you need to take both of those results with a grain of salt, but still.
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