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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 991

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/23/2010 1:37:17 PM | message detail
Hopefully Allen runs a Link vs Santa poll <3



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~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man
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Poison awaits when you kiss her. Her heart cries out for you. For me.
Untold misery is hers to serve out for eternity.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/23/2010 3:58:06 PM | message detail
Seems like there will be a Link vs Santa poll.
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
Anagram | Posted 12/23/2010 4:00:02 PM | message detail
He won't.
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Not changing this sig until I decide to change this sig.
Started: July 6, 2005
charmander6000 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:00:34 PM | message detail
I think some people are expecting too much out of Santa, don't forget Santa is a North American concept. For once Link may actually destory something in Asia.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/384 Today's Winner: Super Smash Bros. Brawl
red sox 777 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:01:51 PM | message detail
I'm pretty sure Santa is known worldwide, if under different names. But the picture will make it clear.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Lucid Faia | Posted 12/23/2010 4:01:55 PM | message detail
I will not let it all be destory.

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The Ohio State Buckeyes
Our honor defend, we will fight to the end
TheSwiftuation | Posted 12/23/2010 4:02:52 PM | message detail
ok so

is that link/santa thing really happening?

also you guys follow the contest far more than i do. it's roughly a 1000 vote lead for MM. Any chance Brawl can pull it out?
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*~Swift~* ExTha's Nemesis
timjab u **** your pants boi
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/23/2010 4:04:16 PM | message detail
To confirm again that there'll be a Link vs. Santa: http://www.gamefaqs.com/contribute/submit_contest_image.php

And yes I do believe that Brawl can win this.
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How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG)
http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png
TheSwiftuation | Posted 12/23/2010 4:05:05 PM | message detail
just because u can submit something doesn't mean it will happen

also how much has the lead been cut and in how much time?
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ulti is the authority on birth control because his shirt has the power to impregnate any woman that looks at it for too long - TimJab
charmander6000 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:06:11 PM | message detail
I'm pretty sure Santa is known worldwide, if under different names. But the picture will make it clear.

He's known, but he isn't cared for at all in Asia and not as huge in Europe.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/384 Today's Winner: Super Smash Bros. Brawl
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 12/23/2010 4:06:18 PM | message detail
Now for Brawl's side:

1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl 50.00%
2. Super Smash Bros. Melee 48.92%
3. Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 47.25%
4. Fallout 3 45.57%
5. Metroid Prime 43.80%
6. Half-Life 2 43.16%
7. Kingdom Hearts II 40.54%
8. God of War 39.39%
9. Kingdom Hearts 38.58%
10. Tales of Symphonia 38.24%
11. Grand Theft Auto III 37.83%
12. Batman: Arkham Asylum 37.55%
13. Okami 36.65%
14. Resident Evil 5 36.58%
15. Halo: Combat Evolved 35.91%
16. Super Mario Galaxy 35.65%
17. BioShock 35.46%
18. Uncharted 2: Among Thieves 33.27%
19. Mega Man 9 32.02%
20. Devil May Cry 3: Dante’s Awakening 31.00%
21. Halo 3 30.94%
22. Street Fighter IV 30.58%
23. Team Fortress 2 30.40%
24. Fable 30.38%
25. Sonic Adventure 2 30.12%
26. Demon’s Souls 30.10%
27. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare 29.98%
28. Dragon Age: Origins 29.42%
29. Super Mario Sunshine 29.37%
30. Halo 2 29.34%
31. LittleBigPlanet 28.77%
32. Pokémon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald 28.60%
33. The Legend of Dragoon 28.35%
34. Grand Theft Auto IV 28.15%
35. The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind 27.99%
36. Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos 27.73%
37. Left 4 Dead 27.34%
38. Pokémon Diamond/Pearl/Platinum 27.10%
39. Perfect Dark 26.72%
40. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 26.00%
41. Ninja Gaiden 25.53%
42. Metroid Fusion 24.37%
43. Valkyria Chronicles 23.56%
44. Deus Ex 23.45%
45. Star Ocean: Till the End of Time 23.35%
46. Rock Band 2 23.09%
47. Dissidia: Final Fantasy 22.56%
48. Disgaea: Hour of Darkness 22.42%
49. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time 22.23%
50. Star Wars: Battlefront II 22.05%
51. Left 4 Dead 2 22.03%
52. Mother 3 21.79%
53. No More Heroes 20.96%
54. Psychonauts 20.64%
55. Shenmue 19.49%
56. Conker’s Bad Fur Day 19.28%
57. Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance 19.08%
58. F-Zero GX 18.12%
59. Beyond Good & Evil 17.98%
60. Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow 17.82%
61. inFamous 17.32%
62. Mario Kart DS 16.74%
63. Guitar Hero II 12.56%
64. WWF No Mercy 10.79%

Ouch. Looks like Palmer picked a real dud. Has the Guru pick ever finished dead last in the X-Stats? *checks* Nope. Of course, the Guru pick only slightly predates the start of the 4-way era, but last contest was the first time the Guru pick failed to make the second round. (Well, except for when Toadette failed to even make the bracket.)

Sorry, Palmer. You were a great champion, and deserved better than this. Let's try to get Chocobo into CBIX as well as whatever BT picks.
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Currently playing: Kirby's Epic Yarn
shadow8021 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:06:37 PM | message detail
MM"s just toying with Brawl now...

This result more than makes up for Melee's loss =D
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WE ARE...
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/23/2010 4:07:00 PM | message detail
Brawl has no chance. It has taken 7 hours just to cut the lead down from 1400 to where it is now.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Black Turtle win to happen. 5,000 dead brackets. Want that on your damn conscience, Zelda apologists?
Azp2k32 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:07:05 PM | message detail
MM pulled itself out from an ~1400 pit in less time, but it had the help of (a diluted) ASV+rallying. I don't doubt Brawl has some rallying, but the ASV's done and gone, and even weaker today than it would've been yesterday with (presumably) more schools being out.
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"I submitted brackets on all [224] of my accounts so they would get the 10 free Karma for beating SBAllen's score." - Luster Soldier
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/23/2010 4:07:12 PM | message detail
Then why would he ask for it. Brawl has been gaining 10-20 vote cuts the last hour, but it'll need more than that. MM won the last two updates though.
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How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG)
http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/23/2010 4:08:29 PM | message detail

From: TsunamiXXVIII | #011
14. Resident Evil 5 36.58%


Ultimate loser if Brawl loses.

Dr. Football picked WWF btw.
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Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be?
Is it Super Smash Bros Brawl, or Final Fanasy?
MasterOfHunters | Posted 12/23/2010 4:09:58 PM | message detail
think some people are expecting too much out of Santa, don't forget Santa is a North American concept

In Tokyo at the moment, and I see more santas, reindeers, and gnomes in one day than many years combined back in the states.
HaRRicH | Posted 12/23/2010 4:10:29 PM | message detail

From: TsunamiXXVIII | #011
Ouch. Looks like Palmer picked a real dud.


DFF
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First with SSBB > SMG in 2009, then with the GotD-contest: BT owned me once again.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Hide_The_Butter | Posted 12/23/2010 4:11:35 PM | message detail
Majora's Mask has pissed away quite a bit of it's lead from earlier. Is Brawl going to pull a Majora here?
charmander6000 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:17:00 PM | message detail
In Tokyo at the moment, and I see more santas, reindeers, and gnomes in one day than many years combined back in the states.

Well recently they have been trying to push that kind of stuff, I don't think it'll have the same magic for at least another decade or so.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/384 Today's Winner: Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Calintares | Posted 12/23/2010 4:21:56 PM | message detail
I'm no huge fan of Link dominating, but I would vote anyone over Santa, as I detest the commercialization of christmas, and Santa is it's greatest symbol.
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Ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/23/2010 4:25:20 PM | message detail
I think that everyone who votes against Santa should have <SCROOGE> emblazoned next to their name permanently.

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DFF
Zabie_W | Posted 12/23/2010 4:30:26 PM | message detail
I'm not voting Santa. He never gave presents to me (Due to my Birthday, my holy day and December 6th being all packed that close, so no Santa gifts for me ever)

Santa is not really followed in here. I think that people would think that Santa it's just a Joke character and go for Link for being the more serious choice. If Santa wins that just means that GameFAQs is TrollFAQs.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:31:50 PM | message detail
Yeah, Santa was plastered everywhere in China when I was there a few years back. I think most of the people didn't even know what Christmas celebrated, just that it was the biggest holiday in America/the West, and that it had to do with Santa Claus.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Azp2k32 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:31:54 PM | message detail
I'm torn. I hate Christmas/Holidays, but I'd love to see Link dominated legitimately. I feel like he'll get a lot of anti-votes, at very least.
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"I submitted brackets on all [224] of my accounts so they would get the 10 free Karma for beating SBAllen's score." - Luster Soldier
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 12/23/2010 4:32:40 PM | message detail
Yeah, sorry. Got the bracket winner and the Guru winner confused.

Well, whatever. I suppose in a way, I'm still kind of beholden to a pick, since I didn't realize that this contest was going on until after it already started--hence also my Turtle-less signature, as I didn't submit a Guru pick this time.

Come to think of it, it's probably also time to start using my sig to lobby for my own personal desire for a newcomer... eh, not yet.
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Currently playing: Kirby's Epic Yarn
red sox 777 | Posted 12/23/2010 4:32:53 PM | message detail
And I would easily vote Christmas over LoZ or whatever. Santa just is not the same as Christmas to me.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
HaRRicH | Posted 12/23/2010 4:38:26 PM | message detail
Gotta go with Link. I never felt deceived about his existence!
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First with SSBB > SMG in 2009, then with the GotD-contest: BT owned me once again.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 12/23/2010 4:39:11 PM | message detail
I think I might vote Santa ahead of Christmas, because I'm Jewish and so the religious half of the holiday means nothing to me.

But really, I think this idea is stupid.

Also: this contest just proves what we've known for awhile: We need a full Games Contest with divisions not divided by era. Yes, the finals would still be the same as previous ones, but it would be far more entertaining early on.
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Currently playing: Kirby's Epic Yarn
MasterOfHunters | Posted 12/23/2010 4:48:24 PM | message detail
Well recently they have been trying to push that kind of stuff, I don't think it'll have the same magic for at least another decade or so.

I hope not. As the marquee symbol of commercialization, on top of being a huge insult to christians, the world is a better place without the fat guy in red. Having said that, I may just vote for him just to see Link's first legitimate loss in many years.
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/23/2010 4:52:17 PM | message detail
I think I'm going to vote for Link. I like green more than red, and his good deeds are much more significant within his stories.

Also what HaRRich said.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
Calintares | Posted 12/23/2010 4:53:51 PM | message detail
I may just vote for him just to see Link's first legitimate loss in many years.

what.
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Ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die.
McGee4Ever | Posted 12/23/2010 4:55:32 PM | message detail
How could anyone with a heart vote Link over Santa?

Santa alllllll the way
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ST. LOUIS CARDINALS- YOUR WORLD SERIES CHAMPS!
X_Dante_X | Posted 12/23/2010 4:56:20 PM | message detail
Solanoclaus > Link > Santa imo

pic factor confirmed
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boring and mundane signature congratulating Black Turtle
Now with more bold! Less Italics due to bold
MasterOfHunters | Posted 12/23/2010 4:56:41 PM | message detail
I can't say with conviction that L-Block would have beaten Link 1 on 1.
LOLContests | Posted 12/23/2010 4:57:41 PM | message detail
I should remind you all that according to L. Frank Baum, Santa Claus has defeated invisible demons!
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"Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka
Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/23/2010 4:58:58 PM | message detail
I agree. I'm fairly certain that L-Block's contest run would have ended long before the final in a one on one setting.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 12/23/2010 5:12:12 PM | message detail
Sweet, I'm gonna beat SBAllen in both contests
...Although I suppose most of the people in this topic are going to beat SBAllen. >_>
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082 Pokemon HeartGold: 2966 0920 7723
HaRRicH | Posted 12/23/2010 5:14:32 PM | message detail
...heh, can you Twitter/Facebook tomorrow's match? If a movement were to start, it'd be hard to stop.
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First with SSBB > SMG in 2009, then with the GotD-contest: BT owned me once again.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Haguile | Posted 12/23/2010 5:15:04 PM | message detail
If Link does beat Santa Claus...Man, that will be depressing.

BUT LET'S HOPE FOR A CHRISTMAS MIRACLE.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/23/2010 5:18:20 PM | message detail
BELIEVE

BELIEVE IN SANTA CLAUS
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No, every man's goal in life is to spread his seed as many times as possible. - A statement Realo actually believes
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/23/2010 5:22:40 PM | message detail
You know, despite my issues with this result, I am hyped for tomorrow's match. Strong possibility of it being the most lollerific thing ever.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/23/2010 5:27:39 PM | message detail
Also, I love how close Brawl was to penetrating the 1000 vote barrier. MM's just taken it all back in a few updates though.
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http://thechive.files.wordpress.com/2010/02/6.gif
Achromatic | Posted 12/23/2010 5:28:25 PM | message detail
I like how brawl/mm, the final, is going to now get within 20,000 of the semis and brawl is still going to lose by more.
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Sir Chris hails Black Turtle as the best guru in all the land.
http://cishir.blogspot.com/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/23/2010 5:29:14 PM | message detail
Wow. Forget about 100k, this match won't even hit 90k. No final match in any GameFAQs contest has gotten such poor votals.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... Turtle own me... in the Guru!
695924 | Posted 12/23/2010 5:30:51 PM | message detail
Santa gonna get stomped tomorrow.
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lol opinions
Achromatic | Posted 12/23/2010 5:31:30 PM | message detail
Santa has no chance baby.
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Sir Chris hails Black Turtle as the best guru in all the land.
http://cishir.blogspot.com/
HaRRicH | Posted 12/23/2010 5:31:37 PM | message detail
To be fair, we have Nintendo-on-Nintendo action today. We haven't had a same-fanbase championship since 2004's FF7 > CT result. The only other one we've seen is Link > Mario, I believe.
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First with SSBB > SMG in 2009, then with the GotD-contest: BT owned me once again.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/23/2010 5:33:00 PM | message detail
Well, it would appear that Majora is about to go back over the 1,100 vote barrier.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/23/2010 5:33:21 PM | message detail
Speaking of CT/FFVII- as further evidence CT was bandwagoned, that poll outdrew OOT/FFVII.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.