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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 990

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/22/2010 9:19:35 PM | message detail
Please hold on, Majora's Mask. Zelda deserves its first win in a 1v1 games contest!



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man
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Small words, from a small being, trying to attack what it doesn't understand.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/22/2010 9:28:22 PM | message detail
Noble Nine - Link, Zelda, Ganondorf, Midna, Epona, Dark Link, Saria, Malon, Tingle
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Wylvane
Not_Wylvane is a wonderful user.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/22/2010 9:31:32 PM | message detail
Noble Nine - Link, Zelda, Ganondorf, Marin, Epona, Dark Link, Saria, Malon, Tingle

Fixed!

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PLANTS VS. ZOMBIES
The "Game of the Decade" winner. (In my heart!)
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/22/2010 9:34:58 PM | message detail
Congrats to the Official GameFAQs Game of the Decade, The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask.
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Wylvane
Not_Wylvane is a wonderful user.
Lucid Faia | Posted 12/22/2010 9:35:22 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #001
Please hold on, Majora's Mask. Zelda deserves its first win in a 1v1 games contest!


And the best game in the series will do it!

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Our honor defend, we will fight to the end
FFDragon | Posted 12/22/2010 9:35:22 PM | message detail
It just keeps gaining.
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
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XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 9:35:38 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #491
Who cares if MM is the little brother. It's still better than OoT.


Kind of not my point, at all. But hey, circular argument, I'll just watch the match I guess.

20 vote gain for MM now.

Wow.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/22/2010 9:35:44 PM | message detail
Game of the 90s - Ocarina of Time
Games of the 00s - Majora's Mask

Can't wait to see what kind of game will win in another 10 years!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 9:35:58 PM | message detail
I wish FFX were here instead. It would probably be beating Brawl too.

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DFF
MasterOfOrionII | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:11 PM | message detail
My perception of FFX has been a game that would get somewhere in the 31-32% area on OOT. The crusade against FFX is over though, now that it's lost to MM. Don't think people will ascribe strength it doesn't have to it anymore (i.e. I hope no one still thinks it could keep things close against LTTP!)

Your perception of FFX's strength is almost certainly underrating it significantly.

And it would for sure keep it close against LttP. It wouldn't win but it wouldn't get less than 47%. LttP isn't quite what it used to be remember.
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Nothing can save us
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:12 PM | message detail
MM is now over 60% in Europe. Do they really hate Brawl that much?
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:22 PM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #008
Game of the 90s - Ocarina of Time
Games of the 00s - Majora's Mask

Can't wait to see what kind of game will win in another 10 years!


The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks

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DFF
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:30 PM | message detail
Drink up that Chateau Romani MM!
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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
ffdgh1 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:46 PM | message detail
hmm need more momentum
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:56 PM | message detail
FFX probably wouldn't be winning so big right now, but good lord would it ever build a nice overnight lead.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/22/2010 9:36:57 PM | message detail
Spirit Tracks came out in 2009, silly!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
swordz9 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:37:04 PM | message detail
Obviously Skyward Sword will win the next GotD. In all seriousness though how soon should we expect the GotY polls?
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:37:19 PM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #011
MM is now over 60% in Europe. Do they really hate Brawl that much?


If they want to keep their penchant for good taste, they better start hating Brawl.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/22/2010 9:37:45 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #012
The Legend of Zelda: Spirit Tracks


Skyward Sword for GotD 201X's
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Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/22/2010 9:37:56 PM | message detail
Skyward Sword is a lock for the next GotD.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
Lucid Faia | Posted 12/22/2010 9:38:15 PM | message detail
You've met with a terrible fate, haven't you?

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Our honor defend, we will fight to the end
Mr3790 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:38:22 PM | message detail
The best Zelda winning this contest.
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This space for rent.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:38:33 PM | message detail
In all seriousness though how soon should we expect the GotY polls?

GotY polls should start on January 1st of next year. So in a few days from now, we get our GotY polls.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
MasterOfOrionII | Posted 12/22/2010 9:39:00 PM | message detail
Brawl got owned in Europe by Fallout and Twilight Princess. Where is this Brawl does good in Europe stuff coming from?
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Nothing can save us
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:39:02 PM | message detail
By the way, we need to average 4 posts a minute to hit topic 1000 before the end of the match. That's within reach isn't it?
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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
swordz9 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:39:18 PM | message detail
I had a feeling they would start around then. I hope they end up being interesting.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 9:39:21 PM | message detail

From: Lucid Faia | #020
You've met with a terrible fate, haven't you?


http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_l8ziig7mgc1qba810.png

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DFF
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/22/2010 9:39:38 PM | message detail

From: MasterOfOrionII | #024
Brawl got owned in Europe by Fallout and Twilight Princess. Where is this Brawl does good in Europe stuff coming from?


The Melee match, where it dominated Europe?
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/22/2010 9:40:15 PM | message detail
We should get a CD-i Zelda game into the next games contest.
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Wylvane
Guru Contest Winner Black Turtle is a wonderful user.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 9:40:35 PM | message detail

From: -Tofa7- | #025
By the way, we need to average 4 posts a minute to hit topic 1000 before the end of the match. That's within reach isn't it?


Nope, not even close. I think our record is six filled topics in one day. We'd do well to fill up two more today.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/22/2010 9:40:37 PM | message detail
Wow. Brawl's not even going to make this competitive.
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 9:40:43 PM | message detail
Hah, ace 500 by Yo. I wanted to make a tiger.gif post, but that works too!

And speaking of which...

http://i140.photobucket.com/albums/r18/TheZeppelinator/loltiger.gif

VICTORY.
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ffdgh1 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:40:46 PM | message detail
c'mon brawl link XD
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XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 9:40:52 PM | message detail
Well I remember when Brawl was beating Melee, NGamer said on the live show that it would provoke this wave of antivoting.

Except he predicted RE4 or FFX taking advantage of it, lol
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MasterOfOrionII | Posted 12/22/2010 9:41:03 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #108
The Melee match, where it dominated Europe?


...against another Smash game? OOOh wow, I'm impressed.

Seriously, I repeat: it got utterly owned in Europe by FO3 and TP. Where is this Brawl does good in Europe stuff coming from?
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Nothing can save us
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:41:19 PM | message detail
Are there any 24 hour matches we can compare this to? For trends?
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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:41:22 PM | message detail
We should get a CD-i Zelda game into the next games contest.

That's if Bacon will even allow it. Because unlike with Character Battles, he doesn't allow joke games into the contest and the CD-i Zelda games could be seen as joke games.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/22/2010 9:41:47 PM | message detail
We should get a CD-i Zelda game into the next games contest.

Doubt Bacon would allow that. That having been said, though, it's high time King Harkinian makes a Character Battle!

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PLANTS VS. ZOMBIES
The "Game of the Decade" winner. (In my heart!)
whatisurnameplz | Posted 12/22/2010 9:41:52 PM | message detail
This is absolute insanity. You'd think Brawl would win an update by now!

But hey, who cares, go Majora!
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:41:58 PM | message detail
Your perception of FFX's strength is almost certainly underrating it significantly.

And it would for sure keep it close against LttP. It wouldn't win but it wouldn't get less than 47%. LttP isn't quite what it used to be remember.


The game got 34.5% against OOT with Brawl in there and 37% with RBY and Melee. Don't see any reason to believe it could avoid the doubling 1v1, and now it's lost to Majora too to confirm that.

No way is LTTP only worth 53% on MM. Would expect 55%-58% from LTTP against FFX nowadays.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:42:30 PM | message detail
I think Brawl will end up doing better than Majora's Mask in Europe, who aren't fans of the N64 in general.
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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/22/2010 9:42:33 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ls8ac3rQWSs
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My God, did that predict good!
Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'...
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/22/2010 9:42:39 PM | message detail
Clearly Zelda games are the farthest thing from a joke you can get! GameFAQs takes its Zelda seriously, after all.
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Wylvane
Guru Contest Winner Black Turtle is a wonderful user.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/22/2010 9:42:55 PM | message detail

From: MasterOfOrionII | #035
...against another Smash game? OOOh wow, I'm impressed.

Seriously, I repeat: it got utterly owned in Europe by FO3 and TP. Where is this Brawl does good in Europe stuff coming from?


No, that's really the answer to your question. Brawl mainly won that match because of Europe/Asia, as I think Melee still lead in NA. That just stuck in people's minds.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:43:14 PM | message detail
Yeah, if you people were thinking Brawl does good in Europe because it beat Melee there, well.......Melee has like the worst Europe vote of any game other than Oregon Trail.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/22/2010 9:43:27 PM | message detail
So where's Leon at.

Need to see some stats assuming 52/48ish.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the BT incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
Lucid Faia | Posted 12/22/2010 9:44:04 PM | message detail
Swamp. Mountain. Ocean. Canyon. Hurry… The four that are there… bring them here…

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The Ohio State Buckeyes
Our honor defend, we will fight to the end
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 9:45:09 PM | message detail
I don't think Leon's posted in the stats topic since FFX started crumbling. >_> Could be wrong though.
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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/22/2010 9:45:31 PM | message detail
I'm really looking forward to hearing about Link's fight against Solid Snake.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:45:43 PM | message detail
Trends-wise, TP/Brawl is completely worthless since it was a day match. The best analog I can think of is OOT/Brawl, but the thing is MM has a bandwagoned/rallied/close match runoff early vote here, so it's really very different at this point.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.