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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 989

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red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 4:55:15 PM | message detail
8 contest wins out of 12 is not enough. ZeldaFAQs needs its 9th.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man

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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 4:55:37 PM | message detail
I just entered the topic list to make this.

Well, whatever.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/22/2010 4:56:50 PM | message detail
We need to push for 11 topics tomorrow, somehow.

1000 coming in the offseason would be so lame.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 4:57:38 PM | message detail
Wow, we've only got 8/12?

Cloud 2003
FFVII 2004
Seph 2005
Block 2007

Guess so.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 5:05:35 PM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #003
We need to push for 11 topics tomorrow, somehow.

1000 coming in the offseason would be so lame.


Indeed. Hopefully Allen gives us the bonus match to lighten the load. Yes, it counts. >_>
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"oh my god oh my god a spider just crawled INTO MY KEYBOARD" -pxlated
"It just wants some web access." - Ness26
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 5:20:23 PM | message detail
1:00 | 50.12%
2:00 | 50.14%
3:00 | 48.44%
4:00 | 48.10%
5:00 | 45.59%
6:00 | 46.30%
7:00 | 46.57%
8:00 | 45.53%
9:00 | 48.94%
10:00 | 47.32%
11:00 | 49.71%
12:00 | 51.38%
13:00 | 52.17%
14:00 | 51.08%
15:00 | 53.24%
16:00 | 55.58%
17:00 | 54.64%
18:00 | 51.61%
19:00 | 50.32%
20:00 | 48.64%

FFX won it's first hour since 11 AM.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/22/2010 5:29:38 PM | message detail
Bonus matches totally count.
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"The metal board doesn't hate music that isn't metal. They hate music that's bad." -Lucid Faia
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/22/2010 5:35:05 PM | message detail
Didn't think FFX would be able to put on enough pressure to make b rally again. Nice effort.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
Haste_2 | Posted 12/22/2010 5:38:06 PM | message detail
Today will show that RE4 is just a touch above MGS3, right in proportion to this poll in 2009 BGE:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=3500&num=4

Also, let's say SSBB beats tonight's winner with 52%: if that happens it will suggest KH2 = RE4, which is even more interesting. It creates more evidence that RE4 nor KH2 were never that close to Zelda:TP.

Also, note that MGS3 is expected to get 55% on Oblivion this year, while it was expected 54% on Oblivion from that same poll. Basically, MGS3 probably hasn't dropped. SotC just acted really crazy.

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"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 5:38:17 PM | message detail
What the percentage will be?I mean Brawl was the favorite to win the whole thing and it had less than 7%!
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RPGLord95 | Posted 12/22/2010 5:46:38 PM | message detail
Brawl was the B8 favourite to win it. Clearly not the site favourite.
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Not changing this sig until the Bengals, Bills and Lions win the Super Bowl (10/10/10)
And yes, RPGLord95 is godly enough to be called Lord. - Ulti
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 5:48:24 PM | message detail
Best 500th post
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/22/2010 5:50:45 PM | message detail
You can't claim your own post as a best 500th, especially when you doubled it just to make sure it got in at 500.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/22/2010 5:52:02 PM | message detail
The Mario spike was probably rallying, since none of the conventional vote-stuffing methods work anymore. Only a computer lab could really do it now, and I don't think Allen considers it "vote-stuffing".
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ffdgh1 | Posted 12/22/2010 5:52:17 PM | message detail
yeah....double post abusement XD
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Official Hiyakki of the Pokemon Black Board XD
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 5:55:08 PM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #013
You can't claim your own post as a best 500th, especially when you doubled it just to make sure it got in at 500.


Do you know who I am?
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
EvilNcr | Posted 12/22/2010 5:55:44 PM | message detail
A joke?
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
Suigyuko | Posted 12/22/2010 5:57:02 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #014
The Mario spike was probably rallying, since none of the conventional vote-stuffing methods work anymore. Only a computer lab could really do it now, and I don't think Allen considers it "vote-stuffing".


Implying Allen actually does his job.



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MWC
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 5:57:08 PM | message detail
this looks over now. FFX can't string any great update wins together.
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http://i.imgur.com/j5f3K.gif
TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 12/22/2010 6:00:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, ExTha, that was a really cheap move.
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Currently playing: Kirby's Epic Yarn
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 6:00:52 PM | message detail
Majora answered for that bad hour by winning this one. That should be the last twist of the dagger.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Achromatic | Posted 12/22/2010 6:00:54 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1658


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Sir Chris
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 6:01:06 PM | message detail
It's like you guys don't even know me!
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
Zabie_W | Posted 12/22/2010 6:01:28 PM | message detail
Tomorrow's match won't be as exciting that's pretty much granted. I seriously doubt that MM will be able to do the same against Brawl, would not mind though.

As for FFX, I think this song is for you

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0ZTyCxbdok

You entered this match focused, yet afraid because it was a Zelda game, the match began and you were on your game, but suddenly, you saw how all that advantage that you had was being slowly taken away from you, you fought back but it was useless, you had chances to make a come back, but you could not do it. In the end, you just faded away like this song.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 6:01:40 PM | message detail
And I didn't "abuse double post" I just simply posted twice in a row. I don't even think you can double post anymore!
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 6:03:23 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #014
The Mario spike was probably rallying, since none of the conventional vote-stuffing methods work anymore. Only a computer lab could really do it now, and I don't think Allen considers it "vote-stuffing".


That's actually why I said "stuffing" before. I actually have access to a ton of comps, each of them with their own net access (so they'd all count as accepted votes). Probably something like 20-30 votes...but I'm not going for it unless MM absolutely needs it. No need to be rash!

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And on another note, continuing from the previous topic: The Water Temple sucks not because of the boots Yo (as that's never bothered me), but because you have almost ZERO control underwater. It's so clunky and boring that even the Dark Link fight doesn't fully make up for it...and besides, it has the only spot you can make the game unwinnable in. Big mistake in designing there.
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.
swordz9 | Posted 12/22/2010 6:03:30 PM | message detail
FFX might still have a chance if it can pull off some kind of unbelievable final 2-3 hours.
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
paerarru | Posted 12/22/2010 6:05:20 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Jzf_dxnkRQ

Let's get this show on the road!
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 6:05:49 PM | message detail
OMFG FFX FLIPPED THE LEAD

oh wait, it was a tied update.
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"With Harry, it's cool. We don't speak a lot and he doesn't care if I smile or if I know who the next team we play is." - Benoit Assou-Ekotto
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 6:06:42 PM | message detail

From: swordz9 | #027
FFX might still have a chance if it can pull off some kind of unbelievable final 2-3 hours.


It needs to gain like 400+ over the next two hours. It has to enter the final hour with some kind of lead.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
EvilNcr | Posted 12/22/2010 6:07:19 PM | message detail
No it doesn't.
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 6:08:03 PM | message detail
Our first 50/50 update of the match!
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 6:09:06 PM | message detail
1:00 | 50.12%
2:00 | 50.14%
3:00 | 48.44%
4:00 | 48.10%
5:00 | 45.59%
6:00 | 46.30%
7:00 | 46.57%
8:00 | 45.53%
9:00 | 48.94%
10:00 | 47.32%
11:00 | 49.71%
12:00 | 51.38%
13:00 | 52.17%
14:00 | 51.08%
15:00 | 53.24%
16:00 | 55.58%
17:00 | 54.64%
18:00 | 51.61%
19:00 | 50.32%
20:00 | 48.64%
21:00 | 50.68%

That's more like it.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
695924 | Posted 12/22/2010 6:09:09 PM | message detail
Calling it now. FFX wins. MM gets 5k votes cut due to stuffing.
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lol opinions
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 6:09:18 PM | message detail

From: EvilNcr | #031
No it doesn't.


You don't bet against Nintendo in a close match coming down to the wire. It has more clutch than anything but Frog.
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 6:09:54 PM | message detail

From: KanzarisKelshen | #035
You don't bet against Nintendo in a close match coming down to the wire. It has more clutch than anything but Frog.


Then again, we said the same thing about MGS.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
LOLContests | Posted 12/22/2010 6:10:13 PM | message detail
Why are people acting as if Nintendo fans are the ones behind this?
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Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 6:11:36 PM | message detail

From: LOLContests | #037
Why are people acting as if Nintendo fans are the ones behind this?


You don't think 45228 voters were Anonymen, right?
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 6:20:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, this is over.

FFX tried hard to get back but it didn't do enough. 2 and a half hours.
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http://thechive.files.wordpress.com/2010/02/6.gif
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 6:22:43 PM | message detail
This is Majora's largest lead in almost two hours.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 6:27:14 PM | message detail
Back in time to catch the end.

I was a bit worried when I noticed the ASV didn't help MM get much of a lead, and then FFX started all that stalling and cutting. But it looks like since then MM has gained a bit of it back and we're back to stalling.

Still a close match. The Second Night Vote Scares me. 360 votes in 2.5 hours is doable.

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MasterOfOrionII | Posted 12/22/2010 6:30:50 PM | message detail
So Brawl vs. Majora eh? NintendoFAQs strikes again.

I think Majora has a great shot at this though, and it'd probably be a more respectable choice than a party fighter.
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Nothing can save us
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 6:31:14 PM | message detail

From: -Tofa7- | #041
Back in time to catch the end.

I was a bit worried when I noticed the ASV didn't help MM get much of a lead, and then FFX started all that stalling and cutting. But it looks like since then MM has gained a bit of it back and we're back to stalling.

Still a close match. The Second Night Vote Scares me. 360 votes in 2.5 hours is doable.


Not with the voting pool exhausted. This has been the biggest draw so far by a ton. It indicates lots of people have voted, probably most that visit the site these days.
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pjbasis | Posted 12/22/2010 6:32:14 PM | message detail
Can't believe one of the finalists is gonna be one of the last one's people predicted.

And the final itself is still up in the air!
MasterOfOrionII | Posted 12/22/2010 6:32:55 PM | message detail

From: -Tofa7- | #201
Still a close match. The Second Night Vote Scares me. 360 votes in 2.5 hours is doable.


I'd be surprised since any rallying would be for Majora.

The track record of Square rallying compared to Nintendo is horrific. Majora has all the momentum.

It should get out to a nice start against Brawl too, assuming it wins here.
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Nothing can save us
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 6:34:30 PM | message detail
I have this bad feeling that Brawl's just gonna cruise tomorrow.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
ffdgh1 | Posted 12/22/2010 6:38:03 PM | message detail
brawl has just about everything nintendo, mario,link plus fan favotites snake sonic...
hello destroyed ffX brackets.
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Official Hiyakki of the Pokemon Black Board XD
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 6:38:28 PM | message detail

From: SecksThaNemesis | #046
I have this bad feeling that Brawl's just gonna cruise tomorrow.


Let's hope it doesn't...Majora's Mask has fought so hard to reach the finals...it needs to win. It'd be like quitting at the Moon Dungeons.
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.
swordz9 | Posted 12/22/2010 6:39:55 PM | message detail
I imagine you have that bad feeling because Brawl already ate a Zelda game this contest. MM should meet the same end even if it might be a little stronger than TP.
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ffdgh1 | Posted 12/22/2010 6:41:26 PM | message detail
either way, a wii game or a n64 game is going 2 win tomorrow XD
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