GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 987
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:02:30 AM | message detail |
I
checked the round 4 graph- evidently OOT got no ASV boost that day at
all. The heavily diluted ASV went entirely to Melee and RBY apparently. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:03:23 AM | message detail |
The matches involving Ocarina of Time and FFX in BGE 2009.... were they school days? Round 4 was a weekday near the end of the school year with a diluted ASV. Round 5 was a sunday. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/22/2010 11:04:22 AM | message detail |
It's easy to see the logic behind MM being a proxy for OoT There is no logic to that claim. The casuals do not study this bracket to see if OoT is in this contest or not. They come to this site to look for Halo Reach cheats or FAQs for Assassin's Creed and vote in whatever match is happening at the time. --- "Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 11:04:29 AM | message detail |
This 1000 vote barrier is freaking annoying. --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
AmazingKirby | Posted 12/22/2010 11:06:26 AM | message detail |
Well, all the high schools I know have school today...but I guess it's a regional thing. --- caps |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 11:06:29 AM | message detail |
Europe
is shifting a bit further to FFX. It's cool how you can still see tiny
shifts based on the voting times within a region. It's night in Europe
and they're favoring FF. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 11:07:52 AM | message detail |
Anyone
want to give an estimate of how many votes MM needs to cut an update to
win, or what percentage it needs from this point until the end of the
match? --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:08:20 AM | message detail |
Yoblazer or other California people: do you know if your local schools are open today? They are here in New England. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
draarrowgant | Posted 12/22/2010 11:08:20 AM | message detail |
When
speaking of comparing OoT to MM and FFVII to FFX, you need to keep in
mind what console they are on. A lot of people got the N64 because
Nintendo was still in it's heyday. PSX was an up and comer, but
eventually almost everyone had it. PS2 came out and dominated the industry, and was the best selling console of its generation. Many people migrated to PS2 and gave up on Nintendo (yours truly and many of my college friends). http://vgsales.wikia.com/wiki/NPD_Sixth_generation Unfortunately I think Zelda Drone Syndrome is making this one closer than it should be. --- psn: aarrowgant |
xp1337 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:09:47 AM | message detail |
From: -Tofa7- | #257 Anyone want to give an estimate of how many votes MM needs to cut an update to win, or what percentage it needs from this point until the end of the match? I think MM needs to cut ~9.42 votes per update from here to the end to win. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:10:35 AM | message detail |
MM needs 8.85 votes/update over the rest of the match, which is equivalent to about 51.3% for the rest of the match. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/22/2010 11:11:31 AM | message detail |
I'm
not sure how many brackets there are, 3000 or so?. And of the 90,000
expected votes on top of those 3000 there are probably another 7000 or
so that are casually following the contest, so of those I would say
that there could be a proxy effect. But I do take that point, we are
probably paying a little too much heed to this effect. |
xp1337 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:12:18 AM | message detail |
8.85? Wow, I'm really off. ...Oh, I know why. Yeah, I used 110 updates because I did 9 full hours plus 2 updates instead of 10 full hours minus two updates. lol me. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 11:14:03 AM | message detail |
A cut, at long last. Let's see if MM can follow up on it. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/22/2010 11:14:51 AM | message detail |
Wow, scrap that. I did the math.There are over 31,000 brackets. There could definitely be a proxy effect. |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:15:06 AM | message detail |
Go MM! I doubt it will do this, but it's nice for MM to keep it close here. --- http://www.comeonyouspurs.com/uploads/av-5642.jpg |
Djungelurban | Posted 12/22/2010 11:15:29 AM | message detail |
From: The Don Makaveli | #262 You mean, entered in the contest... That would be 31314... --- Nominate B.B. Hood for CB IX http://miniurl.org/ntI |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:15:41 AM | message detail |
Oh yeah and if MM wins, I guarantee victory over Bacon =) --- http://craig.uct2.net/Images/Animals/I%20was%20there.gif |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:18:31 AM | message detail |
Holy **** HUGE cut --- http://www.comeonyouspurs.com/uploads/av-5642.jpg |
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/22/2010 11:18:49 AM | message detail |
Barrier breached! --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
Julian_Caesar | Posted 12/22/2010 11:19:13 AM | message detail |
1000 vote barrier has been breached it's on --- Every day the rest of your life is changed forever. |
draarrowgant | Posted 12/22/2010 11:19:37 AM | message detail |
Averages over the last: 5 updates -3.8 10 updates -2.5 20 updates -12.1 Should be interesting! I guess it will come down to the votals. If they stay low FFX has this. --- psn: aarrowgant |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/22/2010 11:19:44 AM | message detail |
I'm just suprised so many people can't comprehend the fourth strongest Zelda game being the fourth strongest Zelda game. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 11:19:46 AM | message detail |
Barrier breached. SHOWTIME! --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 11:19:53 AM | message detail |
MM needs 8.5 votes per update to win. --- DFF |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:20:50 AM | message detail |
Still doubt it does this but MM will at least keep this close, so well done MM. --- http://www.motifake.com/image/demotivational-poster/small/0810/colonel-metal-gear-solid-snake-colonel-demotivational-poster-1223416269.jpg |
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 12/22/2010 11:21:04 AM | message detail |
Majora's
probably got 3-4 hours more like this. It might take the lead back
before FFX makes a final push. Should be a barnburner. |
AmazingKirby | Posted 12/22/2010 11:21:13 AM | message detail |
This must be the Nova Scotia ASV. MM's killing in Canada. --- caps |
draarrowgant | Posted 12/22/2010 11:21:23 AM | message detail |
lol- not with updates like that. BAM. --- psn: aarrowgant |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:22:59 AM | message detail |
MM
should be good through 8 PM I think, even if no ASV boost materializes
at all in half an hour. Past 8 is when FFX will have a chance to stall
perpetually or turn things around. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:23:34 AM | message detail |
TWO VOTE CUT IT'S OVER GUYS --- http://www.gifsoup.com/view/315976/danny-rose-spurs-v-arsenal-o.gif |
EvilNcr | Posted 12/22/2010 11:25:12 AM | message detail |
Well,
the US vote should eventually go down a little once more West Coast
voters go in. So if those stalls continue a bit longer, FFX can
overtake in the evening. --- *sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16 |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 11:28:06 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #258 School's out here from what I know. This obviously isn't the case for the whole state, but from what I remember, CA schools get two weeks off for Winter Break that cover both Xmas and New Years. I believe that break started this week, because otherwise, there'd be class on Xmas Eve. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:28:15 AM | message detail |
I
find it very amusing that MM is winning in Japan despite losing 78-22
in Asia. FFX is supposed to be super popular in Japan, isn't it? --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 11:28:39 AM | message detail |
FITTY --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:28:50 AM | message detail |
This is getting awesome. --- "oh my god oh my god a spider just crawled INTO MY KEYBOARD" -pxlated "It just wants some web access." - Ness26 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 11:29:39 AM | message detail |
Schools are out. MM wouldn't have started cutting so early if the day vote wasn't going to be spread out through the day. Problem is, we have no idea when this 'day vote' ends. MM could run out of steam at pretty much any time. --- DFF |
AmazingKirby | Posted 12/22/2010 11:30:15 AM | message detail |
The only votes coming from Japan are from American loser otaku who like Zelda and happen to be in Japan. --- caps |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 11:30:46 AM | message detail |
'Nother 50 vote cut. It's on like Donkey Kong! --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 11:31:20 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #284 Gives you a sense of how much the Philippines must dominate the Asia vote. From: KamikazePotato | #287 But shouldn't the SNV be just as diluted (if not more diluted) than the day vote? red sox said that last year, FFX didn't even start regaining percentage against OoT until the last half hour. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
Kyle Bowen | Posted 12/22/2010 11:31:42 AM | message detail |
Just to chime in... a lot of HS's in my area are in session today and tomorrow. Not sure what it is like elsewhere but there could a significant ASV... at least more so than some anticipating. --- KB |
Achromatic | Posted 12/22/2010 11:32:16 AM | message detail |
I cannot imagine an asv stronger than 50 vote cuts. --- Sir Chris |
MasterOfTheRKO | Posted 12/22/2010 11:33:54 AM | message detail |
It's gonna take all the strength MM has just to erase the lead, let alone building one of its own. WE MUST HAVE FAITH. Our the Majora's Mask must be victorious. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:34:08 AM | message detail |
MM has just destroyed the 900-1000 vote section. --- http://www.motifake.com/image/demotivational-poster/small/0810/colonel-metal-gear-solid-snake-colonel-demotivational-poster-1223416269.jpg |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/22/2010 11:34:26 AM | message detail |
If there is a true ASV... Things could get pretty lol --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 11:34:38 AM | message detail |
From: XIII_rocks | #294 Three-shotted it. GLORIOUS! --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Achromatic | Posted 12/22/2010 11:34:39 AM | message detail |
ff vs zelda this is how gamefaqs should be tbh --- Sir Chris |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:34:46 AM | message detail |
Based on the last 30 minutes Majora's Mask will take the lead at - 17:54 Based on the last 60 minutes Majora's Mask will take the lead at - 20:39 --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 268/352 Today's Winner: Final Fantasy X |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/22/2010 11:35:01 AM | message detail |
I
have to say, what a quality semi-final this is turning out to be. Love
when you get close matches at the high-end of the contest. --- http://i48.tinypic.com/2q8zwvs.png |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 11:35:37 AM | message detail |
From: Achromatic | #297 This. Nothing more to add. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
