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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 987

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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/22/2010 10:08:42 AM | message detail
3. Not in that fantasy adventure/RPG genre that GameFAQs laps up. Nothing outside this genre has ever won a contest here ever (ever!).

L-Block
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 10:09:00 AM | message detail
Damn it.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/22/2010 10:09:19 AM | message detail
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 12:23:07 PM | message detail
Evidently people are getting up later and later, and the day vote now starts at 11 AM instead of 8 AM. With the decline of the ASV as the site trends older, in a few years we might reach day vote parity between weekday and weekend matches!


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3886

Slightly over half of all people on this site wake up between 6:00 AM and 8:00 AM. I doubt that poll would change too much as the site trends older.

But yeah, the ASV has gotten weaker lately over the past 2 years or so due to the site trending older. The last age poll with 14-17 as the dominant age group happened on 4/18/2007. Early 2008 might have been the latest known point in time where 14-17 was still the dominant age group on this site. After that 2007 age poll, there wasn't another one until 8/26/2009 when 18-20 and 21-25 both overtook 14-17.
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vcharon | Posted 12/22/2010 10:09:42 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #198
I'll give you a few reasons off the top of my head. Whether or not they seem logical is up to you, I guess!

1. On a console everyone hates
2. A multiplayer game that's simply outclassed by many other multiplayer games this gen (it's not Melee, which stood alone with Halo: CE)
3. Not in that fantasy adventure/RPG genre that GameFAQs laps up. Nothing outside this genre has ever won a contest here ever (ever!).


I can give several seemingly logical reasons Zelda would get "backlash" as well I think. Similar to the MGS overload that might have doomed it versus SotC, we've had to look at Zelda in the poll a bunch lately. That coupled with the fact it always wins everything puts it over the top for me. TP was unable to give Brawl a close match, and if I had not seen that I would assume MM would win, however I don't believe MM is significantly stronger than TP.

Also, Tetris is a grand adventure/RPG game starring moody hero L-Block.
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xp1337 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:10:01 AM | message detail
I've yet to see any other plausible theory as to how it went from "lol it has no chance of beating G/S/C" to almost going even with FFX. But if there are any other theories I'd love to hear them.

Call GSC the anomaly and not MM? I mean, this entire argument seems to rely on everyone being right about GSC and that the board being wrong means that something had to be going on. I mean, if you ignore that match, is there any MM match that makes this result seem out of place? GSC only looks odd because the LOL 4 way stats made GSC look like the favorite.

It seems to make a lot more sense to question GSC in that match than to question MM.
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GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 10:10:10 AM | message detail

From: -Tofa7- | #199
I don't think the average voter pays attention to whether or not OoT is in the contest and even if they did I don't see why anyone would change their mind about a game because another game isn't in the contest.

Well when you put it like that, it does sound ridiculous, but MM did not get this strong for no reason. The only reason I and many others took it this far in the contest is because we predicted it would get some proxy power. And it worked out for us. I've yet to see any other plausible theory as to how it went from "lol it has no chance of beating G/S/C" to almost going even with FFX. But if there are any other theories I'd love to hear them.


It's called "got stuck with a Ninty game that rivals OoT for nostalgia".
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/22/2010 10:16:14 AM | message detail

From: xp1337 | #205
I mean, if you ignore that match, is there any MM match that makes this result seem out of place?


Well... it's kind of weird how a game that can compete 50-50 with FFX gets SFFed by Pokemon R/B/Y down to nearly 35%
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/22/2010 10:17:10 AM | message detail
On second thought, that poll was 3 N64 games vs. 1 Gameboy game so...

I guess you can... kind of cover for it
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gearofages | Posted 12/22/2010 10:18:13 AM | message detail
Hasn't that four-way poll been stoned and burned by now?
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 10:19:13 AM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #207
Well... it's kind of weird how a game that can compete 50-50 with FFX gets SFFed by Pokemon R/B/Y down to nearly 35%


Out of curiosity, wouldn't you expect SM64 to pulverize MM in a similar fashion? Or heck...

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/%287%29Super_Mario_64_vs_%282%29The_Legend_of_Zelda:_Ocarina_of_Time_2004

"SM64 got TRIPLED! No way it has any strength!"
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xp1337 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:19:37 AM | message detail
From: The n00b Avenger | #207
Well... it's kind of weird how a game that can compete 50-50 with FFX gets SFFed by Pokemon R/B/Y down to nearly 35%

I should have clarified. Is there any match in this contest that makes this result seem so out of place? GSC/MM already puts the validity of applying the 4-way stats directly in serious question regarding all of this.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 10:20:55 AM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #207
Well... it's kind of weird how a game that can compete 50-50 with FFX gets SFFed by Pokemon R/B/Y down to nearly 35%


Yeah RBY just looks freaking insane after today.

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DFF
gearofages | Posted 12/22/2010 10:23:20 AM | message detail
Don't forget that MGS was second in that poll. That means that MGS3 gets 65% on MM...oh, wait, nevermind.
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/22/2010 10:24:12 AM | message detail
or how about we lol 4-ways and move on?
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/22/2010 10:24:43 AM | message detail
Um, no, MGS wasn't even in that poll
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gearofages | Posted 12/22/2010 10:25:11 AM | message detail

From: gearo***es | #213
Don't forget that MGS was second in that poll. That means that MGS3 gets 65% on MM...oh, wait, nevermind.


My mistake...first by a large margin.
TVontheRadio | Posted 12/22/2010 10:25:18 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #161
Unreleased games would and have done much better in the States. Look at Mother 3. If the Philippine voters are heavy on piracy, you'd assume they would have at least tried the series by now after watching it dominate this site for eight years.


From: Djungelurban | #167
N64 emulation has been around for a decade... People have played it...


guys, i actually live in this hellhole i love so much

22 years of living here and i've only met 2 people who've played Ocarina of ****ing Time and I'm pretty sure 99.99% percent of the votes from here come from Metro Manila, where I live

emulation isn't that big here and nostalgia also has a lot to do with it

most of the voters who i assume are around my age grew up with FF7 and then FFX not long after, the golden age of gaming, with all the piracy in making tons of fake CDs and DVDs that sold and still sell for $2 a pop

nobody grew up with LoZ and fell in love with the series

when you're middle class and you can just get a Playstation (and then a PS2 later on) and amass an impressive library of a hundred games, you're not gonna bother with an N64 or a Gamecube where you can probably just own 10 or so legit copies and that was just the trend back then

remember when you're parents called any gaming console a Nintendo? people here still call any gaming console a Playstation
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 10:25:32 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3462

Are we already forgetting that RBY beat MM, Banjo-Kazooie, and Perfect Dark combined?

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xp1337 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:25:39 AM | message detail
From: XxSoulxX | #214
or how about we lol 4-ways and move on?

That is what I'm getting at!

It only gets really troublesome to explain some of these things if you try to remain consistent with the 4-way stats. If you ignore them as LOL 4-way stats, I feel things get a lot simpler.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
LOLContests | Posted 12/22/2010 10:26:33 AM | message detail
Occam's Razor would say that G/S/C is the anomaly, not MM. Require less convoluted explanations.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 10:26:57 AM | message detail
Damn, awesome and informative post, TV. That really was "all I need."
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 10:29:15 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #218
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3462

Are we already forgetting that RBY beat MM, Banjo-Kazooie, and Perfect Dark combined?


No, but 4ways can get awful fubared sometimes.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3268

I'm not even sure if Big Boss can score 48% on Kirby in a 1v1.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 10:29:48 AM | message detail
The problem with GSC is that we assumed that 47% on Metal Gear Solid was a lot better than it actually was. If you throw out the Round 2 cluster****, the results so far line up pretty well.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 10:31:01 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #223
The problem with GSC is that we assumed that 47% on Metal Gear Solid was a lot better than it actually was. If you throw out the Round 2 cluster****, the results so far line up pretty well.


And it still means RBY gets 60%+ on this whole bracket. ~_^
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 10:31:51 AM | message detail
Big Boss is a match pic character. Remember that match pic?

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/cb7/cb7-25.jpg

And 4-ways are going to affect the results of characters a lot more than games, anyway.

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DFF
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 10:32:31 AM | message detail
RBY definitely overperformed in Round 1, but it aint losing to anything in this bracket, that's for sure!

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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:32:56 AM | message detail
RBY doesn't perform "like a pokemon game" because it wasn't "just a pokemon game". It wasn't even like FFVII/Mario 64/OoT where it was the "first 3D one" that really set the bar high for all future games of the same type.

It was a god damn global cultural phenomenon. It is like the Star Wars of videogames: everybody has seen it, regardless of how otherwise nerdy they are.

I'd posit that RBY has an unrivaled breath of people whose nostalgia it can harness. I don't know that any other game in the last 25 years so uniformly effected people in the US, even if they didn't play the game itself.
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:35:02 AM | message detail
Not saying RBY could beat FFVII or OoT, just that it really is a weired and unique case.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:36:29 AM | message detail
Nah, GSC ended up exactly where we thought it was- a couple points below FFX, exactly what 47% on MGS suggests. It just turns out MM is FFX's equal, and got SFF'd by RBY twice.

If you want to say MM is overperforming because OOT is not in the contest- wouldn't that mean FFX should also be overperforming, since FFVII is not in the contest? MM = FFX, there's no way around it, you can't get a more legit match than this.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:39:56 AM | message detail
Indeed, this match is so legit (24 hours, no SFF, no fodder) that it's one of the 4 most legit matches of the past 4 years.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 10:40:45 AM | message detail
Every stall hurts. Majora can't afford these.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 10:42:08 AM | message detail
I kind of want MM to win. Both of these games should have an equal chance of beating Brawl, but I have a feeling that Brawl anti-votes might fizzle out of the Nintendo fanbase sees it up against an FF game in the finals.

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SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 10:42:27 AM | message detail
What? It's got plenty of time.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:43:47 AM | message detail

From: SecksThaNemesis | #233
What? It's got plenty of time.


FFX will now gain 100 votes back in the next half hour.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 10:45:34 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #232
I kind of want MM to win. Both of these games should have an equal chance of beating Brawl, but I have a feeling that Brawl anti-votes might fizzle out of the Nintendo fanbase sees it up against an FF game in the finals.


Same. And maybe there will even be some FFX backlash since it just beat a big Nintendo game.
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/22/2010 10:45:34 AM | message detail
The stalls hurt because voting totals decline after 4 PM.
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The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/22/2010 10:47:10 AM | message detail
How the hell is MM to OoT as FFX is to FFVII. I don't get it. MM and OoT were very similar in terms of gameplay, graphics, music and theme, were released around the same time and on the same console. FFVII were released many years apart, on different consoles and played very differently. Thematically they are fairly similar, granted but there is no way I see it. Especially because MM is something of a gaiden. You could say FFX-2 is to FFX as MM is to OoT or maybe even FFVIII to FFVII, but not FFX and FFVII. In terms of strength I think you'll find that OoT is ever so slightly stronger than FFVII and FFX is ever so slightly stronger than MM, so not really the same there either.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:52:14 AM | message detail
They're not the same, but it's silly to say that MM is equalling FFX because OOT is not in the contest, when FFVII is also not in the contest. MM has strength; part of that comes from being OOT's sequel of course, but it's consistent, and it will show up every contest, not just those that OOT isn't in.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Jmast7 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:53:57 AM | message detail
Keep stalling, FFX. That was a pretty nice half hour. <_<
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SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 10:54:19 AM | message detail
FFX probably has this, looking at the last half hour or so.

Its day vote is JUST solid enough to hold off the comeback, it looks like.

Brawl gonna kill it, though.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/22/2010 10:54:32 AM | message detail
I'd take Pokemon RBY over any game ever made safe for OoT and FFVII.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 10:55:17 AM | message detail
Gah. All FFX has to do is drop for two updates, just enough to lose the 1000 vote barrier. Come on, MM! Get some cuts in and start rolling!
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SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 10:56:41 AM | message detail
You know what's weird? Usually after the contests I'm a bit tired of them, I'm ready for the off-season to start.

This one has been SO GOOD that I want another one right away. I want another 12 hr a match character battle, or even another games contest that's 1 on 1 and 12 hrs a match.

I'm gonna feel lost with the off-season =(
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Jmast7 | Posted 12/22/2010 10:58:26 AM | message detail

From: SecksThaNemesis | #243
You know what's weird? Usually after the contests I'm a bit tired of them, I'm ready for the off-season to start.

This one has been SO GOOD that I want another one right away. I want another 12 hr a match character battle, or even another games contest that's 1 on 1 and 12 hrs a match.

I'm gonna feel lost with the off-season =(


Yeah, me too. I really liked the Battle Challenge too - was a really fun addition, even if SotC ruined me... twice. <_<
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The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/22/2010 10:58:56 AM | message detail
I must disagree though. It's easy to see the logic behind MM being a proxy for OoT (whether you believe it is happening or not) but FFX and FVII to my mind are too dissimilar for the logic to really apply. Agree to disagree though.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:00:03 AM | message detail
MM by the hour:

1:00 | 50.12%
2:00 | 50.14%
3:00 | 48.44%
4:00 | 48.10%
5:00 | 45.59%
6:00 | 46.30%
7:00 | 46.57%
8:00 | 45.53%
9:00 | 48.94%
10:00 | 47.32%
11:00 | 49.71%
12:00 | 51.38%
13:00 | 52.17%
14:00 | 51.08%

Projections:

OOT/FFX Round 4: Majora's Mask with 50.77%
OOT/FFX Round 5: Majora's Mask with 50.35%
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/22/2010 11:00:43 AM | message detail

From: SecksThaNemesis | #243
You know what's weird? Usually after the contests I'm a bit tired of them, I'm ready for the off-season to start.

This one has been SO GOOD that I want another one right away. I want another 12 hr a match character battle, or even another games contest that's 1 on 1 and 12 hrs a match.

I'm gonna feel lost with the off-season =(


This contest corresponded so well with my school schedule too. It was always a fun diversion to watch in between classes. I'm gonna miss it ;_;
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/22/2010 11:00:52 AM | message detail
We've seen in this contest that Pokemon (games, at least) can SFF and get SFFd. RBY SFFd Majora in the first round, and round 2 was an overlap disaster, so it's true strength was hidden. It's probably just that simple.

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DFF
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/22/2010 11:01:39 AM | message detail
red sox projecting dat zelda faith.

This diluted day vote crap is kind of annoying though, I have to say
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/22/2010 11:02:16 AM | message detail
The matches involving Ocarina of Time and FFX in BGE 2009.... were they school days?

I really hope there is some ASV for Majora to take advantage of... otherwise FFX will probably end up with like 50.5%.

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