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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 987

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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/22/2010 7:42:08 AM | message detail
I think it will be a little closer red sox, as FFX's day vote compared to MM should be a bit stronger than FFVII's compared to OOT. But it will be close.
Oh, and as I woke up I think I had a great idea for the next contest, what do you guys think? We can have another tournament of champions as we have 7 past champions (Clinkeroth, Mario, Snake, Samus, and L-Block). Then we can actually have a bracket with more than two leigitmate options to win. Sonic, Mega Man, Crono, Squall, Auron, and Vincent (and heck, maybe Missingno.) would all have a chance to win that thing. The only downside is that it's probably Link, Mario, Cloud, and the like that draw in the most interest. And that L-Block will get slaughtered in te ToC without a bandwagon. But I think it would be fun, especially since Mario, Snake, Samus, Cloud, and Sephiroth are a lot closer in strength to each other than they used to be.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/22/2010 7:42:20 AM | message detail
MM needs 8.83 votes an update to win.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/352 Today's Winner: Final Fantasy X
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 7:47:44 AM | message detail
Also, for the second night vote, FFX didn't start gaining against OOT until the final half-hour of the match.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/22/2010 7:52:14 AM | message detail
Unless MM kicks it into high gear, FFX just stalling the last part would secure its win.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/352 Today's Winner: Final Fantasy X
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 7:56:45 AM | message detail
Stop stalling FFX and accept the fate that is the day vote.

FFX is actually below 54% in Europe now- it looks like what's really held it up so far has been Asia where it has nearly 78%. Go to sleep Asia!
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/22/2010 7:57:16 AM | message detail
Wow what an update by FFX. It might hit 1500 at this rate. I think it's almost a lock at this stage. Well done FFX, and I am in the guru finals!
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/22/2010 7:57:51 AM | message detail
I've noticed that the North American percentage hasn't changed at all within the last few updates.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
Jmast7 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:00:23 AM | message detail
So the last hour FFX gained 25 votes. Isn't Majora supposed to be cutting right now?
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In Sandy we trust. Let's Go Mets! ^_^
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:00:40 AM | message detail
1:00 | 50.12%
2:00 | 50.14%
3:00 | 48.44%
4:00 | 48.10%
5:00 | 45.59%
6:00 | 46.30%
7:00 | 46.57%
8:00 | 45.53%
9:00 | 48.94%
10:00 | 47.32%
11:00 | 49.71%

MM's best hour since the early vote, but it still loses the hour thanks to the last 2 updates. And uh, MM, don't let FFX hit its target of 1500 now......that's the target!
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/22/2010 8:01:57 AM | message detail
So, which percentage of the votes have typically already come in at this time? Is it over 50% already?
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:03:01 AM | message detail
Yesterday we had 49% of the total votes already in by this point.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 8:04:50 AM | message detail

From: Ultimaphazon | #110
So, which percentage of the votes have typically already come in at this time? Is it over 50% already?


Smidgen less than half. According to yesterday's match, we had 41.7k/85.4k, or just under 49%.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 12/22/2010 8:05:02 AM | message detail
FFX is like 'I'm gonna let you think you're gonna win an hour and then just rip it away mercilessly."
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xyzzy
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/22/2010 8:05:07 AM | message detail
red sox, the target of 1500 was by 8 am. It should be much lower right now if Majora was trying to meet your trends.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:05:47 AM | message detail
This match is only a few hundred away from FFX/RE4 in terms of vote totals with an hour to go.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/352 Today's Winner: Final Fantasy X
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:08:42 AM | message detail
red sox, the target of 1500 was by 8 am. It should be much lower right now if Majora was trying to meet your trends.

8 AM was was supposed to be the percentage peak, not the vote lead peak. I am very disappointed Majora wasted the whole morning, but as far as the whole targets thing goes, it's still doing okay. Really needs to win this hour though.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
695924 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:10:12 AM | message detail
So guys. LOL FF is so screwed. Right?
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lol opinions
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:16:35 AM | message detail
I believe FF X has this in the bag with 99,99% change to do it.Congrats.Now for the final match...does anyone else believes that in the future contests SBAllen should put Cloud/FF VII in the top half bracket?I mean no matter how much you like FF games if you see it 2 days in a row you will antivote it.Also for the final match...I believe FF X does has a 10% change to do it.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:18:25 AM | message detail
That'd be a nice change, yes. I'm half-convinced Cloud would have gotten #2 in 2008 if he had had the top semifinal match instead of the bottom.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 8:20:44 AM | message detail
Yeah, calling FFX the huge favorite now. We're past 8 am pacific; it's the day vote, and Majora still can't manage to take a voting bloc convincingly. The Asians have probably stopped voting as well, so it needs to be doing a heck of a lot better than it is.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 12/22/2010 8:24:53 AM | message detail
We're still in the weird situation of the day vote being diluted, but not completely gone.
knoxvader | Posted 12/22/2010 8:25:17 AM | message detail
Frick, FFX is gonna win.
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Behold, I am with you always, even to the end of the age. - Jesus Christ
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/22/2010 8:26:44 AM | message detail
I'm still not quite ready to call the result for this match.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:28:54 AM | message detail
Projections:

Round 4 OOT/FFX: Majora's Mask with 50.86%
Round 5 OOT/FFX: Majora's Mask with 50.51%

Projections have moved towards FFX in the last hour and a half, but continue to favor MM. Guessing they'll continue to move towards FFX as the day progresses though.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/22/2010 8:30:51 AM | message detail
The Asians have probably stopped voting as well

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdHpEYmJDdktneHBQQXNoVXdLcUY3cEE&gid=2

While that was on a weekend, the trends should be similar to a continent poll that might be run on a day with a highly diluted ASV. Asia peaked during the 5:00-6:00 AM hour and slowly drops off over the next several hours. Asia drops off at a much slower rate than Oceania thanks to Asia covering way more timezones than Oceania. After 1:00 PM, Asia is close to being at rock bottom.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 8:35:39 AM | message detail
Time to work on the fairest Brawl/FFX picture ever.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:39:56 AM | message detail
Brawl still had a little bit of an ASV yesterday (did 1% better with the "ASV" than the "DSV" IIRC) so that would help Majora compared to the Sunday trends of the round 5 match. The round 5 match is definitely a better analog than the round 4 match, which was a weekday, by the way.

New targets:

3 PM: 1100
6 PM: 600
11 PM: 0
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Djungelurban | Posted 12/22/2010 8:41:14 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #125
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdHpEYmJDdktneHBQQXNoVXdLcUY3cEE&gid=2


How did you manage to find this out? I mean, the votals for each region isn't displayed until after the match... So how were you able to figure out when which region voted?
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Nominate B.B. Hood for CB IX http://miniurl.org/ntI
Kyle Bowen | Posted 12/22/2010 8:41:29 AM | message detail
GO GO Manjora's Mask!


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KB
transience | Posted 12/22/2010 8:42:45 AM | message detail
Brawl has a ludicrous ASV normally though. that it could only manage 1% on Fallout 3 is pretty bad.
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xyzzy
The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/22/2010 8:43:33 AM | message detail
I'd love to see a picture of Tidus squaring up against all of the brawl characters, sword out. That would look epic.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/22/2010 8:44:15 AM | message detail
How did you manage to find this out? I mean, the votals for each region isn't displayed until after the match... So how were you able to figure out when which region voted?

I tracked all 24 hours of poll updates for a continent poll that was ran earlier this year. If you want to check out the poll updates, go to that link I posted earlier and look for the tab that says "Updates" to check the poll updates. I used the poll updates to make trend charts for that poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
transience | Posted 12/22/2010 8:44:31 AM | message detail
ha, I don't think you realize what you've just said
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 8:44:46 AM | message detail
How did you manage to find this out? I mean, the votals for each region isn't displayed until after the match... So how were you able to figure out when which region voted?

The poll question that day was "what continent are you on?"
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
cirRca | Posted 12/22/2010 8:44:52 AM | message detail
Oh God, it's begun.
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The Cinema
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Djungelurban | Posted 12/22/2010 8:49:22 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #134
The poll question that day was "what continent are you on?"


Ah! Clever...
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Nominate B.B. Hood for CB IX http://miniurl.org/ntI
Evillordexdeath | Posted 12/22/2010 8:55:13 AM | message detail
Looks like we're starting to see some cuts by Majora.

Incidentally, it's North American percentage has been increasing slightly over the last few updates.
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Hi,hi,hi, you come buying? You can sell, too. I, Mr. Saturn, can do all for you.
legendmusketeer | Posted 12/22/2010 8:59:03 AM | message detail
Yeah, pretty big cut last update.
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LM
Jmast7 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:01:43 AM | message detail
Good hour for Majora. Guess this might not be over yet. <_<
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"Coffee is the lifeblood that drives the dreams of champions"
Kyle Bowen | Posted 12/22/2010 9:02:10 AM | message detail
Hell yes!!!!

GO GO baby!

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KB
Bigwig_rah | Posted 12/22/2010 9:03:13 AM | message detail
Forgot that this match is 24 hours long, hopefully Zelda makes it interesting again.
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See You Space Cowboy...
legendmusketeer | Posted 12/22/2010 9:04:21 AM | message detail
Well, the Zelda happy hours are upon us...
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LM
charmander6000 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:05:31 AM | message detail
Based on the last 30 minutes Majora's Mask will take the lead at - 18:37
Based on the last 60 minutes Majora's Mask will take the lead at - 22:23
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 268/352 Today's Winner: Final Fantasy X
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:09:13 AM | message detail
1:00 | 50.12%
2:00 | 50.14%
3:00 | 48.44%
4:00 | 48.10%
5:00 | 45.59%
6:00 | 46.30%
7:00 | 46.57%
8:00 | 45.53%
9:00 | 48.94%
10:00 | 47.32%
11:00 | 49.71%
12:00 | 51.38%

Day vote has arrived.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:18:44 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4194&map=1

I love how it's North America against the world. We rarely see a map this lopsided.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
CyberMachine08 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:20:07 AM | message detail
51 cut!

gogo MM!
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I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585*
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/22/2010 9:20:44 AM | message detail
Argh, I go to sleep and FFX gains a freakin' THOUSAND on MM! What a disaster. On the plus side, MM just scored a terrific 50 vote cut. Let's get a couple more of those in-here!
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/22/2010 9:21:19 AM | message detail
America finally decided to wake up. Once more of us realize Link needs help, we will open our wallets and it will be over.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:21:34 AM | message detail

From: KanzarisKelshen | #147
Argh, I go to sleep and FFX gains a freakin' THOUSAND on MM! What a disaster. On the plus side, MM just scored a terrific 50 vote cut. Let's get a couple more of those in-here!


Thanks alot Kanzjinx.
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##Alec
Philly is the greatest city in the world. Go Flyers! Also WC is better than me.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/22/2010 9:23:07 AM | message detail
Evidently people are getting up later and later, and the day vote now starts at 11 AM instead of 8 AM. With the decline of the ASV as the site trends older, in a few years we might reach day vote parity between weekday and weekend matches!
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.