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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 986

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red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:00:22 PM | message detail
Looking at OOT/FFX from last year, OOT had 63.07% at 8 AM, roughly where it bottomed out against FFX, and ended with 65.41%. So, FFX having 52.34% at 8 AM would be the breakeven point. We got about 1/3 of total votes in by that point (it was a sunday match, and we're probably closer to weekend than weekday trends today), so assuming 100k votes (probably too high), FFX needs a lead of around 1500 at 8 AM.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:00:26 PM | message detail
Don't get bothered by a single 5-minute update. Worry if it wins 3 of them in a row.

If the trends are exactly like Ganondorf vs. Auron back in 2005, Majora's Mask has a shot. =p Not going by past analogous game trends, though...

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
xp1337 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:00:31 PM | message detail
From: Blairville | #149
MM had better win the contest, it's the one Zelda that deserves it, although I say this having only played OoT and after.

While MM is easily my favorite Zelda, and I do like it more than FFX, FFX is great too - my favorite FF not named Tactics, I'd never complain about it winning.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/21/2010 10:00:49 PM | message detail
MM finishes the Power Hour with the lead, after all!
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http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png
paerarru | Posted 12/21/2010 10:03:30 PM | message detail
Ah, shucks! Oh well. It's gonna be a long night. And an even longer day.

FFX needs a lead of around 1500 at 8 AM.

...

No way X is getting 1500 on MM by 8. I'd say 500, that's gotta be enough.
UltraBaller2000 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:04:24 PM | message detail
You, winning the Game of the Decade? You can barely lead the Power Hour!


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Ballin'
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 10:04:57 PM | message detail
>XFD I left for 20 minutes and all hell breaks loose!
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/21/2010 10:05:30 PM | message detail
FFX had a lead of about 4500 on RE4 by 8 A.M. Yeah, it won't approach that number on MM, but 1500 is doable with a strong night vote.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:05:56 PM | message detail
Projections at the 1-hour mark:

OOT/FFX Round 4: FFX wins with 50.73%
OOT/FFX Round 5: FFX wins with 51.22%
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/21/2010 10:06:07 PM | message detail
Oh, so ExTha leaving was the problem?

FFX should cruise now!
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
xp1337 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:06:36 PM | message detail
Yeah, 1500 seems more than doable. If it really was only ahead by 500, I might be worried about FFX's chances a little bit.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
3rdTimesDeCharm | Posted 12/21/2010 10:06:52 PM | message detail
Blair go play lttp stat
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A wise man once said"when in doubt, do a barrel roll"
That man was Peppy Hare...
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:07:47 PM | message detail
No way X is getting 1500 on MM by 8. I'd say 500, that's gotta be enough.

If FFX only has 500 at 8 AM, it's going to get buried under thousands of votes tomorrow morning and afternoon. But at this point I'd say FFX will probably exceed 1500. Good chance at 2000, actually.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
paerarru | Posted 12/21/2010 10:08:35 PM | message detail
Eh, I don't know. Either way I'll go crazy if I keep watching this right now. I'll be back later.

Come on Tidus... for great justice! Take off every FF drone!
Blairville | Posted 12/21/2010 10:08:57 PM | message detail
I've tried playing LttP but I got bored on the second or third dungeon, need to get back to that.

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I use bear arms in ALL of my decorating.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/21/2010 10:10:50 PM | message detail
ExThaNemesis, FFX's good luck charm
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Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX!
http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:11:59 PM | message detail
The good news is that FFX is only at 53% in the UK.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/21/2010 10:12:40 PM | message detail
Barely over 9000 votes at the end of the first hour. This one will probably finish around 95000 votes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
UltraBaller2000 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:12:44 PM | message detail
Pray... NOW!


I'd quote Majora's Mask but it lacks any good quotes. Or plot or character interaction for that matter. You're going down Zelda!
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 10:13:18 PM | message detail
Well guess what.

I'm leaving for Wal-Mart now, and I'll be gone like an hour.

FFX is so screwed.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:14:46 PM | message detail
Electoral Votes:

Majora's Mask 305
Final Fantasy X 233
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/21/2010 10:15:35 PM | message detail
ZELDA
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/21/2010 10:15:51 PM | message detail
LOL
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Your stories do amuse me, although your eyes are vacant.
I did not wish this on you. Your madness is quite blatant.
xp1337 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:16:05 PM | message detail
FFX is so screwed.

oh man. it's true.

Now the only question is can MM build a big enough lead in the time it has!?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/21/2010 10:16:28 PM | message detail
I'm leaving for Wal-Mart now, and I'll be gone like an hour.

Take your time. There's no hurry. >_>
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That is the key.
You have found the answer._
paulg235 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:16:39 PM | message detail
Oh man, if MM can actually keep doing this, this might be a close win for it.
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The Gamer In Me
"Oh boy, I always wanted to be a pedo." - Janus5000's response to sleeping with Misty for the night
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:16:41 PM | message detail
Haha, 44 vote gain. Link wants to reenact the first 3 hours of Cloud/Samus.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
MasterOfOrionII | Posted 12/21/2010 10:19:51 PM | message detail
The problem for FFX is that MM has a way better day vote than Samus. MM is still very much in this match.

I don't think this will be over for a while. FFX won't be safe unless it leads big.
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Save_Us.Teedus
Haste_2 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:23:35 PM | message detail
You can vote stuff all you want and I'll be okay (even though it's wrong), but please....do not rally votes for Zelda: Majora's Mask.... ANYTHING but that....!!!!

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
raytan7585 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:24:49 PM | message detail
Wow, go MM!

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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
Draco1214 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:25:55 PM | message detail
*sigh* FFX had the perfect chance to capitalize after that awful Brawl performance and here it is bombing against Majora.

FFX currently has over 58% in Europe, so hopefully it stays up there and the night vote bails out FFX. But damn, this is awful. Now I'm sure Brawl wins the contest.
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Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest!
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/21/2010 10:26:58 PM | message detail
I'd quote Majora's Mask but it lacks any good quotes. Or plot or character interaction for that matter. You're going down Zelda!

wat.

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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."
Xuxon | Posted 12/21/2010 10:27:27 PM | message detail
at this rate FFX will get the lead again in only 3 more hours!
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:28:55 PM | message detail
As long as Extha isn't here, it looks like FFX isn't going to be able to build its lead.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
gearofages | Posted 12/21/2010 10:28:59 PM | message detail
It is like a NSG against greater sphere- one point at a time.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/21/2010 10:31:33 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #184
As long as Extha isn't here, it looks like FFX isn't going to be able to build its lead.


Only 35 more updates until the lead change!
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I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/21/2010 10:31:39 PM | message detail
Holy moly
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xp1337 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:31:45 PM | message detail
Now that MM has escaped the FFX Power Half-Hour, it's back to building its lead!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (219/352) FFX v Pokemon GSC
raytan7585 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:31:55 PM | message detail
lol FFX?

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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:32:24 PM | message detail
Projections as of 1:30:

Round 4 OOT/FFX: FFX with 50.24%
Round 5 OOT/FFX: FFX with 50.73%

MM is doing better now, but FFX is still the favorite.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/21/2010 10:32:50 PM | message detail
You know what would be great?

If MM wins this match and then Brawl SFFs it below Fallout 3.
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Wylvane
Not_Wylvane is a wonderful user.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:33:56 PM | message detail
It'd be even better if MM SFF'd Brawl below RE4, and then OOT beat down MM Link/Ganon style.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/21/2010 10:34:49 PM | message detail
You know what would be great?

If MM wins this match and then Brawl SFFs it below Fallout 3.


Better idea. MM beats SSBB and SFFs it below GSC.
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That is the key.
You have found the answer._
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/21/2010 10:36:35 PM | message detail
Brawl couldn't even SFF TP
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The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/21/2010 10:36:37 PM | message detail
Best idea: FFX beats Brawl with 100.01%
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
red sox 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 10:38:01 PM | message detail
You know, if FFX doesn't get moving quickly, MM may end up doing better the 2nd hour than the first.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/21/2010 10:41:07 PM | message detail
It's moving faster, but not in the right way.
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That is the key.
You have found the answer._
WhiteLens | Posted 12/21/2010 10:41:45 PM | message detail
Ok, if Majora's Mask actually manages to pull all the way through, then we have to nominate a character that represents it (that isn't Link) in honor of it.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v252/whitelens/kotobadend.png
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v252/whitelens/oregon_lost.jpg
KrahenProphet | Posted 12/21/2010 10:42:09 PM | message detail
Majora's Mask winning? I have a newfound respect for gamefaqs.
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Dr_Football punted me out of the Guru throne.
4th place in Summer Contest 2k4
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/21/2010 10:42:13 PM | message detail
It's pretty cool how MGS2 is going to end up projecting about the same percentage on FFX as last contest. Along with MGS3 getting the same performance on MM as it did on TP.

Looks like it was just a massive MGS4 drop.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!