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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 985

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/21/2010 12:22:44 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 could easily break 45% in the next four hours, which means that it could end up with a higher percentage today than RE4 did against FFX. Unless something crazy happens tomorrow, Brawl will maintain its favorite status, but it's not looking great here in its first significant non-SFF match. Conversely, FFX and MM both looked very good against strong (and very different) opponents.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/21/2010 12:23:47 AM | message detail
Alright Leon, I'm on the train.

Let's do this.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/21/2010 12:29:04 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 has won its first 15 minute period. Just imagine what FFX would be doing. >_>

I'll admittedly be even happier with Majora's Mask, but either of those two winning would be awesome - both games have homes in my top 20.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/21/2010 12:33:43 AM | message detail
Yeah, I think I'm going to just ignore Thursday's match until noon, then pretend it's a 12 hour match and Allen instituted a handicap and blame him when FFX wins.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/21/2010 12:37:01 AM | message detail
*realizes we have 20 more hours of this*

yeeeep, I've been too spoiled. If Bacon ever reverts to 24-hour matches, it might do more to drive me away from GameFAQs than anything else.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/21/2010 12:49:07 AM | message detail
There needs to be 24 hour matches for the last 4 rounds (divisional finals and on). We were robbed by not having 24 hours for the Smash match.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/21/2010 1:03:26 AM | message detail
There needs to be 24 hour matches for the last 4 rounds (divisional finals and on). We were robbed by not having 24 hours for the Smash match.

Doing that would extend the contest by 6 days and lead to a 71 day contest. Doing it for the last 3 rounds (starting with the quarterfinals) only extends the contest by 2 days. For the record, the longest contest was 68 days long and that was the 2006 Character Battle that had the 5 day Battle Royale.
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/21/2010 1:04:57 AM | message detail
Brawl would have just won by more if the Smash match was 24 hours.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/21/2010 1:09:03 AM | message detail
24 hour matches for R4 probably changes the result of MGS3/SotC. You sure you want that?
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/21/2010 1:10:02 AM | message detail
Yes.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
greatone10 | Posted 12/21/2010 1:12:03 AM | message detail
I get the feeling that the placement of the contest may have resulted in less 24 hour matches. The contest wraps up right before X-Mas as it is.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/21/2010 1:13:21 AM | message detail
I don't think Melee could have won a day match either. Both day and night matches have different downsides for Melee. A night match gives Europe, Asia, and Oceania more dominance over the match and those continents preferred Brawl to Melee.

A day match has less involvement by Europe, Asia, and Oceania, but Melee would be killed by the ASV, so it only has about 3 hours to build up a lead before the ASV hits. It's more likely that Brawl might have won North America if it was a day match.
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TriggerTRE | Posted 12/21/2010 1:17:09 AM | message detail
Majora's Mask > Melee/Brawl

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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 1:29:00 AM | message detail

From: AlecTrevelyan006 | #040
It really is too bad the Yankees won in '09, because that's pretty much the only thing in the way of "lol everything Extha roots for".

Militant Islam has had a pretty good bandwagon in the past decade, why hasn't Extha jumped on that and saved the world a lot of trouble?


This would be good except you forget Duke won, and the Penguins won in 09 too. >.>
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paerarru | Posted 12/21/2010 1:40:58 AM | message detail
The -real- star of this contest, FO3.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 1:41:44 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 got a cupcake path to the final four and is "mildly" impressing here. I'd say this is more Brawl stinking it up.

Fallout 3 is the star of nothing.
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paerarru | Posted 12/21/2010 1:47:18 AM | message detail
It did get an easy path, and that should be MGS3 instead of it, but it did more than mildly impressive. It beat the heck out of MP, for example.
Janus5000 | Posted 12/21/2010 1:56:18 AM | message detail
FO3's been somewhat impressive the whole contest, sure (by the time its match against MP came along my expectations were actually a bit higher).

Wouldn't call it the star over MM or SotC though. Even if MM loses tomorrow.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/21/2010 1:57:05 AM | message detail
55% update for Fallout 3 hello there
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Iamthekuzalol | Posted 12/21/2010 1:58:14 AM | message detail
Yeah, Star of the contest when it couldn't even break 60% on GTA3 / TOS through extrapolation, the same GTA games that were extremely impressive in this format. Brawl is just suffering from some backlash. Nothing impressive about FO3.
Janus5000 | Posted 12/21/2010 2:03:28 AM | message detail
Brawl won that hour by 5 votes.

Man, the finals at this time are going to be so good.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 2:06:01 AM | message detail
I really, really hope you guys are right about all that.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/21/2010 2:13:56 AM | message detail
Eh, even if FFX is losing at this time, it'll make Brawl look hilarious. Some 60% updates wouldn't surprise me.

...I feel like I'm jinxing FFX somewhat by saying that. >.>
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paerarru | Posted 12/21/2010 2:23:43 AM | message detail
Wouldn't call it the star over MM or SotC though.

Hmm, SotC was pretty cool as well. I call FO3 the real star because it's arguably the non-Nintendo, non-Square game that performed best. But I guess that's only true if Brawl does end up winning the whole thing. If it doesn't then yeah, there's not much impressive about it.
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/21/2010 2:25:51 AM | message detail
Brawl might pull out a win, but it is going to get humiliated at night.

I think it'll dig too big of a hole by morning. Oops.

To think, FFX looked so underwhelming early on...
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paerarru | Posted 12/21/2010 2:29:49 AM | message detail
Brawl is just suffering from some backlash.

Eh, I don't know how much that means. If by suffering from some backlash you mean it doesn't have as many on the bandwagon on this match, then yeah. There might be some backlash against Brawl, from Melee people, but I think for the most part Brawl will get either its natural support, or perhaps some people jumping on it to beat whatever it goes up against. That's partly what made it beat Melee. That's what's gotten it to where it is, probably.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 2:31:52 AM | message detail

From: AlecTrevelyan006 | #075
Brawl might pull out a win, but it is going to get humiliated at night.

I think it'll dig too big of a hole by morning. Oops.

To think, FFX looked so underwhelming early on...


Yeah man it's just.

Brawl has only had one match where it didn't look good.

FFX has only had one match where it didn't look bad.
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Draco1214 | Posted 12/21/2010 2:44:56 AM | message detail
Wow, already down to below 55%. That's a, what...6% drop from the freeze? Unbelievable. Feels great knowing Fallout 3 will be exiting the contest with its head held high.

FFX's night vote will be delicious, but it will need all the help it can get to withstand that Brawl ASV.
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transience | Posted 12/21/2010 2:53:44 AM | message detail
creative is warned? huh.

not too surprising an overperformance given it's a night match and that Fallout's a cinderella game right now.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/21/2010 3:11:04 AM | message detail

From: transience | #079
it's a night match


24 hour night match, eh?

Anyway Brawl will obviously go up once the morning vote kicks in, but this is still thoroughly embarrassing.
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/21/2010 3:13:47 AM | message detail
Ah. Now I look like a genius for telling people they Fallout 3 wasn't weak enough for a 60-40 split.
Didn't expect it to win the European vote though. FFX is eerily starting to have a decent shot if it can beat MM by enough.
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 3:14:38 AM | message detail
Eh if you extrapolate through the 2008 GotY, Fallout ending at around 55% is about what you'd expect, so I dunno if this is "backlash" or anything since while it's gonna keep going up for a while it's gonna go down with the "ASV" (which possibly should be weakened today given it's so close to Christmas)
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/21/2010 3:15:42 AM | message detail
Fallout ending at 55% would be quite the turnaround.
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 3:17:25 AM | message detail
Grghrfhg-- *ahem*-- well yeah

And with my special brand of extrapolation it'll happen
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/21/2010 3:18:47 AM | message detail
Not that I'd complain. F*** Brawl.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/21/2010 3:20:40 AM | message detail
ya'll gonna look foolish when Brawl still finishes above 57%
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 3:20:51 AM | message detail
But yeah seriously though

Brawl got 52% on MGS4
In the three way it was Fallout 3 31%, MGS4 33%, Brawl 35%

Didn't do the actual extrapolation there but 45% seems about right just by eyeballing it, and I'm guessing that's somewhat close to where it'll finish today.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/21/2010 3:23:55 AM | message detail
Game of the Year polls, seriously?
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 3:25:03 AM | message detail
Why not? I mean MGS4 vs Brawl was a straight up 1v1 with comparable vote totals to a contest match to boot. I don't see the problem there!
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 3:26:01 AM | message detail
Like I mean I wouldn't use them to extrapolate through the 8 way prelims or anything, but a three way followed by a 2 way isn't really that far removed from a character battle style match
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pjbasis | Posted 12/21/2010 3:29:11 AM | message detail
Thought this was supposed to be an embarrassing stomp?

I really don't want FFX to win.
transience | Posted 12/21/2010 3:29:13 AM | message detail
oh, right, 24 hours. Brawl will make a decent comeback here I guess.

not a great performance but nothing too alarming to me. then again, this suggests Fallout 3 > RE4 or FFX > Brawl.
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xyzzy
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/21/2010 3:39:33 AM | message detail
I think people are really underestimating Fallout 3.

You know how MGS4 dropped the hell off from 2008 and looked bad because of it? Fallout 3 isn't doing that. It has reason to get stronger if anything. FFX still needs to beat MM by worse than this to be a favourite if you ask me.
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 3:45:17 AM | message detail
Well I know I'd take Fallout 3 over Majora's Mask heads up

That being said I think Majora's Mask is being overestimated. I'd be surprised if it outdid RE4's percentage.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 3:55:41 AM | message detail
Do people really were expecting Fallout 3 to score less than 40% against a party game???
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 4:11:48 AM | message detail
Also here in Europe we know how to choose good games.
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__Smurf__ | Posted 12/21/2010 4:20:04 AM | message detail
FFX still needs to beat MM by worse than this to be a favourite if you ask me.

Well I know I'd take Fallout 3 over Majora's Mask

what the balls is this.

MGS3 would take out fallout, let alone MM. The only argument to be made is Brawl has built up a large anti-voting base and is letting everything overperform on it. If this is directly transferable strength it'll be floored in the final, even if it does rise considerably during the day.

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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/21/2010 4:33:27 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 broke 46%!Man if it could go even higher...But when the kiddies wake up there in USA it shall fall again...
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/21/2010 4:34:23 AM | message detail
MGS3 wouldn't do much on Fallout 3, even if MM is very likely to be stronger than Fallout 3. Stop underestimating Fallout 3.
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Lopen | Posted 12/21/2010 4:34:50 AM | message detail
Brawl "joke game" Fallout 3 gonna rise the whole match believe
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