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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 984

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:08:41 AM | message detail
Yeah, just like the board vote with FFX/RE4

oh wait


It was, FFX was almost losing.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC
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transience | Posted 12/20/2010 9:08:42 AM | message detail
RE4's board vote did kill FFX. it rose 4% from the poll freeze and RE4 was ahead for a full minute. that's a pretty brutal board vote.

if MM is stronger than RE4 by a good bit, it'll be up for more than 5 minutes.
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xyzzy
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 9:09:54 AM | message detail
Perhaps Snake got lucky by drawing Seph and Cloud in a year when anti-voting was running rampant. Who knows, maybe Mario and Samus would have disposed of him as easily as Samus did in 2006.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 12/20/2010 9:10:09 AM | message detail
that leaderboard is awesome. 27 for Brawl, 23 for FFX. Allen for FFX too.

got a good final for once! supposedly, anyway.
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xyzzy
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/20/2010 9:10:18 AM | message detail

From: abdou | #100
just what the hell happened to MGS games this contest? such a huge and sudden drop

and that after Snake made a strong attempt at becoming the second strongest character on the site..


Brawl, baby.

Game of the Decade, solely responsible for Snake being a juggernaut.
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Wylvane
Not_Wylvane is a wonderful user.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:10:44 AM | message detail
Not as big of a drop as I thought.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/20/2010 9:12:26 AM | message detail
This looks like a fine performance to me. MGS3=GSC=Wind Waker looks pretty decent for MGS as far as I can tell. Unless we're back on the "Pokemon can get SFFed" wagon.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:14:00 AM | message detail
This looks like a fine performance to me. MGS3=GSC=Wind Waker looks pretty decent for MGS as far as I can tell. Unless we're back on the "Pokemon can get SFFed" wagon.

If I had to predict the bracket again I would take WW > GSC > MGS3
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 9:18:14 AM | message detail
Zelda holding steady at its freeze percentage. I'd take RE4 over MGS3 for sure, but if Majora holds at 57%, it shouldn't be that far behind FFX. If we get the same anti-Square sentiment that has prevailed near the end of the last few contests ("Final Fantasy has won EVERY contest!"), we could get a competitive semifinal.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 12/20/2010 9:18:48 AM | message detail
MGS2 is projected to get like 46-47% on GSC here. thanks, SOTC.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/20/2010 9:19:44 AM | message detail
I get the feeling that SotC would be doing a lot better here.

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DFF.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/20/2010 9:20:08 AM | message detail
I'd take RE4 over MGS3 for sure, but if Majora holds at 57%, it shouldn't be that far behind FFX.

RE4 and MGS3 were almost equal in this match:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3500

So after FFX got almost 57% on RE4, if Majora's Mask finishes near 57% or better, that would put it within striking distance of beating FFX.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
TRE Public Account | Posted 12/20/2010 9:20:38 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
264----1------------100.00
263----1------------100.00
262----0------------0.00
261----2------------100.00
260----0------------0.00
259----0------------0.00
258----2------------100.00
257----2------------100.00
256----2------------100.00
255----0------------0.00
254----2------------100.00
253----1------------100.00
252----1------------100.00
251----2------------100.00
250----2------------100.00
249----3------------66.67
248----6------------100.00
247----4------------100.00
246----7------------100.00
245----4------------100.00
244----3------------100.00
243----5------------100.00
242----16----------100.00
241----12----------100.00
240----9------------100.00
239----15----------100.00
238----13----------100.00
237----76----------100.00
236----17----------94.12
235----26----------100.00
234----22----------90.91
233----17----------94.12
232----28----------96.43
231----20----------95.00
230----15----------93.33
229----29----------93.10
228----18----------94.44
227----21----------85.71
226----17----------82.35
225----28----------92.86
224----24----------83.33
223----30----------93.33
222----32----------81.25
221----35----------91.43
220----48----------83.33
219----28----------96.43
218----24----------83.33
217----32----------90.63
216----37----------91.89
215----38----------89.47
214----39----------84.62
213----42----------80.95
212----49----------83.67
211----52----------73.08
210----46----------69.57
209----42----------80.95
208----45----------80.00
207----70----------74.29
206----95----------82.11
205----69----------66.67
204----58----------81.03
203----75----------74.67
202----79----------69.62
201----64----------73.44
200----56----------76.79
199----74----------66.22
198----77----------71.43
197----69----------72.46
196----86----------79.07
195----90----------67.78
194----86----------73.26
193----87----------74.71
192----76----------73.68
191----82----------68.29
190----93----------60.22
189----110--------64.55
188----102--------64.71
187----108--------67.59
186----105--------60.00
185----116--------64.66
184----102--------66.67
183----116--------61.21
182----124--------65.32
181----133--------61.65
180----138--------58.70
179----147--------55.78
178----140--------60.00
177----155--------54.84
176----144--------57.64
175----137--------57.66
174----165--------60.00
173----164--------46.95
172----157--------52.23
171----153--------54.25
170----143--------53.15
169----188--------51.60
168----178--------52.25
167----178--------50.00
166----169--------46.15
165----173--------50.87
164----179--------50.28
163----177--------48.02
162----204--------43.14
161----174--------49.43
160----186--------46.77
159----229--------48.03
158----175--------40.00
157----185--------44.86
156----221--------44.34
155----219--------43.38
154----221--------43.89
153----210--------43.81
152----230--------38.70
151----243--------43.21
150----216--------44.44
TRE Public Account | Posted 12/20/2010 9:20:40 AM | message detail
149----245--------39.18
148----259--------33.20
147----250--------36.00
146----265--------33.96
145----232--------32.33
144----279--------34.77
143----276--------33.33
142----279--------27.96
141----245--------27.76
140----289--------35.64
139----254--------31.89
138----273--------26.74
137----284--------32.04
136----272--------26.84
135----286--------29.02
134----283--------30.39
133----260--------22.69
132----292--------20.55
131----283--------25.80
130----267--------23.60
129----322--------26.40
128----300--------23.67
127----310--------22.26
126----318--------22.96
125----335--------19.70
124----335--------18.81
123----304--------18.09
122----302--------21.19
121----303--------21.12
120----351--------19.09
119----355--------21.69
118----339--------20.94
117----353--------21.53
116----356--------16.01
115----368--------20.38
114----337--------16.32
113----303--------13.20
112----348--------19.54
111----352--------17.61
110----297--------11.11
109----327--------18.96
108----312--------14.10
107----298--------11.74
106----282--------15.25
105----335--------14.63
104----323--------15.48
103----332--------11.45
102----301--------10.63
101----297--------12.79
100----290--------13.10
99------299--------12.37
98------325--------12.00
97------279--------11.11
96------281--------13.52
95------257--------10.89
94------281--------11.03
93------267--------7.87
92------263--------7.98
91------276--------8.33
90------261--------6.90
89------244--------7.79
88------216--------7.87
87------206--------4.85
86------240--------8.33
85------172--------8.72
84------188--------6.38
83------182--------2.75
82------200--------5.00
81------207--------4.83
80------201--------4.48
79------150--------7.33
78------142--------5.63
77------145--------4.14
76------129--------0.78
75------130--------2.31
74------130--------4.62
73------110--------1.82
72------112--------1.79
71------95----------3.16
70------102--------3.92

68------82----------1.22
67------64----------3.13
66------84----------2.38
65------63----------3.17
64------47----------6.38

61------32----------3.13

59------38----------2.63

52------14----------7.14

25------3------------33.33

19------4------------25.00

15------6------------16.67


Max Score: 288
Omitted scores got it wrong.

FFX sure has some pretty amazing bracket support. Nearly 30% had it going to the semifinals. The top tiers found this match obvious. 232 out of the top 234 brackets got the match right. Prediction percentage actually stays above 80 for quite a while before starting to fade.

Only one person fell off the Top 50. bennzyme did not have FFX winning the match.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
dalailama20 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:21:06 AM | message detail
I really hope MGS or Fallout wins in the end. Seeing Zelda/Mario/FF win every poll on this site is extremely annoying.
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Duck-billed platypus
vcharon | Posted 12/20/2010 9:21:18 AM | message detail
MGS has apparently fallen in strength since then, so I'd not trust things like that.
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:>
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:23:49 AM | message detail
I'm a bit disappointed. Looks like FFX might outdo MM on a stronger game. It should be close but I was hoping for more DRONES.

Curses, I was so hoping for Majora's Mask would go the distance.
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##Alec
Philly is the greatest city in the world. Go Flyers! Also WC is better than me.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 12/20/2010 9:26:02 AM | message detail
Looks like GSC had some bite to it after all and MM's just a monster.
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082 Pokemon HeartGold: 2966 0920 7723
695924 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:28:02 AM | message detail
MGS is a joke this contest. I would take RE4 to break 57% on MGS3.
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lol opinions
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 9:30:01 AM | message detail

From: AlecTrevelyan006 | #117
I'm a bit disappointed. Looks like FFX might outdo MM on a stronger game. It should be close but I was hoping for more DRONES.

Curses, I was so hoping for Majora's Mask would go the distance.


We'll get plenty of that if MM makes the final. It will mean that Zelda's #2, #3, and #4 game can all take Final Fantasy's #2 game, and this will certainly cheese off a few of the more passionate Board 8ers. If that indeed happens, Zelda may be notably more dominant now than Final Fantasy was when we started these contests.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
EvilNcr | Posted 12/20/2010 9:32:06 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
EvilNcr | Posted 12/20/2010 9:32:21 AM | message detail
Windwaker is definitely NOT winning over FFX even if MM wins in the semis. Which it won't.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/20/2010 9:33:04 AM | message detail
MGS as a whole has looked pretty bad, but 3 has looked to par. Not great or anything, just to par, but it hasn't disappointed either.

FFX vs. MM should be pretty interesting, FFX will probably win but it won't go over 52% if it does and that's an absolute ceiling.

Yeah, Brawl got dis. TP outdid FFX's percentage on RE4, and lol 4ways or not, that has to mean something.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:34:41 AM | message detail
MGS as a whole has looked pretty bad, but 3 has looked to par. Not great or anything, just to par, but it hasn't disappointed either.

Sure it has, take a look at the PM match, MGS3 was lucky that match was at night.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/20/2010 9:34:46 AM | message detail
You guys are too caught up on MGS looking bad against SotC. SotC clearly isn't the same game that put up 35% on RE4, or this whole bottom division sucks horribly as well.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/20/2010 9:35:58 AM | message detail

From: EvilNcr | #122
Windwaker is definitely NOT winning over FFX even if MM wins in the semis. Which it won't.


Nobody said it would

#2=Link to the Past
#3=Twilight Princess
#4=Majora's Mask

Funny how Zelda contest strength seems to be proportional to their placement in the general fan ranking...
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/20/2010 9:36:33 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #124
MGS as a whole has looked pretty bad, but 3 has looked to par. Not great or anything, just to par, but it hasn't disappointed either.

Sure it has, take a look at the PM match, MGS3 was lucky that match was at night.


PM is pretty beastly, to be fair.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 9:36:38 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:38:38 AM | message detail
You don't even need SotC, 63% against MvC2 (65% against NSMBW), 63% against AC, 55% against Diablo II, 70% against BT. All of these were night matches which means MGS would have performed worse.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:39:11 AM | message detail
Let's go Zelda! Come Zelda drones that don't actually exist. Link summons you to fight against Final Fantasy.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/20/2010 9:41:10 AM | message detail
Man. If MM keeps rising this could end up looking pretty bad. There's still a whole ASV left.

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DFF.
695924 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:42:08 AM | message detail
FFvXIII and KH3 better be the second coming of FFVII so FF can stay relevant on this site. Sad thing is, even if all the Zelda games flop this decade, OoT would still stomp everything. Not to mention 3DS remake of OoT is coming.
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lol opinions
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:42:51 AM | message detail
You know now that I think of it with Zelda winning the board vote all time (even against MGS3, wasn't that our 2nd favourite game?) I'm beginning to think that the only Zelda drones are the ones on this board.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 9:43:30 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #131
Man. If MM keeps rising this could end up looking pretty bad. There's still a whole ASV left.


I'm pretty sure everybody is out of school now.
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There is no better video game company out there right now than Square-Enix - Denzokuken
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/20/2010 9:44:14 AM | message detail
College is. A lot of actual schools aren't.

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DFF.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/20/2010 9:44:48 AM | message detail
I'm pretty sure everybody is out of school now.

Schools in my area (including the high school I went to) go all the way to December 23rd before getting off for Christmas break.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
695924 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:45:18 AM | message detail
There are a bunch of schools here that will be open until like Wednesday. But MM will not benefit from ASV.
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lol opinions
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 9:45:42 AM | message detail
Huh. MGS3 is winning almost every other region, but Zelda is destroying North America. 60/40 there.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 9:45:43 AM | message detail

From: 695924 | #132
FFvXIII and KH3 better be the second coming of FFVII so FF can stay relevant on this site. Sad thing is, even if all the Zelda games flop this decade, OoT would still stomp everything. Not to mention 3DS remake of OoT is coming.


For 2011, Link has a new 3d Zelda AND OoT remake. FF7 has...nothing. And you know damn well KH3 and Versus aint coming out any time soon.
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The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 12/20/2010 9:46:19 AM | message detail
Ladies and Gentleman, your top 10 strongest game on Gamefaqs.

1. Zelda: Ocarina of Time
2. Final Fantasy 7
3. Zelda: A Link to the Past
4. Super Smash Bro Brawl
5. Super Smash Bro Melee
6. Zelda: Twilight Princess
7. Final Fantasy 10
8. Zelda: Majora Mask
9. Zelda: Skyward Sword (We all know it is going to happen)
10. Zelda: Wind Waker

Honorable Mention: The Legend of Zelda, Super Mario Bro 3, Zelda: Phantom Hourglass, Pokemon R/B/G ,
Zelda: Oracle of Ages , Zelda: Four Swords Adventures , Link's Crossbow Training
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/20/2010 9:46:51 AM | message detail
Versus is the Square version of vaporware at this point.

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DFF.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 9:47:31 AM | message detail
At this point, I'd probably take Super Mario World or LttP to wreck the **** out of anything in this contest.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
695924 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:47:42 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #139
For 2011, Link has a new 3d Zelda AND OoT remake. FF7 has...nothing. And you know damn well KH3 and Versus aint coming out any time soon.


I know, but if vXIII and KH3 flop, Square will be done on this site. I'm not saying they will boost FF7, but will keep Square stuff relevant.
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lol opinions
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:49:45 AM | message detail
Not all colleges are out even.....I have 3 finals today. 2 down, 1 coming up in about an hour. Apparently my old high school is open today too (I think it was pretty common in New England to have school on the 20th. Usually the last day ranged between the 21st and 23rd depending on what day of the week Christmas fell on.)
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
swordz9 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:50:32 AM | message detail
FFvsXIII might actually release in 2011 in Japan. I wouldn't bet on it releasing anywhere else until 2012 at this rate. KH3 probably won't be out anywhere until 2013-2015 since FFvsXIII is delaying it. I think Square will still stay somewhat relevant on this site anyways though. It might not top Zelda again, but it shouldn't fall too much.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:50:47 AM | message detail
And I heard a neighboring town once held classes on *shudder* Christmas Eve.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/20/2010 9:51:10 AM | message detail
I don't think if this has been discussed yes, but is it possible that the original Metal Gear Solid was never as strong as we thought? It's match against GSC doesn't look so great now, and given that we've seen that it's possible for Pokemon games to experience Nintendo overlap, OoT's presence may have been the only thing keeping RBY from blowing its doors off.

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DFF.
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/20/2010 9:51:57 AM | message detail
Square really need to give up on Final Fantasy. Focus on Dragon Quest, Kingdom Hearts, new titles, and releasing games parts of the world never saw.

Honestly, for all the hate they get, "new" Square is great. Final Fantasy is their only flaw, which is kind of funny given the series has carried them for so long, but now they have other things.

When the best FF game in the last 9 years was XIII, something has clearly gone wrong.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:52:46 AM | message detail
If MM goes on to beat FFX here, GSC will be vindicated, and by extension MGS. It would have definitely lost by a sizable amount to RBY 1v1, but we already knew that. It's patently obvious that OOT/RBY was LFF.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Achromatic | Posted 12/20/2010 9:52:56 AM | message detail

From: Lightning Strikes | #148
Square really need to give up on Final Fantasy. Focus on Dragon Quest, Kingdom Hearts, new titles, and releasing games parts of the world never saw.

Honestly, for all the hate they get, "new" Square is great. Final Fantasy is their only flaw, which is kind of funny given the series has carried them for so long, but now they have other things.

When the best FF game in the last 9 years was XIII, something has clearly gone wrong.


13 is a great game, why do people say this stuff.
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Sir Chris