GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 984
-Tofa7- | Posted 12/20/2010 9:32:38 PM | message detail |
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted: 12/21/2010 4:26:55 PM | #442 Like I just said, i don't have a prize bracket, so your friends odds are looking slightly better. --- Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore "Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..." |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/20/2010 9:32:44 PM | message detail |
Out
of curiosity, for anyone he keeps track of this stuff (TRE, I'm looking
at you), a friend of mine is 18th right now, with 4 people ahead of him
taking FFX. If he gets 14th, what are the chances there's 6+ brackets
ahead of him that aren't prize brackets? No idea. You would have to ask the people on the leaderboard. In past contests it seems 8th place is usually around 12th or 13th place so your friend is likely on the borderline. --- That is the key. You have found the answer._ |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:33:31 PM | message detail |
Let's
try mapping Crono/Vincent trends onto this match.......if Brawl keeps
up that falling for a few more updates, it may end the power hour with
a similar percentage to what Crono had in 2007! 1:00 | 56.5% 2:00 | 54.5% 3:00 | 52% 4:00 | 51% 5:00 | 43% 6:00 | 41% 7:00 | 43% 8:00 | 44% 9:00 | 47% For the curious, that would let Fallout 3 tie up the match right in time for the morning vote to strike and lift Brawl to an easy victory. Crono/Vincent 2007 trends are of course very exaggerated trends, and FO3 won't be tying up the match, but I think FO3 is likely to hit 46%, and possibly 47%. Feel good about it winning hours tonight. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
legendmusketeer | Posted 12/20/2010 9:34:09 PM | message detail |
I'm on the leader board now. o_O --- LM |
Draco1214 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:34:13 PM | message detail |
I
can't believe after submitting such a garbage bracket with some really
stupid mistakes I may still make the leaderboard if I predict FFX >
Brawl correctly. Revenge for missing a prize due to Sephiroth/Snake
last time! --- Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest! |
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/20/2010 9:34:19 PM | message detail |
Yessss. The return of "If we compare this match to Crono/Vincent". --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
Achromatic | Posted 12/20/2010 9:34:33 PM | message detail |
All you need to know about this match http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4193®ion=EUR --- Sir Chris |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 9:36:20 PM | message detail |
Europe showing some outstanding taste tonight. Hopefully they cost Brawl the entire contest. --- "There is never a topic that isn't made more entertaining by Ulti posting in it." -KamikazePotato |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/20/2010 9:36:44 PM | message detail |
Oh my god are we seriously starting to think FFX has a chance? --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
xp1337 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:38:22 PM | message detail |
Crono/Vincent
might be a Top 10 Match of All Time for me, in spite of the result,
just because I love the trend comparisons so much. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? GotD (219/304) MGS4 v GSC |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 9:38:29 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #459 FFX and Majora both. Brawl isn't Link; there is definitely potential for fireworks in the finals. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 9:40:50 PM | message detail |
30 minute upper half stats: Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 50.00% Super Smash Bros. Melee – 48.92% The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess – 47.25% Fallout 3 – 42.37% Metroid Prime – 40.73% Kingdom Hearts II – 40.54% Half-Life 2 – 40.13% Kingdom Hearts – 38.57% God of War – 36.62% Super Mario Galaxy – 35.65% Tales of Symphonia – 35.56% BioShock – 35.46% Grand Theft Auto III – 35.18% Batman: Arkham Asylum – 34.91% Okami – 34.08% Resident Evil 5 – 34.01% Halo: Combat Evolved – 33.39% Uncharted 2: Among Thieves – 30.93% Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare – 29.98% Mega Man 9 – 29.78% Dragon Age: Origins – 29.42% Halo 2 – 29.34% Devil May Cry 3: Dante’s Awakening – 28.83% Halo 3 – 28.77% Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald – 28.60% Street Fighter IV – 28.43% Team Fortress 2 – 28.27% Fable – 28.25% Grand Theft Auto IV – 28.15% Sonic Adventure 2 – 28.00% Demon’s Souls – 28.00% The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind – 27.99% Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos – 27.74% Super Mario Sunshine – 27.31% Pokemon Diamond/Pearl/Platinum – 27.10% LittleBigPlanet – 26.75% Perfect Dark – 26.72% Legend of Dragoon – 26.35% Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare 2 – 26.00% Left 4 Dead – 25.43% Metroid Fusion – 24.37% Ninja Gaiden – 23.74% Valkyria Chronicles – 23.56% Dissidia: Final Fantasy – 22.56% Disgaea: Hour of Darkness – 22.42% The Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time – 22.23% Star Wars: Battlefront II – 22.05% Deus Ex – 21.80% Star Ocean: Till the End of Time – 21.72% Rock Band 2 – 21.47% Left 4 Dead 2 – 20.48% Mother 3 – 20.26% Shenmue – 19.49% No More Heroes – 19.48% Conker’s Bad Fur Day – 19.27% Psychonauts – 19.20% Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance – 19.08% F-Zero GX – 18.12% Beyond Good & Evil – 17.97% Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow – 17.82% Mario Kart DS – 16.74% inFamous – 16.10% Guitar Hero II – 12.56% WWF No Mercy – 10.79% --- Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX! http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg |
LOLContests | Posted 12/20/2010 9:41:10 PM | message detail |
24 hours > all. Matches become completely interchangeable and unmemorable in a 12 hour format, and there's barely any comebacks. You basically have to rely on matches being wire to wire the whole time for a close match to be good. If there's a boring meaningless match in 24 hours, that's the bracket's fault, not the format. It shouldn't be hard to create a 64 entrant bracket where almost every match tells us or does something interesting. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
Draco1214 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:41:21 PM | message detail |
Oh my god are we seriously starting to think FFX has a chance? Can Fallout 3/Metroid Prime/Half-Life 2 beat Resident Evil 4? If your answer to that is no, FFX has a very real shot. --- Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 9:41:38 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #459 Unless you think FO3 smokes RE4, then yes. --- Support Seifer Almasy (Final Fantasy VIII) for Character Battle IX! http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/9342/banner3seifer.jpg |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/20/2010 9:42:02 PM | message detail |
From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #442 The current rank 9 is one of my alt accounts, so that one isn't getting a prize. Which kinda sucks, but it's only 1 game. --- You can call me whatever you want it's not going to change anything. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:42:06 PM | message detail |
Taking
MM to win the contest in the battle bracket (which means very little,
as I have very few points at risk, and think I'm guaranteed a final
spot somewhere in the 40s no matter what I do). --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 9:43:44 PM | message detail |
From: LOLContests | #463 Yesmar proving yet again why he doesn't deserve contests. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· Hey, it's that dog! |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 9:44:22 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #462 I can live with this. --- There is no better video game company out there right now than Square-Enix - Denzokuken |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 9:48:09 PM | message detail |
There is no better video game company out there right now than Square-Enix - Denzokuken Please tell me this was in jest. --- "Elect Tea Party candidates or get Communists. The choice is clear." -SmartMuffin |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 9:48:41 PM | message detail |
*checks poll* What. Haha! FFX to obliterate Super Smash Bros. Lawl confirmed. Pfft won't even be competitive >_> --- Save_Us.Teedus |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 9:50:52 PM | message detail |
Also Brawl with the joke trends. ...wait, why am I even bothering to comment on this, as if a joke game having joke trends is surprising. FFX vs. Brawl will be a repeat of Sephiroth vs. Missingno <_< --- Save_Us.Teedus |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/20/2010 9:51:27 PM | message detail |
XFD you guys. Haven't we done this before? This very same dance? This very same "fool ourselves into stupidity"? I'm not buying it. Brawl will clean FFX's clock. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:52:49 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #473 Extha curse. Bet the bank on FFX. --- Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011 Philly is the greatest city in the world. Go Flyers! Also WC is better than me. |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 9:56:06 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #1951 Brawl is Un-American. Brawl is Communist. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=298Cw3_qGwE No wonder Fallout is clowning it. --- Save_Us.Teedus |
Draco1214 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:57:50 PM | message detail |
Fallout
3 currently has 50.68% in Europe. If a day-oriented game is doing this
to Brawl overnight, I can't even imagine how brutal that FFX Euro-vote
will be. --- Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:58:11 PM | message detail |
Brawl
is all about taking from the skilled and giving to the unskilled. It's
designed to level the playing field, to make people more equal
regardless of how talented they are at Smash and how much effort they
put into the game. That's exactly what Communism is! --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Haste_2 | Posted 12/20/2010 9:59:39 PM | message detail |
Kingdom Hearts – 38.57% Metroid Prime – 40.73% Ah, geez... no way KH loses to Prime! Sonic Adventure 2 beats Perfect Dark, even! I like how Mother 3 is expected to get over 20% on Brawl. ;) --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 10:00:17 PM | message detail |
Communism is the very DEFINITION.... of FAILURE. I need to play Fallout 3 for that guy alone. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img294.imageshack.us/img294/9846/ultifinished.png |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 10:01:28 PM | message detail |
DEMOCRACY IS NON-NEGOTIABLE Liberty Prime, 2nd best character in the game. --- "if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 10:02:41 PM | message detail |
Nearly 43% for FO3 at the end of the Power Hour. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 10:05:28 PM | message detail |
57% on RE4 is better than 57% on FO3... 23 hours for Brawl to start looking good! --- The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64 |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/20/2010 10:06:12 PM | message detail |
Well,
this match isn't going to break 100000 votes based on the vote totals
at the end of the first hour. I'd say about 90000 is what we might end
up finishing at. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 10:06:41 PM | message detail |
The 2008 GOTY poll is looking very accurate tonight. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 10:08:39 PM | message detail |
As
far as votals go, Fallout 3 has always sucked at it.....really, really,
badly. So badly that my votal-stats tried to tell me Fallout 3 was
bottom of the barrel fodder in the 2009 contest (95% of the games the
v-stats called low fodder actually were fodder). --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 10:08:51 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3364 MGS4...what the f*** happened --- "You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?" |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 10:11:07 PM | message detail |
Maybe MGS4 is still that strong, and MM is about to cruise to victory! --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Janus5000 | Posted 12/20/2010 10:11:44 PM | message detail |
Fallout 3 Power Hour OVAH wait what --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/20/2010 10:12:13 PM | message detail |
SotC, super beast --- There is no better video game company out there right now than Square-Enix - Denzokuken |
XxSoulxX | Posted 12/20/2010 10:16:34 PM | message detail |
The MGS high this site was on back then has faded. --- Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 10:25:03 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #2353 Is this a reverse jinx attempt or something? Because Brawl might stall or smidgen up slightly for an hour or two, but in a couple hours Fallout is going to start tearing into it. Brawl will recover during the day but FO3 should end up no worse than 42%, and probably will end up around where it is now. Which means if you think Brawl=FFX, you basically think RE4 would only 52/48ish HL2 and Metroid Prime. I still consider Brawl as a significant favorite, just because I have a hard time seeing a Final Fantasy game winning at this site...but man, this is not an impressive performance at all. If Brawl was only getting 59% on HL2 Brawl backers might be panicking. --- Save_Us.Teedus |
MudkipMaster30 | Posted 12/20/2010 10:31:25 PM | message detail |
Dang, would be in fifth on the leaderboard if Melee were in Brawl's spot. :( --- In 2012, the new Mudkip Invasion will begin... This user is a proud Canadian. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 10:33:10 PM | message detail |
Wow, Fallout is going 50/50 in Europe, Asia, and Oceania. Gonna be an ugly overnight. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/20/2010 10:33:38 PM | message detail |
Thing
is, if you hold RE4 and KH2 constant to their last year's selves, then
FO3 does seem to be right on RE4's level. It's probably more likely
that...maybe ALL of the "big gun" games in this contest are weaker, and
stuff like HL2 and Prime boosted? Lol my theories. --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask, Smash Bros. Melee Next Games Up - Resident Evil 4, Okami, StarCraft |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/20/2010 10:34:29 PM | message detail |
It's
not a reverse jinx as much as it is me refusing to be naive enough to
believe a Final Fantasy game will win a contest on this website.
GameFAQs has proven time and time again they won't let that happen. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
HaRRicH | Posted 12/20/2010 10:38:42 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #495 2004 and 2005 disagree, not to mention FF's characters have won contests in 2003 and 2005 too. It's been awhile, but it's hardly unprecedented. --- <3 Epona. Heart Epona. |
vcharon | Posted 12/20/2010 10:39:25 PM | message detail |
Seymour comin'. FFX comin'. --- :> |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 10:42:13 PM | message detail |
Augh
when will people stop talking about 4-way stats from 2009 as if they're
worth a s***. Let's just ignore the fact that these same piece of crap
stats have FO3 getting almost doubled here and act if anything else
from then has meaning outside of comedy value. I mean I know this is LMS and all, but I see credible posters talking in the same way he just did and it confuses me. This contest is almost over and people have learned nothing. From: ExThaNemesis | #2455 I agree with you, that's really the only clear reason Brawl has to be favored though. If not for the "man I just can't picture FF winning on GameFAQs" thing, this match would appear to be pretty much a toss-up. As is, like you said, I just can't picture FFX winning. Maybe if Teedus is completely excluded from the match pics and we get Auron overload... --- Save_Us.Teedus |
Anagram | Posted 12/20/2010 10:42:27 PM | message detail |
Play Earthbound --- Not changing this sig until I decide to change this sig. Started: July 6, 2005 |
Anagram | Posted 12/20/2010 10:42:34 PM | message detail |
Play Earthbound --- Not changing this sig until I decide to change this sig. Started: July 6, 2005 |