GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 984
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/19/2010 10:33:44 PM | message detail |
So does this actually make FFX the favorite? ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· It's a Jersey thing. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 10:35:46 PM | message detail |
Final Fantasy X was always the favorite. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/19/2010 10:49:37 PM | message detail |
It
puts it about level with Brawl indirectly. Suppose it finishes with
56%. Brawl extrapolates through TP to 59.5% on KHII, but it would
likely have a done a % worse in a 24 hour match on TP, so call it
58.5%. RE4 > KHII, so any KHII drop at all puts FFX close. I
certainly don't see Brawl running away with the final 53-47 or more, if
it faces FFX. --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/19/2010 10:49:42 PM | message detail |
Revised victory odds: SSBB 3:5 FFX 4:1 MM 6:1 FO3 40:1 MGS3 70:1 --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/19/2010 10:51:17 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #002 From: LeonhartFour | #445 --- No, every man's goal in life is to spread his seed as many times as possible. - A statement Realo actually believes |
Big Bob | Posted 12/19/2010 11:16:08 PM | message detail |
Sadly, I think RE4 is just weaker than we all wanted it to be. MM > MGS3 Brawl > Fallout 3 FFX > MM Brawl > FFX I'd be shocked if anything other than this happened. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=124 http://backloggery.com/big_bob |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 11:24:47 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #002 I love you. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 1:27:22 AM | message detail |
Play EarthBound. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ 11/15/2009 - Never forget 4th and 2. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 1:28:44 AM | message detail |
Am I not allowed a little bravado and fanboyism for my favorite game?! (Plus, Bacon already admitted he was rigging the bracket in his favor, so I'm good to go whoo-hoo) (MGS3 > MM book it) (Angry Moon no match for CQC) --- Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/1950/banner4otacon.jpg |
Janus5000 | Posted 12/20/2010 1:31:39 AM | message detail |
Euro vote kicking in. These >60% updates from FFX are pretty boss. --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 1:33:41 AM | message detail |
In Europe we trust --- Support Seifer Almasy (Final Fantasy VIII) for Character Battle IX! http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/9342/banner3seifer.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 1:34:11 AM | message detail |
The
main development team that would work on a Kingdom Hearts game is busy
making Versus XIII. Every major player who would make KH3 has their
hands tied up there, which won't release until, at best, late 2011 in
Japan. Good lord, is this a joke? This spinoff was unveiled in 2006. This. Spinoff. At this rate, I won't be playing Kingdom Hearts III until I'm 30, and that will be just sad for all parties involved. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/20/2010 1:35:34 AM | message detail |
Euro vote kicking in. These >60% updates from FFX are pretty boss. I don't think that's the Euro vote kicking in. It's a combination of both Asia and Oceania producing these big updates. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 1:36:06 AM | message detail |
But it's a spinoff that could likely be superior to the original! --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
ZFS | Posted 12/20/2010 1:39:22 AM | message detail |
Whoa
there, Versus XIII isn't a spinoff, or at least it isn't being treated
as a spinoff. There's more big name talent working on that one than
worked on FFXIII, and it's getting the same attention from Square that
FFXIII did. Honestly, it should be called FFXV instead of FFVersusXIII. --- A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step. |
ZFS | Posted 12/20/2010 1:40:20 AM | message detail |
but hey FABULA NOVA CRYSTALLIS What a disaster of an idea. --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
Achromatic | Posted 12/20/2010 1:41:17 AM | message detail |
From: ZFS | #015 it should be called FFXIV and FFXIV shouldnt exist. --- Sir Chris |
ZFS | Posted 12/20/2010 1:43:12 AM | message detail |
Sounds like a good idea to em. --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 1:51:02 AM | message detail |
So does this actually make FFX the favorite? It is everyone's favorite game of course. But will lose due to blatant stuffing. Smash has the combined power of Mario cheaters and Link drones pulling shenanigans for it. Nobody actually likes Brawl! There's little chance a PSP remake wouldn't see good profits, and equally as great sales Not true. A PS3+360 remake would almost certainly get more sales - and on top of that you're overlooking that console games cost twice as much initially (and when they drop in price, they don't go down to $10-$13, which is a joke and what many moderately aged PSP games cost). The revenue potential for console games is simply much greater and not comparable. You are hanging too much on the cost aspect and ignoring the revenue aspect. The main development team that would work on a Kingdom Hearts game is busy making Versus XIII. Every major player who would make KH3 has their hands tied up there, which won't release until, at best, late 2011 in Japan. All the more reason that this Versus XIII stuff just seems like a bad idea, business-wise. (although, as said, I think it'll probably have better WOM than XIII - but because of the somewhat "side game" type label it won't get the same sales as XIII) Whoa there, Versus XIII isn't a spinoff, or at least it isn't being treated as a spinoff. There's more big name talent working on that one than worked on FFXIII, and it's getting the same attention from Square that FFXIII did. Honestly, it should be called FFXV instead of FFVersusXIII. I agree with the latter part, it should be called XV (or, as Chris said, XIV...or better yet XIII as XI shouldn't have been XI! which means we come full circle, Versus XIII=the real XIII, perhaps the title is just Square's mea culpa!). It would have better sales as XV than as Versus XIII though, so yes, calling it a "spinoff" or whatever is accurate because that's what it will be received as by the consumers. also probably too busy porting Chrono Trigger to mobile phones HM, you are truly a fiend for even thinking of this. What a sick mind. Perhaps we should be reporting you to the feds rather than Albion. --- Save_Us.Teedus |
ZFS | Posted 12/20/2010 1:55:32 AM | message detail |
http://www.square-enix.co.jp/mobile/sem/chronotrigger/ You thought I was kidding! --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 1:57:05 AM | message detail |
From: ZFS | #020 *spit take* --- Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX! http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/20/2010 2:02:53 AM | message detail |
Where's the guy that has that Denzokuken quote about Square-Enix being the best company in gaming for his sig. It feels applicable here. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 2:24:33 AM | message detail |
From: ZFS | #060 There...are...no...words... The horror... red sox, you have plenty left to live for, don't do it! --- Save_Us.Teedus |
transience | Posted 12/20/2010 2:36:46 AM | message detail |
CT got nothin' on FF4 time to buy my 7th copy --- xyzzy |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 2:42:11 AM | message detail |
FFX is seriously your favorite game and not FF8? --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4097/4800530067_e1548533b2.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 2:43:37 AM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #025 This isn't news. I've openly said this for years now. --- Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX! http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/20/2010 2:46:57 AM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #025 yeah FFX and FF8 are his top two games, he is lacking in the whole "taste" area. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
vcharon | Posted 12/20/2010 2:48:33 AM | message detail |
More like he has awesome taste. --- :> |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/20/2010 2:48:36 AM | message detail |
FFX is a great game, nothing wrong with liking it the best. It's Adam's (Lucid Faia if you prefer) favorite as well, I think. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· A ghost cannot disobey the orders of the living. |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/20/2010 2:54:53 AM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #029 Adam is an OSU fan so his taste isn't exactly great either!!! (I'm p. sure he prefers Brawl to Melee as well!) --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer ~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 2:59:37 AM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #027 LOL Both of those games rocked FFIX Eat it --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 3:00:38 AM | message detail |
(In contest polls, I mean) (Well, they're better than FFIX, yeah, but I love FFIX, too) FFX > FFVIII > MGS3 > SUPER MARIO GALAXYYYYYYYYYY 1 & 2 > Everything --- Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX! http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg |
transcience | Posted 12/20/2010 3:07:20 AM | message detail |
one
day I'm going to get you to make a top 25 game list. sure, it'll be 15
RPGs, 7 platformers and 3 mgs games, but I still wanna see it. --- add the c and back away iphonesience |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/20/2010 3:13:47 AM | message detail |
From: transcience | #033 I'm not even sure I know what my top 25 games are...! --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 4:18:41 AM | message detail |
It
is funny how FF X does mediocre against weak games but does good
against a game that some people had it winning the contest.And only 10%
for Brawl?I thought it was the favorite... --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
695924 | Posted 12/20/2010 4:28:31 AM | message detail |
Lets not kid ourselves here. No Square game will win a game contest here ever again. --- lol opinions |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 4:32:50 AM | message detail |
It would be nice though.Imagine the rage from all Nintendo fans!But yeah it will not going to happen. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
EvilNcr | Posted 12/20/2010 4:54:14 AM | message detail |
From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #035 First, FFX was doing fine. And 2nd, it can't do like Melee/Brawl because it has some anti-voting base, unlike those games. --- *sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16 |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/20/2010 5:08:16 AM | message detail |
I
think people are kind of forgetting how badly TP rocked RE4 in 2009! I
know, lol 4ways, but when it gets as direct as that you know you can
trust it. FFX looking impressive, I think, is more due to people
overhyping RE4 when it wasn't really THAT strong to begin with. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/20/2010 5:45:04 AM | message detail |
Twilight
Princess > FFX is still possible, though perhaps only barely. Even
then I wouldn't expect TP to be doing much worse here. This also helps Galaxy's chances of being this site's #3 current-gen game. I'm sure someone here cares about that, even if it may not necessarily be me. --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask, Smash Bros. Melee Next Games Up - Resident Evil 4, Okami, StarCraft |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/20/2010 5:53:48 AM | message detail |
Eh. TP looked like it might be a slight favorite over FFX and now they look about equal. Not that big a deal --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Iamthekuzalol | Posted 12/20/2010 5:59:35 AM | message detail |
RE4 could only score 55% on Portal, the same Portal that didn't really impress much against Mass Effect. TP/FFX should be a very good match, even MM looks like it could give FFX a good run for its money.(MM won't win but breaking 48% isn't impossible) |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/20/2010 6:09:30 AM | message detail |
Not
to worry. Any possible CT boost is welcome to me. I won't be buying CT
for mobile phone, but if it can gain CT 1 extra voter in our contests,
that'll be a good thing. I'm not too worried about a mobile phone game
causing a drop or anything. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
__Smurf__ | Posted 12/20/2010 7:05:35 AM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
Advokaiser | Posted 12/20/2010 7:41:10 AM | message detail |
*votes* *looks at poll* Ha! I knew San Andreas would break 55% on Vice City easily. It would probably break 60% as well... --- "I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'" |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 7:53:20 AM | message detail |
Ha! I knew San Andreas would break 55% on Vice City easily. It would probably break 60% as well... Right now it's 53.50% Comparing GTA3 to VC/SA by making Brawl/FFX equal... For SA > GTA3 Brawl needs 61.68% on Fallout 3 For VC > GTA3 Brawl needs 64.37% on Fallout 3 --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/20/2010 7:57:13 AM | message detail |
And
it looks like Brawl will have to break 65.35% on Fallout 3 in order
to...well it's not like I care so much for Galaxy being this site's #3
7th gen game, okay? It would be incredibly ironic for this site's top 3
current-gen games (well at least of last decade!) to be on a hated
system, though. --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask, Smash Bros. Melee Next Games Up - Resident Evil 4, Okami, StarCraft |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/20/2010 7:58:14 AM | message detail |
Match CXXIV: (1) Metal Gear Solid 3 vs. (1) The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask Last Round Metal Gear Solid 3 – 50.62% Shadow of the Colossus – 49.38% The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask – 56.79% The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker – 43.21% Analysis It’s been a long time since I’ve had a match where my bracket doesn’t have at least one of the competitors in the match. Metal Gear Solid 3 was able to use the night vote to seal the win over Shadow of the Colossus. Fun fact both North America and Europe sided with Shadow of the Colossus yet it still lost; a first for this contest. Majora’s Mask proved that it was at least the fourth strongest Zelda game by defeating Wind Waker. I could just point out that Metal Gear Solid 3 barely did better against Paper Mario than what Majora’s Mask did against Wind Waker. Even if you want to call SFF, Majora’s Mask outranks Paper Mario out of the Nintendo 64 titles plus Metal Gear Solid 3 had a night match while this will be happening in the day. We also still don’t have much of an idea of how much weaker the Metal Gear Solid series has become in this contest and with it being a day match I expect quite the Majora’s Mask over performance. An over performance that may make people feel that the game will be able to reach the finals without too much trouble. Personally I wouldn’t be surprised if Majora’s Mask went and broke 60% on Metal Gear Solid 3. charmander6000’s Bracket: Pokemon GSC > Metal Gear Solid 4 charmander6000’s Prediction: LoZ: Majora’s Mask wins, 59.18% - 40.82% --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 220/288 Today's Matches: FFX & Pokemon GSC |
creativename | Posted 12/20/2010 8:03:10 AM | message detail |
I
hope those people with the illusions that a night match was in FFX's
favor are now finally grasping they were wrong. Since the sun rose, FFX
has risen almost half a point or stalled. Which are the exact trends
people should've expected. In a full match it would finish higher than now. It is very probable a day match would be better for FFX, and no way it could really be worse. RE4 is like MP, the Power Hour is it's beat time. This match is like Samus/Cloud, like some of us were attempting go explain to the people hung up on the geolocation. Only difference is that both those characters probably have better day votes than both these games. --- Save_Us.Teedus |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/20/2010 8:05:31 AM | message detail |
Yep, I was wrong. This is one of the most impressive performances of the contest. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |