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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 983

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/19/2010 10:46:26 AM | message detail
Looks like Turtle really does have this. That seriously is awesome.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
"You're a good man, Ulti." -SantaRPG
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The Real Truth | Posted 12/19/2010 11:33:05 AM | message detail
So FFX is the only thing stopping Brawl from winning the contest. No way does Majora's or RE4 stop it.
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The Real Truth | Posted 12/19/2010 11:33:47 AM | message detail
It's weird too. It'll be like the actual game of the decade vs. the most disappointing game of the decade.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 11:45:44 AM | message detail
BT has Brawl winning the contest, not FFX.

Not sure why people are taking it for granted Brawl wins now.
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http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png
ZFS | Posted 12/19/2010 11:47:42 AM | message detail
Smash fans, Sonic fans, Zelda fans -- common theme here!

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/19/2010 11:48:54 AM | message detail
Thing is Deus Ex fans, Elder Scroll fans, Half-Life fans, GTA fans were all much worse this contest.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/256 Today's Matches: HL2 & SSBB
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/19/2010 11:49:35 AM | message detail

From: ZFS | #005
Smash fans, Sonic fans, Zelda fans -- common theme here!


If you think Smash and Zelda fans are the worst the gamingsphere has to offer, then you have never encountered

-PC fans
-WRPG fans
-FF7 fans
-Fire Emblem fans

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DFF
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/19/2010 11:50:27 AM | message detail
I think Melee is a better made game than Brawl and more suited to serious play, but I really like playing Brawl with my more casual gamer friends and getting to mess around as more characters with amusing items.

That said, this may be part of my deep resentment that Melee didn't include Hyrule Castle and Saffron City.
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"Link has spoken for years. And music is his language" -YoBlazer
Philly is the greatest city in the world. Go Flyers! Also WC is better than me.
ZFS | Posted 12/19/2010 11:50:30 AM | message detail
spoilers every game on the planet has a loud, obnoxious set of fans

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 11:50:43 AM | message detail
Last night's chart:

Time | Fallout 3 | M. Prime | Votes
0:05 | 48.75% | 51.25% | 921
1:00 | 49.73% | 50.27% | 7287
2:00 | 50.96% | 49.04% | 5226
3:00 | 49.81% | 50.19% | 3891
4:00 | 51.38% | 48.62% | 3013
5:00 | 54.80% | 45.20% | 2520
6:00 | 54.67% | 45.33% | 2250
7:00 | 54.39% | 45.61% | 2208
8:00 | 53.35% | 46.65% | 2236
9:00 | 53.13% | 46.87% | 2797
10:00 | 52.86% | 47.14% | 3415
11:00 | 52.38% | 47.62% | 3837
12:00 | 52.28% | 47.72% | 3822

Prime does well early on, but once the Euro vote hits in full force, it can't do anything to stop FO3 from running away with the match.

First Quarter Stats

Fallout 3 – 50.00%
Metroid Prime – 48.06%
Half-Life 2 – 47.36%
God of War – 43.22%
Tales of Symphonia – 41.96%
Grand Theft Auto III – 41.51%
Batman: Arkham Asylum – 41.20%
Okami – 40.22%
Resident Evil 5 – 40.13%
Halo: Combat Evolved – 39.40%
Uncharted 2: Among Thieves – 36.50%
Mega Man 9 – 35.14%
Devil May Cry 3: Dante’s Awakening – 34.02%
Halo 3 – 33.95%
Street Fighter IV – 33.55%
Team Fortress 2 – 33.36%
Fable – 33.34%
Sonic Adventure 2 – 33.04%
Demon’s Souls – 33.04%
Super Mario Sunshine – 32.23%
LittleBigPlanet – 31.57%
The Legend of Dragoon – 31.09%
Left 4 Dead – 30.01%
Ninja Gaiden – 28.01%
Deus Ex – 25.73%
Star Ocean: Till the End of Time – 25.63%
Rock Band 2 – 25.34%
Left 4 Dead 2 – 24.17%
Mother 3 – 23.91%
No More Heroes – 22.99%
Psychonauts – 22.66%
inFamous – 19.00%
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"
charmander6000 | Posted 12/19/2010 11:50:50 AM | message detail
-FF7 fans

anti-FFVII fans are worse.

Cloud always wins, I can't believe it.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/256 Today's Matches: HL2 & SSBB
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/19/2010 11:51:19 AM | message detail

From: ZFS | #009
spoilers every game on the planet has a loud, obnoxious set of fans


But there are degrees of being loud and obnoxious! And they must be scientifically studied.

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DFF
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/19/2010 11:51:41 AM | message detail
ToS ranked 5th in two divisions

hail

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 11:51:43 AM | message detail
Preliminary Second Quarter stats:

Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 50.00%
Super Smash Bros. Melee – 48.92%
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess – 47.75%
Kingdom Hearts II – 40.97%
Kingdom Hearts – 38.98%
Super Mario Galaxy – 36.03%
BioShock – 35.83%
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare – 29.98%
Dragon Age: Origins – 29.73%
Halo 2 – 29.65%
Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald – 28.90%
Grand Theft Auto IV – 28.45%
The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind – 27.99%
Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos – 27.74%
Pokemon Diamond/Pearl/Platinum – 27.10%
Perfect Dark – 26.72%
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare 2 – 26.27%
Metroid Fusion – 24.37%
Valkyria Chronicles – 23.56%
Dissidia: Final Fantasy – 22.80%
Disgaea: Hour of Darkness – 22.42%
Star Wars: Battlefront II – 22.28%
The Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time – 22.23%
Shenmue – 19.69%
Conker’s Bad Fur Day – 19.27%
Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance – 19.08%
F-Zero GX – 18.31%
Beyond Good & Evil – 18.16%
Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow – 18.01%
Mario Kart DS – 16.74%
Guitar Hero II – 12.56%
WWF No Mercy – 10.79%
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http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg
swordz9 | Posted 12/19/2010 11:52:10 AM | message detail
I don't mind PC fans. I'd only say PC elitists are the annoying bunch.
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
ZFS | Posted 12/19/2010 11:52:10 AM | message detail
There are degrees - and relative to what their game is, Smash fans are a terror!

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 12/19/2010 11:52:59 AM | message detail
Looks like Turtle really does have this. That seriously is awesome.

What about Jiggy55?
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Yo Where All The White Women At
charmander6000 | Posted 12/19/2010 11:53:41 AM | message detail
There are degrees - and relative to what their game is, Smash fans are a terror!

Only the bitter ones.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/256 Today's Matches: HL2 & SSBB
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/19/2010 11:53:58 AM | message detail
Smash fans aren't as bad simply because all their complaining is done towards each other, and very little at other fanbases.

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DFF
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/19/2010 11:54:37 AM | message detail
Man, reading through that last topic was actually kinda embarrassing. Brawl beat Melee in a popularity contest. F***ing get over it already.
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I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 11:55:40 AM | message detail
Eh, it's mostly the bitter Melee fans who are upset that people would actually prefer Brawl. The rest of it's not so bad.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 11:57:20 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #004
BT has Brawl winning the contest, not FFX.

Not sure why people are taking it for granted Brawl wins now.


are you serious with this.

also koolaidshoto you are really annoying.
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~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/19/2010 11:58:35 AM | message detail
That's kinda how I feel about you salty ass Melee fans, honestly.
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I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/19/2010 11:59:19 AM | message detail
Smash's fanbase is pretty bad, but not because of Melee fans disliking Brawl.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 12:00:06 PM | message detail
If you had it your way, literally no one would care about the contest at all and we'd all just sit here acting like we were in the movie Equilibrium.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
red sox 777 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:00:57 PM | message detail
FFVII fans aren't bad at all nowadays. They also evidently don't care very much about contests, not like Nintendo, CT, and MGS fans.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 12:01:55 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #022
are you serious with this.


Yeah.

But whatever, FFX will put up a contest-winning performance tonight, so I'm not too worried!
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/19/2010 12:02:51 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #025
If you had it your way, literally no one would care about the contest at all and we'd all just sit here acting like we were in the movie Equilibrium.


So its either total monotony or ExTha style "f*** you all I hope you all die arrrrgh popularity contest so important to my life"

I'll sit here in the middle of those two extremes, kthx
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Around here, I'm the father, the son, and the Holy ****ing Spirit all rolled into one - Red Crow
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 12:03:12 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #025
If you had it your way, literally no one would care about the contest at all and we'd all just sit here acting like we were in the movie Equilibrium.


You can enjoy contests without emo raging when things don't go your way.

The problem is that you seem to think the latter is the way to enjoy contests and sports.
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Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX!
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:03:15 PM | message detail
I'm not too worried about RE4 either, some people are expecting a round 2 from last year RE4, but we could end with a round 3 RE4.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/256 Today's Matches: HL2 & SSBB
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 12:06:43 PM | message detail
No, the problem is that you view even the slightest amount of bitterness that Melee fans have over one of their favorite games losing to its vastly inferior sequel as "emo raging" when its not that at all.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:07:24 PM | message detail
FFX has done nothing all contest to make it look like it c-

Ah, I see what the plan is! Let's ride this train all the way to the cliff! FFX to 55-45 RE4 tonight.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
Big Bob | Posted 12/19/2010 12:07:50 PM | message detail
I'll be honest - my interest in the contest evaporated when SotC failed to win its division. The closest thing to "hilarious" at this point would be RE4 beating FFX, and that's a longshot.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 12:08:19 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #031
No, the problem is that you view even the slightest amount of bitterness that Melee fans have over one of their favorite games losing to its vastly inferior sequel as "emo raging" when its not that at all.


Who said I was talking about Melee bitterness?

There are plenty of examples of you going on a whiny rant when things don't go your way, and you blow it off as "MAN I'M JUST PASSIONATE!"

No, it's being whiny.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 12:10:17 PM | message detail
The only whiny rant I went on all contest was when MM beat GSC, and that wasn't even about quality, that was about how little sense the result made.

Sure I get a little bit nuts, but it's mostly a caricature at this point. I just cannot stand the whole culture of "If you care you're a douche" that some of you guys embrace in here.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 12:11:00 PM | message detail
No, I don't mind caring.

Just don't whine.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:11:46 PM | message detail
Being passionate is good. Makes the contest a lot more fun.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 12:11:58 PM | message detail
I'm sorry, not all of us can be emotionless robots!
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/19/2010 12:12:33 PM | message detail
I think everybody in this topic cares.

But some people care too f***ing much. Especially when you can't even win anything(not that I'm excusing your borderline psychotic rants from Sephiroth/Snake or anything).
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There is no better video game company out there right now than Square-Enix - Denzokuken
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/19/2010 12:12:53 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #038
I'm sorry, not all of us can be emotionless robots!


You can be emotional without whining.

People don't seem to get this.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:14:49 PM | message detail
What's whining? The most whining I've ever seen in these topics is during OOT/FFVII we were collectively raging that Square would never win again and Link/Zelda would win every contest ever. I think it was justified though........it was true.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 12:15:21 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #040
You can be emotional without whining.

People don't seem to get this.


And you can also be bitter about a result without it being "whining", which is where you seem to lack understanding.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
charmander6000 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:16:04 PM | message detail
The only whiny rant I went on all contest was when MM beat GSC, and that wasn't even about quality, that was about how little sense the result made.

Not acting smug since I too went with GSC, but MM won a straight up match against GSC. We tried to outsmart the stats and got burned by them.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/256 Today's Matches: HL2 & SSBB
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:16:43 PM | message detail
And you can also be bitter about a result without it being "whining

then maybe do that
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For your health.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/19/2010 12:18:07 PM | message detail
I wasn't even in the topic for the whole Melee/Brawl thing until the very end, I'm just defending the right that we have as Melee fans to be bitter!
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
~*~TEAM RK-VOLTCH'D~*~
WhiteLens | Posted 12/19/2010 12:25:43 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
WhiteLens | Posted 12/19/2010 12:27:56 PM | message detail
And before BT goes PS3-this and PS3-that, he should really wait until he reaches first place, because for all we know that Jiggy55 guy could have all the exact same picks as he does and isn't doing a fun bracket.

Which in that case....enjoy your PSP!
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Hear me, Amaterasu
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/19/2010 12:29:35 PM | message detail
Uh so

I don't know if someone else said this in the last topic, but creativename and Ulti, Brawl has a MyGames rating of 8.9 to Melee's 9.0 with over twice as many votes. Yep. I don't give the reviews much credit because not only is the sample size smaller, you also need to take in mind the type of people who would write reviews-it's not the same sample.

Also, I consider myself a Smash Bros. fan. I have never been to a tournament(though, just to correct you on one point Ulti, there are quite a lot in my area) but I play the games often, have gotten a great deal of play time out of them, and enjoy both games immensely. They're not among my favourite games ever but they're really fun with tons of content for single and multiplayer, great presentation, and of course, lots of fan service. I can't explain the inner workings of each game in detail, and you'd probably kick my ass at it. But that doesn't invalidate my or anyone else's. You see it doesn't matter how "hardcore" you are, if you enjoy something you enjoy it.

Sometimes I think we all forget why we play games in the first place.

Because it's fun.

And this, of course, is why people like Brawl.

Because they find it to be fun.

And when it comes to Smash Bros., I am a relatively casual fan, but I'm still a fan. And that's true for literally millions more.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
charmander6000 | Posted 12/19/2010 12:30:41 PM | message detail
BT better hope the guy has MSG3 > MM because that's probably the only match that they would likely differ.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/256 Today's Matches: HL2 & SSBB
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/19/2010 12:31:39 PM | message detail
Dear lord, LS.

Let it goooooo
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