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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 981

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/17/2010 1:23:25 PM | message detail
I might have to start liking SotC with how fun its contest run has been this year <_<



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:25:07 PM | message detail
save_us.bigboss
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"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:25:31 PM | message detail
Would you consider SOTC redeemed if it were the game to take down Brawl?
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:26:31 PM | message detail
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-1.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-2.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-3.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-4.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-1.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-2.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-3.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-4.jpg

Yesssss, Snake vs. the Colossus got chosen
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cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:26:34 PM | message detail
No game will take down Brawl, it deserves to win after it beat Melee.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:27:40 PM | message detail
Facing FFVII is too good for Brawl. It needs to be sent up against OOT 1v1 so it can get tripled.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:32:31 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #006
Facing FFVII is too good for Brawl. It needs to be sent up against OOT 1v1 so it can get tripled.


It wouldn't even get doubled.
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Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be?
Is it Majora, Resident Evil, Brawl or Final Fantasy?
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:33:21 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #006
Facing FFVII is too good for Brawl. It needs to be sent up against OOT 1v1 so it can get tripled.


You saw the last Games Contest, right?
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:33:21 PM | message detail
It got 70-30'd last time with FFX and MGS4 in the poll. Which is way way more than Brawl deserves.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/17/2010 1:34:37 PM | message detail
red sox, bringing out that New Nintendo hatred
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I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:34:51 PM | message detail
I think OOT might have an outside shot at the tripling in 1v1 though. For one thing, FFX and MGS4 voters should favor OOT, and the big thing is that no one will be voting for Brawl because they think OOT is safe and doesn't need their vote.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:38:02 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #011
For one thing, FFX and MGS4 voters should favor OOT


Not sure why you think so...! One of those games has SOLID SNAKE in it, and it isn't OoT.

I'd vote Brawl...!
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:38:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, well you're one of the 5% or so of the site that doesn't like the Zelda series.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:40:45 PM | message detail
I never said I don't like Zelda! I'm just not a DRONEEEEEEEEEEEEE

And I'm pretty sure the people who'd favor FF and MGS probably wouldn't side with Zelda disproportionately either.
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cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:45:59 PM | message detail
MGS sides with Brawl, FF I'm not sure. Also OoT has like no chance of doubling Brawl, and no way it's gonna triple.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:46:40 PM | message detail
Probably not by much over what OOT was already getting, but any bit helps. The main thing is the change in format......I dunno, I just have a feeling OOT could do a lot more SFF damage to Brawl in 1v1. If not, 70-30 is still pretty impressive, even if it's way better than Brawl deserves.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:47:21 PM | message detail
MGS sides with Brawl, FF I'm not sure. Also OoT has like no chance of doubling Brawl, and no way it's gonna triple.

It already got well over a doubling on Brawl last contest.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:48:24 PM | message detail
Yeah OoT would probably SSF Brawl, but it's still no doubling. OoT would end somewhere between 65 and 60% I think.
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:50:05 PM | message detail
OOT put up 70% on Brawl and 74% on Melee last contest (though the Melee match was a Triple SFF situation with Pokemon RBY, so Melee was put in a really bad position). Brawl would have to not get SFF'd, like, at all, for it to stay above 35%.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 2:01:20 PM | message detail
You can never really tell with 4 ways for sure. Metroid Prime even lost to Vice City because Paper Mario was in the poll and we all know Metroid would kill Vice City in 1v1.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1662

This poll though, makes me believe that Brawl would probably get 35% on OoT.
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 2:10:31 PM | message detail
That poll and CT's finals match with FFVII were probably major overperformances along the lines of Sephiroth/Bowser and Sephiroth/Ganon induced by FFVII being the obvious winner and people trying to take it down, though Melee's probably around that area on FFVII nowadays.

But regardless, OOT demolishes anything from Nintendo with SFF, so what a Nintendo game gets against FFVII isn't going to be representative of what it can get against OOT at all.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/17/2010 2:11:36 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #003
Would you consider SOTC redeemed if it were the game to take down Brawl?


Absolutely.
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cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 2:14:23 PM | message detail
Possibly, but I'm doubting too much SSF in a OoT vs Brawl match. Since Brawl does have characters from many different games. Looking more into it I think a doubling is debatable, but I'm still sure that OoT wouldn't break 70%.
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Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be?
Is it Majora, Resident Evil, Brawl or Final Fantasy?
WhiteLens | Posted 12/17/2010 2:17:21 PM | message detail
You could try the PS3 HD version that'll come out next year.

That should fix the framerate problem and any other PS2 limitations.
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Why must people hate on Tidus? I mean you'd complain too if all you did was walk on a super-long straight-forward path.
The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/17/2010 7:24:27 PM | message detail
I couldn't see OOT getting more than low 60s against brawl.
paerarru | Posted 12/17/2010 8:03:03 PM | message detail
And I'm pretty sure the people who'd favor FF and MGS probably wouldn't side with Zelda disproportionately either.

I sure wouldn't.

It's not that we don't dislike Zelda, it's that we also don't dislike all of Nintendo plus this and that. Heck, Link is in SSBB, ne? Why would I limit myself to just Zelda.

Drone.
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/17/2010 8:53:07 PM | message detail
Only a few minutes left until the madness begins.

Come on, Big Boss. Atone for your son's mistakes.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 12/17/2010 9:00:16 PM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater 66.67%

12
Shadow of the Colossus 33.33%

6
TOTAL VOTES 18
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Cylun | Posted 12/17/2010 9:04:52 PM | message detail
Facing off against two of the previous MGS games sure has given SoTC a boost against MGS >_>
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YERspy | Posted 12/17/2010 9:06:24 PM | message detail
SOTC LEADING IN THE FREEZE

It's almost exactly the OPPOSITE of char's predicted percentage... HOW DOES IT FEEEELLLLL

DON'T UNDERESTIMATE THE WAGON
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/17/2010 9:06:36 PM | message detail
SotC might increase % from here, too. This board has a huge love for MGS3.

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DFF
SnoicFactor | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:03 PM | message detail
watch sotc collapse in % next update
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:25 PM | message detail
I'll wait until SotC adds 40 votes to its lead on the next update before calling it.

...Ah hell.

Game over, MGS4 wins.
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:47 PM | message detail
MGS3, the weakest MGS?

Inconceivable!
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:48 PM | message detail
MGS3 is barely winning in Europe, but it could change a lot.
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Blairville | Posted 12/17/2010 9:08:09 PM | message detail
I think that if SotC wins this, the only game that can beat it is RE4. Just a gut feeling.

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Suigyuko | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:03 PM | message detail
Best 499 and 500th post ever.



God this game is abysmal.



Anyway, SotC vs ZELDA in the day.


It is now distinctly possible we get TP vs WW or MM as the Final. And lets be honest, few words can describe how amazing that would be.
695924 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:20 PM | message detail

From: Blairville | #036
I think that if SotC wins this, the only game that can beat it is RE4. Just a gut feeling.


Uh MM?
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lol opinions
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:22 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
213----1------------100.00
212----0------------0.00
211----1------------100.00
210----3------------100.00
209----1------------100.00
208----5------------100.00
207----2------------100.00
206----5------------100.00
205----2------------100.00
204----5------------80.00
203----6------------83.33
202----10----------90.00
201----11----------90.91
200----5------------100.00
199----18----------88.89
198----23----------95.65
197----19----------100.00
196----21----------95.24
195----29----------93.10
194----32----------90.63
193----39----------82.05
192----55----------92.73
191----43----------86.05
190----38----------94.74
189----48----------87.50
188----45----------88.89
187----64----------84.38
186----40----------92.50
185----61----------83.61
184----58----------82.76
183----64----------84.38
182----99----------91.92
181----145--------92.41
180----105--------77.14
179----90----------66.67
178----80----------73.75
177----67----------68.66
176----78----------71.79
175----103--------70.87
174----96----------61.46
173----116--------68.97
172----120--------72.50
171----132--------63.64
170----133--------68.42
169----123--------63.41
168----122--------59.84
167----136--------65.44
166----161--------70.19
165----162--------59.88
164----165--------53.94
163----171--------57.31
162----151--------60.93
161----192--------64.58
160----172--------58.14
159----183--------57.38
158----173--------56.65
157----199--------57.79
156----177--------58.19
155----189--------49.74
154----245--------52.24
153----228--------52.19
152----208--------51.92
151----226--------44.25
150----240--------47.50
149----217--------48.39
148----272--------44.12
147----220--------47.27
146----258--------43.80
145----235--------44.26
144----258--------43.41
143----284--------42.25
142----234--------43.16
141----254--------46.06
140----270--------41.85
139----275--------38.91
138----254--------40.16
137----263--------49.05
136----274--------40.88
135----324--------38.27
134----301--------44.19
133----298--------41.28
132----294--------37.07
131----307--------43.32
130----318--------40.88
129----320--------40.00
128----307--------37.79
127----328--------36.28
126----336--------36.31
125----324--------29.32
124----380--------33.68
123----331--------33.84
122----316--------28.16
121----342--------33.33
120----393--------31.55
119----384--------23.18
118----348--------32.76
117----353--------26.06
116----394--------27.16
115----401--------23.94
114----387--------23.77
113----376--------26.33
112----404--------28.71
111----402--------23.63
110----404--------27.23
109----428--------29.91
108----398--------25.13
107----379--------24.27
106----373--------21.72
105----399--------21.80
104----416--------22.36
103----406--------21.18
102----390--------22.56
101----378--------24.60
100----388--------19.07
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:25 PM | message detail
99------389--------16.71
98------389--------15.42
97------381--------24.15
96------363--------21.76
95------357--------17.65
94------334--------14.07
93------363--------18.46
92------347--------17.58
91------348--------15.80
90------327--------13.15
89------299--------15.05
88------298--------15.77
87------277--------14.08
86------305--------11.80
85------234--------13.25
84------227--------11.01
83------243--------13.58
82------246--------10.57
81------253--------10.28
80------250--------9.60
79------195--------8.72
78------187--------11.76
77------174--------8.62
76------163--------9.82
75------154--------7.79
74------166--------12.65
73------148--------10.14
72------127--------11.02
71------119--------7.56
70------118--------5.93
69------111--------8.11
68------96----------6.25
67------78----------10.26
66------102--------3.92
65------70----------1.43
64------57----------12.28
63------54----------5.56
62------47----------10.64
61------38----------2.63
60------35----------5.71
59------39----------2.56
58------33----------6.06
57------32----------6.25

54------29----------10.34

51------19----------5.26
50------16----------12.50
49------13----------7.69
48------9------------11.11
47------10----------10.00

45------8------------12.50

42------10----------10.00
41------4------------25.00
40------6------------16.67
39------8------------12.50


Max Score: 232
Omitted scores got it wrong.

Another easy match. Didn't get as much support as FF10 but it was still really good. The top tiers don't do too badly but they fall below 90 fairly quickly. Prediction percentage does stay around the high 80s for a while before fading away.

4 people fell out of the Top 50. Finger_Licken, Iamdead7, tempestjg and Skidlz did not have RE4 winning the match.
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abdou | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:43 PM | message detail
if SoTC is being bandwagoned than its getting stronger with each win, so I wouldn't say MGS3 is the weakest even if it gets beaten worst
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Master Moltar | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:10 PM | message detail
metal gear
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Moltar Status: 188 Points - Vote: FFX
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Janus5000 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:14 PM | message detail
SNAAAAAAAAAAAKE
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail
Take that SotC
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 204/240 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Pokemon GSC
SnoicFactor | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:28 PM | message detail
HAHAHAHA bye sotc
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:39 PM | message detail
go Snake go
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Oracle contest - 13th
Today's pick: Resident Evil 4 - 58.08% Status: meh
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail
Haha, now there are some joke trends.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!
Haguile | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail
SNAAAAKE EAAAATEEEEER.
Cut!
Suigyuko | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:49 PM | message detail

From: WhiteLens | #034
MGS3, the weakest MGS?

Inconceivable!




Called it before the contest started.


Was laughed at.

GUARANTEED IT when the bracket was released, was laughed at.


There was NO CHANCE that MGS 2 was ever going to be weaker than a game it beat in review scores, and doubled in sales, not to mention 2 is just the much much much better game.

2>4>3. Just like I assured everyone it would be.


Now go screw off Snake.
abdou | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:50 PM | message detail
Yes! if MGS3 can keep it close the dead hours will definitely favors it
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