GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 981
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/17/2010 1:23:25 PM | message detail |
I might have to start liking SotC with how fun its contest run has been this year <_< ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://i188.photobucket.com/albums/z277/raptorlc/ahhhh.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:25:07 PM | message detail |
save_us.bigboss --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:25:31 PM | message detail |
Would you consider SOTC redeemed if it were the game to take down Brawl? --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:26:31 PM | message detail |
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-1.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-2.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-3.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-119-4.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-1.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-2.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-3.jpg http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-120-4.jpg Yesssss, Snake vs. the Colossus got chosen --- Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX! http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/9302/banner5morrigan2.jpg |
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:26:34 PM | message detail |
No game will take down Brawl, it deserves to win after it beat Melee. --- ~~Ctesjbuvf~~ "Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever" |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:27:40 PM | message detail |
Facing FFVII is too good for Brawl. It needs to be sent up against OOT 1v1 so it can get tripled. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:32:31 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #006 It wouldn't even get doubled. --- Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be? Is it Majora, Resident Evil, Brawl or Final Fantasy? |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:33:21 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #006 You saw the last Games Contest, right? --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:33:21 PM | message detail |
It got 70-30'd last time with FFX and MGS4 in the poll. Which is way way more than Brawl deserves. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/17/2010 1:34:37 PM | message detail |
red sox, bringing out that New Nintendo hatred --- I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:34:51 PM | message detail |
I
think OOT might have an outside shot at the tripling in 1v1 though. For
one thing, FFX and MGS4 voters should favor OOT, and the big thing is
that no one will be voting for Brawl because they think OOT is safe and
doesn't need their vote. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:38:02 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #011 Not sure why you think so...! One of those games has SOLID SNAKE in it, and it isn't OoT. I'd vote Brawl...! --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:38:59 PM | message detail |
Yeah, well you're one of the 5% or so of the site that doesn't like the Zelda series. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/17/2010 1:40:45 PM | message detail |
I never said I don't like Zelda! I'm just not a DRONEEEEEEEEEEEEE And I'm pretty sure the people who'd favor FF and MGS probably wouldn't side with Zelda disproportionately either. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:45:59 PM | message detail |
MGS sides with Brawl, FF I'm not sure. Also OoT has like no chance of doubling Brawl, and no way it's gonna triple. --- How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG) http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:46:40 PM | message detail |
Probably
not by much over what OOT was already getting, but any bit helps. The
main thing is the change in format......I dunno, I just have a feeling
OOT could do a lot more SFF damage to Brawl in 1v1. If not, 70-30 is
still pretty impressive, even if it's way better than Brawl deserves. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:47:21 PM | message detail |
MGS sides with Brawl, FF I'm not sure. Also OoT has like no chance of doubling Brawl, and no way it's gonna triple. It already got well over a doubling on Brawl last contest. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 1:48:24 PM | message detail |
Yeah OoT would probably SSF Brawl, but it's still no doubling. OoT would end somewhere between 65 and 60% I think. --- Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 1:50:05 PM | message detail |
OOT
put up 70% on Brawl and 74% on Melee last contest (though the Melee
match was a Triple SFF situation with Pokemon RBY, so Melee was put in
a really bad position). Brawl would have to not get SFF'd, like, at
all, for it to stay above 35%. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 2:01:20 PM | message detail |
You
can never really tell with 4 ways for sure. Metroid Prime even lost to
Vice City because Paper Mario was in the poll and we all know Metroid
would kill Vice City in 1v1. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1662 This poll though, makes me believe that Brawl would probably get 35% on OoT. --- Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever. |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/17/2010 2:10:31 PM | message detail |
That
poll and CT's finals match with FFVII were probably major
overperformances along the lines of Sephiroth/Bowser and
Sephiroth/Ganon induced by FFVII being the obvious winner and people
trying to take it down, though Melee's probably around that area on
FFVII nowadays. But regardless, OOT demolishes anything from Nintendo with SFF, so what a Nintendo game gets against FFVII isn't going to be representative of what it can get against OOT at all. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/17/2010 2:11:36 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #003 Absolutely. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img.imgcake.com/1248339042012jpgad.jpg |
cteswhatever | Posted 12/17/2010 2:14:23 PM | message detail |
Possibly,
but I'm doubting too much SSF in a OoT vs Brawl match. Since Brawl does
have characters from many different games. Looking more into it I think
a doubling is debatable, but I'm still sure that OoT wouldn't break 70%. --- Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be? Is it Majora, Resident Evil, Brawl or Final Fantasy? |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/17/2010 2:17:21 PM | message detail |
You could try the PS3 HD version that'll come out next year. That should fix the framerate problem and any other PS2 limitations. --- Why must people hate on Tidus? I mean you'd complain too if all you did was walk on a super-long straight-forward path. |
The Don Makaveli | Posted 12/17/2010 7:24:27 PM | message detail |
I couldn't see OOT getting more than low 60s against brawl. |
paerarru | Posted 12/17/2010 8:03:03 PM | message detail |
And I'm pretty sure the people who'd favor FF and MGS probably wouldn't side with Zelda disproportionately either. I sure wouldn't. It's not that we don't dislike Zelda, it's that we also don't dislike all of Nintendo plus this and that. Heck, Link is in SSBB, ne? Why would I limit myself to just Zelda. Drone. |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/17/2010 8:53:07 PM | message detail |
Only a few minutes left until the madness begins. Come on, Big Boss. Atone for your son's mistakes. --- http://www.mariocube.nl/upload/XIII1008171346.jpg |
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/17/2010 9:00:16 PM | message detail |
Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater 66.67% 12 Shadow of the Colossus 33.33% 6 TOTAL VOTES 18 --- "oh my god oh my god a spider just crawled INTO MY KEYBOARD" -pxlated "It just wants some web access." - Ness26 |
Cylun | Posted 12/17/2010 9:04:52 PM | message detail |
Facing off against two of the previous MGS games sure has given SoTC a boost against MGS >_> --- Canas123:NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!! Ninja Plague:(re: canas 123)I find your lack of faith disturbing |
YERspy | Posted 12/17/2010 9:06:24 PM | message detail |
SOTC LEADING IN THE FREEZE It's almost exactly the OPPOSITE of char's predicted percentage... HOW DOES IT FEEEELLLLL DON'T UNDERESTIMATE THE WAGON --- _foolmo_ 'and out of the blue and completely unprovoked came foolmo and his insult' - Anagram --- _foolmo_ 'I love you so much' - SineNomine |
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/17/2010 9:06:36 PM | message detail |
SotC might increase % from here, too. This board has a huge love for MGS3. --- DFF |
SnoicFactor | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:03 PM | message detail |
watch sotc collapse in % next update --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif |
Janus5000 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:25 PM | message detail |
I'll wait until SotC adds 40 votes to its lead on the next update before calling it. ...Ah hell. Game over, MGS4 wins. --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:47 PM | message detail |
MGS3, the weakest MGS? Inconceivable! --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v252/whitelens/ls_wii_small.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v252/whitelens/mnls_pin_small.png |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/17/2010 9:07:48 PM | message detail |
MGS3 is barely winning in Europe, but it could change a lot. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
Blairville | Posted 12/17/2010 9:08:09 PM | message detail |
I think that if SotC wins this, the only game that can beat it is RE4. Just a gut feeling. --- www.thespeedgamers.com Kingdom Hearts marathon December 17th-20th, be there! |
Suigyuko | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:03 PM | message detail |
Best 499 and 500th post ever. God this game is abysmal. Anyway, SotC vs ZELDA in the day. It is now distinctly possible we get TP vs WW or MM as the Final. And lets be honest, few words can describe how amazing that would be. |
695924 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:20 PM | message detail |
From: Blairville | #036 Uh MM? --- lol opinions |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:22 PM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 213----1------------100.00 212----0------------0.00 211----1------------100.00 210----3------------100.00 209----1------------100.00 208----5------------100.00 207----2------------100.00 206----5------------100.00 205----2------------100.00 204----5------------80.00 203----6------------83.33 202----10----------90.00 201----11----------90.91 200----5------------100.00 199----18----------88.89 198----23----------95.65 197----19----------100.00 196----21----------95.24 195----29----------93.10 194----32----------90.63 193----39----------82.05 192----55----------92.73 191----43----------86.05 190----38----------94.74 189----48----------87.50 188----45----------88.89 187----64----------84.38 186----40----------92.50 185----61----------83.61 184----58----------82.76 183----64----------84.38 182----99----------91.92 181----145--------92.41 180----105--------77.14 179----90----------66.67 178----80----------73.75 177----67----------68.66 176----78----------71.79 175----103--------70.87 174----96----------61.46 173----116--------68.97 172----120--------72.50 171----132--------63.64 170----133--------68.42 169----123--------63.41 168----122--------59.84 167----136--------65.44 166----161--------70.19 165----162--------59.88 164----165--------53.94 163----171--------57.31 162----151--------60.93 161----192--------64.58 160----172--------58.14 159----183--------57.38 158----173--------56.65 157----199--------57.79 156----177--------58.19 155----189--------49.74 154----245--------52.24 153----228--------52.19 152----208--------51.92 151----226--------44.25 150----240--------47.50 149----217--------48.39 148----272--------44.12 147----220--------47.27 146----258--------43.80 145----235--------44.26 144----258--------43.41 143----284--------42.25 142----234--------43.16 141----254--------46.06 140----270--------41.85 139----275--------38.91 138----254--------40.16 137----263--------49.05 136----274--------40.88 135----324--------38.27 134----301--------44.19 133----298--------41.28 132----294--------37.07 131----307--------43.32 130----318--------40.88 129----320--------40.00 128----307--------37.79 127----328--------36.28 126----336--------36.31 125----324--------29.32 124----380--------33.68 123----331--------33.84 122----316--------28.16 121----342--------33.33 120----393--------31.55 119----384--------23.18 118----348--------32.76 117----353--------26.06 116----394--------27.16 115----401--------23.94 114----387--------23.77 113----376--------26.33 112----404--------28.71 111----402--------23.63 110----404--------27.23 109----428--------29.91 108----398--------25.13 107----379--------24.27 106----373--------21.72 105----399--------21.80 104----416--------22.36 103----406--------21.18 102----390--------22.56 101----378--------24.60 100----388--------19.07 |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:25 PM | message detail |
99------389--------16.71 98------389--------15.42 97------381--------24.15 96------363--------21.76 95------357--------17.65 94------334--------14.07 93------363--------18.46 92------347--------17.58 91------348--------15.80 90------327--------13.15 89------299--------15.05 88------298--------15.77 87------277--------14.08 86------305--------11.80 85------234--------13.25 84------227--------11.01 83------243--------13.58 82------246--------10.57 81------253--------10.28 80------250--------9.60 79------195--------8.72 78------187--------11.76 77------174--------8.62 76------163--------9.82 75------154--------7.79 74------166--------12.65 73------148--------10.14 72------127--------11.02 71------119--------7.56 70------118--------5.93 69------111--------8.11 68------96----------6.25 67------78----------10.26 66------102--------3.92 65------70----------1.43 64------57----------12.28 63------54----------5.56 62------47----------10.64 61------38----------2.63 60------35----------5.71 59------39----------2.56 58------33----------6.06 57------32----------6.25 54------29----------10.34 51------19----------5.26 50------16----------12.50 49------13----------7.69 48------9------------11.11 47------10----------10.00 45------8------------12.50 42------10----------10.00 41------4------------25.00 40------6------------16.67 39------8------------12.50 Max Score: 232 Omitted scores got it wrong. Another easy match. Didn't get as much support as FF10 but it was still really good. The top tiers don't do too badly but they fall below 90 fairly quickly. Prediction percentage does stay around the high 80s for a while before fading away. 4 people fell out of the Top 50. Finger_Licken, Iamdead7, tempestjg and Skidlz did not have RE4 winning the match. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
abdou | Posted 12/17/2010 9:09:43 PM | message detail |
if
SoTC is being bandwagoned than its getting stronger with each win, so I
wouldn't say MGS3 is the weakest even if it gets beaten worst --- ... |
Master Moltar | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:10 PM | message detail |
metal gear --- Moltar Status: 188 Points - Vote: FFX Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
Janus5000 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:14 PM | message detail |
SNAAAAAAAAAAAKE --- http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg Fight like dragons, have no fear, swords are made of STEEEEEEEEL~ |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:17 PM | message detail |
Take that SotC --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 204/240 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Pokemon GSC |
SnoicFactor | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:28 PM | message detail |
HAHAHAHA bye sotc --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:39 PM | message detail |
go Snake go --- Oracle contest - 13th Today's pick: Resident Evil 4 - 58.08% Status: meh |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail |
Haha, now there are some joke trends. --- Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again! |
Haguile | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail |
SNAAAAKE EAAAATEEEEER. Cut! |
Suigyuko | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:49 PM | message detail |
From: WhiteLens | #034 Called it before the contest started. Was laughed at. GUARANTEED IT when the bracket was released, was laughed at. There was NO CHANCE that MGS 2 was ever going to be weaker than a game it beat in review scores, and doubled in sales, not to mention 2 is just the much much much better game. 2>4>3. Just like I assured everyone it would be. Now go screw off Snake. |
abdou | Posted 12/17/2010 9:10:50 PM | message detail |
Yes! if MGS3 can keep it close the dead hours will definitely favors it --- ... |