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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 978

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Advokaiser | Posted 12/15/2010 9:08:03 AM | message detail
Wait... Melee/Brawl is a night match?! Then what's the point of the contest?!



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man


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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
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MudkipMaster30 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:08:38 AM | message detail
Oooh, pretty new thread. ^.^
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In 2012, the new Mudkip Invasion will begin...
This user is a proud Canadian.
695924 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:11:53 AM | message detail
FFX is so screwed.
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lol opinions
Magical Rooster | Posted 12/15/2010 9:13:29 AM | message detail
Only getting ahead of yourself by 50 odd posts there with this new incarnation...
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2010 9:14:49 AM | message detail

From: Magical Rooster | #004
Only getting ahead of yourself by 50 odd posts there with this new incarnation...


Eh, it's common. They're always made around 100 posts early during contest season.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
fyrael | Posted 12/15/2010 9:19:26 AM | message detail
True or False:
Unless SotC pulls another upset, we will make it out of the division finals without a prediction percentage under 10%.
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For the swarm...
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/15/2010 9:23:06 AM | message detail

From: 695924 | #003
FFX is so screwed.


That happened when SE decided to green light the project back in 1999
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http://www.gifsoup.com/view2/1499384/me3-o.gif
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/15/2010 9:26:22 AM | message detail
trollblazer.

You will have your comeuppance.
Blairville | Posted 12/15/2010 9:27:31 AM | message detail
HL2... gained percentage there. Surely a sign of things to come?

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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/15/2010 9:27:44 AM | message detail
Also do you want to know something?

Both Samus AND Gordon Freeman suck, and both of these games are horribly average. I hope Fallout 3 kicks Prime's ass and then gets eaten alive by Melee so all three of them can reside in mid-card hell as far as the x-stats go.

Screw this match.
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:28:20 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #008
trollblazer.

You will have your comeuppance.


Trollblazer will see Melee lose tonight.

Then you'll both be unhappy!
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http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/tiroalecjpgap.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/alecjpgyt.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2010 9:28:40 AM | message detail
It's not like I WANT to do this. Anytime anyone does the gloomy face when a completely debated match goes a certain way, people will be there to laugh at him.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Haste_2 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:29:00 AM | message detail
Prime seems to be stabilizing this hour.

Now I just need Prime to maintain this percentage and win the ASV to get a stunning 55% victory, followed by Kingdom Hearts II getting smashed by Twilight Princess 60/40. Then, Prime might have a chance against Fallout 3 next round!

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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/15/2010 9:29:06 AM | message detail
Would you like to bet a testicle on it, Alec?

I'll win Julius back tonight, if you've got the testicular FORTITUDE to gamble.
EvilNcr | Posted 12/15/2010 9:29:16 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #485
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-114-2.jpg


LOL! Who was stupid enough to accept that?! The titles are mixed!
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/15/2010 9:29:56 AM | message detail
Half Life 2 was an amazing game. I never did finish Prime, but from what I played of it it didn't compare at all.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:30:04 AM | message detail
LOL! Who was stupid enough to accept that?! The titles are mixed!

Take another look at the picture.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:30:14 AM | message detail
On the minus side, my oracle and battle picks have been killed once more. On the plus side, Okami looks good!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/15/2010 9:30:43 AM | message detail
EvilNcr
Posted 12/15/2010 12:29:16 PM
message detail From: -LusterSoldier- | #485
http://image.com.com/gamefaqs/images/gotd/gotd-114-2.jpg


LOL! Who was stupid enough to accept that?! The titles are mixed!


Are you serious.

I have been up for literally three straight days and I was able to figure out the concept of the photograph in about four seconds.
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:31:12 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #014
Would you like to bet a testicle on it, Alec?

I'll win Julius back tonight, if you've got the testicular FORTITUDE to gamble.


Hell no, I expect Melee to win and want Melee to win.

I do not throw away testicles rashly!
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##Alec
MudkipMaster30 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:31:57 AM | message detail
HL2 gained about a tenth with that update.
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In 2012, the new Mudkip Invasion will begin...
This user is a proud Canadian.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/15/2010 9:32:12 AM | message detail
Do you throw away rashy testicles, just for my info
EvilNcr | Posted 12/15/2010 9:32:20 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #019
Are you serious.


Yes. I just got it now actually. Why would anyone do that? It's confusing!
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
Advokaiser | Posted 12/15/2010 9:32:36 AM | message detail
Wow. Okami > God of War. I would've never imagined that.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
Blairville | Posted 12/15/2010 9:32:38 AM | message detail
Yeah, but it's still losing in actual votes. Right now it's just stalling.

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peril1337, the cream of Kirby fanboyism
Advokaiser | Posted 12/15/2010 9:34:49 AM | message detail
Hey. What if Half-Life 2 is actually winning because of IPF (Inverted Pics Factor)?

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:35:05 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #022
Do you throw away rashy testicles, just for my info


I check my testicles before receiving them and they have a full protective detail at all times. And comprehensive health care. Can't have Sir Lucious Left Ball getting sick.

I gotta protect my investments.
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http://img.imgcake.com/alec1pngus.png
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/15/2010 9:35:08 AM | message detail
One of the 175 brackets not on the leaderboard. Because of that, Melee will win tonight, just to continue the curse.

Goddamn it
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http://i49.tinypic.com/2ry672r.jpg
Blairville | Posted 12/15/2010 9:36:18 AM | message detail
We may have just gotten ourselves a match! Won't hold my breath though.

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I use bear arms in ALL of my decorating.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/15/2010 9:36:41 AM | message detail
One of the 175 brackets not on the leaderboard. Because of that, Melee will win tonight, just to continue the curse.

Goddamn it


I don't think I've ever wanted a result more than I want Melee > Brawl.
AxemPink | Posted 12/15/2010 9:37:03 AM | message detail
Metroid Prime still gained votes there, though, it was just a percentage cut.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/15/2010 9:37:12 AM | message detail
Did I ... actually ... call a debated match right?
I think that's a first in this contest
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Oracle contest - 15th
Today's pick: Metroid Prime - 51.19% Status:
Solid_Mike86 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:37:46 AM | message detail
"We may have just gotten ourselves a match! Won't hold my breath though"

lol wut? Prime gained votes that update.
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AKA Super Luigi.
#1 Tennessee Titans fan.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/15/2010 9:39:20 AM | message detail

From: Advokaiser | #024
Wow. Okami > God of War. I would've never imagined that.




To be fair, HL2 only needs to stay above 46% for God of War > Okami
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Blairville | Posted 12/15/2010 9:39:58 AM | message detail
I didn't sleep at all JEEZ GUYS SORRY

I'll stop posting now.

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peril1337, the cream of Kirby fanboyism
695924 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:41:15 AM | message detail
MP is gaining more every update now.
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lol opinions
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/15/2010 9:43:18 AM | message detail

From: Advokaiser | #024
Wow. Okami > God of War. I would've never imagined that.


After SOTC beating both MGS games? are you SURE you wouldn't have imagined it?

From: ExThaNemesis | #030
One of the 175 brackets not on the leaderboard. Because of that, Melee will win tonight, just to continue the curse.

Goddamn it


I don't think I've ever wanted a result more than I want Melee > Brawl.




I hear you bro. Before the contest NO other result mattered and even now, no other result matters.
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melikepizza | Posted 12/15/2010 9:45:34 AM | message detail
Its on
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Gamertag - XxBradKennedyxX
Has stopped playing irl for this format!
AxemPink | Posted 12/15/2010 9:45:51 AM | message detail
Okay, now THAT was a Half-Life cut.
tgs2 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:46:18 AM | message detail
Hope...
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You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine
"tgs is taking it alone"
Intanos VI | Posted 12/15/2010 9:47:34 AM | message detail
Match pic change and HL2 makes it's first cut? Hmm..
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Ameobi has been 3 times as effective as Bale at directly laying on goals this season. That is fact. No trolling, just pure fact. - number10
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/15/2010 9:47:59 AM | message detail
Don't get your hopes up too much. Check out the regional shifts: HL2 is winning the overnight areas while Prime easily has the Americas. Doubt the ASV goes Gordon's way, either.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
melikepizza | Posted 12/15/2010 9:50:30 AM | message detail
:(
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Gamertag - XxBradKennedyxX
Has stopped playing irl for this format!
EvilNcr | Posted 12/15/2010 9:50:46 AM | message detail
^^ Exactly. NA is still at 54%+
That means Europe, Asia and others are shifting HL2 and keeping it alive. They might make it closer somewhat but when the NA ASV hits, it's basically finishing it off.
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
charmander6000 | Posted 12/15/2010 9:51:04 AM | message detail
MP almost back to where it was
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2
The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/15/2010 9:52:04 AM | message detail
I guess this'll just be about HL2 trying to make the loss look respectable(and make people wonder how a night match might go!)
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Intanos VI | Posted 12/15/2010 9:53:18 AM | message detail
I wonder what'll happen if someone manages to get a few of the massive steam groups to make an announcement getting everyone to vote.
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Ameobi has been 3 times as effective as Bale at directly laying on goals this season. That is fact. No trolling, just pure fact. - number10
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/15/2010 9:53:43 AM | message detail
Europe hates the gamecube. So i'm AMAZED how well Prime is doing. Prime has no chance against Fallout 3 in a night match.

Also for stats sakes it puts about 5 games in this contest quite close to each other.

- GTAIII
- God of War
- Tales
- Okami
- RE5


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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/15/2010 9:59:57 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #012
It's not like I WANT to do this. Anytime anyone does the gloomy face when a completely debated match goes a certain way, people will be there to laugh at him.


I'm not sure I understand this. I didn't root for HL2 because of my bracket (in fact, I'm already eliminated from the Guru). I didn't create some hype train. I just like HL2 significantly more than Metroid Prime, and it's another bad result when there's been a contest full of them for me.

You're basically saying you're going to troll people when they express disappointment in a game they like losing, in which case there's something a bit wrong with you. Especially coming from the guy who launched into a 15-minute rant, on a podcast, the day Persona 4 beat Dead Rising.

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DFF
transience | Posted 12/15/2010 10:00:34 AM | message detail
this is the topic that will catch the biggest match in five years. let us remember the glorious number 978.

this match does not even matter.
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xyzzy