GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 977
kinsho3 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:26:07 PM | message detail |
So, given that this will likely end in a tie.... Fallout 3 vs. Halo vs. Metroid Prime/Half-Life 2. Who do you have? --- It takes a genius to make something simple truly great. Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though... |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/14/2010 9:26:27 PM | message detail |
Updated list of the contest's biggest turkeys: 1) SBAllen 2) Metal Gear Solid 4 3) Pokemon G/S/C 4) Final Fantasy XII 5) GTA: San Andreas :P --- Kingdom Hearts + Uncharted 2 = dead bracket. This contest, man. |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/14/2010 9:26:33 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #197 If Crono won, why do the records show the big M with the W. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:26:38 PM | message detail |
For
the 20th time or thereabouts, the polls typically started around
11:45-11:50 in 2003, not 12:00. Mario/Crono was 5-10 minutes early, and
about 20 minutes late. No matter whether you slice off the early votes
or the late votes, Crono won every single 24-hour segment. Wrong the polls started at around 12am sometimes they were early sometimes they were late. There's a reason why we went to 12:00. It's the time where it was suppose to end. I wonder if Ngamer still has those stats... --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/14/2010 9:28:44 PM | message detail |
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/03Summer/MarioVSCronoUpdates.txt --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· "Ulti is a real bro." -Chrono1219 |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/14/2010 9:28:58 PM | message detail |
I wonder if Ngamer still has those stats... http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/pollupdates.html --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:29:11 PM | message detail |
Well Mario had the help of bad poll closing management, in addition to lots of stuffed votes that weren't caught. The start times varied in 2003, but they were consistently close to 11:50. Very very few polls started at midnight or later. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/14/2010 9:29:14 PM | message detail |
Bacon decided that all polls that don't involve Zelda or Link aren't even worth running. --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
TepigMovie | Posted 12/14/2010 9:29:31 PM | message detail |
Hmmm... Is what what's his name saying in MWE's topic true? Halo beasted in the first few minutes and SBAllen hit the panic button? --- I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo Now this is entertainment! |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:31:23 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #207 It's Crono. There were definitely Crono stuffed votes too. >_> --- Sack Up Or Shut Up™ |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/14/2010 9:31:44 PM | message detail |
From: TepigMovie | #209 It's true. I watched as Halo surged out to an incredible lead and then I got a boner! --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
TepigMovie | Posted 12/14/2010 9:32:35 PM | message detail |
Oh well then if yo believes it it must be a lie! --- I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo Now this is entertainment! |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/14/2010 9:32:45 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #207 mario clutch crono choke --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
creativename | Posted 12/14/2010 9:32:59 PM | message detail |
Let it go Mario fans, for the love of Alucard let it go. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:33:29 PM | message detail |
The start times varied in 2003, but they were consistently close to 11:50. Very very few polls started at midnight or later. No they weren't, especially with close matches and I wish Ngamer still had those start times. Heck read Ulti's analysis he even said that when the poll didn't close at exactly 11:40 everyone knew it was going to close at 12. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2 |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/14/2010 9:34:22 PM | message detail |
Crono and Samus can share a beer together in the "I got toasted by Mario's clutch-ness" lounge. I hear they do dollar drafts at happy hour. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:34:28 PM | message detail |
Certainly
there were stuffed votes on both sides, but it was pretty clear Mario
had more. And it doesn't really matter, because Crono wins even with
the stuffing if the poll were closed on time. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Mr3790 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:35:04 PM | message detail |
Well...I definitely say I didn't expect this. --- This space for rent. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/14/2010 9:35:25 PM | message detail |
Alright,
I just sent Allen a message on PSN. I promised I would never send him
messages about the site unless it's a major emergency, but I think this
counts as one since the higher-ups are making the contest stay within a
very strict schedule and a delay would be disastrous. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· Hey, it's that dog! |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/14/2010 9:35:28 PM | message detail |
Crono
could've been massively vote-stuffed over the course of the day and
that's the only reason he was ahead in the first place. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:36:01 PM | message detail |
I will never be able to accept another fanbase having quite the will and ability to stuff that the CT fanbase does. --- Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011 |
SnoicFactor | Posted 12/14/2010 9:36:22 PM | message detail |
Fallout 3 83.33% 5 Halo: Combat Evolved 16.67% 1 TOTAL VOTES 6 --- http://www.threadbombing.com/data/media/31/f53sle_2.gif |
TepigMovie | Posted 12/14/2010 9:36:48 PM | message detail |
From: SnoicFactor | #222 JERK JERK JERK --- I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo Now this is entertainment! |
Mario vs Crono | Posted 12/14/2010 9:36:49 PM | message detail |
Let it go Mario fans, for the love of Alucard let it go. Heh. We'll probably still be talking about the match years from now. >_> --- 2002: Mario | 53831 | 50.05% | Crono | 53716 | 49.95% | lead of 115 | 2003: Mario | 66571 | 50.05% | Crono | 66434 | 49.95% | lead of 137 | |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:37:30 PM | message detail |
No they weren't, especially with close matches and I wish Ngamer still had those start times. Heck read Ulti's analysis he even said that when the poll didn't close at exactly 11:40 everyone knew it was going to close at 12. I remember reading Ngamer or someone's records of the time the poll opened in 2003. It was different every day, but generally fell within a 10-minute window around 11:50. At or past midnight was very very rare. I dunno about close matches.....I don't think there were any close matches that went down to the wire in 2003 other than Mario/Crono, actually. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:38:07 PM | message detail |
The match had something like 133k votes of course there was stuffing. Now remember that Link/Cloud has 147k --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2 |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:39:35 PM | message detail |
I will never be able to accept another fanbase having quite the will and ability to stuff that the CT fanbase does. Crono's 1-5 in matches decided by less than 2000 votes. Mario has lost one close match ever, SM64/LTTP. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/14/2010 9:39:42 PM | message detail |
I loved the hell out of Mario's cheating ways back then. Now, I want nothing more than his comeuppance. HIS. COMEUPPANCE. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
creativename | Posted 12/14/2010 9:40:26 PM | message detail |
Red, the Mario fanboys can only troll you if you let them. Don't feed 'em! --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Haste_2 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:41:16 PM | message detail |
Fallout 3 0% 0 Halo: Combat Evolved 100% 1 TOTAL VOTES 1 First vote. Yaaaaaay, I have never done it before! --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/14/2010 9:41:24 PM | message detail |
It
would feel weird if this match was delayed until around 12:00 PM EST.
As a result, all remaining 12 hour matches would have their timeframe
switched from day to night and night to day. So Melee/Brawl would end
up being a day match as a result of this glitch, assuming the Fallout 3
match became a day match instead. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
Haste_2 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:42:01 PM | message detail |
The chances of my previous post being true is about as good as my ability to ACTUALLY get the first vote. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/14/2010 9:42:34 PM | message detail |
Well I tried to get to the bottom of things... [ IngmarBirdman ] yo dude, what's goin on [ IngmarBirdman ] ? [ SBFailen ] Dude remember that time Crono lost in the first round? --- "I skate when I want to!" -Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264) |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/14/2010 9:43:10 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #227 What's Crono's favorite drink? http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/I/41uvnMhjMfL.jpg --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
TepigMovie | Posted 12/14/2010 9:43:15 PM | message detail |
Oooooooooooo --- I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo Now this is entertainment! |
MudkipMaster30 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:43:55 PM | message detail |
@Haste_2: Damnit. You got my hopes up there. >_> --- In 2012, the new Mudkip Invasion will begin... This user is a proud Canadian. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:44:57 PM | message detail |
Nah it just confirms that Crono stuffers are worse at this. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2 |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:45:12 PM | message detail |
The match had something like 133k votes of course there was stuffing. Now remember that Link/Cloud has 147k I dunno if this is a serious argument, but you have to look at votal intake trends inside the match to decide anything about stuffing. Mario/Crono's pace picked up dramatically at the end; it got 3-4000 votes above the trendline in the last 2 hours from what I remember of when I calculated it. Those numbers dwarf any cases of legitimate rallying we've seen. You know I am always extremely hesitant to call stuffing on anything, and frankly, most of the times people shout rallying they just completely misunderstand the concept of variance. This is not such a case. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LOLContests | Posted 12/14/2010 9:45:31 PM | message detail |
Nobody
ever brings up the other blatant Ceej manipulation that match which was
Mario *not* getting a pic from his first appearance when that was the
theme of the round. I'm-a cheating indeed. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
MudkipMaster30 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:46:43 PM | message detail |
Aha! The fiend who shut down the poll has finally revealed themself! It's... Kirby!?! :o --- In 2012, the new Mudkip Invasion will begin... This user is a proud Canadian. |
Merc25 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:46:49 PM | message detail |
This is exactly what I needed to stay awake(bugs and comments), thank you guys. --- If you read this signature, then you have wasted your time. (:H --- Capt. Bullet, my mascot. |playing: Dragon Age, Borderlands |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/14/2010 9:47:17 PM | message detail |
I love talking about Mario/Crono II with people that supported Crono. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:47:24 PM | message detail |
You know I have yet to defend Mario, the main point is that the poll should have ended at 12 where Mario completed his comeback. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2 |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:50:06 PM | message detail |
It
should have ended at 11:45, closer to the standard start time for the
year, and already 5 minutes over 24 hours, when Crono still led by like
170. Alternatively, if you insist on 12:00, even though 12:00 was not
the standard time in 2003, you should throw out the first 20 minutes of
voting, which Mario won, and Crono still wins. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/14/2010 9:52:15 PM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 174----1------------100.00 173----1------------100.00 172----0------------0.00 171----0------------0.00 170----1------------100.00 169----4------------100.00 168----3------------66.67 167----8------------75.00 166----8------------87.50 165----17----------82.35 164----19----------84.21 163----31----------74.19 162----39----------87.18 161----31----------70.97 160----46----------84.78 159----64----------75.00 158----66----------69.70 157----135--------31.11 156----125--------60.80 155----111--------62.16 154----129--------64.34 153----120--------69.17 152----118--------65.25 151----151--------60.93 150----152--------53.29 149----171--------57.89 148----168--------47.62 147----178--------53.37 146----186--------53.76 145----207--------54.59 144----210--------54.76 143----227--------51.10 142----210--------54.29 141----242--------51.24 140----213--------50.70 139----259--------47.10 138----282--------44.33 137----253--------47.04 136----262--------45.80 135----258--------48.84 134----295--------46.44 133----297--------44.78 132----342--------42.40 131----301--------40.86 130----332--------45.78 129----328--------46.95 128----343--------45.19 127----351--------31.05 126----301--------39.20 125----327--------38.23 124----331--------36.56 123----350--------34.57 122----388--------39.69 121----379--------35.09 120----398--------33.92 119----402--------31.09 118----365--------32.60 117----376--------34.04 116----393--------30.53 115----444--------29.73 114----415--------30.36 113----426--------28.64 112----432--------26.62 111----462--------21.21 110----443--------23.02 109----445--------25.39 108----523--------23.71 107----490--------22.65 106----463--------22.03 105----469--------23.03 104----472--------23.94 103----494--------18.62 102----508--------20.87 101----496--------18.15 100----522--------22.61 99------481--------17.88 98------498--------19.68 97------491--------18.53 96------534--------17.04 95------492--------14.43 94------473--------17.34 93------467--------14.35 92------475--------12.00 91------456--------13.38 90------450--------13.56 89------492--------12.20 88------450--------10.22 87------449--------12.47 86------414--------13.04 85------374--------11.76 84------345--------8.41 83------394--------9.14 82------353--------7.93 81------322--------10.87 80------319--------10.03 79------265--------9.43 78------279--------8.60 77------261--------8.43 76------258--------13.57 75------212--------6.13 74------229--------3.93 73------224--------5.36 72------185--------5.41 71------182--------7.69 70------171--------5.26 69------153--------9.80 68------118--------10.17 67------103--------6.80 66------123--------8.13 65------93----------5.38 64------85----------9.41 63------76----------5.26 62------63----------3.17 61------58----------8.62 60------52----------5.77 59------47----------2.13 58------53----------1.89 57------39----------5.13 56------30----------3.33 55------25----------4.00 54------33----------3.03 53------17----------11.76 51------22----------4.55 |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/14/2010 9:52:16 PM | message detail |
50------18----------5.56 49------14----------7.14 48------11----------9.09 46------10----------10.00 43------6------------16.67 40------8------------12.50 37------5------------20.00 31------5------------20.00 24------4------------25.00 22------4------------25.00 21------4------------25.00 15------4------------25.00 3--------9------------11.11 Max score: 188 Omitted scores all got the match wrong. Overall prediction percentage wasn't too good but the top tiers did quite well. They managed to stay in the mid 80s for a while before the prediction percentage faded as normal. The 157 brackets do really poorly for some reason so there might be a bunch of identical brackets there. I don't think those are Luster Soldier's accounts, though. 7 people fell off the Top 50. wesastro911, LoneRanger22, PKProStudio, Sephiroth23x, fount_of_evil, TehDukeofEarl and axelslament did not have Wind Waker winning the match. 1 person got it wrong and survived. maisface86 also did not have Wind Waker winning the match. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/14/2010 9:52:46 PM | message detail |
This is like the GotD smoke break, when we talk about days gone by. --- Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX! http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/14/2010 9:53:08 PM | message detail |
I still have no idea why you keep thinking the poll started at 11:50, sure there was no set time, but the consensus was 12ish. You should blame CJayC for starting the poll early not ending it late and besides the match was the most hyped match I'm sure everyone that voted early would have voted later. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 164/192 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & HL2 |
LOLContests | Posted 12/14/2010 9:53:28 PM | message detail |
I
agree with charmander in theory. Polls were supposed to start and end
at 12:00 AM. Mario/Crono didn't end late, it started early. However, that's just semantics. Ceej was right in leaving the poll open until 12, since if Mario's finish had been a touch stronger then it was he would have won the proper midnight to midnight time frame, and be the "proper" winner. As it was, Mario did not win the 12-12 time period. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/14/2010 9:53:33 PM | message detail |
There is no consecutive 24 hour time frame in that match that Mario won. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img64.imageshack.us/img64/9320/linkalwayswins.jpg |