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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 975

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IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/13/2010 5:33:07 PM | message detail
Last time I actually expressed concern and optimism for MGS2 > SotC. Ima try not caring and see how that works!

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/13/2010 5:58:22 PM | message detail
I forget, what did MGS2 get?
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My God, did that predict good!
Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'...
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2010 6:03:25 PM | message detail
MGS4 is trying to take the SNV here, LOL.


Anyways, onto the next match. For Majora's Mask/Pokemon GSC, If you were to set both games equal, then Chrono Cross would get 55.71% on Mario Kart Wii while Mario Kart Wii gets 56.98% on Dragon Quest VIII.

In order for Majora's Mask to win, one of the following would have to be possible:

Chrono Cross gets at least 55.72% on higher on Mario Kart Wii.
Mario Kart Wii gets 56.97% or lower on Dragon Quest VIII.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
Haste_2 | Posted 12/13/2010 6:08:35 PM | message detail
I would say Mario Kart Wii easily gets at least 57% on DQ8, but I don't just like using GSC/MK Wii to judge GSC's strength because there could have been SFF.... but once tomorrow is done with maybe we'll get a better feel for that match.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
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AxemPink | Posted 12/13/2010 6:08:59 PM | message detail
And I was really liking this Shadow of the Colossus bandwagon, too. :(
Hochimihnister | Posted 12/13/2010 6:09:23 PM | message detail
Majora's Mask cannot win because it does not possess the "royal jelly"
Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/13/2010 6:09:58 PM | message detail
MGS4 I don't know what you think you're doing but you better stop it

NOW
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
Pondoe | Posted 12/13/2010 6:12:57 PM | message detail
I hope SotC wins the whole tournament, just so people can see what Adam Sandler Factor can do.
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Mega is all like 'pew pew mother****ers' and X us all like 'pew pew but only if I have to' -ChidoriNoJutsu
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2010 6:13:15 PM | message detail
I would say Mario Kart Wii easily gets at least 57% on DQ8, but I don't just like using GSC/MK Wii to judge GSC's strength because there could have been SFF.... but once tomorrow is done with maybe we'll get a better feel for that match.

True, I don't know how much SFF (if any) was involved in GSC/MK Wii. Would be better off trying to compare Chrono Cross and MK Wii on the basis of Majora's Mask/GSC being equal.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/13/2010 6:18:13 PM | message detail
Hmm, MGS4 went on a brief tear there. Looks like SotC has contained it, and tbqh 660 is too much for MGS4 given the match so far.
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AxemPink | Posted 12/13/2010 6:29:58 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
AxemPink | Posted 12/13/2010 6:32:11 PM | message detail
I think SotC still has this, although if MGS4 gets close enough to do what MGS is known for, well, don't count on lightning to strike twice IMO.

This also makes SotC's chances to survive a night match against MGS3 look a lot worse, unless you believe in the power of THE BANDWAGON.
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/13/2010 6:35:45 PM | message detail
This is insufficient from MGS4. 15 vote cuts aren't going to, well, cut it.

That said, if it's within striking distance with an hour to go, it could very well take this.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2010 6:40:04 PM | message detail
MGS4 was doing better from 8:00-9:00 PM than it is currently doing from 9:00-10:00 PM. Nearly 200 votes cut during the 8:00-9:00 PM hour.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/13/2010 6:45:26 PM | message detail
If MGS4 were about 400 votes closer, this would be really exciting.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/13/2010 6:53:59 PM | message detail
There's no chance. Maybe if MGS4 was up against Nintendo and was expected to lose and everyone was all pumped and crap. Maybe. MGS4 was expected to win and has embarrassed itself and everyone just wants to see it leave. No one wants to help it.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
HaRRicH | Posted 12/13/2010 6:56:48 PM | message detail
SotC's already shaken off the MGS-clutch once, too, so go ahead and toss the rest of the dirt on MGS4.
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http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
EPONA EPONA EPONA
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/13/2010 7:05:42 PM | message detail
Man, I don't know what it is about this match, but these stats topics have been disastrous discussions today.
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Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX!
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tennisboy213 | Posted 12/13/2010 7:30:17 PM | message detail
MGS4 needs to cut 29 votes per update to win.
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Join the bandwagon!! Mario > Link!!
ancara | Posted 12/13/2010 7:31:08 PM | message detail
Wow, 448 vote difference now. MGS4 is definitely trying a last-ditch effort to win here, with about an hour and a hour to go before the end of the match.

Either MGS4 pulls out a last-minute win here, or it's gonna be extremely close vote-wise. By god, this is gonna be an exciting conclusion to see when it comes. <3
charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2010 7:31:14 PM | message detail
This mentality is why the stats topic will always finish in the 99th percentile but never win anything. You are a hivemind -- a collective slave to extrapolated standings and using past results to project future results.

lrn 2 stats, thx, bye bye.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 156/172 Today's Matches: MGS3 & MGS4
Dilated Chemist | Posted 12/13/2010 7:32:49 PM | message detail
Wow, so people are pushing SOTC to ruin brackets.

SOTC - The MGS Killer

GT: TriggerTRE // PSN ID: SolidTRE
GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW
HaRRicH | Posted 12/13/2010 7:33:42 PM | message detail
If you didn't like today, don't look forward to us during LoZ:MM/Pokemon in a little bit. Debate for a hugely important match plus two of the biggest topic-destroying fanbases facing off will equal some hell on the eyes and brain tonight.
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What do Ocarina of Time, Majora's Mask, and Twilight Princess have in common? EPONA!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
transients | Posted 12/13/2010 7:36:24 PM | message detail
yep. I hope one wins with 60%+ just to make it seem even more ridiculous. I'm looking forward to this next one being over.

this one's over. MGs2 > MGS4 is confirmed statwise.
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xyzzy
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/13/2010 7:36:43 PM | message detail
If you didn't like today, don't look forward to us during LoZ:MM/Pokemon in a little bit.

This.

MM / GSC is basically gonna be war. That and Smash ^ 2 obv.

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
transients | Posted 12/13/2010 7:36:44 PM | message detail
and Leonhart, whenever you wake up or whatever, set MGS3 and 4 equal and show us what kind of a mess this division's in.
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xyzzy
transients | Posted 12/13/2010 7:37:54 PM | message detail
I like how the only matches we actually care about are Nintendo ones. silly Nintendo
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xyzzy
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/13/2010 7:39:55 PM | message detail
Well we care about HL2/MP! That's only half Nintendo!
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I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
pjbasis | Posted 12/13/2010 7:44:53 PM | message detail

From: transients | #224
MGs2 > MGS4 is confirmed statwise.


And I rejoice.
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/13/2010 7:50:41 PM | message detail
This push started far too late. Shame, it could have been good if MGS4 had gotten in gear earlier (no pun intended).
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2010 7:54:33 PM | message detail
Under 500!

MGS4 has a shot to get it under 400, but that's the best it could do here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
XIII_rocks | Posted 12/13/2010 7:57:10 PM | message detail
Hey! It only needs about 38.15 votes per update! It's NOT OVER YET >_>
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Dr. Football
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/13/2010 7:57:51 PM | message detail
Y'know, people have been saying a night match might help in MGS3, but I don't see why. SotC has won Europe much more easily than any other continent (well, it's only won there and in NA...), and lower votals will make bandwagoning more effective.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
charmander6000 | Posted 12/13/2010 7:59:12 PM | message detail
Match CXI: (1) The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask vs. (4) Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal

Last Round

The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask – 67.10%
Chrono Cross – 32.90%

Mario Kart Wii – 29.14%
Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal – 70.86%

Analysis

For a match that started out with a lot of people feeling pretty confident about turned into a real nail biter. Pokemon was never expected to win big against Majora’s Mask and both games have showed that they are heavy hitters this contest. It seemed that when SBAllen was making the bracket he was trying to set up the two Zelda games, so you would think he would be underestimating Pokemon yet he took Pokemon DPP over Brawl so I’m not sure what he thinks.

A lot of people were impressed with the way Majora’s Mask crushed Chrono Cross last round, but I think it was due to people trying to hype up Chrono Cross. If you ignore any SFF last contest Majora’s Mask would get 43% on Final Fantasy IX and if that was the case the game would lose right there. Of course that’s not the case, but it does show that Chrono Cross could have been significantly SFF last contest and still not even put up 33% on Majora’s Mask.

The main reason why a large portion of the board thinks Pokemon GSC has a chance was the performance from last contest where the game got 46% against Majora’s Mask with Pokemon RBY in the poll. While you could argue that Majora’s Mask would get a nice percent of RBY’s votes compare to MGS I do find it hard to believe that very many RBY voters would prefer MM over GSC as their second choice. The game also got over 46% against Metal Gear Solid which is something most people don’t see Majora’s Mask reproducing, of course Pokemon GS was quite the standout in that match so it is possible that the game overperformed.

Of course that was last contest, but personally I don’t see why people are down about its performances. Very few games would get back to back 70% performances and given that they were both new games with almost no information about them other than they would be weak I’d say Pokemon GSC did a decent job. Especially if you think the series suffers from slight anti-votes that prevent it from getting blowouts.

I’ve always thought Majora’s Mask would keep it close, but personally I’ve been more worried about Wind Waker. While we can make several comparisons with Majora’s Mask Wind Waker is a total unknown. I still think Pokemon takes this match, the series did reach new heights in the previous character battle and Pokemon HeartGold/SoulSilver should help.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Pokemon GSC > LoZ: Majora’s Mask

charmander6000’s Prediction: Pokemon GSC wins, 53.48% - 46.52%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 156/172 Today's Matches: MGS3 & MGS4
pjbasis | Posted 12/13/2010 8:03:24 PM | message detail
I have excite.
transients | Posted 12/13/2010 8:03:27 PM | message detail
night match definitely helps MGS3. you can just look at the last few hours of MGS4/SOTC to see that. MGS3 has seemingly had a better night vote than MGS4 too.
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xyzzy
JawolopingJeff | Posted 12/13/2010 8:15:03 PM | message detail
SotC will probably win next round. Why? Well I had MGS 4 winning next round, and normally I would vote for my bracket like today, but next time SotC gets my vote. How many others will do the same?
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/13/2010 8:18:54 PM | message detail
Me.

Also vote Pokémon.

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
ancara | Posted 12/13/2010 8:18:59 PM | message detail
and now the difference in percentage is literally 1%.

Wow, only about less than 45 minutes to go. We may have another really close match here. If SotC does the same close victory it did last match here and in the division finals, it'll probably have a chance to get to at least the semi-finals.

and by god, if it beats FFX, then the FF fanbase raeg from the result would be hillariously epic. Thus, it must happen.
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/13/2010 8:20:28 PM | message detail
I just noticed the pic for the first LMFAO.

SotC all epic versus MGS4 all ... leprosy?

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/13/2010 8:20:36 PM | message detail

From: ancara | #239
Wow, only about less than 45 minutes to go. We may have another really close match here.


Not even MGS can swing 500 votes in 45 minutes.
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No, every man's goal in life is to spread his seed as many times as possible. - A statement Realo actually believes
voltch | Posted 12/13/2010 8:20:38 PM | message detail
People are so gonna lowball Snake in the next character battle now.
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Uguu~
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/13/2010 8:21:08 PM | message detail
I might consider voting for SotC next round, given that my bracket is dead by now. I'd have a better chance in the battle challenge to secure a prize, if I do well enough with the remaining matches.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
YERspy | Posted 12/13/2010 8:23:39 PM | message detail

From: voltch | #242
People are so gonna lowball Snake in the next character battle now.


I don't think so

Snake is a monster as a character. People can dislike MGS games, but they can't dislike Snake himself.
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_foolmo_
'Most people at least try to say something funny. See foolmo's post as an example.' - The Real Truth
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/13/2010 8:25:24 PM | message detail
I wonder what's a good upset to take at Snake's expense. It's not as though taking Cloud/Seph/Mario/Samus is stupid all of a sudden, and all those near-elite tough guys like Squall, Auron, Vincent, and Ganon can never stand a chance. Guess you go with Mega Man or Sonic.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/13/2010 8:26:20 PM | message detail
Crono > Snake
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/13/2010 8:26:29 PM | message detail

From: IngmarBirdman | #240
I just noticed the pic for the first LMFAO.

SotC all epic versus MGS4 all ... leprosy?


Ya know, I really do love that MGS4 pic. I think the more impressionistic approach is cooler than OLDSNAKEFACE we got for MGS4 regular edition.

Speaking of which, what is up with PS3 exclusives and EXTREMECLOSEUP for the covers? Is there some memo Sony sends out about this?

http://image.com.com/gamespot/images/bigboxshots/6/926596_63080_front.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamespot/images/bigboxshots/7/928377_67440_front.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamespot/images/bigboxshots/8/943928_97577_front.jpg
http://image.com.com/gamespot/images/bigboxshots/8/959038_138916_front.jpg
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/13/2010 8:28:07 PM | message detail
I wouldn't change a thing about Snake from last year.

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DFF
EvilNcr | Posted 12/13/2010 8:28:23 PM | message detail
Crono fell off a lot TMS. It's just no longer as strong as it used to be. It's probably around Sonic-Megaman.
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
Articuno2001 | Posted 12/13/2010 8:29:31 PM | message detail
Snake gets a good amount of his power from Brawl. Take that out and you get disappointments like these.
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2010 Game of the Decade Contest - 149/176 points - Today: Metal Gear Solid 3 / Metal Gear Solid 4
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