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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 971

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raytan7585 | Posted 12/10/2010 10:42:12 AM | message detail
Just imagine KHII/KH as Melee/Brawl match. lol


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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
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http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man

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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 11:09:47 AM | message detail
won't happen since it's a night match and night matches suck ass. People will be able to predict that match from the first hour. If melee has over 55% lead it will win the match, if it's below that the overnight bleeding could help Brawl overtake it. If brawl is winning then game over and lol melee.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/10/2010 11:27:35 AM | message detail
yeeeeees
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:27:57 AM | message detail
That's, what, 12 lead changes through 2:26 EST? If this keeps up much longer it'll crush the most lead changes in a 12 hour match record.
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Alec not at home
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:28:23 AM | message detail
Personally I doubt Melee/Brawl will be a close match, as in the winner will probably finish over 52%.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 11:28:43 AM | message detail
yoblazer's big post

You do realize how this sounds coming from someone who prefers DMC1 over DMC3?

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:29:19 AM | message detail
I think "series starter" is definitely more important in a series where the ongoing story arc is important, such as KH.

With Halo, even if you never owned an Xbox, you could jump into the series at Halo 3 with little to no problem, because of the multiplayer aspect.

I would wager that the amount of people who played KH2 without ever playing KH is minuscule. I have KH2 in my bracket (and I'll be on the leaderboard if it wins, 99.9% sure), but since KH should have a higher playrate than the sequel just based purely on logic, the devoted fanbase should have to significantly prefer the sequel for KH2 to win.


That is solid rationale. I'm assuming you expected the devoted fanbase to significantly favor KHII?
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
DpObliVion | Posted 12/10/2010 11:30:44 AM | message detail
omfg no

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Booyah, Grandma. Booyah. {XIV} dood
JaKyL25 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:30:49 AM | message detail
Yes, although I don't remember why. <_<
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/10/2010 11:31:13 AM | message detail
And of course the closest match of the contest will end up being the one that I can literally only be here 3 hours for.

****ing augh.

So early impressions, guys? Is this a total and utter toss-up at this point?

For some reason I feel like the kiddies will SLIGHTLY prefer KH2 with the ASV.

Also that pic is awful. Whoever did those made absolutely no effort to make them distinguishable with the logo. Very frustrating.
695924 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:31:42 AM | message detail
ASV needs to crush one of these games.
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lol opinions
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 12/10/2010 11:32:01 AM | message detail
I prefer KHII to the first one in almost every aspects. <.<

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Awaiting Final Fantasy versus XIII
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:32:01 AM | message detail
So early impressions, guys? Is this a total and utter toss-up at this point?

KH2 has this unless KH does something with the ASV.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/10/2010 11:32:06 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #010
Is this a total and utter toss-up at this point?


Pretty much. We're already in the double digits with lead changes, nobody has got over a 100 vote lead, and who f***ing knows about that ASV.
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No, every man's goal in life is to spread his seed as many times as possible. - A statement Realo actually believes
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:32:23 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #006
You do realize how this sounds coming from someone who prefers DMC1 over DMC3?


I... don't understand.

Also Jakyl, while I like your theory, I think an improved sequel can have the intrinsic popularity to beat a series starter regardless of genre. I think we'd all take Mass Effect 2 to beat down Mass Effect, for example. ME2 may even have the higher player rate at this point.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
__Smurf__ | Posted 12/10/2010 11:32:32 AM | message detail
Er..wow. How rare is it for fans to have no idea of their preference of two games in the same series?
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
JaKyL25 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:32:34 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #010
Also that pic is awful. Whoever did those made absolutely no effort to make them distinguishable with the logo. Very frustrating.


Today's Contest Image submitted by UltimaterializerX
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 11:33:51 AM | message detail
I... don't understand.

You're going "I can't believe this is close. KH2 is just so clearly better than KH1."

But you like DMC1 more than DMC3. You're a living counterexample to sequels being obviously better not meaning much compared to whatever came first.

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DFF
UOTY2011 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:33:54 AM | message detail
6 lead swaps in 7 updates
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_foolmo_
'I love you so much' - SineNomine
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:34:07 AM | message detail
Ya know, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw something similar with Majora vs. Wind Waker. Of course, that's Zelda so both games would have around 100% of the vote.

DROOOOOOOOOONES
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
FFaddict1313 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:34:42 AM | message detail
I'm really happy with the pic because it keeps out the insane plot of KHII as best as possible (no characters in it from after KHI) *and* gives goofy ass clown shoes factor to KHI.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/10/2010 11:35:29 AM | message detail
Should have put Sephiroth/Cloud in the KH2 pic.
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"You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?"
JaKyL25 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:35:34 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #020
Ya know, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw something similar with Majora vs. Wind Waker. Of course, that's Zelda so both games would have around 100% of the vote.

DROOOOOOOOOONES


Oh crap, I haven't been paying that close of attention, is MM favored over G/S/C now?

That'll screw me over big time.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/10/2010 11:35:36 AM | message detail
:O

I thought KH1 would have this pretty easily! What happened...?!?

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 139
KH > KHII
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/10/2010 11:35:37 AM | message detail
Anyone who likes DMC1 better than DMC3 should have bad things happen to them.

Just sayin'.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:35:50 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #018
I... don't understand.

You're going "I can't believe this is close. KH2 is just so clearly better than KH1."

But you like DMC1 more than DMC3. You're a living counterexample to sequels being obviously better not meaning much compared to whatever came first.


Different scenario, though. DMC3 received little hype and followed a stinker. Heck, I'd argue that the series was already dead by that point; it hit its peak with the original. KHII was insanely hyped. Fans of the series were practically dying for it.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/10/2010 11:35:55 AM | message detail
Today's Contest Image submitted by UltimaterializerX


Jesus Ulti, you could've tried a LITTLE harder to distinguish the games instead of basically the same picture. The average GameFAQs voters are total spuds and probably don't realize the difference and just go with the top option.

If you picked KH2 this makes sense I guess. >.>
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:36:23 AM | message detail

From: JaKyL25 | #023
Oh crap, I haven't been paying that close of attention, is MM favored over G/S/C now?

That'll screw me over big time.


Toss up. Pokemon may be very slightly favored.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 12/10/2010 11:36:35 AM | message detail
What a nail-biter. Hold on KH2.
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"Principally I hate and detest the animal called man, although I heartily love John, Peter, Thomas and so forth" - Jonathan Swift
FFDragon | Posted 12/10/2010 11:36:37 AM | message detail
dat top option
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
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TRE Public Account | Posted 12/10/2010 11:37:22 AM | message detail
If you picked KH2 this makes sense I guess. >.>

He has KH1.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 11:37:38 AM | message detail
And even with all that, KH2 still sold less than the original.

DMC3 didn't sell that much less than the original, either. It's technically, objectively, and by and far away considered the better game by everyone in existence. It's also weaker than the original. That's just how these things work.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:38:08 AM | message detail
If you picked KH2 this makes sense I guess. >.>

He has KH1.


He'll actually be eliminated from the guru if KH2 wins too.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/10/2010 11:39:21 AM | message detail
He has KH1

This makes it even more of a head scratcher then.

Ulti what were you thinking.
Greyfeld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:39:59 AM | message detail
You know, if the US holds to its current trends, KH1 has a real chance of pulling away here pretty soon.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:41:27 AM | message detail
KH2 with the spike as the ASV inches closer.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:41:44 AM | message detail
Pokemon has a guaranteed win over Majora's. I jinxed it. You're welcome.
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Alec not at home
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 11:42:06 AM | message detail
NA went down for KH1 there. A SIGN OF THINGS TO COME?!?!?!

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DFF
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/10/2010 11:42:15 AM | message detail
So weird that Europe is favoring KH2 while NA is KH.

Yeah if that trend holds, KH got this, but I can see both of them evening out as the match progresses.

DAMNIT why can't I have the day off to watch this one. I'll trade Persona/DR for this, seriously. =(
JaKyL25 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:42:59 AM | message detail
IF the geolocation trends held throughout the ASV, we could see KH2 spikes for the Eastern and Pacific time zones, and KH spikes for the Central and Mountain time zones.

In other words, a crapshoot.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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ChichiriMuyo | Posted 12/10/2010 11:44:15 AM | message detail
Great update.
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"Principally I hate and detest the animal called man, although I heartily love John, Peter, Thomas and so forth" - Jonathan Swift
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 12/10/2010 11:44:30 AM | message detail
Same boat as ExTha, I always have to work when there's a great match going on. Goddamnit.
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L O S T
X360 GT: VinnyMendoza90 Currently playing: Perfect Dark
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:47:16 AM | message detail
At least you guys have work, I'm trying to study for my final and it isn't working.

Well I do have until Monday.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2010 11:47:20 AM | message detail
Here it comes.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/10/2010 11:47:50 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #043
At least you guys have work, I'm trying to study for my final and it isn't working.


Right? F***ing GameFAQs...
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
Greyfeld | Posted 12/10/2010 11:47:58 AM | message detail
lol I really expected this to be another Halo/Halo3. Even if I end up losing this match, it's kinda funny that it's so close. Just think, if this were a night match, KH2 would win without contest.
MadGamer_11 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:48:05 AM | message detail
Freaking Germany...


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4172&region=DE
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 11:49:44 AM | message detail
Remember when California had 59% for KH2?

It's now below 51%. Join the darkness Cali.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/10/2010 11:50:32 AM | message detail
SUBMIT TO DARKNESS, Cali.

Hahaha Ansem.
draarrowgant | Posted 12/10/2010 11:52:36 AM | message detail
Man, once again my hopes rely upon Cali...
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psn: aarrowgant