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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 970

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vcharon | Posted 12/10/2010 12:38:24 AM | message detail
Zelda really crushing now. What a swing since the first hour.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/10/2010 4:06:55 AM | message detail
Really high percentage for Brawl.So this game has the most support to win this thing.
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Intanos VI | Posted 12/10/2010 4:15:35 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Intanos VI | Posted 12/10/2010 5:49:25 AM | message detail
How strong of a favourite is KH over KH2?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/10/2010 6:24:25 AM | message detail
The only thing that makes this result less painful is that I don't get the hate for Twilight Princess and I like seeing it do well in these contests just to spite those people. Seriously.

This is more or less where I expected TP to end up (assuming that Galaxy is a little stronger than last year and was stuck with LFF, while TP is a little weaker), anyways. What's up with all the 67%+ predictions?

So...if you hold Galaxy equal to last year I guess TP gets 57% on CoD4, meaning 38% on SSBM. Lol. Actually, let's check some things:

Half-Life 2 (2009g) has a strength of 30.22 against Base Link.
Super Mario Galaxy (2009g) has a strength of 22.89 against Base Link.


Half-Life 2 62.13% 71,926
Super Mario Galaxy 37.87% 43,845
TOTAL VOTES 115,771

Half-Life 2 wins with 62.13% of the vote!
A 28,081 vote margin of victory.

Okay, if you hold Galaxy constant to where the x-stats peg the game TP is now on HL2's level. Congrats. Speaking of whom:

Half-Life 2 (2009g) has a strength of 30.22 against Base Link.
Okami (2009g) has a strength of 23.83 against Base Link.


Half-Life 2 60.57% 72,162
Okami 39.43% 46,971
TOTAL VOTES 119,133

Half-Life 2 wins with 60.57% of the vote!
A 25,190 vote margin of victory.

And Prime only got 58% on Okami? HL2 victory? Then again, lol x-stats.

Also would we take Prime over Galaxy? Do you think Prime would be doing better here?
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/10/2010 6:29:39 AM | message detail
All the same:

Twilight Princess (2009g) has a strength of 38.69 against Base Link.
Majoras Mask (2009g) has a strength of 28.87 against Base Link.


Twilight Princess 62.69% 79,796
Majoras Mask 37.31% 47,489
TOTAL VOTES 127,285

Twilight Princess wins with 62.69% of the vote!
A 32,307 vote margin of victory.

The closest comparison was actually FF12 but I didn't feel like using a game from that division. So if TP is actually as strong as the x-stats imply, Galaxy is now on MM's level. In the end though TP is likely weaker than this, so maybe Galaxy a little below Wind Waker...placing Galaxy and Prime as near-equals, with both on the same level as games such as Fallout 3 and Half-Life 2.

Man imagine if Galaxy was in Prime's position.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/10/2010 6:35:41 AM | message detail
Also this match is the first that a 1 seed loses.And the next match might a 2 seed loses too.Not bad of a division.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/10/2010 6:41:07 AM | message detail
Galaxy just got unlucky. Imagine if you did the following swaps:

Galaxy - Prime
Twilight Princess - Fallout 3
BioShock - ToS

Sorry guys I don't care about screwing ToS over.

Though this isn't as painful as KH2 > BioShock.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 7:02:52 AM | message detail
TP's very slim hope of upsetting one of the smash bros have been crushed.
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DpObliVion | Posted 12/10/2010 7:29:24 AM | message detail
I just keep looking at the possibilities for that last Final Four spot, it's just crazy and I can't figure out what's going to happen. Mostly because I leaned one way originally and I was convinced by the board to go the other way, and the matches we've had so far just make them seem even closer. We have MGS3 vs MGS4 as the one divisional final, then potentially Majora's Mask vs Wind Waker as the other divisional final, with GSC still having a very strong presence and opportunity. I know GSC was the pre-contest favorite to get the Final Four spot, but I could never believe it would beat LoZ, and I know there's been debate during the matches about whether people still think it can.

So we have five games with a definite shot at taking the last Final Four spot, and they all seem pretty even in strength to me. We'll have MM vs GSC this round, with the winner of that vs WW next round along with MGS3 vs MGS4. Then those winners face off, if you can even predict what that match will be at this point.

When the bracket first released, I ended up with MM > MGS3 on my speed bracket. My real bracket ended up with MGS4 > WW. I honestly feel a little better about my speed bracket at this point, but who knows....that bracket also had Super Mario Sunshine in the Final Four as well before I realized how ridiculous that was.

Is there any sense of clearness to this picture? Or is it still completely up in the air? Could we maybe rank those five games' chances of making the Final Four?

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transcience | Posted 12/10/2010 7:36:26 AM | message detail
I suspect that we'll know who's gonna be in the semis after the GSC/Majora match. MGS seems hopeless to me so it's between Zelda and Pokemon.
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695924 | Posted 12/10/2010 7:38:44 AM | message detail
I'm not feeling GSC right now. MM destroyed an RPG. GSC looked respectable against a racing game on the Wii.
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 7:43:17 AM | message detail

From: 695924 | #112
I'm not feeling GSC right now. MM destroyed an RPG. GSC looked respectable against a racing game on the Wii.


if it's FDLink picture MM will win.
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DpObliVion | Posted 12/10/2010 7:45:36 AM | message detail
What about MGS3 vs MGS4? 4 was favored pre-contest, but 3 did a lot better last round than 4, however I don't know how Diablo II compares to MvC2.

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Booyah, Grandma. Booyah. {XIV} dood
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/10/2010 7:47:28 AM | message detail
D2 would beat MvC2 pretty handily, I imagine. I don't think either game has looked clearly better than the other.
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/10/2010 7:47:42 AM | message detail
I have GSC in my bracket, but I'll probably take MM in the Oracle (I'll be banking if I can keep my battle streak alive until then)
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Jmast7 | Posted 12/10/2010 7:47:46 AM | message detail

From: 695924 | #112
I'm not feeling GSC right now. MM destroyed an RPG. GSC looked respectable against a racing game on the Wii.


Yeah. This is kinda how I feel too. Is that fact it's a night match make any difference?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/10/2010 7:50:03 AM | message detail
Sure doesn't do Pokemon any favors.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 7:50:36 AM | message detail

From: DpObliVion | #114
What about MGS3 vs MGS4? 4 was favored pre-contest, but 3 did a lot better last round than 4, however I don't know how Diablo II compares to MvC2.


Diablo 2 would win as it's far stronger than SMBWii. MGS3/MGS4 is no more than a 52% match either way.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/10/2010 7:51:21 AM | message detail

From: Jmast7 | #117
Yeah. This is kinda how I feel too. Is that fact it's a night match make any difference?


Europe seems to like Pokemon better than it does Zelda, for whatever it's worth.
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DpObliVion | Posted 12/10/2010 7:57:08 AM | message detail
I have this maybe-weird sense that MGS4 would have a better chance at beating LoZ/GSC than MGS3, even if 4 might not be directly stronger than 3. Maybe it's the generational gap, or perhaps 4 has a better chance of exceeding expectations. I'm really not sure which game is more highly regarded amongst MGS fans.

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Booyah, Grandma. Booyah. {XIV} dood
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 8:02:02 AM | message detail
Match CIV: (6) Kingdom Hearts II vs. (2) Kingdom Hearts

Last Round

Bioshock – 43.73%
Kingdom Hearts II – 56.27%

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 – 33.69%
Kingdom Hearts – 66.31%

Analysis

If there was one same series match that I’m happy SBAllen put together it was this one. Sure Melee/Brawl was good too, but those two would have met if you placed them anywhere with only Final Fantasy X being any threat. The best part is no one can really be sure which game will win. Seems like the majority of people think that the original will take it and personally I agree.

The reason why I’m going with the original is because it was the bigger game; just take a look at the site shift in 2003. Sure Kingdom Hearts II was a large release as well and while many of the problems for Kingdom Hearts were addressed it wasn’t as big for GameFAQs. Besides it wasn’t like there were many big problems with the original either. Based on their performances earlier this contest I would have to give it to the original, Bioshock got a little too close to Kingdom Hearts II. I know it was a night match, but despite what some people on this board wish I don’t see the game being that strong.

One thing that the two Kingdom Hearts games have in common is that they both aged pretty well on GameFAQs. The original almost lost to Soul Calibur in the 2004 games contest while the sequel easily lost to Final Fantasy XII in the GotY. I’ve backed Kingdom Hearts since the beginning and it hasn’t given me much doubt so I don’t see why I would back out. Personally I don’t expect much SFF, but the option is there.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Kingdom Hearts > Kingdom Hearts II

charmander6000’s Prediction: Kingdom Hearts wins, 52.26% - 47.74%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
695924 | Posted 12/10/2010 8:04:38 AM | message detail
Simple and Clean > lolsanctuary

Simple as that. I think it's gonna be a 60/40 too.
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lol opinions
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 8:38:39 AM | message detail
20 mins away rom the biggest match of the contest so far(in terms of individual game strength)
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 8:44:11 AM | message detail
Probably the biggest match in terms of anything. It's an 8-pointer, (with the winner having a plausible shot at TP) and we may be able to draw hints for MGS3/4 and Melee/Brawl.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/10/2010 8:45:37 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #119
Probably the biggest match in terms of anything. It's an 8-pointer, (with the winner having a plausible shot at TP) and we may be able to draw hints for MGS3/4 and Melee/Brawl.


Nope. I can see the "Melee > Brawl" defense right now. KH1 wins "LOL screw you sequels Melee > Brawl confirmed". KH2 wins "Both KH games came out before the site shift, they don't matter, plus this obscure 4-way result states that blah blah blah"
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/10/2010 8:50:35 AM | message detail
It's a 4-pointer, not a 8 pointer.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 8:54:48 AM | message detail
Oh yeah, four pointer. My bad. Kinda weird that Melee/Brawl is technically only worth eight points.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kNmStdOHEPg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5FfH_lka_8

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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 8:55:05 AM | message detail
i don't think it has any bearing on Melee/Brawl. I said this about Halo match but KH1 and KH2 were on the same console in the same generation. Melee/Brawl had 7 years and an entire generation between them. KH2 is esentially the first game with different disney worlds and older characters. it's a 50/50 split. with Melee/brawl there will be more vocal fans from each side, not gonna happen here. My vote goes to KH2 because i think the soundtrack was better and Xaldin FTW.
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/10/2010 8:56:24 AM | message detail
My vote is for KH1. Riku in KH2 pissed me off so damn much.
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
kinsho3 | Posted 12/10/2010 8:56:35 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #085
Probably the biggest match in terms of anything. It's an 8-pointer, (with the winner having a plausible shot at TP) and we may be able to draw hints for MGS3/4 and Melee/Brawl.


Eh, I doubt it. The relationship between KH/KH2 differs from Melee/Brawl.

Anyway, let's go, KH2!!!!
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 8:56:46 AM | message detail
This board vote isn't going to be pretty for KH2. Hopefully it rebounds.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 8:57:04 AM | message detail
I also think KH/II is a unique case, which is why I'm favoring the new game here. Still, people will use this result to affect their MGS and Smash arguments.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/10/2010 8:57:27 AM | message detail
Also Kairi was hotter in KH2 <_<
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/10/2010 8:57:47 AM | message detail
KH2 is the top option right?

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 8:58:01 AM | message detail
I've voting for KH2 because of KH1's Gummi Ship and platforming segments.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 8:58:14 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #132
This board vote isn't going to be pretty for KH2. Hopefully it rebounds.


Hopefully not that bad. KH is only a 51/41 Guru favorite; not huge or anything. Bracket voting should also be dying. This match should kill off the last of it.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
ZFS | Posted 12/10/2010 8:58:18 AM | message detail
this may be the worst match in the bracket brace for impact

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kinsho3 | Posted 12/10/2010 8:58:20 AM | message detail

From: Assassin_Thane | #094
Also Kairi was hotter in KH2 <_<


KH2 wins. Next.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/10/2010 9:00:16 AM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts II 70%

7
Kingdom Hearts 30%

3
TOTAL VOTES 10

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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Janus5000 | Posted 12/10/2010 9:00:18 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Kingdom Hearts II 60%

9
Kingdom Hearts 40%

6
TOTAL VOTES 15

DARKNESS
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lightsout06 | Posted 12/10/2010 9:00:25 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Kingdom Hearts II 42.55%

20
Kingdom Hearts 57.45%

27
TOTAL VOTES 47
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R.I.P Halo 2
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 9:00:42 AM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts II 46.15% 30
Kingdom Hearts 53.85% 35
TOTAL VOTES 65

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/10/2010 9:00:58 AM | message detail
oh boy

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DFF
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/10/2010 9:01:20 AM | message detail
whoa, only 30% had TP winning
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Oracle contest - 14th
Today's pick: Kingdom Hearts - 54.89% Status:
charmander6000 | Posted 12/10/2010 9:01:28 AM | message detail
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 30.47%

lol casuals, I guess they forgot about ZeldaFAQs
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
EvilNcr | Posted 12/10/2010 9:01:35 AM | message detail
I have to say, KHII as top option is a bit confusing.You'd normally expect KH first then KH2 >_>
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16
pjbasis | Posted 12/10/2010 9:01:50 AM | message detail
Damn non-Real Fans keepin' it close.
Advokaiser | Posted 12/10/2010 9:01:58 AM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts II 66.67% 12
Kingdom Hearts 33.33% 6
TOTAL VOTES 18

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
EvilNcr | Posted 12/10/2010 9:02:29 AM | message detail
Even worse :

Banked: 307
Super Mario Galaxy: 5558
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess: 5356
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*sigh* Lemme get my TI-83+ ...WTF!? Piece of trash!!*throws it away*~Rodri316 during his proof of why -4^2=16