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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 969

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Advokaiser | Posted 12/9/2010 1:05:31 PM | message detail
Brawl for the tripling let's do this.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/9/2010 2:09:22 PM | message detail
I am trying to find a gif of the Terminator's HUD, when he analyzes everything and all.

Basically I want a lusterreaction.gif
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/9/2010 2:10:35 PM | message detail
Hochi for User of the Ever.
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"If only there were some way I could have sex..." -SmartMuffin
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/9/2010 2:13:42 PM | message detail
Western games have been trending up on this site for a long time. Of course Call of Duty 4, the one good game in that series, was going to do "respectably" (if that's what we're calling barely breaking 30% now) against Melee and get rSFFd by Perfect Dark. The current match means nothing at all, as Brawl is failing to score any SFF. Melee to break 60$ with ease.
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Rufus Shinra survived a duel with Cloud and kicked all of our asses in the guru contest.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/9/2010 2:17:07 PM | message detail
Woah, that's one expensive game.

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DFF
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/9/2010 2:17:13 PM | message detail
60$
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No, every man's goal in life is to spread his seed as many times as possible. - A statement Realo actually believes
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/9/2010 2:17:35 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #455
Woah, that's one expensive game.


Its a first-party Nintendo game, its always gonna be expensive
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Big Bob | Posted 12/9/2010 2:25:38 PM | message detail
People buy Melee and realize they threw $60 away.
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melikepizza | Posted 12/9/2010 2:46:57 PM | message detail
so whats No Mercy worth on Brawl assuming this finishes as it is?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/9/2010 2:48:29 PM | message detail

From: melikepizza | #459
so whats No Mercy worth on Brawl assuming this finishes as it is?


11.05%
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/9/2010 3:05:05 PM | message detail
This is a dang good reply from Brawl about Melee's last performance. I think Brawl probably won R1 and R3 while Melee probably won R2 by a bigger amount and was more nominated, so it still looks even. Don't forget that IGN-poll though; Brawl was beating Melee and the original SSB combined there.

I'm still backing Brawl...but it's not going to be pretty for either game.
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frisqo | Posted 12/9/2010 3:31:05 PM | message detail
Today's results could've went =/- 10% and everyone would still be saying the same thing they are saying now and making excuses.

Brawl with 82%: It's clearly SFF!!
Brawl with 62%: It's freaking POKEMON!!

Brawl vs Melee can still go either way, and like pretty much every debate in every fighting game forum, is gonna come down to a matter of casual vs. hardcore fanbase.

Have this poll a year after brawl first comes out and everyone hates brawl cause its not melee? Melee wins easily

(Hint: I'll put my marbles on the casual fanbase in 2010)
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Name: Flex
FC: 4510 7199 0698
creativename | Posted 12/9/2010 3:33:36 PM | message detail

From: transience | #2053
was there SFF in Galaxy/RSE? or Galaxy/DPP last year? or any Pokemon/Nintendo matchup in the last couple years?

I would pick Fusion every day of the week over Perfect Dark.


Not sure why you would. Pre-contest, I think pretty much all of us would easily pick PD there. PD is pretty beloved. I suppose the games are closer than we anticipated, but I still have a hard time seeing PD lose that match.

From: red sox 777 | #2102
Melee looks a lot better based on today's matches to me.


They both still look pretty indistinguishable to me. I favor Melee only because I think the fanbase prefers it slightly - though I think the match will be pretty close.

From: UltimaterializerX | #2254
Of course Call of Duty 4, the one good game in that series, was going to do "respectably" (if that's what we're calling barely breaking 30% now) against Melee and get rSFFd by Perfect Dark.


What the. Wasn't any rSFF there, let's not get looney tunes here.

From: HaRRicH | #2301
I'm still backing Brawl...but it's not going to be pretty for either game.


If by this you mean the winner will blow out the loser, I disagree, I think it will be pretty competitive. <55% for the winner is my guess.
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creativename | Posted 12/9/2010 3:35:58 PM | message detail

From: frisqo | #2302
Have this poll a year after brawl first comes out and everyone hates brawl cause its not melee? Melee wins easily


Brawl was probably at its strongest when the hype was highest. It's probably a bit weaker now than at its peak.
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frisqo | Posted 12/9/2010 3:45:27 PM | message detail
Yeah actually my logic for Brawl winning now as opposed to a year after its a release is pretty dumb in retrospect.



Its like I said, people will say anything to make their dreams come true!

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Name: Flex
FC: 4510 7199 0698
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/9/2010 3:46:24 PM | message detail

From: frisqo | #462
Brawl with 62%: It's freaking POKEMON!!


If Brawl only got 62% here, I'd be conceding to Melee.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 4:22:10 PM | message detail
Well pretty impressed with Brawl, like HL2/MP it's anyone's game.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
EvilNcr | Posted 12/9/2010 5:55:29 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/9/2010 5:58:08 PM | message detail
My Predictions for Final X-stats in First Three Divisions:

1) Fallout 3
2) Halo 1
3) Uncharted 2
4) Batman
5) Halo 3
6) SFIV
7) SA2
8) SMS
9) LoD
10) TF2
11) Fable
12) Ninja Gaiden
13) Deus Ex
14) Rock Band 2
15) Psychonauts
16) inFamous

1) Metroid Prime
2) Half-Life 2
3) God of War
4) ToS
5) GTAIII
6) Okami
7) RE5
8) MM9
9) DMC3
10) Demon's Souls
11) LBP
12) L4D1
13) SO3
14) L4D2
15) Mother 3
16) No More Heroes

1) SSBM
2) SSBB
3) CoD4: MW1
4) Pokemon DPP
5) Morrowind
6) Warcraft III
7) Perfect Dark
8) Metroid Fusion
9) V. Chronicles
10) PoP: SoT
11) Disgaea
12) FE: PoR
13) CBFD
14) MKDS
15) GHII
16) that wrestling game
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Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/9/2010 6:36:44 PM | message detail
cn, are you planning on doing some day-night stat adjustments like you did last winter?
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 6:56:47 PM | message detail
1) SSBM
2) SSBB
3) CoD4: MW1
4) Pokemon DPP
5) Morrowind


I don't think DPP > Morrowind is possible if you take Melee > Brawl.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 6:59:28 PM | message detail
cn, are you planning on doing some day-night stat adjustments like you did last winter?

I tried doing them last year and I can tell you that they're useless. Even ignoring that we know regions go through shifts as well you get crazy stuff like Link only getting a percent higher on Alucard in a 24 hour match and most of them don't have much of a change in percent.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
HaRRicH | Posted 12/9/2010 7:36:53 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #463
If by this you mean the winner will blow out the loser, I disagree, I think it will be pretty competitive. <55% for the winner is my guess.


I'm with you on this; I should have said it wouldn't be easy for either game to win here.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/9/2010 7:42:17 PM | message detail
I tried doing them last year and I can tell you that they're useless. Even ignoring that we know regions go through shifts as well you get crazy stuff like Link only getting a percent higher on Alucard in a 24 hour match and most of them don't have much of a change in percent.

Link doing 1% better in 24 hours than in a night match is pretty reasonable. With most 24-hour matches, you don't see a huge shift between the first 12 hours and the 2nd 12 hours. Stuff like CT and KH is the exception rather than the rule. In Zelda/Terra, I remember, Zelda did 4% better in the latter 12 hours than the former, and the 24-hour result was about halfway between those (2% shift from either), and Zelda vs. FFVI is a pretty big day/night difference.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:24:09 PM | message detail
Match CIII: (1) Super Mario Galaxy vs. (4) The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess

Last Round

Super Mario Galaxy – 59.90%
Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald – 40.10%

Dragon Age: Origins – 31.13%
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess – 68.87%

Analysis

One of the things that we wanted to see was whether or not Galaxy was as weak as it showed last contest. The first two matches weren’t very telling and now Galaxy is up against the other Wii game that is stronger than it. I know SBAllen set up a few SFF matches, but this one we really didn’t need to see.

I think that the degree of SFF that Twilight Princess will hand out will be less than what Brawl did last contest. For one thing Twilight Princess doesn’t get all of its strength from being a Wii game since it was also released on the Gamecube and while they are both Nintendo games I feel that Galaxy would have more of an overlap with Brawl than Twilight Princess since Brawl probably appeals more to Galaxy fans than Twilight Princess. On the other hand I don’t see it being that big of a difference so it probably doesn’t matter in the long run.

Last year Brawl was able to break 70% on Galaxy and with Twilight Princess being slightly weaker than it I don’t see it breaking that mark. It should still however get a doubling though should Galaxy pull the impossible and resist SFF I can see the game getting up in the high 30s which would be a great performance.

charmander6000’s Bracket: LoZ: Twilight Princess > Super Mario Galaxy

charmander6000’s Prediction: LoZ: Twilight Princess wins, 67.48% - 32.52%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:25:58 PM | message detail
We're talking about Alucard against Link and just to be clear that was one of the biggest difference compare to the actual result.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/9/2010 8:29:08 PM | message detail
Tonight's match will be a replay of this match: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1644
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:32:53 PM | message detail
Nah, TP isn't beating SMG by more than what SSBB did and if it did not by that much.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
red sox 777 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:36:59 PM | message detail
Link ending 1% higher against Alucard than what he had at noon seems reasonable, actually. IIRC, it was a weekend match, and Zelda/Nintendo does most of its gaining in the morning. Link would have probably have peaked around 6 PM, and given some ground back after that. IIRC, Crono lost a bit more than 1% off his noon percentage against Link/Mario/Samus, on an ASV day, even on a weekday it shouldn't be that big a shift. The fact that the percentages were in the 70s might make the shift a bit smaller than if they were in the 50s, I think (but I have no mathematical reasoning for that).

It's very rare to find a situation where switching to 24-hours will change the result by more than 2%. 3% is a very extreme shift, and tends to involve Halo, Smash, or KH, and/or something with a truly abysmal day vote.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:52:13 PM | message detail
It was a Wednesday and Link only gained like 0.5% on Alucard from his lowest percent (again remember Alucard has one of the worst day votes too).

We also have to remember that continents have shifts as well. Look at Melee/CoD4, it suggests that Melee would win the ASV quite easily and personally I doubt that it would, CoD4 has a crazy ASV as well and considering Melee's crazy beginning I don't see it gaining much if at all.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
red sox 777 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:57:14 PM | message detail
If Link wasn't rising fast with the morning, that's even more evidence he wouldn't have gone up too much in the afternoon. I'm not sure what you're saying about Melee/COD4- of course Melee would have won the ASV, it has an ASV unmatched by anything save maybe Halo and KH. Geolocation shifts are generally really small (and Melee actually did a lot better in North America against COD4).
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:59:04 PM | message detail
Brawl lost it to CoD4, it has a good ASV.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 128/142 Today's Matches: SSBM & SSBB
red sox 777 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:59:17 PM | message detail
And right, I was thinking of Link/Thrall for the weekend thing, sorry. Don't think it changes much though. If Link would have gone up more than 1%, 1% is probably still a better adjustment than 2%. I think cn's day/night adjustments were generally very good- obviously not based on stats, but pretty accurate nonetheless.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/9/2010 8:59:19 PM | message detail
WHO IS READY TO GIVE SUPA MARYO GALAXY THIS BOARD VOTE

ONWARD
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/9/2010 8:59:55 PM | message detail
Brawl 'aint Melee.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Master Moltar | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:12 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy 54.55%

6
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 45.45%

5
TOTAL VOTES 11

justice
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Moltar Status: 128 Points - Vote: Brawl
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:19 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy 65.63%

21
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 34.38%

11
TOTAL VOTES 32

!!!!
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:24 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy 50% 5
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 50% 5
TOTAL VOTES 10

Justice
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
EvilNcr | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy 66.67% 22
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 33.33% 11

Go go!
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abdou | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:35 PM | message detail
Nice board vote
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:38 PM | message detail
bahahaha

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DFF
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:42 PM | message detail
So much for that board vote!
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Wylvane
Chrono1219 is a horrible user.
red sox 777 | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:47 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy 56.98%

49
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 43.02%

37
TOTAL VOTES 86

Why do you hate Link so, Board 8?
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/9/2010 9:00:48 PM | message detail
Yes it's still in the lead
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 136/150 Today's Matches: LoZ: TP & KH
YoboD | Posted 12/9/2010 9:01:22 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy 57.61% 53
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess 42.39% 39


CLOSE THE ****ING POLL!
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RockMFR 5 | Posted 12/9/2010 9:01:38 PM | message detail
oh boy I'm glad I banked on this one.
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Blairville | Posted 12/9/2010 9:01:40 PM | message detail
and it's already crashing, oh dear.

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/9/2010 9:01:48 PM | message detail
LMAO

Galaxy went from winning to being down to 45% in the first minute.
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Not_Wylvane is a horrible user.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/9/2010 9:01:56 PM | message detail
Well at least this shouldn't be a doubling. =)
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Big Bob | Posted 12/9/2010 9:02:04 PM | message detail
Oh man Mario Galaxy is so weak I can't wait to see how much it gets SFF'd.

*match starts*

...WHAT
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