GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 968
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:32:16 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #199 Which game? Battlefront II? We have a decent idea of its strength. But assuming UC2 wouldn't 60/40 Batman is just "common sense," if I may be allowed to use a non-stat related argument for a minute here. Fallout 3 wins based on the eye test alone. And if you want to bring LOL 4-ways into this, FO3 wins easily there, too. FO3 was the favorite for a reason, and Halo 1 had to do something to prove it could beat it. It hasn't really done that, unless you think 65% on Ninja Gaiden is impressive. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 1:32:54 PM | message detail |
Well there's my 52% from what I said earlier this match. I guess Halo didn't underperform after all. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:33:28 PM | message detail |
From: Janus5000 | #200 Well, it was fun while it lasted! --- Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX! http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/7/2010 1:35:19 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #190 I keep forgetting about the day/night thing. Yeah Fallout wins, but I have no clue where Slow is getting his 60-40 Halo > Batman thing from. --- "I hope Mike Green and his entire family are killed." -SmartMuffin |
voltch | Posted 12/7/2010 1:36:30 PM | message detail |
UC2, overall i think it's still had an impressive run, wouldn't mind seeing it again in future contests. --- mii~ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:37:05 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #204 Fallout 3 beat Batman 60/40. So it kinda makes sense that Halo would have to get around that general area. Stop acting like I'm an idiot and you don't have any idea what I mean. --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:38:15 PM | message detail |
And stop acting like Halo could beat Batman with 52% and still have a chance to beat Fallout 3. That's just being obstinate for no reason. --- Support Seifer Almasy (Final Fantasy VIII) for Character Battle IX! http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/9342/banner3seifer.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2010 1:38:36 PM | message detail |
I
meant Batman as the game with unknown strength (unknown prior to its
match with Fallout 3, that is). You probably know that I favor stats
and past results over common sense 95% of the time (that's right Ulti).
In this case, common sense (my common sense, anyway) tells me almost
nothing about Batman vs. Legend of Dragoon. This probably has a lot to
do with my disconnect from the video game industry recently. I trust
common sense when it's about fanbases I know about and am a part of:
Chrono Trigger, Zelda, Smash. With games that may as well be two
unknowns to me, my common sense is basically silent on the matter. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/7/2010 1:39:21 PM | message detail |
No
I seriously thought you were referencing some old poll where Halo
barely won over Batman or something, which is why I was confused. LOL @ me --- "Oh look some anime-watching virgin nerds who can't get girls are attacking Ulti for stating his opinion, typical." -As I Desire |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/7/2010 1:41:49 PM | message detail |
Not
sure what discussion I missed here, but Halo has F3 at night, and
there's no way Uncharted is so much stronger than Batman as to make the
div finals competitive in the first place. As most people thought,
Fallout 3 will make it to the quarters without breaking a sweat. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/7/2010 1:42:49 PM | message detail |
It's funny how we laughed at the Barber man on the show for taking Prime to the semis, but that could actually happen. --- "A joke format for a joke contest deserves joke winners." -Master Moltar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:43:59 PM | message detail |
And
it's funny how we talk about how voters aren't robots, and yet we know
voter trends like the back of our hands to the point that we knew Halo
1 had this match easily even when UC2 led for the first hour! --- Support Seifer Almasy (Final Fantasy VIII) for Character Battle IX! http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/9342/banner3seifer.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2010 1:46:46 PM | message detail |
It's
not about voters being robots, it's about statistics. Get a large
enough group of voters, and you can predict what's going to happen to a
high degree of accuracy, even with none of the individuals being
robots. If you like Cloud, there's a high probability you like
Sephiroth too. As an individual voter, you may like Cloud and hate
Sephiroth, but get enough Cloud fans, and eventually you'll find that
most of them like Sephiroth. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:49:29 PM | message detail |
I know. I'm being (somewhat) facetious. And man, at least try to maintain SOME dignity, UC2! --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 1:52:13 PM | message detail |
Would Halo have won a 24 hour match? Europe seems to favour U2 while Canada seems to have gone from 60% U2 to almost flipping to Halo already. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 1:53:07 PM | message detail |
Halo
probably wins a 24 hour match since its ASV is going to be by far the
biggest advantage of the match. I don't see UC2 being able to build up
a big enough lead overnight to hold it off, even with how bad Halo's
night vote is. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 2:02:59 PM | message detail |
Updates broken in 30 minutes. Time | Halo 0:30 | 49.68% 1:00 | 50.27% 1:30 | 53.10% 2:00 | 50.41% 2:30 | 50.22% 3:00 | 52.88% 3:30 | 52.90% 4:00 | 53.25% 4:30 | 55.96% 5:00 | 54.81% --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/7/2010 2:37:34 PM | message detail |
http://oi52.tinypic.com/j5d16h.jpg What do you guys think? --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
transients | Posted 12/7/2010 2:39:01 PM | message detail |
do it. KH2 wins. AC2/Batman/Uncharted 2 look like the class of 2009. --- xyzzy |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/7/2010 2:40:59 PM | message detail |
Well
my odds are dead, so that ain't the main reason I did it. I know the
board will bracket vote KH to the early lead (few seconds at least), so
I want to see Ariel and Belle leading something. Can you imagine if
KHII had Cloud and Seph in the pic? Best few seconds in GameFAQs
history. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
Lopen | Posted 12/7/2010 2:41:26 PM | message detail |
Forget 24 hours, that's an easy Halo win. Halo probably wins a night match. Game isn't quite as polar as it used to be from day to night. Or maybe 12 hour matches are to blame for the loss in polarity I dunno. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
swordz9 | Posted 12/7/2010 2:41:35 PM | message detail |
That image doesn't look bad exactly, but Sora looks pretty bad in it. I almost thought he was wearing makeup. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 2:41:40 PM | message detail |
Get some Cloud and Squall on KH1 and we march to victory! --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg |
transients | Posted 12/7/2010 2:43:49 PM | message detail |
I was joking. pics aren't going to matter here - people know what's in both KH games and one pic isn't going to sway people. --- xyzzy |
transients | Posted 12/7/2010 2:44:09 PM | message detail |
I mean, unless it's Cloud/Sephiroth/Squall vs. the Gummi Ship or something --- xyzzy |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/7/2010 2:44:21 PM | message detail |
Hey what the percentage will be?I imagine less than 33% myself. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 2:45:19 PM | message detail |
SA2 has fallen behind Halo 3 in the stats now, sadly. --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/7/2010 2:48:38 PM | message detail |
This is some ASV. My 54% prediction will actually end up looking decent. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 2:49:17 PM | message detail |
In other news Canada has flipped to Halo while the US is about to break 57%. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 3:05:28 PM | message detail |
Yeah, this feels like the first major ASV crushing in forever. Halo's been averaging about 55% the last couple hours. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
medicority | Posted 12/7/2010 3:17:08 PM | message detail |
this makes me SF4 > halo pick a decent upset chance too bad it's going to end up costing me a ton of points |
EvilNcr | Posted 12/7/2010 3:17:29 PM | message detail |
Nailed it. Good to see I was dead on about the course of this match. Now it just needs to go up about 2%. --- "You have enemies? Good. That means you've stood up for something, sometime in your life." ~ Winston Churchill |
Haste_2 | Posted 12/7/2010 3:27:56 PM | message detail |
I
-need- the points from this Halo victory! My Round 2 was so awful! I
missed just 5 matches in Round 1, but somehow I missed SEVEN of them in
Round 2! This is a good start for me, and I need some advantage over
others since I'm inevitably going to miss points on Portal/Mass Effect
(no FFXII to be seen). Halo 3 vs. Uncharted 2 in a day match - who would you take? --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/7/2010 3:33:42 PM | message detail |
Halo breaks a 2000 vote lead. At this rate, it will break 3000 for sure and maybe even reach 4000. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/7/2010 3:35:38 PM | message detail |
well it's not gonna keep increasing like mad until midnight --- Oracle contest - 15th Today's pick: Halo - 53.95% Status: Good |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/7/2010 3:48:25 PM | message detail |
I
think we can conclude that it's just about impossible to lose while
scoring 55%+ in the U.S. in a day match. I think Halo should be the
favorite in a night match as well. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/7/2010 3:50:42 PM | message detail |
Dang! UC2 is about to fall below 47%. Nathan messed up my bracket in the last CB, UC2 is really choking here... dang. I need to place less faith in this series from now on. >_> --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 119 Uncharted 2 > Halo "lol" |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 3:54:02 PM | message detail |
Are people forgetting what happened at the beginning of the match? Uncharted 2 would be the favourite in a night match. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/7/2010 3:56:46 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/7/2010 3:57:00 PM | message detail |
There we go, 61% update for Halo. Finally broke 60% that time. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 3:57:23 PM | message detail |
61.32% update for Halo in the 18:52 update --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/7/2010 4:09:28 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #236 I think this is the best thing you've said about UC2 all day, Char! --- Around here, I'm the father, the son, and the Holy ****ing Spirit all rolled into one - Red Crow |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/7/2010 4:23:56 PM | message detail |
If
you hold Fallout 3 equal to its 2009 self, here are the games which its
half division members are closest to according to those stats: Batman Arkham Asylum - Grand Theft Auto III (oh what a coincidence) Deus Ex - Xenogears inFamous - Pong Team Fortress 2 - Disgaea Fable - Tetris Psychonauts - Team Fortress 2 Rock Band 2 - Fire Emblem If you hold Deus Ex equal to its '09 self: Fallout 3 - Castlevania: SOTN (uh oh) Rock Band 2 - Team Fortress 2 Batman Arkham Asylum - Left 4 Dead Team Fortress 2 - Mass Effect Fable - Battletoads Psychonauts - Suikoden inFamous - Streets of Rage 2 If you hold Team Fortress 2 constant: Fable - The Oregon Trail Batman Arkham Asylum - Battletoads Psychonauts - River City Ransom Fallout 3 - Morrowind (uhhhhh) Okay I'll stop here, from now on I'll only work it out until I get the game that won the eightpack, except for the first case. So Fallout 3 had better hope that TF2 isn't its last year's self, huh? Fortunately the game seems to have had a substantial boost otherwise. --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/7/2010 5:25:49 PM | message detail |
hay guyz predict this frickin division (let's pretend they're all 24-hour matches to make thing simpler) (1) Fallout 3 (16) Mother 3 (8) Tales of Vesperia (9) Gears of War (5) Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (12) Assassin's Creed (4) Call of Duty 4 (13) Metroid Fusion (3) Half-Life 2 (14) Psychonauts (6) Morrowind (11) Mega Man 9 (7) Rock Band 2 (10) Dragon Quest VIII (2) Final Fantasy IX (15) The Sims --- Oracle contest - 15th Today's pick: Halo - 53.95% Status: Good |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/7/2010 5:30:00 PM | message detail |
(16) Mother 3 (9) Gears of War (12) Assassin's Creed (4) Call of Duty 4 (3) Half-Life 2 (6) Morrowind (10) Dragon Quest VIII (2) Final Fantasy IX -- (16) Mother 3 (12) Assassin's Creed (3) Half-Life 2 (2) Final Fantasy IX --- "You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?" |
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/7/2010 5:31:50 PM | message detail |
Man, dat Halo ASV. Crazy to think that this was 50/50 after the first hour. --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/7/2010 5:36:55 PM | message detail |
(1) Fallout 3-> (16) Mother 3 (8) Tales of Vesperia (9) Gears of War-> (5) Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas-> (12) Assassin's Creed (4) Call of Duty 4-> (13) Metroid Fusion (3) Half-Life 2-> (14) Psychonauts (6) Morrowind-> (11) Mega Man 9 (7) Rock Band 2 (10) Dragon Quest VIII-> (lol music games) (2) Final Fantasy IX-> (15) The Sims Fallout 3 > Gears of War GTA: San Andreas > Call of Duty 4 Half-Life 2 > Morrowind Final Fantasy IX > Dragon Quest VIII Fallout 3 > GTA: San Andreas Final Fantasy IX > Half-Life 2 Final Fantasy IX > Fallout 3 --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami |
AxemPink | Posted 12/7/2010 5:40:34 PM | message detail |
I...guess the ASV is over now! |
transients | Posted 12/7/2010 5:40:41 PM | message detail |
no way does HL2 beat FF9. not unless FF9 loses to KOTOR or struggles with it. --- xyzzy |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/7/2010 5:41:38 PM | message detail |
I like how you skipped over Mother 3 beating FO3, but HL2 > FF9 was a big no-no --- I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. |