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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 968

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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:12:45 AM | message detail
Sack Up Or Shut Up, Halo

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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
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~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man
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BrettEagles | Posted 12/7/2010 9:16:07 AM | message detail
UC2 got this!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2010 9:16:28 AM | message detail
Halo is handily winning in North America. BUT!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4166&region=USXCA

Uncharted 2 got this.

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DFF
Kamekguy | Posted 12/7/2010 9:16:55 AM | message detail
If I squint really hard I can make Drake look like Jack Bauer.

This obviously is boosting his votal intake.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:17:15 AM | message detail
The Show Curse™ strikes again!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/7/2010 9:17:21 AM | message detail
Even if Halo takes charge of the ASV, this is looking like it'll be a close win. Barring a Drake collapse, this should be the third straight match where 2009 games redeem themselves.
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shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:17:23 AM | message detail
This being a day match will save Halo.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2010 9:17:49 AM | message detail
Yeah, I really wish this was a night match. Oh well.

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DFF
BrettEagles | Posted 12/7/2010 9:18:12 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #008
Yeah, I really wish this was a night match. Oh well.


This.
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/7/2010 9:19:31 AM | message detail
It's 15 minutes in or so.
I doubt it's gonna stay the same. And yes, this being a day match helps Halo big time. What's with the 59% U2 is carrying in Europe.
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"You have enemies? Good. That means you've stood up for something, sometime in your life." ~ Winston Churchill
BrettEagles | Posted 12/7/2010 9:20:22 AM | message detail
Wrong way Drake!
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:20:36 AM | message detail
Almost 28 again.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
Jmast7 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:20:46 AM | message detail
Better... <_<
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Gooper Blooper | Posted 12/7/2010 9:20:49 AM | message detail
Oy, another close one?

Knuckles.jpg
Taker.gif
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Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082 Pokemon HeartGold: 2966 0920 7723
shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:20:53 AM | message detail
O dear.It was fun while it lasted but Halo got dis!
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raytan7585 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:20:55 AM | message detail
Come on, Halo!

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2010 9:21:25 AM | message detail
REALLY wish this was a night match.

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DFF
ZenOfThunder | Posted 12/7/2010 9:22:49 AM | message detail
tag

good match btw
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~Zen is using Chrome because Firefox sucks now.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/7/2010 9:22:52 AM | message detail
Even if Halo takes charge of the ASV, this is looking like it'll be a close win.

And it should take charge of the ASV, because Uncharted 2 bombed the ASV against MW2 in that GotY poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/7/2010 9:23:05 AM | message detail

From: shane15 | #015
O dear.It was fun while it lasted but Halo got dis!


Gotta love posts like this when Halo is still losing.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
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shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:23:55 AM | message detail
I've been known to say stuff and have it backfire in my face a lot.
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BrettEagles | Posted 12/7/2010 9:25:26 AM | message detail
Right way Drake!
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:25:36 AM | message detail
And Uncharted gains again.

"lol"
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Ngamer64 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:26:50 AM | message detail
Dang, looks like UC2 will be able to hold the lead for the first half-hour. That's 25 more minutes than I expected. Moral victory, IMO!

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:26:57 AM | message detail
Master Chief trying its hardest to choke, damn Uncharted 2 why must you be so terrible to barely capitalize on it.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/7/2010 9:27:17 AM | message detail
LOL Halo
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:28:33 AM | message detail
I really thought Uncharted would be the game to be embarrassed by this match - guess I underestimated Halo's powers of choking!

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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 9:28:48 AM | message detail
halo will win. its winning in us by a big margin
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Jmast7 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:29:05 AM | message detail

From: Kotetsu534 | #027
I really thought Uncharted would be the game to be embarrassed by this match - guess I underestimated Halo's powers of choking!


This, indeed.
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 9:30:25 AM | message detail

From: Kotetsu534 | #027
I really thought Uncharted would be the game to be embarrassed by this match - guess I underestimated Halo's powers of choking!




considering this is xbox strongest exclusive against a new ip ps3 exclusive uncharted 2 is very strong. ultimately america and uk loves halo so it will win. but uncharted 2 is stronger than every game in this division except halo/fallout 3.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:30:53 AM | message detail
halo will win. its winning in us by a big margin

You should look at North America since Canada is countering a big chunk of what the US is doing.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
raytan7585 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:31:18 AM | message detail
21.

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:31:30 AM | message detail
This would be a lot more interesting if Uncharted 2 had 25 less votes.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 12/7/2010 9:33:14 AM | message detail
I dunno why you guys think Halo is "choking" when more gurus picked Uncharted and SMS.

Halo should still win this and it'll be an upset by guru standards.
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L O S T
X360 GT: VinnyMendoza90 Currently playing: Perfect Dark
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2010 9:34:37 AM | message detail
Because no one expected this to be close after we saw how heavily night-oriented Uncharted 2 was.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:36:04 AM | message detail
6 votes.

Is it time for the Halo Smash?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:36:31 AM | message detail
I might run through Uncharted 1 again now it's got trophy support.
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 9:37:24 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #031
halo will win. its winning in us by a big margin

You should look at North America since Canada is countering a big chunk of what the US is doing.


us is much bigger.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:37:26 AM | message detail
Yeah, Halo's got this one.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:38:05 AM | message detail
Because no one expected this to be close after we saw how heavily night-oriented Uncharted 2 was.

Meh, most people had Halo at 54%, if the ASV comes through it should break 52%.

Didn't Uncharted 2 get crushed at night (by 2 night games though)?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
EvilNcr | Posted 12/7/2010 9:38:26 AM | message detail
The way I see it, Halo's gonna build a lead slowly for the next 2-3 hours. Then the ASV happens and it pulls away big time.
I see Halo around 51% in 2 hours and at 53-54% by the end.

Anyway, we'll see.
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 9:38:28 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #035
Because no one expected this to be close after we saw how heavily night-oriented Uncharted 2 was.


halo anti votes boost u2.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/7/2010 9:39:33 AM | message detail
Didn't Uncharted 2 get crushed at night (by 2 night games though)?

It had a good night vote, at least in the 2009 GotY Poll. For reference, the trends of the 2009 GotY poll:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AgBWiYjlMLwYdExtZEVhQ0Z0T01obVhoRHRwMGNhSFE&gid=1
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:39:47 AM | message detail
us is much bigger.

Still the 56% in US is only 53% in NA.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:40:36 AM | message detail
Though Uncharted 2 doesn't want to give up.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 9:41:01 AM | message detail
and when europe goes to bed this match will be voer. still people expect halo to win more easily so moral victory for u2.

imo the best match was colossus because it was huge upset which piss people off.
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NGC3372 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:41:34 AM | message detail
Looking at the results by country, it's like the US vs. The World

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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 9:42:20 AM | message detail
germany hate halo

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4166&region=DE
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 12/7/2010 9:44:10 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #035
Because no one expected this to be close after we saw how heavily night-oriented Uncharted 2 was.


But up until the ASV on school days is when the night trends truly die. And Halo always gets anti-voted like crazy.

As others said, this shouldn't be close at all by the end of the match.
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L O S T
X360 GT: VinnyMendoza90 Currently playing: Perfect Dark
The Mana Sword | Posted 12/7/2010 9:44:19 AM | message detail
So is Legend of Dragoon projected to beat Mario Sunshine, assuming Uncharted 2 = Halo.

I must know.
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