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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 967

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/6/2010 9:31:15 PM | message detail
Fallout 3 now has 5 percentage drops in a row. Weird, given that WRPGs generally suffer from bad board votes.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 9:32:54 PM | message detail
It's official the board hates the Batman and loves their brackets.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/6/2010 9:33:43 PM | message detail
I voted Batman like a real man.
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creativename | Posted 12/6/2010 9:56:16 PM | message detail

From: ZenOfThunder | #1903
http://img441.imageshack.us/img441/9003/re4ffx.png

I dared


Less Tidus, More Auron, Jecht, maybe Lulu.

From: -LusterSoldier- | #2001
Fallout 3 now has 5 percentage drops in a row. Weird, given that WRPGs generally suffer from bad board votes.


Brackets. Fallout will probably fall about a point from here I'm guessing.
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Big Bob | Posted 12/6/2010 10:00:18 PM | message detail
I'm sitting here with multiple tabs open trying to figure out if there's some way I can statistically justify Uncharted 2. The closest I can come up with is "It'll be close, but Uncharted will fall short".

WHAT HAVE I BECOME?!
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Haguile | Posted 12/6/2010 10:02:48 PM | message detail

From: Big Bob | #405
I'm sitting here with multiple tabs open trying to figure out if there's some way I can statistically justify Uncharted 2. The closest I can come up with is "It'll be close, but Uncharted will fall short".

WHAT HAVE I BECOME?!


I'm still trying to think of a way Batman can make a comeback other than "he has the night vote. He is the night vote." I think I'm even worse than you about this!
RockMFR 5 | Posted 12/6/2010 10:13:30 PM | message detail
What is this about FO3 looking good here? MP should be the favorite after this poor performance.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/6/2010 10:15:21 PM | message detail
Yeah this ain't too hot, although neither of these recent games should have a very high playrate, so Batman's cool picture could be making a difference, especially since F3's is junk.
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Greyfeld | Posted 12/6/2010 10:20:06 PM | message detail
http://img441.imageshack.us/img441/9003/re4ffx.png

I dared

Less Tidus, More Auron, Jecht, maybe Lulu.


I'd say go with Lulu for TJF :P
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G0EMONIMPACT | Posted 12/6/2010 10:21:43 PM | message detail
douchy Tidus is the whole point
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/6/2010 10:24:40 PM | message detail
Everyone submit nothing but Tidus pics for that match
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 10:26:13 PM | message detail
Seems like Batman is making gains in Europe since the match has started, can't be good for Fallout 3.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 10:54:32 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | TTYD | Oblivion | Votes
0:05 | 44.11% | 55.89% | 705
1:00 | 43.78% | 56.22% | 6823
2:00 | 42.62% | 57.38% | 5662
3:00 | 42.79% | 57.21% | 5249
4:00 | 44.42% | 55.58% | 5597
5:00 | 47.03% | 52.97% | 5548
6:00 | 46.58% | 53.42% | 5288
7:00 | 45.20% | 54.80% | 4821
8:00 | 46.08% | 53.92% | 4340
9:00 | 44.67% | 55.33% | 3873
10:00 | 45.91% | 54.09% | 3494
11:00 | 45.18% | 54.82% | 3134
12:00 | 44.85% | 55.15% | 2769

Normally Oblivion has a good day vote. It may be time to add Paper Mario into our upper echelon of ASVs.

Fourth Quarter

The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion – 50.00%
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door – 44.83%
SoulCalibur II – 37.55%
Gears of War – 36.03%

SC2 gets 52.02% on Gears and 41.88% on TTYD.

One of the great things about round 3 is that these stats will start taking a more definite shape!
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transients | Posted 12/6/2010 10:55:25 PM | message detail
yeah, I'm looking forward to seeing the r3 stats. gonna have a lot of answers in a week's time.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 11:17:13 PM | message detail
Back from my moping. I had a great run and plan to do better next year and have a newfound respect for the board's opinion.
And I don't know if anyone commented on this yet, but I love what Bacon did with the Lusterboard.
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 11:17:47 PM | message detail
If Metroid ends up beating Fallout, I'm gonna scream cause I ended up changing to Fallout.
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Blairville | Posted 12/6/2010 11:35:29 PM | message detail

From: ctesjbuvf | #416
If Metroid ends up beating Fallout, I'm gonna scream cause I ended up changing to Fallout.


Too bad HL2 is beating MP.

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Greyfeld | Posted 12/6/2010 11:59:02 PM | message detail
was playing around with trying to make a Jecht/Auron/Braska pic for FFX, though the text is a little hard to read. What do you guys think?

http://s90.photobucket.com/albums/k262/Greyfeld/?action=view&current=f3a07f64.jpg
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JJH777 | Posted 12/7/2010 12:01:21 AM | message detail
Try making the font black. I would love to see a picture like that chosen when it faces Melee though.
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Greyfeld | Posted 12/7/2010 12:03:23 AM | message detail
the problem is, black still blends in with half the characters' outfits. I'd probably be best off going with something like yellow, red, or orange, but I have a feeling it would clash horribly with the rest of the picture.
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creativename | Posted 12/7/2010 12:57:20 AM | message detail
We should petition Allen to never, ever have solo Tidus in an FFX pic again! Damn you solo Tidus, bane of FFX.

From: PartOfYourWorld | #2008
Yeah this ain't too hot, although neither of these recent games should have a very high playrate, so Batman's cool picture could be making a difference, especially since F3's is junk.


What is this? I've never played Fallout but I think its pic is godly! This is just an awesome match pic both ways, probably match pic of the year so far IMO.

From: Greyfeld | #2060
the problem is, black still blends in with half the characters' outfits. I'd probably be best off going with something like yellow, red, or orange, but I have a feeling it would clash horribly with the rest of the picture.


You could outline the letters with black or something. I think it's called 'stroke' in photoshop.

It's a good concept for a pic though.
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Solid_Mike86 | Posted 12/7/2010 12:59:18 AM | message detail
Blairville
Posted 12/7/2010 2:35:29 AM
message detail From: ctesjbuvf | #416
If Metroid ends up beating Fallout, I'm gonna scream cause I ended up changing to Fallout.


Too bad HL2 is beating MP.

Lol. Good one!
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/7/2010 12:59:45 AM | message detail
Woah damn!

Fallout has fallen back into the "beatable" realm.

Thank goodness!

COME ON GORDOOONNNN
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Greyfeld | Posted 12/7/2010 1:17:25 AM | message detail

You could outline the letters with black or something. I think it's called 'stroke' in photoshop.

It's a good concept for a pic though.


Well, since I'm cheap, I'm using GIMP, rather than Photoshop. That said, I couldn't figure out how to outline the text. I wanted to, but I couldn't for the life of me find any guides for it that weren't for older versions of the program.
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greatone10 | Posted 12/7/2010 1:30:42 AM | message detail
Well, at least this performance makes me feel a little bit better about hoping on the Arkham to the Final Four train. Should have saved my Batman and Joker staredown pic for Round 3 instead of having it wasted on TF2.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/7/2010 2:33:03 AM | message detail
Huh. Bit below what I expected, as someone who's not sure about FO3/MP(/HL2).

TF2 or DMC3? This has FO3 getting around 67% on TF2, and MP got 64% on DMC3... I'd take DMC3, but not by a lot.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/7/2010 3:59:04 AM | message detail
Well I am pretty sure most expected around 60-40 anyway.Now let us see the next match...
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/7/2010 4:28:30 AM | message detail
The three games are probably very close together (something I wouldn't have considered pre-contest), but right now I have to think this is kinda dooming for Fallout 3's chances. 2009 games have looked bad all contest, and yet here comes Batman breaking 40% on a 1 seed (both Fallout and Batman are day-oriented games, right?). And I have to think that if Prime can't break 60% on Okami it's doomed against HL2. GTAIII would likely beat Okami with room to spare. Okami likely isn't that strong. Games from the 2004-2006 division seem to have been overrated in the stats...oh wait that's the rationale I used for SotC having no chance at MGS2, and look what happened. Whoops.

If HL2 gets past Prime it has a very good shot at Fallout 3, what with that being a night match and HL2 being the "smart voter" choice. Prime would likely win that over both games though. Without Metroid Prime you may not have games like BioShock and Arkham Asylum. It helped popularize the "adventure shooter" (aka the shooter which is more about things other than shooting).
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/7/2010 4:39:46 AM | message detail
I don't feel strongly behind GTA3 beating Batman:AA, so it's hard for me to back HL2 against FO3 right now. It should still be close, but it's currently FO3's match to lose.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 7:04:47 AM | message detail
Hmmm...Looks like whatever's been messing with the site is also interfering with the poll. Only 719 votes that last hour. Hopefully, all this will clear up soon.

What a boring match though. It's been in this same range the whole time.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 7:06:33 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #423
Fallout has fallen back into the "beatable" realm.


I'm not sure FO3 was ever in the "unbeatable" realm!

It's still a favorite over HL2 or Prime at this point though.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/7/2010 7:21:59 AM | message detail
I would take all GTA games over Batman. And yes I am aware of what they've been doing this contest. Okay, at least III/VC/SA.

But come on, I'm not putting much faith in a 2009 game here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 7:27:01 AM | message detail
I'm not sure why you'd rather put faith in GTA! We've got more 2009 games in round 3 than we do GTA games!
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/7/2010 7:32:11 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #431
I'm not sure FO3 was ever in the "unbeatable" realm!

It's still a favorite over HL2 or Prime at this point though.


it's got more chance against half life. prime will do better because of the potential nintendo support.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/7/2010 7:33:54 AM | message detail
Hmmm...Looks like whatever's been messing with the site is also interfering with the poll. Only 719 votes that last hour. Hopefully, all this will clear up soon.

I think the entire site was affected. For a short period of time, I kept getting a white page that said "Internal Error - Please try your request again later." whenever I tried to load up any page on the site. Because of that, it was nearly impossible to vote. A few people got their votes because as a result of constantly trying to vote until they managed to get through without the site giving them an "Internal Error" page.
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abdou | Posted 12/7/2010 7:41:39 AM | message detail
My first ever attempt at making a picture

http://img194.imageshack.us/img194/1019/ffxpicture.jpg

how bad is it? >_>
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/7/2010 7:54:17 AM | message detail
The pic is good. The font is kinda plain though. You might want to fancy it up a bit.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 8:02:23 AM | message detail
Match XCVIII: (3) Uncharted 2 vs. (2) Halo: Combat Evolved

Last Round

Uncharted 2 – 54.04%
Street Fighter IV – 45.96%

Halo 3 – 43.08%
Halo: Combat Evolved – 56.92%

Analysis

I know Uncharted 2 was the guru favourite, but I’m still surprised at the amount of people that think Uncharted 2 still has a chance to win. Then again if Halo wanted to it could choke this match away. While Halo hasn’t been anything special in this contest Uncharted 2 has yet to show that it is capable of defeating Halo.

While we expected Legend of Dragoon to not be terrible fodder Uncharted 2 still performed pretty badly on the game. Sure it won the vote-in, but pretty much every game in that poll was crushed. The silver lining I guess is that with Ninja Gaiden it is suggested that the match would be close. You also have last round where Uncharted 2 got 54% on Street Fighter IV which just came from struggling against Sonic Adventure 2. For Uncharted 2 to win would suggest that Sonic Adventure 2 would be stronger than Super Mario Sunshine and while Sunshine isn’t the most popular Mario game I don’t see it losing to a Dreamcast game that was ported to the Gamecube.

You can argue that Uncharted 2 has been stuck in night matches against night games, but then you have to remember that Street Fighter IV was stuck against Sonic Adventure 2 in the day and the fact that Uncharted 2 isn’t that strong of a day game if you remember the GotY poll I don’t think the percents would have made that much of a notable difference. It also doesn’t help that the game is going against Halo during the day.

Like I said Halo could pull off its traditional choke and lose this match, but I’m hoping the game won’t do that. Halo 3 was able to avoid it against Super Mario Sunshine so I expect a similar performance here. This is the first pick where my guru bracket is really in danger though that’s only because I have some unpopular picks in the future.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Halo > Uncharted 2

charmander6000’s Prediction: Halo wins, 53.33% - 46.67%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 8:52:46 AM | message detail
I'd love to see Uncharted 2 win this but i have Halo is both bracket and battle.
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shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 8:55:03 AM | message detail

From: abdou | #436
My first ever attempt at making a picture

http://img194.imageshack.us/img194/1019/ffxpicture.jpg

how bad is it? >_>




Contest winning pic right there >_> I agree with Leon though the text needs changing
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/7/2010 8:55:07 AM | message detail
At the very least, this should be some board vote.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2010 8:58:05 AM | message detail
Actually, Halo always has a good board vote because people here are BRACKET WHORES.

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DFF
tennisboy213 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:17 AM | message detail
Uncharted 2: Among Thieves 63.64% 7
Halo: Combat Evolved 36.36% 4
TOTAL VOTES 11

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:30 AM | message detail
Uncharted 2: Among Thieves 59.09% 13
Halo: Combat Evolved 40.91% 9
TOTAL VOTES 22

Damn bracket voters.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 112/128 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Halo
shane15 | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:32 AM | message detail
holy crap
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:33 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Uncharted 2: Among Thieves 62.96% 17
Halo: Combat Evolved 37.04% 10

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:33 AM | message detail
UC2 board vote vs. Halo board vote: as hilarious as expected
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Oracle contest - 15th
Today's pick: Halo - 53.95% Status:
BrettEagles | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:51 AM | message detail
Uncharted 2: Among Thieves 75% 6
Halo: Combat Evolved 25% 2
TOTAL VOTES 8
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/7/2010 9:00:57 AM | message detail
oh god

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DFF
Master Moltar | Posted 12/7/2010 9:01:00 AM | message detail
board hate halo
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Moltar Status: 116 Points - Vote: Halo
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/