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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 967

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HaRRicH | Posted 12/6/2010 1:34:47 PM | message detail
TheOneAboveAll, I was rooting for you. Sorry to see it crash like this, but take something from it and learn from your mistakes. Also, hooray battle-leaderboard. I can enjoy the Lusterboard a lot more now that it's not board-blocking me.


So, how close can Oblivion get next round to LoZ:WW? We've seen pretty much everything relevant to the argument aside from LoZ:MM/GSC and FO3/Batman:AA (assuming FO3 and Oblivion have a relationship), and it's not like either match would be a good analogy for LoZ:WW/Oblivion anyway.

I'll guess 44%.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 1:35:26 PM | message detail
I made a few pics for the Character Battle, but something like game pics is a bit out of my league.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/6/2010 1:39:28 PM | message detail
Maybe I'll try my hand at pic making. I think it's the last contest-related thing I haven't done yet. I even got a first vote back in 2004!
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/6/2010 1:40:58 PM | message detail
I love making match-pics for games I can play on my computer; I much prefer hunting out my own snapshots to edit than GIS'ing games. Between that and having not played THAT many games in this contest (don't enjoy pic-making for games I lack a relationship with), I've barely done any. My Perfect Dark one was rejected, so now I'm kinda counting on either a HL2-pic or Portal-pic if I get any pics accepted this contest.
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T H E S T A B L E
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/6/2010 1:47:57 PM | message detail
Very good ASV for Paper Mario so far.

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DFF
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/6/2010 1:49:39 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #301
TheOneAboveAll, I was rooting for you. Sorry to see it crash like this, but take something from it and learn from your mistakes. Also, hooray battle-leaderboard. I can enjoy the Lusterboard a lot more now that it's not board-blocking me.


So, how close can Oblivion get next round to LoZ:WW? We've seen pretty much everything relevant to the argument aside from LoZ:MM/GSC and FO3/Batman:AA (assuming FO3 and Oblivion have a relationship), and it's not like either match would be a good analogy for LoZ:WW/Oblivion anyway.

I'll guess 44%.


46% imo. wind waker is the weakest 3D console zelda.
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 12/6/2010 1:53:06 PM | message detail
http://i261.photobucket.com/albums/ii49/superangelo128/Majorareal.jpg

not aamzing but how's this for a Majora pic
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/6/2010 1:54:38 PM | message detail
Menji made that one already.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 1:55:02 PM | message detail
Someone should use MM pics from that Dr. Pepper commercial they played a million times when the game first came out.
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"I can set you free, mate."
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 1:55:32 PM | message detail
Also, aw yeah, TTYD cut
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
fyrael | Posted 12/6/2010 1:59:06 PM | message detail
So, how close can Oblivion get next round to LoZ:WW? We've seen pretty much everything relevant to the argument aside from LoZ:MM/GSC and FO3/Batman:AA (assuming FO3 and Oblivion have a relationship), and it's not like either match would be a good analogy for LoZ:WW/Oblivion anyway.


It would be pretty hard to believe that Fallout and Oblivion don't have a connection, since they're so dang similar. I fully agree though, that those two matches will tell us very little about WW v. Oblivion. Man, if Oblivion could pull off that victory, I'd have a great chance of beating SBAllen.
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For the swarm...
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 2:02:08 PM | message detail
47% hour for TTYD.

Excellent.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/6/2010 2:02:18 PM | message detail
man ... I thought Oblivion was supposed to have a decent ASV
It has looked pretty bad for the past hour
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Oracle contest - 15th
Today's pick: Oblivion - 56.78% Status: Great
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/6/2010 2:02:51 PM | message detail
It's a shame this isn't close at all, because TTYD could've made one hell of an ASV comeback.

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 2:03:41 PM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #313
man ... I thought Oblivion was supposed to have a decent ASV
It has looked pretty bad for the past hour


It's just that Paper Mario has shown to have an outstanding day vote, for whatever the reason.

Seriously, PM1 had an insane ASV in a match with Kingdom Hearts last year.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
fyrael | Posted 12/6/2010 2:21:37 PM | message detail
Also, aw yeah, TTYD cut

Are you just hoping that this bodes well for WW?
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For the swarm...
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/6/2010 2:32:36 PM | message detail

From: TRE Public Account | #296
http://img813.imageshack.us/img813/6518/gsc.png

I'm not sure what to do with the text but maybe Typhlosion versus Charizard would make a better picture.


oh man TRE is right. Make it Red Gyarados vs. Charizard or something and we're golden!
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See You Space Cowboy
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 2:49:06 PM | message detail

From: fyrael | #316
Also, aw yeah, TTYD cut

Are you just hoping that this bodes well for WW?


No, I just love TTYD.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/6/2010 2:50:55 PM | message detail
Hmmm

Does Oblivion have a shot at Wind Waker anyway? I mean... yeah I suppose it does but... ehhhhhhhh
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/6/2010 2:54:14 PM | message detail
I'd say the chances for an Oblivion > WW upset are medium at this point.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/6/2010 2:55:07 PM | message detail
For Oblivion to beat WW, TTYD would need to beat AC2 with a lot of room to spare. I'm not sure TTYD would beat AC2 at all.

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 2:56:30 PM | message detail
Oblivion's chances of upsetting WW were condemned to oblivion after round 1 because SC2 isn't beating GoW2 or AC2.
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/6/2010 2:59:30 PM | message detail
Hmmm...

Leon's right =/

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
transients | Posted 12/6/2010 2:59:51 PM | message detail
SC2 would beat GOW2.

but not AC2.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 3:02:56 PM | message detail
SC2 beating GoW2 puts Oblivion closer to Wind Waker than I'm willing to give it credit for!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 3:03:52 PM | message detail
Plus, the thought of WW only being able to 55/45 TTYD is mind-boggling.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/6/2010 3:07:37 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #326
Plus, the thought of WW only being able to 55/45 TTYD is awesome.


Let's do this, GameFAQs.

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DFF
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/6/2010 3:10:17 PM | message detail

From: SuperAngelo128 | #307
http://i261.photobucket.com/albums/ii49/superangelo128/Majorareal.jpg

not aamzing but how's this for a Majora pic


Needs to be amazing. For the sake of fairness MM has to get something badass to counter GSC's ridiculous pic appeal.
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/6/2010 6:42:51 PM | message detail
After adjusting Oblivion down in the x-stats (it was likely overestimated as it was measured through a match where MGS3 nearly matched RE4), it is getting almost exactly as expected on TTYD, based on the inferred x-stat of Gears of War.

Okay, as we head to Round 3, we know that Kingdom Hearts/2 is debatable, along with GSC/Majora's Mask. What other match do you think is the most LIKELY upset to occur?

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 6:47:05 PM | message detail
Well Halo could choke, lol GTA could spead to GTA3 and HL2 and some people think KotOR has a chance against FFIX
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/6/2010 7:09:22 PM | message detail
So what are we thinking tonight

60/40?

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DFF
transients | Posted 12/6/2010 7:10:59 PM | message detail
probably. I get the feeling Fallout 3 might go big. I have no idea how to measure Batman.
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 7:11:50 PM | message detail
Sounds about right. Fallout 3 wasn't anything special last round while Batman is no slouch.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion
transients | Posted 12/6/2010 7:16:22 PM | message detail
after tomorrow's matches we'll be able to say something definitive about 2009 games. so far I'm going this way:

1. Assassin's Creed 2
2. Batman
3. Dragon Age
4. Uncharted 2
5. Resident Evil 5
6. New Super Mario Bros. Wii
7. Modern Warfare 2
8. Street Fighter 4
9. Dissidia
10. Borderlands

I want to put Dragon Age way lower but every other game has sucked.
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xyzzy
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/6/2010 7:16:41 PM | message detail
So what are we thinking tonight

60-65% is the range I'm thinking of here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 7:19:20 PM | message detail
Nah, TP/DA was more TP being legit than Dragon Age being really bad.

I'm not sure I'd take any game in this contest apart from the big three over it.

Also, putting Dragon Age that high and Borderlands that low implies TP >> FFX!
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/6/2010 7:20:07 PM | message detail
Whoa whoa whoa, I know that we shouldn't take GotY polls too seriously, but no way is MW2 that far below Dragon Age and Uncharted 2.
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transients | Posted 12/6/2010 7:22:46 PM | message detail
yeah, I don't think there's much of a difference there. if we were doing percentages on OOT, AC2 would be at about 25 and Borderlands at maybe 19.
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 7:25:43 PM | message detail
Whoa whoa whoa, I know that we shouldn't take GotY polls too seriously, but no way is MW2 that far below Dragon Age and Uncharted 2.

He's right KH shouldn't be that far from TP.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 7:26:08 PM | message detail

From: transients | #338
yeah, I don't think there's much of a difference there. if we were doing percentages on OOT, AC2 would be at about 25 and Borderlands at maybe 19.


Well, we're already at 54/46 based on UC2/SFIV and 58/42 based on MW2/Dissidia, so...!
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abdou | Posted 12/6/2010 7:27:02 PM | message detail
Dissidia is stronger than Borderlands?
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 7:30:54 PM | message detail
Dissidia is stronger than Borderlands?

Only if you think RE4 is going to defeat FFX.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion
transients | Posted 12/6/2010 7:31:14 PM | message detail
I'd pick it over Borderlands, yeah. FF name and all.

kinda like how I'd pick NSMB Wii over MW2 -- name brand
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 7:42:44 PM | message detail

From: transients | #343
I'd pick it over Borderlands, yeah. FF name and all.

kinda like how I'd pick NSMB Wii over MW2 -- name brand


I think I'd take the FF name brand over the NSMB Wii name brand, personally!
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 7:43:28 PM | message detail
Are we still going with name brand despite Borderlands showing that it is the stronger game? I mean didn't it show that against MW2 already?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 7:57:49 PM | message detail
Match XCVII: (1) Fallout 3 vs. (5) Batman: Arkham Asylum

Last Round

Fallout 3 – 74.27%
Deus Ex – 25.73%

Batman: Arkham Asylum – 59.52%
Team Fortress 2 – 40.48%

Analysis

We’re back to the top of the bracket for the third time. Fallout 3 has been brought back down to Earth though the game should still be the favourite to reach the semi-finals while the same happened to Batman showing that crushing fodder games does not make you strong; it makes the game that you crushed weak.

There was a few people that thought this match would be close since they thought Arkham Asylum would be a Batman proxy and since that’s not the case there isn’t much to discuss in this match. I do feel that Batman won’t exactly be crushed and while some people are down on it for it not breaking 60% on Team Fortress 2 I do feel that the board is underestimating the game. The game does have reason to be stronger than what it showed us last contest and we shouldn’t bring up almost losing to Fable since we don’t know where Fable ranks.

After two rounds of crushing Fallout 3 finally gets a decent opponent. It should be interesting to see what the game does here and while it still is the heavy favourite to reach the semi-finals it still isn’t a lock and with New Vegas not being as fresh as it was at the beginning of the contest we should see Fallout 3 return to normal levels.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Fallout 3 > Batman: Arkham Asylum

charmander6000’s Prediction: Fallout 3 wins, 59.36% - 40.64%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion
transients | Posted 12/6/2010 7:59:11 PM | message detail
yeah, but people actually played and liked NSMB Wii! not true of Dissidia being on the PSP and all.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 8:05:09 PM | message detail

From: transients | #347
yeah, but people actually played and liked NSMB Wii!


I'm not really seeing much evidence of this!
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transients | Posted 12/6/2010 8:10:04 PM | message detail
seems pretty obvious to me! NSMB Wii sold like 6m here, Dissidia more like 150k. NSMB Wii crushed the Wii GOTY poll while Dissidia couldn't do as well against a pathetic PSP poll. NSMB Wii gets talked about a lot more and is overall more positive.
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xyzzy
Big Bob | Posted 12/6/2010 8:11:06 PM | message detail
You know, I've been so wishy-washy about Uncharted/Halo that I realized that there's a good barometer coming right up! If Batman impresses against Fallout 3, then Uncharted's good to go, but if it disappoints, Halo's favored.

Watch it get somewhere in the middle.
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