GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 967
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/6/2010 6:44:05 AM | message detail |
Yikes, that overnight vote killed WW. --- "You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?" |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 6:48:06 AM | message detail |
And
what makes us think that Gears of War has fallen off so much? Being
less than tripled by two elite games with a third strong game (as we
just discovered) last year is not that much worse than being more than
tripled by TP. But you think going from a port in those polls to now
moved Oblivion from being worth 35% or 42% (depending on which GOTY
poll) on GoW to being worth more than 60% (or a little more because
TTYD probably puts up 61% during the day)? |
Menji76 | Posted 12/6/2010 6:49:20 AM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #002 huh --- Menji~ by Ctrl-Alt-Del http://img.imgcake.com/menjipngre.png |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/6/2010 7:02:40 AM | message detail |
I can use GotY polls too: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1870 See, TTYD being beaten by ToS, and what game beat ToS? http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3490 Though I'm not saying that TTYD can't win. --- http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/6/2010 7:09:41 AM | message detail |
Pikmin 2's horrible performance saddens me. --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 7:13:06 AM | message detail |
I
saw those polls too. But I also think that Symphonia benefited from a
lot of SFF in that poll (more than the standard all-GC SFF). Tales was
clearly the only major "non-standard Nintendo" game in that poll. And I
think that MP drew a lot off of PM there. I don't think there was any
major SFF like that against Oblivion in the GOTY poll I used, but I
guess arguments could be made. |
fyrael | Posted 12/6/2010 7:22:14 AM | message detail |
Pikmin 2's horrible performance saddens me. There was a Pikmin 2? --- For the swarm... |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/6/2010 7:28:35 AM | message detail |
I meant in the 2004 GameCube GOTY poll. --- Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/6/2010 7:29:13 AM | message detail |
Maybe AC2 will break 40% after all.I really hope it does it. --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
fyrael | Posted 12/6/2010 7:32:27 AM | message detail |
Yes, and I meant "they made a second Pikmin game?" --- For the swarm... |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 7:33:50 AM | message detail |
Yeah.
In my opinion it was better than the first, but basically the only
reason the original was enjoyable was because it was something very
original (and it usually came for free with a GC at the beginning),
which the second one lacked. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 8:00:43 AM | message detail |
Match XCVI: (7) Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door vs. (2) The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Last Round Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door – 59.82% Gears of War – 40.18% The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion – 62.45% Soul Calibur II – 37.55% Analysis This is the final match of the second round. Every contest there is always a match where people start freaking out due to them believing some crazy scenario. A lot of people seem to fear that Paper Mario is capable of an upset and while the match will probably be closer than we thought pre-contest I really don’t see a reason why some people are freaking out. Getting almost 60% on Gears of War is not that impressive and it certainly does not make you strong. Just take a look what happened to it last contest it was crushed in its match. For whatever reason Portal easily defeating Final Fantasy XII seems to make people think that Gears of War 2 has some strength and since that game is weaker than the original it should speak well for Gears of War. For one thing unless people think Portal is now as strong as Resident Evil 4 I don’t see how it makes Gears of War 2 and its original look decent. You have to remember that game was crushed by Portal in the first round. If Oblivion does lose it’ll be due to its weakness, though I think people are underestimating Soul Calibur II a bit. The game was one of the fighting games of the decade and just because Soul Calibur perform terribly in the previous contest does not mean that Soul Calibur II is weak. At the same time I wouldn’t be surprised if the game has started to show its age though we never really did know how strong the game initially was. While Paper Mario did well in easily defeating World of Warcraft all you have to do is take a look at Arthas to see that those guys don’t seem to perform well in this format. If you hold a rematch between Oblivion and World of Warcraft I would expect Oblivion to win by a lot more than it did last contest. If Paper Mario does pull off the impossible upset I would love to see the whining that the match will cause from The Elder Scrolls fans. charmander6000’s Bracket: Oblivion > Paper Mario: TTYD charmander6000’s Prediction: Oblivion wins, 56.20% - 43.80% --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion |
Glenn_and_Toad | Posted 12/6/2010 8:02:37 AM | message detail |
Bold prediction: Paper Mario wins a nailbiter. Also outsouced is indeed great. --- on 4ways: right now they have inherent flaws, but could be easily fixed by implementing approval voting! ~ToadYoshi 1. SoAL 2. MKW/64 3. FE7 4. TF2 5. FFCC |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/6/2010 8:03:01 AM | message detail |
Paper Mario isn't going to get close to Oblivion. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/6/2010 8:03:08 AM | message detail |
First Zelda underperformance of the contest. Ah well, 5/6 ain't bad. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:11:47 AM | message detail |
I
don't know Char. Portal did not beat Gears of War 2 by much more than
expected if you compare FFXII to Gears of War from the 2006 GOTY polls.
I think GoW is still pretty close to the level it was at in 2006. I
think I'm sticking with PM here. I think everyone is too caught up on
pre-contest expectations and not letting them go to realize that this
should be an incredibly close match either way. |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:13:47 AM | message detail |
Also, http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2626 I realize that this underestimates Oblivion a lot, but I still don't see it going from being doubled by Gears to 60/40ing it. I wouldn't be surprised if PM won this easily now. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/6/2010 8:16:14 AM | message detail |
I suppose you think Gears of War and FFXII would beat KHII then, too, huh --- "Stay with me until the end. Please." "Not until the end. Always." |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/6/2010 8:16:48 AM | message detail |
Man I'm gonna feel so bad for you if you take PM and blow it now that you've got the contest in your hands. --- "I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer See You Space Cowboy |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:22:14 AM | message detail |
I
agree that FFXII has fallen off a good deal (and KHII got stronger).
Still, that is a massive percentage discrepancy to make up. And Extha, don't think that this isn't driving me nuts. But in the end I think I'd feel even worse if I listened to you guys and then lost it. That's the reason I stuck with SotC in the end. I really think PM will win and I am not unconfident (I think I made that word up) enough about it that I am willing to risk how ticked I would be at myself if I blew this by listening to the board (even though I freely admit that most of you on the board know much more than I do). |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/6/2010 8:25:09 AM | message detail |
But in turn he'll be laughing at us if we get it wrong. So, it's basically him vs almost everyone here. But whatever the case is, if TTYD wins, I doubt it'll move the top of the brackets much, which is what I care about at the moment because if Halo beats Uncharted 2, then I have a good chance at being on the leaderboard. (Well unless the upper cLuster has that pick too) --- No need for words, Just cast Luminaire and be done with it. |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:26:20 AM | message detail |
TOAA
I think I'd bank if I were you, losing all those points would suck,
escpecially since you pretty much rule the battle challenge right now.
Banking those points always makes you win. --- 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_; 2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_; |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:27:34 AM | message detail |
Also
even though I got Oblivion in my bracket I think I'll jump on team TTYD
as well, just because it's one of the best games this decade. --- How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG) http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:27:43 AM | message detail |
I
think I'll be laughing because of SotC for a long time. If I was
worried about me against the board then I think I should just call it a
victory and stick with the board from here on out. I want to win this
contest and am incredibly worried about this match. I won't pick
Oblivion because I really have no confidence in it winning this match
at all. Right now my debate is between banking and mailing it in for
third place or going for broke and the win. |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:29:47 AM | message detail |
Bank
dude, I don't really think anyone has that many points at risk that
they can defeat you anyways, that is unless you mess up on this one. --- Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be? Is it Brawl, Final Fantasy or will you pick Melee? |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/6/2010 8:33:03 AM | message detail |
And you'd have to be REALLY confident if you think you can pull a decent streak in R3 with stuff like UC2/Halo KH/KH II KOTOR/FF IX and MM/GSC breaking things up. -- Only on GameFAQs would criticallly acclaimed PC games lose to niche JRPGs Go Us! |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:33:49 AM | message detail |
Can't
bank if I want to win, there are still two guys ahead of me. And I
think one person behind me could catch me at the moment if I bank on
this match. |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:34:49 AM | message detail |
I
am decently confident in Halo and if I bank at KH/KHII then I have a
good enough lead to go I think as long as I put up a few points at the
end. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/6/2010 8:38:21 AM | message detail |
I wish you luck, dude. I think it would be pretty cool if someone with your user name won. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:38:50 AM | message detail |
You
know man, that many points banked what are the odds that someone will
get in front of you, the two people above you can't do you anything if
you bank now. Also what are the odds that someone has saved points up
for such long time without screwing up that they can pass you? This
contest is in your hands if you bank. KH>KHII is a safe pick btw. --- Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever. |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:41:42 AM | message detail |
I
know it's a safe pick, but it's also an unnecessary risk which is why I
won't take it. And how would I have the contest in my hands? I would
have third place down but I wouldn't win. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 8:44:01 AM | message detail |
I
don't know Char. Portal did not beat Gears of War 2 by much more than
expected if you compare FFXII to Gears of War from the 2006 GOTY polls.
I think GoW is still pretty close to the level it was at in 2006. I
think I'm sticking with PM here. I think everyone is too caught up on
pre-contest expectations and not letting them go to realize that this
should be an incredibly close match either way. Well don't forget that FFXII defeated KH2 so I'm not sure how reliable the GotY polls are. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:44:27 AM | message detail |
This one is more risky, and you know if you bank your points at risk you'll be number one. --- Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever. |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:45:47 AM | message detail |
GotY polls does NOT help us AT ALL. >_> GTA won right? Call of Duty won right? That should say enough. --- How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG) http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:46:47 AM | message detail |
I won't be number 1 if I bank here. I won't be anywhere close. I would be a pretty distant third. |
WhiteLens | Posted 12/6/2010 8:49:38 AM | message detail |
And if you get it wrong, you won't even win any prizes. But if you want to gamble on the all-or-nothing approach, then that's fine. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207 |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 8:50:13 AM | message detail |
You know you still get a prize for finishing in third Then again you shouldn't listen to me since I'm currently in 26th if you remove the Lusterboard and I too have a chance at getting a prize. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:51:13 AM | message detail |
Wait I got it now. Messed up there. Potential
score. Comepletely missed that part, I should pay more attention to the
battle challenge, I'm ahead of SBAllen. Well then don't bank, but it
would really suck if you messed this one up. Also in that case KH vs.
KHII is not the one bank on. --- 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_; 2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_; |
SuperWhiscash | Posted 12/6/2010 8:54:56 AM | message detail |
it's Rawk Hawk time in six minutes gonna get that upset --- Maple Leafs: 5-2-1 / Raptors: top 3 pick plz / Jays / TFC: legit DPs plz / Argos - 10-10 / Platinum (legalhacks) - 0775 7164 7136 |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:58:48 AM | message detail |
I'm not really interested in any new games right now though. I really only want the Kinect or Move. |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 8:59:23 AM | message detail |
I wonder if Oblivion is going to get its usual bad board vote or brackets. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/6/2010 8:59:47 AM | message detail |
I feel like a lot of casual brackets will go PM here. |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 8:59:56 AM | message detail |
Good luck dude. Go TTYD. --- 07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_; 2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_; |
Master Moltar | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:11 AM | message detail |
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door 71.43% 5 The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion 28.57% 2 TOTAL VOTES 7 --- Moltar Status: 110 Points - Vote: Paper Mario TTYD Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
abdou | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:25 AM | message detail |
ew --- ... |
charmander6000 | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:25 AM | message detail |
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door 58.33% 7 The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion 41.67% 5 TOTAL VOTES 12 Beware the upset. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 108/124 Today's Matches: LoZ: WW & Oblivion |
Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:27 AM | message detail |
Only 30% of the casuals even have have PM in this round --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
Mannequin Depressive | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:29 AM | message detail |
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door 60% 6 The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion 40% 4 TOTAL VOTES 10 --- -_-...-_- ...-_-... Bera:12x Ice/Lit Mage |
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:30 AM | message detail |
Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door 60.61% 20 The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion 39.39% 13 TOTAL VOTES 33 Whoooohooooo!! --- ~~Ctesjbuvf~~ "Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever" |
melikepizza | Posted 12/6/2010 9:00:33 AM | message detail |
ttyd smashing the board vote --- Gamertag - XxBradKennedyxX Has stopped playing irl for this format! |