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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 966

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 8:47:52 AM | message detail
I don't think anyone here would take Mario Kart Wii over MKDS.

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DFF
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/5/2010 8:49:29 AM | message detail
The analysis crew seem to think this is going to be high 60s at best. I dunno though: FFIX tripled a PW game and I'd take GSC to beat FFIX. I doubt the PW games are far apart and MKWii struggled with one. Plus possible SFF. This should be past 70%.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 8:51:03 AM | message detail
I think the Crew is lowballing GSC because Pokemon has trouble with blowing stuff out (which has yet to really be proven, but now is as good a time as any).. MKWii could do well here today and I'd still never take it over DS.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 8:51:14 AM | message detail
TP got 78% on PW last year so GSC getting something like 72% is very possible, I just think we're afraid to put Advance Wars so close to MKWii.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/5/2010 8:52:33 AM | message detail
Some projections based on what Mario Kart Wii might get on Advance Wars:

If Mario Kart Wii got 60% on Advance Wars, then GSC would be expected to get 66.60% here. If Mario Kart Wii only got 55% on Advance Wars, then GSC should be expected to get 70.31% instead.


Personally, I'm leaning closer to 55% than to 60% on what Mario Kart Wii gets on Advance Wars.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
HaRRicH | Posted 12/5/2010 8:53:51 AM | message detail
I wouldn't expect GSC to SFF MKW like SSBB did to MKDS, but it doesn't have to in order to score a tripling here. There's a chance GSC beats MKW worse than it did Advance Wars. PW:AA only got 22.57% on LoZ:TP in BGE2, and MKW > PW:AA by a little while GSC should still be close to LoZ:TP. I don't really buy PW:AA being SFF'd there, but even if it did then PW:AA probably also benefited from four-ways and GSC may SFF MKW some. FF9 also tripled PW:TaT; while this is a stronger overall-match than FF9/PW:TaT, I don't know if the gap between PW:TaT and MKW is that much bigger than the gap from FF9 to GSC...before or after SFF.

As long as it breaks 70% though, I'll still feel decent about GSC. We're just not going to get a great read on it unless it does really really well or really really bad.
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Nominate EPONA from LoZ:OoT, LoZ:MM, and LoZ:TP!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/5/2010 8:54:59 AM | message detail
I'd probably take Advance Wars to give Phoenix Wright one hell of a match, and probably win... which means it'd be in the high 40s against MKWii. Maybe I'm just wildly overrating it though!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:00:24 AM | message detail
Mario Kart Wii 16.67%

1
Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 83.33%

5
TOTAL VOTES 6

First Mario Kart vote.

IT'S RAINBOW ROAD IT'S RAINBOW ROAD
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:00:32 AM | message detail
Mario Kart Wii 12.5% 1
Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 87.5% 7
TOTAL VOTES 8

/contest

>_>
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/5/2010 9:00:45 AM | message detail
oh, Mario Kart Wii
no one likes you
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Oracle contest - 15th
Today's pick: Pokemon GSC - 67.64% Status:
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 9:00:54 AM | message detail
aw yeah GSC

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:01:14 AM | message detail
Still holding the tripling.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:01:49 AM | message detail
The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 70.99%

Nothing crazy.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/5/2010 9:02:17 AM | message detail
GSC starting to drop off. Looks like Mario Kart Wii will end up being slightly stronger than Advance Wars.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
melikepizza | Posted 12/5/2010 9:02:37 AM | message detail
percentage is dropping quickly
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Gamertag - XxBradKennedyxX
Has stopped playing irl for this format!
Master Moltar | Posted 12/5/2010 9:03:22 AM | message detail
high 60s looking good right about now
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Moltar Status: 106 Points - Vote: Pokemon GSC
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:03:25 AM | message detail
Looks like Pokemon will end this just under 70%
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
WhiteLens | Posted 12/5/2010 9:03:56 AM | message detail
C'mon, make it seem like Advance Wars > Mario Kart Wii
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207
ToadYoshi | Posted 12/5/2010 9:05:41 AM | message detail
Hey Now, Mario Kart Wii was great as a transitional tool for beginners to get used to other Mario Karts. Give anyone a classic controller and they can powerslide in 5 second, unlike MK64 or some other ones. Ban the stupidly fast heavy-class bikes and you have a really great social Kart Racer, plus everyone gains sliding experience so MK64 becomes easier for them in the future. Yeah, it had balance issues, but if you play it with friends you can make an amicable agreement and erase them, using social aptitude to create a fun, light-hearted game.

Which perfectly explains why nobody on this site is voting for it.
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on 4ways: right now, they have inherent flaws, but could be great if fixed
http://i52.photobucket.com/albums/g3/CzarMagus/Birthday/frog.jpg
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/5/2010 9:05:52 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
112----1------------100.00
111----1------------100.00
110----9------------100.00
109----19----------100.00
108----51----------100.00
107----57----------98.25
106----98----------100.00
105----96----------100.00
104----147--------98.64
103----196--------97.96
102----219--------98.17
101----356--------96.91
100----302--------96.03
99------367--------95.37
98------402--------94.03
97------412--------94.17
96------470--------93.19
95------493--------93.71
94------547--------90.68
93------612--------91.99
92------623--------89.25
91------617--------87.20
90------663--------85.37
89------674--------86.80
88------689--------83.02
87------701--------82.60
86------681--------81.06
85------744--------79.57
84------788--------79.19
83------785--------76.69
82------843--------75.56
81------888--------77.03
80------816--------71.45
79------858--------73.89
78------891--------71.94
77------884--------69.80
76------945--------69.10
75------918--------66.88
74------899--------69.74
73------875--------65.03
72------932--------65.24
71------861--------62.25
70------838--------61.22
69------757--------61.16
68------764--------57.59
67------735--------58.37
66------665--------55.34
65------607--------55.68
64------570--------56.14
63------512--------52.15
62------415--------47.47
61------419--------49.40
60------350--------42.29
59------297--------50.51
58------276--------48.55
57------232--------45.69
56------183--------45.36
55------175--------43.43
54------149--------37.58
53------140--------40.71
52------111--------48.65
51------65----------44.62
50------69----------39.13
49------62----------41.94
48------45----------37.78
47------51----------21.57
46------49----------42.86
45------20----------30.00
44------20----------20.00
43------15----------46.67
42------12----------33.33
41------20----------60.00
40------9------------44.44
39------6------------16.67
38------9------------11.11
37------6------------16.67
36------14----------28.57
35------7------------0.00
34------7------------14.29
33------5------------20.00
32------9------------33.33
31------6------------16.67
30------5------------0.00
29------3------------33.33
28------6------------0.00
27------4------------0.00
26------3------------0.00
25------4------------25.00
24------3------------0.00
23------5------------0.00
22------5------------0.00
21------4------------0.00
20------3------------0.00
19------7------------28.57
18------2------------0.00
17------3------------0.00
16------7------------0.00
15------3------------0.00
14------5------------40.00
13------3------------0.00
12------7------------0.00
11------8------------0.00
10------17----------0.00
9--------7------------14.29
8--------6------------0.00
7--------5------------0.00
6--------2------------0.00
5--------1------------100.00
4--------6------------16.67
3--------12----------0.00
2--------5------------0.00
1--------16----------6.25
0--------16----------0.00

Max Score: 120

Pretty good prediction percentage. Only one person in the Top 332 got the match wrong. -27 and better stayed above 90. Otherwise a pretty normal chart.

No one fell off the Top 50.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 9:06:26 AM | message detail
ya go my pokemon

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:08:15 AM | message detail
Not bad at all. Anything about 70% will be good.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:08:27 AM | message detail
*aboot
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
kinsho3 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:09:18 AM | message detail
So.....Chrono Cross vs Mario Kart Wii, who you got?
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:10:31 AM | message detail
I would take CC > MKWii
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:10:58 AM | message detail
Chrono Cross would work that.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/5/2010 9:11:18 AM | message detail
why pokemon have same picture? they should have massive picture of ho-oh.
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http://i52.tinypic.com/2dgnzhz.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 9:12:01 AM | message detail
I would not feel confident at all in CC>MkWii. Chrono Cross is just plain weak.

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DFF
red sox 777 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:13:25 AM | message detail
Chrono Cross should win that. It's just really hard to give MM a chance after that round 2 poll last year.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/5/2010 9:14:01 AM | message detail
62% on DQVIII is definitely more impressive than 53.5% on Phoenix Wright
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Oracle contest - 15th
Today's pick: Pokemon GSC - 67.64% Status:
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:14:34 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #228
I would not feel confident at all in CC>MkWii. Chrono Cross is just plain weak.


Mario Kart Wii managed a paltry 53% on Phoenix, whereas Chrono Cross nearly had 62% on DQVIII. How big a win are we really giving Phoenix against DragonQuest? CC should take this MK game easy.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/5/2010 9:15:25 AM | message detail
LMFAO
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"all of smuffin's posts should have a (this is what smartmuffin actually believes) ala south park under it" -Warning_Crazy
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 9:16:20 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3465

Phoenix Wright could beat that, yes. And if you want to argue that FFIX SFFd it, then you also have to admit that CC SFFd DQ8.

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DFF
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/5/2010 9:19:34 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #233
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3465

Phoenix Wright could beat that, yes. And if you want to argue that FFIX SFFd it, then you also have to admit that CC SFFd DQ8.


I'd also like to argue that the strongest game of the contest was in that poll
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Oracle contest - 15th
Today's pick: Pokemon GSC - 67.64% Status:
Kamekguy | Posted 12/5/2010 9:19:59 AM | message detail
Considering FFIX's performances at the moment, all four of those games are looking like gold if Half-Life 1 still holds up... and it had no reason to go anywhere but up since 2004.

If anything, Chrono Cross has just looked more impressive.
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"Have you tried the rolling jump? We apes have no need to obey the laws of physics" - Cranky Kong
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/5/2010 9:20:47 AM | message detail

From: Kamekguy | #235
If anything, Chrono Cross has just looked more impressive.


Zelda damage control at its finest.
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"Elect Tea Party candidates or get Communists. The choice is clear." -SmartMuffin
Kamekguy | Posted 12/5/2010 9:24:58 AM | message detail
What? No, Pokemon's still going to beat it pretty easily, and Chrono Cross isn't a champ or anything, but I would've called it a low midcarder at best pre-contest and it looks... well, half-decent now.
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"Have you tried the rolling jump? We apes have no need to obey the laws of physics" - Cranky Kong
ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/5/2010 9:27:04 AM | message detail
Hahahaha GSC godstomp commence.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
See You Space Cowboy
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 9:30:12 AM | message detail

From: Kamekguy | #237
What? No, Pokemon's still going to beat it pretty easily, and Chrono Cross isn't a champ or anything, but I would've called it a low midcarder at best pre-contest and it looks... well, half-decent now.


But GSC easily beating MM that means that PW probably beats Chrono Cross...?

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DFF
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:34:01 AM | message detail
Phoenix Wright over Dragon Quest VIII sounds like a pick lots of people would have made pre-contest!
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
695924 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:38:51 AM | message detail
GSC, welcome to the semifinals.
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lol opinions
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/5/2010 9:40:33 AM | message detail
Is there a way to know which entries are actually eligible for prizes? If both guys ahead of me are only karma entries then there is little reason to risk anything on TTYD, correct?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:41:59 AM | message detail
You know, I've got Pokemon in the semis as well, but I'm not feeling nearly as confident as some others. I'd call it a toss-up right now and will likely favor MM in the Oracle unless there's a huge picture advantage.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/5/2010 9:44:48 AM | message detail
It surely doesn't help Pokemon that it's a night match.
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How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG)
http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 9:45:41 AM | message detail
I dunno about that. Zelda may be even more day-centric. At the very least, Pokemon will ravage in the UK.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 9:47:56 AM | message detail
It being a night match would probably favour Pokemon just a bit, the game isn't as hated in Europe and Asia as Zelda.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 104/120 Today's Matches: LoZMM & Pokemon GSC
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/5/2010 9:49:32 AM | message detail
Hmm I think the ASV favors Pokemon more than anything except possibly KH. Dunno with the rest of the day though. Hopefully Pokemon can pull it off.

Also Mario Kart Wii is winning in Wyoming.
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
HaRRicH | Posted 12/5/2010 9:52:37 AM | message detail
Yeah, if this falls under 70% and stays there, I'll call this a toss-up instead of favoring GSC like I have been. That said, let's not act like we know much about Wii Sports, CC, DQ8, MKW, or Advance Wars. The only opponent from this eight-pack we really had much reliable on pre-contest was four-way Phoenix, and it's now behind a muddy match. People have been skeptical of every match LoZ:MM and GS had last year for one reason or another, and inter-fanbase matches don't make this one any easier to call.

If LoZ:WW would have given GoW2 and AC2 to each of these two, we'd have some better room for judgment directly between these two. It's worth saying that LoZ:WW should be decent enough of a proxy to compare with LoZ:MM though, and it's been doing well.


This division will be heated in R3 and R4.
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Epona: your #1 trusty steed.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/5/2010 10:12:17 AM | message detail
lol suckemon

It can barely outdo MM's percentage on CC, against a weaker game it has every reason to SFF. Can't believe G/S/C was the board consensus out of this division.
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http://i49.tinypic.com/2ry672r.jpg
kinsho3 | Posted 12/5/2010 10:16:30 AM | message detail
I have Pokemon G/S/C to the finals losing to Melee and even this is not a good performance for a game that's suppose to kill two Zelda games, one after the other.

The idea that CC would lose to Mario Kart thanks to that poll it shared with FFIX and OoT is kind of ludicrous, too.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...