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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 966

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/4/2010 10:35:37 PM | message detail
There weren't any stats for Golden Sun/San Andreas. The best you could go buy was comparing UYA and Dead Space, and setting them equal basically you gave the exact results of the match.

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DFF
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/4/2010 10:36:23 PM | message detail
Oh I agree. I think Symphonia/TTYD/PM is debatable these days. I was just disagreeing that Paper Mario was the 'intuitive' pick.

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DFF
red sox 777 | Posted 12/4/2010 10:39:58 PM | message detail
There wasn't much in the way of stats for Golden Sun the game......but there was plenty in stats for Golden Sun characters being underrated going back to 2003.

Isaac/Samus (A possible SFF match too, not to mention Link/Samus SFF!)
Felix/Master Chief
Isaac/L-Block

There's probably more, but I can't remember off the top of my head.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/4/2010 10:47:04 PM | message detail
I caught the last 10 minutes or so of MGS2/SotC... it doesn't get much more shady than that, but ah well. It was still a really fun match, from what I saw - definitely a better way to lose two points than, say, a boring match like GS/SA!

As for this match: it looks to me like the Majora/Pokemon G/S/C saga is going to turn out like Jill/Ocelot. Hopefully I'm proven wrong - G/S/C is an awesome game that deserves to go far.

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creativename | Posted 12/5/2010 12:58:37 AM | message detail
Just got home...and holy **** at that last hour for the last match. Wow!

So SotC actually wins. I did not see this one coming whatsoever.

I'm going to have to go back and read some of the reactions to this, they must have been epic!
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creativename | Posted 12/5/2010 1:02:43 AM | message detail
What in the hell. SotC was the battle favorite?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/5/2010 2:21:59 AM | message detail
Sooooo Majora's Mask = Final Fantasy 9's percentage?

lol
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creativename | Posted 12/5/2010 2:22:17 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #098
Well, I'm not backing MM or anything. GSC has always had that match, and still does.


I have no idea how anyone can be all that confident in Pokemon beating *Zelda* game on ZeldaFAQs.

I'd peg it as a slight favorite over MM...but really, there's no reason people should be too sure about that.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/5/2010 2:31:53 AM | message detail
Wow, last match ooked pretty suspscious at the end on both sides, though MGS2 was suspiscious first.
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creativename | Posted 12/5/2010 2:45:46 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #107
In seriousness, just don't bank until KH/KH2. None of the other matches are really in doubt. Oblivion is going to win pretty simply, and so is Halo.


I'd be very surprised if Halo lost, but I'm concerned about Oblivion. Paper Mario has been pretty impressive, and might benefit very slightly from the day match. I think that match will be close either way.

One thing is certain for TheOneAboveAll - if you bank on TTYD vs. Oblivion, you will not win. But that match could go either way.

From: KamikazePotato | #139
Uh, intuitively Symphonia beats both Paper Mario games very, very easily.


Why? I agree with red sox here. I'd take PM1>ToS - not that I'd be too confident about it, but that's what I'd expect at this point. PM2 I don't know, but it shouldn't be too far from PM1.

From:
UltimaterializerX | #157

Sooooo Majora's Mask = Final Fantasy 9's percentage?

lol


LOL 4-ways unless their stats prop up a cog in the propaganda machine. What is this 'objectivity' you speak of? >_>

From: TheCodeisBosco | #154
As for this match: it looks to me like the Majora/Pokemon G/S/C saga is going to turn out like Jill/Ocelot.


I don't get this comparison?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/5/2010 3:11:27 AM | message detail
Perhaps he means that GSC looked stronger than MM last year and GSC has received an enhanced remake since then, but MM will defeat it anyways.

Pokemon weaker in 1vs1? Somehow I doubt it.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/5/2010 3:41:33 AM | message detail
Pokemon is not weaker in 1v1, if anyone thinks that.
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Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be?
Is it Brawl, Final Fantasy or will you pick Melee?
ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/5/2010 3:44:53 AM | message detail
Also was last match the closest wire to wire match we've had so far.
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Who you gonna root for? Who's it gonna be?
Is it Brawl, Final Fantasy or will you pick Melee?
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/5/2010 4:01:08 AM | message detail
47 out of 50 people had the match wrong?Man casuals beat us really bad.Still it is nice to see the best game wins.Doesn't happen often here.
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shane15 | Posted 12/5/2010 4:30:57 AM | message detail
How the hell did MGS going from winning right at the end to getting owned.I demand a rematch!
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/5/2010 5:43:43 AM | message detail
This is quite poor from MM. Feeling much better about GSC. at least until it inevitably goes and gets mid-60s on a game that struggled with Phoenix Wright, and we can logically analyse FFIX > GSC!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
Jmast7 | Posted 12/5/2010 5:48:49 AM | message detail
I am so glad I didn't stay up for the end of that match last night - would have sent me to bed so angry. :P
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/5/2010 5:59:12 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4161&region=ASI

XD
Gotta love Asia and their deep hatred of anything with the Zelda name.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/5/2010 6:05:15 AM | message detail
I think Paper Mario has a much better chance against Oblivion than most are giving it. The two of them have 60-40'd Gears of War and World of Warcraft, while Oblivion got 62.45% on Soulcalibur 2, which was outright beaten by Gears of War 2 in the vote-ins. Also, it's a Nintendo-Mario RPG in a day match. On top of that, it's the last match in round two!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/5/2010 6:11:49 AM | message detail
The Soul Calibur / Gears comparison is a fair point, but no one should ever use WoW to say anything about that match. 4-way WoW was a whole different beast than 1v1 WoW. Still, I don't feel like taking the vote-ins seriously there, and I just can't see Oblivion losing that match. I dunno, TTYD>Oblivion just doesn't feel right.
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Xcarvenger | Posted 12/5/2010 6:13:08 AM | message detail

From: Ultimaphazon | #168
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4161&region=ASI

XD
Gotta love Asia and their deep hatred of anything Nintendo.


Fix'd
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/5/2010 6:24:24 AM | message detail
Paper Mario winning tomorrow would be so awesome that words can't descripe it.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/5/2010 6:28:23 AM | message detail

From: ctesjbuvf | #172
Paper Mario winning tomorrow would be so awesome that words can't descripe it.


Having both Paper Mario games going to Round 3 would redeem any horrible result this contest would have.

Of course, I can't see anything horrible happening, because whichever game wins out of Smash, Melee, FFX, and GSC will deserve it. This contest has really been great.

That said, I love Oblivion too, as it was pretty much my gateway into wRPGs, so I'll be happy with whatever wins.
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/5/2010 6:33:21 AM | message detail
Having both Paper Mario games going to Round 3 would redeem any horrible result this contest would have.

If by "horrible" you mean "lol GameFAQs", then it's nothing surprising.


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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/5/2010 6:33:58 AM | message detail
BTW if you hold FFXII equal to its last year's self, Portal is on Mario 3's level. Real funny, I know.

I honestly still think MGS2 is stronger than SotC and would've won in both a night match and a 24-hour match, it just got unlucky here. This removes any chance MGS2 has at Prime or Galaxy though (however last year's stats have SotC > Galaxy, but who cares about those?).

Updated Top 25 in the wake of MGS2/SotC:

1) SSBM
2) SSBB
3) FF10
4) KH1
5) Pokemon GSC
6) Zelda: TP
7) RE4
8) MGS3
9) KH2
10) MGS4
11) FF9
12) Zelda: MM
13) Zelda: WW
14) Metroid Prime
15) Half-Life 2
16) Fallout 3
17) Diablo II
18) Super Mario Galaxy
19) Portal
20) BioShock
21) MGS2
22) SotC
23) Oblivion
24) Halo 1
25) Star Wars: KOTOR

How does this look?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/5/2010 6:36:54 AM | message detail
On second thought maybe I'll take MGS2 and SotC above Portal and BioShock, but I still can't pull the trigger on MGS2 > SMG. Or maybe MGS2 > SMG > SotC, that doesn't sound too off actually.

Hardcore, cultish adventure games are doing well this contest. Excellent.
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/5/2010 6:37:58 AM | message detail
Okay, so I'm starting to eat my nails off.

How much does Legend of Dragoon put on Ninja Gaiden???

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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/5/2010 6:39:37 AM | message detail
I think I'm leaning TTYD here. I understand the reasoning to say that WoW should be stronger in 4-ways than 1v1 but I still think that it should be pretty strong. Animal crossing was decently popular and had joke potential too. And SCII (and SC in general) seem to have gotten weaker over the years. And it's a day match. And it's Mario. I think TTYD pulls it out if it's close, but I also think this has the potential to be a 53-55% win for Oblivion.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/5/2010 6:49:34 AM | message detail
transience | Posted 12/5/2010 12:25:54 AM | message detail
let's see what happens with the night vote first. I bet CC has a great one.. though it didn't come out in Europe so who knows.


Interesting, Chrono Cross is only doing about 2% worse in Europe. I don't think this is because of Chrono Cross not being released in Europe, but because Dragon Quest VIII was a huge beast in Europe.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4126&region=EUR
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/5/2010 7:01:04 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #143
Nope, I believe in stats over intuition 95% of the time. Just pointing out that I don't like the Tales of Symphonia intuition argument against TTYD.


In fact, for this contest, red sox has gone well above the 95%-mark for not using intuition. What else do you expect though: Chrono Trigger DS was snubbed.....
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/5/2010 7:20:13 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #153
not to mention Link/Samus SFF!


Wait, I thought we established Link/Samus 2003 was SFF a long time ago!

I know I argued hard for it because it made Squall look better!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/5/2010 7:22:03 AM | message detail
And it looks like MM is going to get right about a doubling here. That's pretty impressive, I must say.

So...GoW2 vs. Chrono Cross: Who you got?

From: creativename | #160
LOL 4-ways unless their stats prop up a cog in the propaganda machine. What is this 'objectivity' you speak of? >_>


"LOL Brawl couldn't even match LFF'd Melee's percentage on Disgaea what a failure"

"Melee not matching FFX's percentage on Morrowind LOL 4-ways"
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/5/2010 7:26:22 AM | message detail
Its always "LOL 4-ways" until it makes Melee look good.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/5/2010 7:26:33 AM | message detail
47 out of 50 people got it wrong on bracket and 49 out of 50 people got it wrong at battle BUT SOTC was the favorite on battle?Man how is that?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/5/2010 7:28:53 AM | message detail

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #184
47 out of 50 people got it wrong on bracket and 49 out of 50 people got it wrong at battle BUT SOTC was the favorite on battle?Man how is that?


That's the benefit of being able to adjust your bracket mid-contest. Apparently, a lot of people were impressed by SOTC matching MGS2's percentage on The Sims.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/5/2010 7:35:08 AM | message detail
Give me Chrono Cross over God of War II. Also:

26) God of War
27) Tales of Symphonia
28) GTAIII
29) GTA: Vice City
30) GTA: San Andreas
31) Paper Mario
32) Paper Mario: TYD

How correct is this?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/5/2010 7:35:52 AM | message detail
Wow I forgot Golden Sun, Call of Duty 4, Mass Effect, and whole slews of other games.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/5/2010 7:36:22 AM | message detail
I'd take Paper Mario over any GTA game, I think, but I'd definitely give GTA3 the nod as the best-looking game in the series this contest.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 7:39:59 AM | message detail
Looking at the potential scores most of the people that went with SotC only had 100 or 300 potential points after the match.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/5/2010 7:44:54 AM | message detail
I dunno, 60% on LBP looks better than 60% on WoW or 60% on Gears of War. Right? Okay, here goes again (also MW suckitude):

26) GoW1
27) ToS
28) GTAIII
29) Golden Sun
30) GTA: Vice City
31) GTA: San Andreas
32) CoD4: MW1
33) Paper Mario
34) Paper Mario: TTYD
35) Batman: AA
36) Uncharted 2
37) FF12

The last three were kind of random, I'll admit.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/5/2010 7:48:46 AM | message detail
I'd also take the Paper Mario's over any GTA game and at least over CoD cause lets face it Call of Duty sucks in 1v1.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/5/2010 7:50:39 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4161&region=EUR

Man.

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DFF
Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/5/2010 7:53:40 AM | message detail
How correct is this?

none of your analysis is correct. keep wasting your own time though.

also chrono cross never came in europe..but europe hate n64 and gamecube so no surprise they vote against zelda.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/5/2010 7:55:51 AM | message detail
but europe hate n64 and gamecube so no surprise they vote against zelda.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4125&region=EUR

Looks like Europe doesn't hate the N64 and GameCube, although that match did have Wii Sports in it.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/5/2010 8:01:09 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #157
Sooooo Majora's Mask = Final Fantasy 9's percentage?

lol


For the 4th time, lol SFF
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/5/2010 8:03:04 AM | message detail

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #184
47 out of 50 people got it wrong on bracket and 49 out of 50 people got it wrong at battle BUT SOTC was the favorite on battle?Man how is that?


Everyone that follows the contest figured MGS2 would win, based on past contests. All the casuals took SotC because it was the 2 seed.

Not hard to figure out here...
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/5/2010 8:03:45 AM | message detail
Match XCIV: (12) Mario Kart Wii vs. (4) Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal

Last Round

Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney – 46.52%
Mario Kart Wii – 53.48%

Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal – 73.28%
Advance Wars – 26.72%

Analysis

I don’t know why some people were so hard on Pokemon last round, sure we thought it would get 75%, but it isn’t like the game was that far off the mark and besides we have no information on Advance Wars other than the game would be weak which Pokemon demonstrated. As for Mario Kart Wii I was pretty disappointed in its performance. I know no one cares about the Wii, but to a lot of people Mario Kart Wii was the last decent Wii game before people began turning on the console.

Pokemon shouldn’t have much problem crushing this match Phoenix Wright has never looked good in a match and even if you want to salvage what it did against Twilight Princess by saying the game SFF Phoenix Wright somehow Pokemon would probably have still crushed it. It feels weird that Mario Kart Wii is so week, but like New Super Mario Bros. Wii it seems that the fans don’t care much for the lesser Wii games. Then again Marvel vs. Capcom 2 put a decent performance against Metal Gear Solid 3 a few matches ago so maybe we shouldn’t be as gloomed about Mario Kart Wii.

I see Pokemon reaching into the high 60s and should Phoenix Wright be the same game that we saw in the previous contest I wouldn’t even be surprised if it broke 70%. This division is pretty competitive and if Pokemon can’t get it together I see a lot of people turning on it and with the Metal Gear Solid games not looking as solid compare to last year it seem that the winner of this division should be able to win over the winning Metal Gear Solid.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Pokemon GSC > Mario Kart Wii

charmander6000’s Prediction: Pokemon GSC wins, 69.21% - 30.79%

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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/5/2010 8:25:35 AM | message detail
gold silver will win by 80% imo. heavy sff with wii games doing badly.
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/5/2010 8:33:19 AM | message detail
Assuming GSC is still close to MGS and MK:DS > MKW, this could get ugly with or without much SFF.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/5/2010 8:40:05 AM | message detail
Anyone else think Mario Kart DS is stronger than Mario Kart Wii? MKDS was pretty big five years ago; it even finished second in GotY polling, beating God of War and serving as first sacrificial lamb to RE4. Pokemon could go sky high and I wouldn't be surprised here; look at what Brawl did to MKDS.
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