GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 965

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/4/2010 2:40:58 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkhJjbimL5E



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 2:41:37 PM | message detail
MGS3 the best
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http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/4/2010 2:42:38 PM | message detail
Should I go ahead and create 966?

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:10:56 PM | message detail
We usually wait until at around the 400th post.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
daverath | Posted 12/4/2010 5:11:06 PM | message detail
http://wii.ign.com/articles/113/1138536p1.html

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Rydia
tennisboy213 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:11:18 PM | message detail
4st
Join the bandwagon!! Mario > Link!!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/4/2010 5:11:38 PM | message detail
I blame Texas. I know MGS2 was winning there a couple of hours ago and now SotC has 50.9% there.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/4/2010 5:12:48 PM | message detail
MGS2 cuts 5 votes.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/4/2010 5:13:12 PM | message detail
We usually wait until at around the 400th post.

Thought whoever made 500 would then make 1? This one seemed earrrrrrrrrrrrrly.

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:16:30 PM | message detail
Thought whoever made 500 would then make 1? This one seemed earrrrrrrrrrrrrly.

If we wait until the current topic is at 500 then there's a lag of no topic which causes a few people to panic.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
BlackMetalex | Posted 12/4/2010 5:16:45 PM | message detail
"Snake, It's not over yet!"
Though I'm really hoping SotC holds onto this
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/4/2010 5:16:50 PM | message detail

From: MegatokyoEd | #007
I blame Texas. I know MGS2 was winning there a couple of hours ago and now SotC has 50.9% there.


Victoryyyyy
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The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/4/2010 5:17:16 PM | message detail
SotC now has the largest lead of the match so far, 110 votes.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
shane15 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:18:33 PM | message detail
I'm going to bed.I better wake up to a Snake Victory otherwise i will not be amused.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:18:57 PM | message detail
SotC seems to have the slight advantage, though only in the sense that it is leading with a 100 votes and stalling any gains by MGS2. It could change at any time.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
KingofFF8 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:20:07 PM | message detail
So what are the chances of MGS4 making the final four? Yea I'm screwed in both contests now

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http://img541.imageshack.us/img541/5356/140kabuto.png - Dat_Cracka_Jax
WhiteLens | Posted 12/4/2010 5:22:00 PM | message detail
Not getting past Pokemon/Zelda IF it can even manage to get past MGS3.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/4/2010 5:22:52 PM | message detail
Oh wow SotC 125 votes ahead.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
fyrael | Posted 12/4/2010 5:22:59 PM | message detail
I know what you mean, King. Some voodoo hex convinced me that MGS4 was going to make it to the final. Although, I do have SotC in my bracket for this match. Not sure what the logic was there.

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For the swarm...
KingofFF8 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:25:51 PM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #018
Oh wow SotC 125 votes ahead.


Ugh make it stop. Just pull away already SotC! Stop giving me this false hope.

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http://img541.imageshack.us/img541/5356/140kabuto.png - Dat_Cracka_Jax
Hochimihnister | Posted 12/4/2010 5:26:00 PM | message detail
MGS4 is a beast and beat Diablo II easily last night. Recall that Diablo II beat Wind Waker last games contest. Also, GSC barely broke 40% on Xenogears. Also, MM is fodder. Quite frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if Mario Kart Wii won that god-forsaken division
Julian_Caesar | Posted 12/4/2010 5:26:23 PM | message detail

From: fyrael | #019
I know what you mean, King. Some voodoo hex convinced me that MGS4 was going to make it to the final. Although, I do have SotC in my bracket for this match. Not sure what the logic was there.


I'm in the same boat actually...but my logic was that MGS2 is by far the least-liked of the series (from what i can gather) by even MGS fans...and it's not like it's actually getting blown out here, it's been a close match against a pretty high-class opponent.

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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
695924 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:27:24 PM | message detail

From: Julian_Caesar | #022
I'm in the same boat actually...but my logic was that MGS2 is by far the least-liked of the series (from what i can gather) by even MGS fans...and it's not like it's actually getting blown out here, it's been a close match against a pretty high-class opponent.


lol
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lol opinions
Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 12/4/2010 5:28:06 PM | message detail
So considering most of B8 probably picked MGS without much thought, can we say that this is B8's worst contest as a group?

Or is there a worse one that I don't know about?
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It's one for all and all for one
We work together, common sons, Never need to wonder how or why...
voltch | Posted 12/4/2010 5:28:27 PM | message detail
IT'S OVER FOR RAIDEN!
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Uguu~
Big Bob | Posted 12/4/2010 5:28:43 PM | message detail
I know, right? B8 totally screwed up on those KH picks.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/4/2010 5:30:18 PM | message detail
I don't think this is a bad contest for Board 8. There are a lot of matches in this contest that we knew almost nothing about coming in (this being one of them; we really didn't have much knowledge on SotC before this contest and 2004 MGS2 didn't tell us soo much because Melee was severely underrated there for some reason.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/4/2010 5:31:52 PM | message detail
Oh my god.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:32:00 PM | message detail
So considering most of B8 probably picked MGS without much thought, can we say that this is B8's worst contest as a group?

Or is there a worse one that I don't know about?


We're still crushing the casuals, as for worst one it was probably the 2007 contest or if you want to count the first then it was easily the 2002 contest.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/4/2010 5:32:34 PM | message detail
SotC now leads by 136.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
Julian_Caesar | Posted 12/4/2010 5:33:26 PM | message detail

From: 695924 | #023
lol


Don't lol a game just because you don't like it :)

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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.
Mr3790 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:33:58 PM | message detail
Worth the two point loss IMO.
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This space for rent.
WhiteLens | Posted 12/4/2010 5:34:39 PM | message detail
Consider how a lot of us got Paper Mario right, a match or two doesn't really reflect on us as a whole.

But this looks done for MGS2....damn there goes my perfect R2 streak.
Well, I guess better for it to happen now than have it be broken on the last match if TTYD > Oblivion happens >_>

And I was so damn close to the leaderboard too (108 points).
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Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 12/4/2010 5:34:53 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #029
We're still crushing the casuals, as for worst one it was probably the 2007 contest or if you want to count the first then it was easily the 2002 contest.


So basically it's a rough contest overall in terms of prediction eh.

Somehow this result confirms Brawl > Melee
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My Heart is Empty. It is empty because there is nothing.
SuperAceMoe04 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:38:54 PM | message detail
Can fallout 3 beat metroid prime?
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Detroit basketball
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=itdVbdigs-E
YERspy | Posted 12/4/2010 5:39:40 PM | message detail
DOUBLE CUT BY MGS2

Brawl > Melee has been confirmed a long time ago. This just confirms FFX > Brawl
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_foolmo_
'and they established that 5 minutes = 1 hour, which means 10 hours = 12000 hours' - Anagram
charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:42:21 PM | message detail
Actually up until this match we have won every single round 2 match, in fact we destoryed the casuals by at least 15% in all, but two matches.

Golden Sun/San Andreas (only by 14%)
Halo/Halo 3 (we actually only barely won that one)
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/4/2010 5:42:28 PM | message detail
SotC's lead now down to 128.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/4/2010 5:44:23 PM | message detail
It's impossible to confirm Brawl > Melee. We can't really judge how the SFF will go. And Halo/Halo 3 should lean us in Melee's favor and KH/KHII should be very telling as well. (Of course, in my bracket I picked Halo :CE, KH, and Brawl, so what do I know?)
IngmarBirdman | Posted 12/4/2010 5:45:22 PM | message detail
But this looks done for MGS2....damn there goes my perfect R2 streak.

I was hoping for this too, it would have been a first.

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"I skate when I want to!"
-Benjamin Franklin (http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=264)
kinsho3 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:46:27 PM | message detail
Man, this match kicks ass. MGS2 is still very much in this. SNV is good for MGS right?
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:46:31 PM | message detail
People trying to use the first game factor for Melee > Brawl seem to forget that Melee wasn't the first game.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:47:37 PM | message detail
Man, this match kicks ass. MGS2 is still very much in this. SNV is good for MGS right?

It hasn't lost a close match yet.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:48:20 PM | message detail
SotC is trying to move away for good now... and I suspect it needs to; I don't fancy it's chances in an SNV nailbiter.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/4/2010 5:48:23 PM | message detail
I think Wander finally found MGS2's weakness.
kinsho3 | Posted 12/4/2010 5:50:21 PM | message detail
If SOTC moves past 250, it's over.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/4/2010 5:51:10 PM | message detail
SotC now leads by 156, the greatest lead so far.
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Currently Playing - Zelda: Majora's Mask
Next Games Up - Super Smash Bros. Melee, Resident Evil 4, Okami
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 12/4/2010 5:52:26 PM | message detail
and 20000 points down the drain

way to fail MGS fans
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My God, did that predict good!
Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'...
MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/4/2010 6:00:56 PM | message detail
Where is the Cali-Asian supervote?!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
Hochimihnister | Posted 12/4/2010 6:02:35 PM | message detail
as for worst one it was probably the 2007 contest

Speak for yourself!