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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 964

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ZFS | Posted 12/4/2010 12:04:36 PM | message detail
aw yeah Shadow of the Colossus

Knew this had a great shot to win.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:06:41 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #198
Apparently Leon isn't aware what the term "peak hours" is.


Apparently you aren't either because using results from before those "peak hours" doesn't always pan out either!

You know, because trends and stuff.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 12/4/2010 12:07:34 PM | message detail
Really wish I didn't have to work tonight.
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_fooImoron_ | Posted 12/4/2010 12:07:49 PM | message detail
0 vote cut, I love it
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:08:23 PM | message detail
Aw yeah, SOTC with a 1 vote lead two updates in a row.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:11:29 PM | message detail
MGS2 back in the lead.

Awesome match.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
Zenithian Legend | Posted 12/4/2010 12:11:37 PM | message detail
voted SotC, fantastic game, cool seeing the 50/50 graphic too.
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Mega Mana | Posted 12/4/2010 12:16:59 PM | message detail
Am I crazy or was MGS2 the leader last update? If so, nice lead change.
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:17:43 PM | message detail
I'm surprised I haven't seen more people talking about having 70,000+ battle points on the line. I thought there were a good number of them...
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shane15 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:19:38 PM | message detail
Metal Gears got this
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Articuno2001 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:20:24 PM | message detail
61 vote swing? what
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2010 Game of the Decade Contest - 99/116 points - Today: Metal Gear Solid 4 / Metal Gear Solid 2
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:20:28 PM | message detail
Also, this means Banjo-Tooie is roughly equal to the Sims. One more point to support my theory that platformers in general really suck ass in these popularity contests....
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
Hochimihnister | Posted 12/4/2010 12:22:12 PM | message detail
Well, this makes Melee look absolutely terrible. MGS2 got what, 46% on SSBM?
Haste_2 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:23:05 PM | message detail
Okay, I wasn't convinced (I WAS open about it) that MGS games have fallen until MGS4's low score yesterday. I mean, Diablo struggled to beat Halo previously. MGS3 looked fine, though. I wasn't sure what to make of MGS2 vs. B-T... it wasn't very impressive, but after Perfect Dark's good showing (helping BK's, and thus Tooie's case) I had to give it the benefit of the doubt. So much for that thought.

Do you guys think MGS3 vs. MGS4 will be a nailbiter? That's how it seems at this point.

Oh, and the battle challenge...yikes! If only I had seen MGS4's percentage before this match I definitely would have banked. Even if I lose, I -should- still be ahead of SBAllen, though.

Also, I am wondering... on a Saturday second-half match are there particular hours that are more "day" or "ASV"-like?

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Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/4/2010 12:23:20 PM | message detail
I already posted it during the Persona / Dead Rising match but I'll just repeat it here:

Why are the good matches always day matches? Dammit, I'll miss the end of another nailbiter because of European timezones. Seriously, I want some good wire-to-wire night matches.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:24:04 PM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #213
Well, this makes Melee look absolutely terrible. MGS2 got what, 46% on SSBM?


No, that was Vice City (and RE4 got 65% on that!).
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:25:08 PM | message detail

From: Haste_2 | #214
Also, I am wondering... on a Saturday second-half match are there particular hours that are more "day" or "ASV"-like?


Trends are usually pretty diluted on weekends because there's not really a concentrated flow of a certain demographic at set times like on school days.
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shane15 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:25:45 PM | message detail
Yeah i watched Persona 4 march onto victory up until around 1 1/2 before the poll closed.Was an amazing night :D.I won't stop up for this one though.
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AxemPink | Posted 12/4/2010 12:27:08 PM | message detail
I'm surprised I haven't seen more people talking about having 70,000+ battle points on the line. I thought there were a good number of them...

I've got 86,100 on the line!

But really, if MGS2 loses this I deserve to lose my points. This was definitely a possible upset according to the stats after Round 1, but I refused to consider it and went with "common sense" that Metal Gear Solid 2 wouldn't lose here. I think I even said to someone that I'm not sure I'd take Metal Gear Solid on Game Boy Color to lose here.
Yeeeeah.

I'm just glad I got on the leaderboard, no matter how fleetingly, and will hope MGS2 pulls through.
shane15 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:29:08 PM | message detail
With Europe going to bed in afew hours MGS needs America to turn in it's favour and from what i've noticed it's defo going that way.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:29:29 PM | message detail
So, guys, do we think Ulti's better match pic would have made a difference?
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/4/2010 12:29:44 PM | message detail
Also, this means Banjo-Tooie is roughly equal to the Sims. One more point to support my theory that platformers in general really suck ass in these popularity contests....

The old Mario games surely don't suck ass in these contests, but you know a reason might be because you don't need mu help in platformers. Also Banjo-Tooie does suck, Banjo-Kazooie was the good one in that series.
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:30:43 PM | message detail
Well, this makes Melee look absolutely terrible. MGS2 got what, 46% on SSBM?

My, how times have changed! It was closer to 43% actually, but the new games back then were just crazy close to each other in strength. The craziest thing compared to today's standards is how Soul Calibur nearly took out Kingdom Hearts.... and SC also was a slight favorite.

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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/4/2010 12:31:28 PM | message detail
What on Earth.


I didn't expect this one to be close at all. I love SoTC so this is cool, but still!
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/4/2010 12:32:28 PM | message detail
also obligatory Sephiroth > Snake in the rematch, confirmed.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:34:54 PM | message detail

From: Haste_2 | #214
Okay, I wasn't convinced (I WAS open about it) that MGS games have fallen until MGS4's low score yesterday. I mean, Diablo struggled to beat Halo previously.


Actually, with how decent Halo's looked this contest, that may not be so bad in hindsight! That round 2 match was just weird. Something wasn't right.

Makes KOTOR look better, too.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:39:25 PM | message detail
SOTC trying to pull away.
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Articuno2001 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:41:42 PM | message detail
lead back to 69
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2010 Game of the Decade Contest - 99/116 points - Today: Metal Gear Solid 4 / Metal Gear Solid 2
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/4/2010 12:42:18 PM | message detail
Leon, still not AIM
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:42:58 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #229
Leon, still not AIM


My internet keeps cutting in and out, so I keep getting kicked off!
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KingofFF8 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:43:36 PM | message detail

From: AxemPink | #219
I'm surprised I haven't seen more people talking about having 70,000+ battle points on the line. I thought there were a good number of them...

I've got 86,100 on the line!

But really, if MGS2 loses this I deserve to lose my points. This was definitely a possible upset according to the stats after Round 1, but I refused to consider it and went with "common sense" that Metal Gear Solid 2 wouldn't lose here. I think I even said to someone that I'm not sure I'd take Metal Gear Solid on Game Boy Color to lose here.
Yeeeeah.

I'm just glad I got on the leaderboard, no matter how fleetingly, and will hope MGS2 pulls through.


You pretty much said everything I was thinking. I think I dismissed SotC too easily despite its round 1 stats being impressive. I'm thinking that most of the other 81600 brackets put MGS2 - I'm interested to see the stats after the battle. Until then I will continue to bite my nails with this excitement :-D

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/4/2010 12:44:14 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #227
My internet keeps cutting in and out, so I keep getting kicked off!


So I noticed!
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:45:16 PM | message detail
Actually, with how decent Halo's looked this contest, that may not be so bad in hindsight! That round 2 match was just weird. Something wasn't right.

Makes KOTOR look better, too.


Very true. Additionally, GTA3 looked good this year, at least compared to the other GTA games, also helping the case that Halo/Diablo/GTA3/KOTOR 4-pack may have been under-rated.

Also, I have to say it since I wasn't around last night... EX FRIGGIN' DEE at Paper Mario's prediction percentage this round. It's even possible that World of Warcraft had the highest PP of ANY game this round. Well, probably not quite. At the very least, WoW exceeded 75%, though. I mean, I'm still perplexed at how Twilight Princess was losing to Dragon Age or something by 32% of the brackets.

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charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:46:09 PM | message detail
Also, this means Banjo-Tooie is roughly equal to the Sims. One more point to support my theory that platformers in general really suck ass in these popularity contests....

That's not surprising before last round most people would have taken The Sims over Banjo-Tooie we changed our minds about that since it would mean SotC would defeat MGS2.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
HaRRicH | Posted 12/4/2010 12:46:30 PM | message detail
I voted for MGS2, but this is a good match between good games. Hard to complain, really.

I hope whoever wins will take it by sixty-one votes.
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tgs2 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:47:09 PM | message detail
Well now. This came out of nowhere.
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xp1337 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:47:15 PM | message detail
From: kinsho3 | #209
I'm surprised I haven't seen more people talking about having 70,000+ battle points on the line. I thought there were a good number of them...

Well, if/when MGS2 loses, I'll get knocked off the leaderboard with no hope of returning, but it's hard to say I "regret" picking MGS2 or anything. It's not like I'd ever have banked here, and taking SotC just seemed too out there, just because something is possible doesn't mean I'd do it.

I mean, losing on this match feels a lot more frustrating to me than losing on practically any other match, but eh. =/
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GotD (101/118) MGS2 v SotC
shane15 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:47:20 PM | message detail
I thought Paper Mario was a shoe in to beat WoW >_>
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/4/2010 12:48:53 PM | message detail
Fact/Fiction: Shadow of the Colossus will have a lower prediction percentage to make Round 3 than Paper Mario.

I'm kind of leaning toward Fiction for that one, actually.
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swordz9 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:48:54 PM | message detail
I'm almost hoping Paper Mario beats MGS3 just so I can see how ridiculously low the correct percent will be.
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/4/2010 12:50:20 PM | message detail
Absolute fiction. MGS2 ain't WoW in terms of casual-predictions, SotC isn't a side-series, and PM wasn't a two-seed.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:50:48 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #239
Fact/Fiction: Shadow of the Colossus will have a lower prediction percentage to make Round 3 than Paper Mario.

I'm kind of leaning toward Fiction for that one, actually.


Oh, that's a definite fiction, I think. Nearly 40% of people thought MvC2, NSMBWii, or TimeSplitters 2 could beat MGS3. SOTC will get a decent amount of respect.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 12/4/2010 12:51:40 PM | message detail
In a night match or a 24hour match Sephirothwould have beaten MGS.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/4/2010 12:53:44 PM | message detail

From: ctesjbuvf | #243
In a night match or a 24hour match Sephirothwould have beaten MGS.


Nah, Snake was too far ahead for Sephiroth to win if the match had gone a full 24 hours. In a night match? I'm not sure about that either. FFVII and MGS both have strong night votes, so it wouldn't have been a huge Sephy advantage there.
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tgs2 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:54:03 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #239
Fact/Fiction: Shadow of the Colossus will have a lower prediction percentage to make Round 3 than Paper Mario.

I'm kind of leaning toward Fiction for that one, actually.


I'm going to have to say fact.

Now with this silly result (It's a very awesome one mind) All we need is FFX flopping against GS to sound the RE4 upset alarms.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/4/2010 12:54:13 PM | message detail
biggest lead of the match so far, maybe we'll break triple digits soon
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:54:45 PM | message detail
Actually if SotC pulls through I'll be back in the battle bracket. I banked during Golden Sun/San Andreas so I'm now getting way behind, but if everyone at the top gets the match wrong I'm back in the 20s minus the Lusterboard.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 102/116 Today's Matches: MGS4 & MGS2
Not_Wylvane | Posted 12/4/2010 12:55:07 PM | message detail
Also, from my Odds to Win topic, MGS2 was given an 85.38% chance to beat SotC. That's an even bigger upset than Deus Ex > Rock Band 2 by a couple of points.

Going through the topic again, this will be the first upset of Round 2 in terms of my topic. Every other match the favorite one, including matches such as Golden Sun/GTA:SA. Not bad, guys.
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Assassin_Thane | Posted 12/4/2010 12:55:33 PM | message detail
this is probably the only time i will agree with this ultiman guy but 4 way polls is stupid. tells us nothing.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/4/2010 12:56:09 PM | message detail
Sephiroth wouldn't have won in night or 24-hours. He'd probably have done best in a 24-hour match, followed by a night match, followed by the day match he got. This seems counterintuitive, but the reason is that Sephiroth's early vote is so bad (and the difference between his day and night fairly small) he'll do better in the 2nd 12 hours than the first 12 hours, no matter which 12-hour segment is the first.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.