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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 963

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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:44:11 PM | message detail
Well, yeah, but we also saw Gears of War make the final GOTY poll in 2006, and now it can barely manage 40% on TTYD.

And then we saw Marcus Fenix lose to Rydia.

...We're pretty sure Rydia wouldn't beat pre-Dissidia Kefka, right?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2010 2:45:11 PM | message detail
Man, I don't know what to tell you then. That's a pretty unrealistic expectation to have for a game that was semi-popular. You're basically suggesting it would lose to Timesplitters and Eternal Darkness and stuff like that.

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:46:22 PM | message detail
Also, speaking of 2006 GOTY!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2622

Is there a single result we'd see get overturned harder than this one?

Well, I suppose this one: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1877
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medicority | Posted 12/3/2010 2:46:46 PM | message detail
would anyone really complain about a D2 upset? probably not in the realm of possibility though since MGS4 could be a top contender after how well it did last year.
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2010 2:47:17 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #103
Is there a single result we'd see get overturned harder than this one?


Give Modern Warfare 2 another few years.

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:47:37 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #102
You're basically suggesting it would lose to Timesplitters and Eternal Darkness and stuff like that.


Oblivion getting 70% on Animal Crossing doesn't quite suggest that, I don't think! Well, unless you think Diablo 2 60/40s Oblivion and MGS3 65/35s it!
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transients | Posted 12/3/2010 2:47:46 PM | message detail
I think you undervalue Oblivion then. Symphonia would double Animal Crossing too.

I'd take Animal Crossing to beat those games but only because of name recognition, really.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:48:16 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #105
Give Modern Warfare 2 another few years.


...To which game?

None of those games have looked really good.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2010 2:49:06 PM | message detail
CoD4 is always going to be remembered as a great game. MW2 is going to be remembered as a great disappointment.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/3/2010 2:49:14 PM | message detail

From: transients | #090
oh AC characters are stupid as hell and shouldn't be strong at all, I agree. people should antivote the hell out of them if they know what's up.


I swear to god, if you're not referring to Assassin's Creed...
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2010 2:50:07 PM | message detail
Ezio>Nook>>>some random AC townsfolk>Altair

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DFF
transients | Posted 12/3/2010 2:50:35 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tKi8HwWIobE

this mother****er can eat my ass
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:51:19 PM | message detail
The worst part about Animal Crossing characters was when they asked me to give them a new catchphrase/gimmick.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2010 2:53:26 PM | message detail
I remember one time Mr. Resetti said he was going to erase my save data, then made the screen turn black for ten seconds

THAT

WASN'T

FUNNY

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:54:08 PM | message detail
I remember Mr. Resetti chewing me out for not saving my game because the power flickered off and turned the game off.

It wasn't my fault, you jerk!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/3/2010 2:54:16 PM | message detail
This topic has just entered lamesville, growlers!
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/3/2010 2:57:00 PM | message detail
Predict this division!!

(1) Uncharted 2
(16) Psychonauts

(8) Skies of Arcadia
(9) Borderlands

(5) Gears of War
(12) Star Wars Battlefront II

(4) The World Ends With You
(13) Fable

(3) Golden Sun
(14) Braid

(6) Paper Mario
(11) Halo 2

(7) Disgaea
(10) Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2

(2) Star Wars: KOTOR
(15) Plants vs. Zombies


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Oracle contest - 18th
Today's pick: Paper Mario - 57.88% Status: Decent
HaRRicH | Posted 12/3/2010 2:58:16 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #114
I remember one time Mr. Resetti said he was going to erase my save data, then made the screen turn black for ten seconds

THAT

WASN'T

FUNNY


You like Eternal Darkness, don't you? They share a similar trick here.....
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 2:59:58 PM | message detail
(1) Uncharted 2
(8) Skies of Arcadia

(5) Gears of War
(4) The World Ends With You

(3) Golden Sun
(6) Paper Mario

(7) Disgaea
(2) Star Wars: KOTOR

Man, what is this trainwreck
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fyrael | Posted 12/3/2010 3:06:31 PM | message detail
I'd have to agree with Leonhart up to the final, which I think Uncharted would take.
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/3/2010 3:11:18 PM | message detail
If Halo's the favorite over Uncharted 2 next round, remember thant SW:KotOR barely lost to Halo last year and has been looking better than Uncharted 2 this year anyway (unless you'd take LoD > DMC).
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/3/2010 3:22:24 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #121
unless you'd take LoD > DMC)


I don't think that's too crazy!
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/3/2010 3:23:47 PM | message detail
It looks like Paper Mario will finish with slightly less on WoW than TTYD got on Gears.

WoW vs Gears who ya got?
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/3/2010 3:24:48 PM | message detail
Man. That's basically asking which game has dropped off a cliff the least.

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DFF
kinsho3 | Posted 12/3/2010 3:31:36 PM | message detail
Gears with zero confidence.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 3:40:21 PM | message detail

From: MegatokyoEd | #123
It looks like Paper Mario will finish with slightly less on WoW than TTYD got on Gears.

WoW vs Gears who ya got?


WoW because I think PM1 is stronger.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/3/2010 5:01:09 PM | message detail
I believe the prediction will be around 33%.I mean the members of this site knows about Nintendofaqs right?
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AxemPink | Posted 12/3/2010 5:05:30 PM | message detail
I believe the prediction will be around 33%.I mean the members of this site knows about Nintendofaqs right?

Gears vs. PM:TTYD says they don't!
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/3/2010 5:10:50 PM | message detail
Then this maybe the lowest prediction match I got it right.We shall see.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/3/2010 5:15:16 PM | message detail
WoW would beat Gears easily.
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/3/2010 5:15:18 PM | message detail
Man Paper Mario's percentage is so close to the same percentage of people not having played WoW.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4054
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 12/3/2010 6:05:21 PM | message detail
oh AC characters are stupid as hell and shouldn't be strong at all, I agree. people should antivote the hell out of them if they know what's up.

dude

Everyone would vote for K.K. Slider

come on
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/3/2010 6:06:24 PM | message detail
Know what was awesome? That "terrible secret of animal crossing" story.
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creativename | Posted 12/3/2010 6:17:42 PM | message detail
The WW/AC2 pic is pure greatness.

PM2 has a big pic advantage.

The Shadow of the Colossus pic is...a shadow! Fitting. Crappy, but fitting.

That GSC pic is blurry as hell. Insert "Can't see **** captain.gif!!" here!
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creativename | Posted 12/3/2010 6:32:04 PM | message detail
I think the prediction percentage for PM will be 20%-25%.
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/3/2010 7:06:59 PM | message detail
Forget FFXII/Portal as the x-stat buster; THIS is the x-stat busting match! Of course, we all knew the match would at the very least closer than the stats predicted, but still!

Oh, and despite GTA:VC killing Paper Mario in the last games contest, PM is easily stronger than GTA:VC now. =P I'd take WoW over Gears of War, btw. Gears would struggle to beat Animal Crossing.

creative, I completely agree that the prediction percentage for Paper Mario will be amazingly low....

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swordz9 | Posted 12/3/2010 7:35:28 PM | message detail
I can't wait until this match is over. I swear there are more WoW whine topics than there were for Deus Ex. Does this current match make TTYD look like it would do well against Oblivion?
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Pondos | Posted 12/3/2010 7:39:18 PM | message detail

From: swordz9 | #137
Does this current match make TTYD look like it would do well against Oblivion?


Do well, maybe, but it won't win.
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/3/2010 7:40:56 PM | message detail
I'm thinking the prediction percentage might dip under 15%. This would be a fantastic win for the guru.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
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swordz9 | Posted 12/3/2010 7:41:03 PM | message detail
I picked Oblivion for that match and I still feel confident about it.
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/3/2010 7:42:10 PM | message detail
That really depends on how much you take in 'lol WoW'.
I mean this IS the game that let Animal Crossing break 40 on it.

But it does make TTYD look to preform well.

However thinking that it'll win is essentially thinking TTYD > ToS.

Of course that's based on 4-ways stats which you can't really rely on now.
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Pondos | Posted 12/3/2010 7:42:34 PM | message detail
Oh wait, just looked at the match pics. TTYD has TJF. Oblivion is doomed.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:08:08 PM | message detail
Match XCI: (3) Metal Gear Solid 4 vs. (6) Diablo II

Last Round

Metal Gear Solid 4 – 63.49%
Assassin’s Creed – 36.51%

Diablo II – 74.31%
Eternal Darkness – 25.69%

Analysis

Some people have been trying to hype up this match and I’m not sure why. Yes Metal Gear Solid 4 didn’t perform as well as we thought in a night match, but I think people are forgetting is that Assassin’s Creed was likely to have decent strength and while it doesn’t look good for the people taking Metal Gear Solid 4 to the semi-finals the game wasn’t favoured to reach there so that’s their problem. Diablo II did well in blowing away fodder last round.

I do believe that Diablo II can make this match respectful and is likely to break 40%. I guess if I pull some weird vote-in scenario I could make this match a nail-biter. It is kind of weird that the Metal Gear Solid games haven’t met our expectations while Solid Snake went and destroyed our expectations only a few months earlier. For Metal Gear Solid 4 I can sort of see why since the Playstation 3 has become more diverse making it seem less of the major Playstation 3 game plus as time passes since release a game usually gets weaker.

The people that have a Metal Gear Solid game losing in the quarterfinals must feel pretty good about their pick since the other games aren’t going to pull off the upset despite people’s claim that the games are weaker. I still think the jury is out on that one just because we haven’t seen a Metal Gear Solid game go up against something with proven strength until this match.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Metal Gear Solid 4 > Diablo II

charmander6000’s Prediction: Metal Gear Solid 4 wins, 58.63% - 41.37%

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GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 8:23:59 PM | message detail
(1) Uncharted 2->
(16) Psychonauts

(8) Skies of Arcadia
(9) Borderlands-> (lol Dreamcast)

(5) Gears of War->
(12) Star Wars Battlefront II

(4) The World Ends With You
(13) Fable-> (not ready to accept TF2 being such bad fodder)

(3) Golden Sun->
(14) Braid

(6) Paper Mario->
(11) Halo 2

(7) Disgaea->
(10) Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2

(2) Star Wars: KOTOR-> (lol this actually happened in R2 of Crispy Gamer's contest)
(15) Plants vs. Zombies

Uncharted 2 > Borderlands
Gears of War > Fable
Golden Sun > Paper Mario
Star Wars: KOTOR > Disgaea

Uncharted 2 > Gears of War (lol Gears)
Star Wars: KOTOR > Golden Sun

Star Wars: KOTOR > Uncharted 2

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creativename | Posted 12/3/2010 8:37:09 PM | message detail
Are any of the Brawl brackets on the leaderboard not-Luster?

From: charmander6000 | #703
plus as time passes since release a game usually gets weaker.


I don't think this is necessarily true. I think most games get stronger over the first couple years, as more people play them. I think the exceptions are games that were massively hyped and had long-term word of mouth that fell short of the hype.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/3/2010 8:47:58 PM | message detail
Are any of the Brawl brackets on the leaderboard not-Luster?

Just wait until this match ends, because all of my accounts will be off the leaderboard due to this match. I picked WoW in my bracket.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/3/2010 8:49:20 PM | message detail
But given the low prediction percentage that this match will have, I wouldn't be surprised if some of my accounts manage to survive.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 8:58:29 PM | message detail
Well I've seen SSBB, GTAIV, and MGS4 drop massively a year or so after their release dates on other sites. I think the same has happened on GameFAQs, minus the "massively" part (except for MAYBE GTAIV).
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:02 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsJUnvKX1fc

Get ready.
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abdou | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:10 PM | message detail
Mine have Brawl (Darkfir)
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