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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 962

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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 3:16:35 AM | message detail
So...MvC2 vs. AC1: Who you got?

From: Haste_2 | #303
What I think today is telling is that MGS3 probably was never really that close to RE4, despite getting similar scores back in BGE 2009.


Hey quick, Vice City vs. MvC2: Who you got?

I think I'd pull the trigger on MvC2.

I'm not sure what you guys were really expecting from MGS3 though! It's strong, but it's not elite. We saw that last year already. This isn't some "MGS is weaker now" stuff. MGS1 was always going to be the strongest one by a decent margin, despite whatever the last Games Contest said. MvC2 is pretty decently legit, too, from the looks of it. Expecting a doubling from MGS3 here seems a bit much.

Also, this "FF looks bad this contest" is nonsense, too! Borderlands >= Morrowind (Seriously, Morrowind isn't that strong. Why is beating Warcraft 3 suddenly an accomplishment, especially with how much we expect WoW to suck?), Vesperia > Valkyria Chronicles, etc. FFX's fine.

Sheesh, you people with your unrealistic expectations.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 3:18:56 AM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | SoA | M. Effect | Votes
0:05 | 37.77% | 62.23% | 609
1:00 | 38.74% | 61.26% | 6247
2:00 | 38.72% | 61.28% | 5238
3:00 | 38.33% | 61.67% | 4866
4:00 | 37.59% | 62.41% | 5185
5:00 | 36.48% | 63.52% | 4953
6:00 | 37.23% | 62.77% | 4751
7:00 | 38.22% | 61.78% | 4267
8:00 | 36.24% | 63.76% | 4015
9:00 | 38.05% | 61.95% | 3427
10:00 | 38.20% | 61.80% | 3160
11:00 | 37.31% | 62.69% | 2667
12:00 | 38.07% | 61.93% | 2698

Eh, not much shifting going on here. Skies is surprisingly decent during the day.

Fourth Quarter

Mass Effect – 50.00%
Skies of Arcadia – 37.80%
Baldur’s Gate II: Shadows of Amn – 35.99%
Plants vs. Zombies – 30.43%

Plants vs. Zombies gets 42.28% on Baldur's Gate and 40.25% on Skies.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/3/2010 3:19:33 AM | message detail
But is Borderlands > Dragon Age?
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ShatteredElysium | Posted 12/3/2010 3:20:09 AM | message detail
I think a lot of it comes down to the fact that if there wasn't unrealistic expectations and overreactions then we'd be pretty boned for stuff to talk about.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
LeonhartFour | Posted 12/3/2010 3:23:14 AM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #353
But is Borderlands > Dragon Age?


Twilight Princess is surprisingly strong! You all will see soon enough!

But sure, why not.
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ShatteredElysium | Posted 12/3/2010 3:25:00 AM | message detail
If I had to Oracle it, I'd take Dragon Age with about 53 ish.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/3/2010 3:39:06 AM | message detail
Next round in general doesn't look too boring but FFX Vs. Golden Sun and RE4 Vs. Persona 4 really stand out as "how the hell are these round 3 matches"
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Intanos VI | Posted 12/3/2010 3:43:16 AM | message detail
FFS, my bracket was looking so good. Why the **** did i pick WoW to beat Paper Mario? The dumbest pick i made all contest. The Paper Mario series is the only Mario games i haven't played which led me to think it's weaker than it actually is. =[
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transience | Posted 12/3/2010 4:08:55 AM | message detail
Morrowind beats Borderlands, I'm pretty sure of that.
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transience | Posted 12/3/2010 4:44:39 AM | message detail
I guess MVC2 shares SF's morning vote. this is turning into a really normal result.
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xyzzy
lightsout06 | Posted 12/3/2010 4:48:36 AM | message detail
Diablo II>MGS4 hype train begin

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No way FFX will lose GotD
creativename | Posted 12/3/2010 5:01:21 AM | message detail

From: Lightning Strikes | #1707
Well it seems fairly obvious. Gears of War 2 beat Soul Calibur 2 in the vote-in poll. And then PM beat the much stronger original GoW by almost as much as Oblivion beat Soul Calibur 2, in a night match no less. The next one is a day match, so I'm not really seeing much of a way TTYD can lose.


Vote-ins. Known for their reliability.

Paper Mario>Final Fantasy X. Book it.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 5:22:44 AM | message detail
Hey Leonhart do you have your stats from the rest of this round?
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 5:38:02 AM | message detail
Match XC: (5) Paper Mario vs. (4) World of Warcraft

Last Round

Paper Mario – 72.14%
Katamari Damacy – 27.86%

World of Warcraft – 58.55%
Animal Crossing – 41.45%

Analysis

This is another match where if you were anywhere else you’d get laughed at for debating this match, but the reality is World of Warcraft did not look great last round. Is Animal Crossing some hidden powerhouse or does World of Warcraft just not perform that well in this format? I feel it is a combination of the two, but more so that World of Warcraft just doesn’t perform well here.

I wasn’t that impressed with Paper Mario’s performance last round, sure it broke 70%, but it was against a game that was a fad midway through the decade that disappeared through time. Personally I was surprised Katamari Damacy even made the contest. With that said we have to remember that Paper Mario performed terribly last contest and while Metroid Prime was in that match the game would have had to suffer from SFF if it wanted to look respectable.

Animal Crossing wasn’t the most conventional game for fans on GameFAQs, but the game did make a splash win it first came on the scene. Sure characters like Tom Nook have flopped in character battles, but the game isn’t exactly made for character interaction. Animal Crossing was one of those games that no one would rank as their favourite game, but at the same time the game would have its fair share of fans.

The main question is could I see Paper Mario match the same percent World of Warcraft did before SFF and the answer is possibly. If this was TTYD I may have felt more comfortable, but I don’t have as much faith in the original and while the board seems pretty confident in Paper Mario taking this match I really don’t see it winning by all that much.

charmander6000’s Bracket: World of Warcraft > Paper Mario

charmander6000’s Prediction: World of Warcraft wins, 51.04% - 48.96%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
kinsho3 | Posted 12/3/2010 6:06:48 AM | message detail
Still doubting whether MvC2 is legit. Yeah, it beat a Mario game that flopped in the 2009 GotY polls and might be the weakest Mario platformer to have ever graced a contest. Not to mention fighting games aren't that well-respected on this site (see SFIV)...though MvC2 may prove to be the exception here...
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 7:04:59 AM | message detail
I was reading the analysis topic, 58-59 for PM is crazy. I don't think PM would get 65-66% on Animal Crossing before SFF and that's before you consider that anti-votes become weaker as your opponent becomes stronger.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 7:26:06 AM | message detail
Katamari is a freaking PUZZLE game. The only puzzle game that seems to amount to anything on this site is Portal, which I consider to be more of an action adventure (aka a first-person one like Metroid Prime is). It has every reason to be terrible fodder. Animal Crossing could 60-40 it for all we know.

That being said I think Paper Mario/WoW will be the Gears match all over again. WoW still probably beats Gears, right?
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Bigwig_rah | Posted 12/3/2010 7:45:13 AM | message detail
Is Paper Mario's pic gonna be changed so it's actually from the right game?
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/3/2010 8:25:09 AM | message detail
Not looking like it.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:27:35 AM | message detail
I wonder if people will notice.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
HaRRicH | Posted 12/3/2010 8:29:41 AM | message detail
I won't be around to argue for awhile, but why exactly are many people confident PM 60-40's AC? This may just be a case of me giving AC too much credit, but WoW didn't do bad at all last year and AC got good attention on the Gamecube with similar ports/sequels on future systems. We've also seen Tidus beat the King of All Cosmos worse than PM beat KD, so its blow-out last round wasn't that great either.

I'll be back later to see how wrong I am/you are!
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:30:33 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #370
I wonder if people will notice.


I would think so since TTYD's graphics are bit more colorful and polished.. for 2D graphics

but I would think Paper Mario fans would notice it pretty well
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:32:33 AM | message detail
I wish people were only thinking 60/40 between PM and AC, some of these predictions have PM doubling AC before SFF which I think is crazy. Are we forgetting that PM was terrible last year and would have to had been SFF (not LFF) by Metroid Prime. LFF can only do so much.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
Gooper Blooper | Posted 12/3/2010 8:33:30 AM | message detail
Ugh the picture

I love TTYD, I love it a lot, but this is PM64's turn to play. Totally lame.
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Intanos VI | Posted 12/3/2010 8:34:44 AM | message detail
Being as TTYD is probably stronger than the original PM, if the match pic isn't changed it's a bit twisted.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:35:47 AM | message detail
In fact would anyone take KD to break 40% on Animal Crossing because that's what the high 50s for PM are predicting.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
paulg235 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:37:15 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #376
In fact would anyone take KD to break 40% on Animal Crossing because that's what the high 50s for PM are predicting.


No, but the low 50's for PM is what I'm predicting, so KD's % on AC will be sensical after that.
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red sox 777 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:39:24 AM | message detail
Paper Mario was SFF'd by Metroid Prime last year. I don't see 50s against WoW though......going to predict 54% in the Oracle.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:39:48 AM | message detail
I'm fine with that since that is what is likely to happen, but the entire crew went a bit overboard IMO.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
red sox 777 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:40:35 AM | message detail
I meant high 50s there......clearly 54% is in the 50s.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:41:41 AM | message detail
So Metroid is now SFFing things?

Then again I guess you could use Samus/Ganondorf as an argument.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 8:46:32 AM | message detail
Yeah we talk about picking Paper Mario > WoW and Mario Sunshine > Halo 3 pre-contest just because "Mario losing to Halo and WoW would be weird on this site", and then just saying, like that, that Paper Mario was SFFd by a Metroid game last year. What???


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paulg235 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:47:17 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #381
So Metroid is now SFFing things?

Then again I guess you could use Samus/Ganondorf as an argument.


MP was certainly SFF'ing PM by at least a couple of %. Even if it wasn'y SFF'ed in that match, it would've only got 16.50%.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:48:35 AM | message detail
But is that SFF or LFF?

Either way we can all agree that PM was held back at least slightly.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 8:52:42 AM | message detail
The two games were probably hurting each other. How much did Prime actually get on Paper Mario anyways? That's probably PM's true strength.

You know, the same could be said of Galaxy and DPP last year too. Man those games do all too well when not against fellow Nintendo. Somehow I think Galaxy will approach 40% on Twilight Princess as well. How much do we expect Dragon Age to get on RSE/GTAIV? It could very well lose to both of them. And then Beyond Good and Evil is probably stronger than Shenmue.

Oh yeah char, the weakest game in R2 was probably Deus Ex is nothing else (nuts). Can't see Skies handing away the win there for whatever reason...then again 53% on an old PC game that's not relevant in today's world kinda sucks. Then again maybe BGII is slightly relevant for basically being BioWare's first/second hit game, before they went all mainstream with KOTOR and especially the Mass Effect series.

Also I would personally take Beyond Good and Evil > Shenmue > F-Zero GX, but yeah.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:55:23 AM | message detail
I think it was something like 37-38%.

Quick WoW or DMC3?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 100/112 Today's Matches: MGS3 & WoW
paulg235 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:57:18 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #386
Quick WoW or DMC3?


WOW
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paulg235 | Posted 12/3/2010 8:58:45 AM | message detail
Looks like PM's match pic will be TTYD for good.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:12 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cxCQKRwwGw

Get ready.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:15 AM | message detail
Paper Mario 100%

5
World of Warcraft 0%

0
TOTAL VOTES 5

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Master Moltar | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:19 AM | message detail
Paper Mario 100%

4
World of Warcraft 0%

0
TOTAL VOTES 4
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Moltar Status: 96 Points - Vote: Mass Effect
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paulg235 | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:25 AM | message detail
Paper Mario 87.5%

7
World of Warcraft 12.5%

1
TOTAL VOTES 8

And I was the first person to vote WOW!
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The Gamer In Me
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melikepizza | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:28 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Paper Mario 78.26%

18
World of Warcraft 21.74%

5
TOTAL VOTES 23
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:36 AM | message detail
MOLTAAAAAAAAAAAR
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/3/2010 9:00:46 AM | message detail
Katamari Damacy > WoW
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Oracle contest - 18th
Today's pick: Paper Mario - 57.88% Status:
Advokaiser | Posted 12/3/2010 9:01:03 AM | message detail
Paper Mario 75% 15
World of Warcraft 25% 5
TOTAL VOTES 20

WHY? WHY? WHY SO SLOW? WHY?!

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/3/2010 9:01:27 AM | message detail
I expected a bigger lead here early. WoW already at 40%...
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paulg235 | Posted 12/3/2010 9:01:41 AM | message detail
Oh look, it's already at the high 50's!
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/3/2010 9:01:43 AM | message detail
WoW got this
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/3/2010 9:02:18 AM | message detail
Katamari Damacy > WoW

lol

That hurts, but it's true.



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