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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 961

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red sox 777 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:02:47 PM | message detail
Whoa Portal is dominating.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
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DpObliVion | Posted 12/1/2010 9:02:59 PM | message detail
And Persona 4 wins by 251, haha wow.

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Booyah, Grandma. Booyah. {XI} dood
voltch | Posted 12/1/2010 9:03:08 PM | message detail
brutal.
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mii~
Biolizard28 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:03:08 PM | message detail
TOP ****ING OPTION
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
Blairville | Posted 12/1/2010 9:03:16 PM | message detail
Persona 4 won by 251. That's not funny.

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www.thespeedgamers.com
Kingdom Hearts marathon December 17th-20th, be there!
Hochimihnister | Posted 12/1/2010 9:03:41 PM | message detail
Portal won't end up above 60% when it's over but a solid thrashing nonetheless
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:03:52 PM | message detail
So glad I changed to Portal in the Battle Challenge. Losing everything in a blowout would have been so frustrating.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (91/106) Dead Rising v Persona 4
MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:00 PM | message detail
YES!

After this I'll have a streak of 70,300. I'm coming for you Chester.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
Justin_Crossing | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:03 PM | message detail
what
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~Acting on Impulse~
Haste_2 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:03 PM | message detail
So, this match will get repeated...

Hey, what if this was re-done at noon, causing all the future matches to be displaced by 12 hours?!

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
transients | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:07 PM | message detail
Portal pulling 61% now that these early votes are out of the way. this'll end in the 50s at the highest.
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xyzzy
695924 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:12 PM | message detail
Lol XII
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lol opinions
legendmusketeer | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:20 PM | message detail
tbqh, I expected FFXII to edge Portal out.
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LM
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:33 PM | message detail
Hey, what if this was re-done at noon, causing all the future matches to be displaced by 12 hours?!

....oh god
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:04:36 PM | message detail
Umm, Portal's going back up. This is ridiculous. It might stay at 65% at the freeze.
SuperWhiscash | Posted 12/1/2010 9:05:11 PM | message detail

From: Haste_2 | #410
So, this match will get repeated...

Hey, what if this was re-done at noon, causing all the future matches to be displaced by 12 hours?!


G/S/C fan riot
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Maple Leafs: 5-2-1 / Raptors: top 3 pick plz / Jays / TFC: legit DPs plz / Argos - 10-10 /
Platinum (legalhacks) - 0775 7164 7136
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/1/2010 9:05:12 PM | message detail
Portal > HL2
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I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/1/2010 9:06:34 PM | message detail
Portal is going to rock the Power Hour and then fall hard. The early vote loathes everything Final Fantasy these days for some reason (except for Zack of course). And loves Portal.

Kefka is also known for having a good board vote too.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 9:06:56 PM | message detail
Somebody send a feedback-ticket, mine's still pending. Still though, I can't complain too much if we finally get a match without a pic. It probably favors FF12, and, well, we see what that means right now.
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Epona EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA Epona
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
JaKyL25 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:06:59 PM | message detail
The funny thing is that lack of picture probably helps FFXII.

Roman Numeral noobs might not remember which one that is without a pic.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Haste_2 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:07:05 PM | message detail
Hopefully the FF fanboys are the less casual ones, leading to a huge FFXII surge after the board vote.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
abdou | Posted 12/1/2010 9:07:27 PM | message detail
Europe like Portal
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...
Aprosenf | Posted 12/1/2010 9:09:52 PM | message detail
Can someone explain to me what the significance of Persona 4 winning by 261 votes would have been?
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If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/1/2010 9:10:25 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
101----1------------0.00
100----23----------82.61
99------9------------22.22
98------51----------76.47
97------56----------48.21
96------64----------40.63
95------98----------51.02
94------137--------59.12
93------199--------52.26
92------242--------59.09
91------360--------62.78
90------352--------58.52
89------463--------55.29
88------508--------56.50
87------613--------49.10
86------706--------48.30
85------708--------41.24
84------740--------41.49
83------746--------42.36
82------786--------37.40
81------842--------37.05
80------889--------34.76
79------829--------31.12
78------873--------29.67
77------916--------29.37
76------931--------26.10
75------985--------26.29
74------975--------23.69
73------1001------23.78
72------1041------20.56
71------1008------20.93
70------978--------22.19
69------1018------19.35
68------1024------17.87
67------990--------17.98
66------1006------17.99
65------922--------19.41
64------926--------18.25
63------808--------16.46
62------767--------16.43
61------707--------15.70
60------680--------16.76
59------611--------18.99
58------483--------17.18
57------466--------16.31
56------372--------19.09
55------353--------17.00
54------313--------20.45
53------251--------12.35
52------223--------21.52
51------187--------17.11
50------141--------14.18
49------112--------17.86
48------99----------18.18
47------96----------16.67
46------81----------22.22
45------64----------25.00
44------51----------9.80
43------43----------23.26
42------41----------17.07
41------30----------26.67
40------21----------23.81
39------23----------21.74
38------18----------11.11
37------6------------33.33
36------6------------16.67
35------11----------18.18
34------13----------7.69
33------10----------10.00
32------13----------0.00
31------5------------20.00
30------7------------14.29
29------3------------0.00
28------4------------0.00
27------4------------0.00
26------8------------25.00
25------4------------0.00
24------2------------0.00
23------6------------16.67
22------5------------0.00
21------5------------0.00
20------4------------0.00
19------6------------0.00
18------1------------0.00
17------4------------0.00
16------8------------12.50
15------4------------0.00
14------4------------0.00
13------3------------0.00
12------8------------0.00
11------9------------0.00
10------17----------0.00
9--------6------------0.00
8--------7------------0.00
7--------4------------0.00
6--------2------------0.00
5--------3------------0.00
4--------5------------0.00
3--------10----------0.00
2--------6------------0.00
1--------18----------5.56
0--------16----------0.00

Nice job by the -6s and -8s(Luster). They both did around 80%. This is the match that kills the last -5 bracket. We nearly lose all of the -7s as well. At -9, prediction percentage starts to get close to 50% and at -15 even manages to break 60 before starting to fade away.

14 people fell off the Top 50. transience, SubDeity, OceloTRaveN, HeroicLuca, Pizzaknight, bospsychopaat, KommunistKoala, EnochCamas, Ludwig_Von_2, IloveYoda, Demon_HunterX, Xeybozn, TrueMrBojangles and YoboD did not have Persona 4 winning.

3 people got it wrong and survived. Former first place gitanil, former third place MerchantTorneko and transience_002 also did not have Persona 4 winning.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 9:10:38 PM | message detail
That. Uh.

Wow, Portal.

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DFF
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:11:01 PM | message detail
From: Aprosenf | #423
Can someone explain to me what the significance of Persona 4 winning by 261 votes would have been?

Earlier in the match, Persona had a lead of 261 votes in 4 out of 6 consecutive updates, no matter what Dead Rising cut, Persona 4 would bring it back to 261 the next update, or stall it completely.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
red sox 777 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:11:07 PM | message detail
It's confirmed: New Square is collapsing on this site. Fortunately, judging by Link vs. Cloud, Link is falling off at a similar rate to Cloud.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/1/2010 9:11:28 PM | message detail
With Portal beating Mass Effect next round, it looks like I'll have a perfect Southwest Division. Cool
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Oracle contest - 18th
Today's pick: Portal - 54.33% Status:
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/1/2010 9:11:34 PM | message detail
So, should we begin the RE4/Portal talk?
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:11:35 PM | message detail
Holy shoot. I just realized that I'm going to be 13th on the leaderboard after this match.
Greyfeld | Posted 12/1/2010 9:12:19 PM | message detail
It was just a joke from P4 hanging on to a 261 vote lead for like a half hour earlier in the day.

In any case, FF12 is likely going to cut into Portal's percent hard over the course of the night (Portal tapers off after the board vote, while FF12 has a weak board vote, but is strongest during the dead hours and into the morning), but the difference in strength is wide enough that Portal should never be in danger of losing the match.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:12:29 PM | message detail
On the battle leaderboard, I meant.
redrocket | Posted 12/1/2010 9:13:16 PM | message detail
I doubt the match would be repeated just because of a missing pic. Pretty sure that would only be done if something was actually preventing votes from being registered or the wrong games were listed in the poll.

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From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 9:13:35 PM | message detail
http://img571.imageshack.us/img571/9181/portalvsff12.png

A sample of what it might look like.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
We all make choices, but in the end our choices make us.
SuperWhiscash | Posted 12/1/2010 9:14:07 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #429
So, should we begin the RE4/Portal talk?


No, we need to begin the "we still continue RE4 > FFX train even when it's having a semi-close win against Portal" talk.
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Maple Leafs: 5-2-1 / Raptors: top 3 pick plz / Jays / TFC: legit DPs plz / Argos - 10-10 /
Platinum (legalhacks) - 0775 7164 7136
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/1/2010 9:14:36 PM | message detail

From: SuperWhiscash | #435
No, we need to begin the "we still continue RE4 > FFX train even when it's having a semi-close win against Portal" talk.


I like this conversation topic as well!
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 9:15:48 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4155&region=EUR

Hi, Europe.

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DFF
creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 9:16:03 PM | message detail
TRE, in the future, do you think you could maybe add in what the max possible score is? I always get confused when you talk about -6's or -8's and stuff :)
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creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 9:17:13 PM | message detail
I don't think RE4 vs. Portal will be that close.

The only interesting thing there is that RE4 will actually likely be out-Power Hour'ed for once.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:17:33 PM | message detail
Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. Team Fortress 2 – 50.03% vs. Fable – 49.97% (R1) – 0.06%
2. Persona 4 – 50.27% vs. Dead Rising – 49.73% (R2) – 0.54%
3. Morrowind – 50.45% vs. Warcraft II – 49.55% (R1) – 0.90%
4. Street Fighter IV – 50.75% vs. Sonic Adventure 2 – 49.25% (R1) – 1.50%
5. Deus Ex – 50.76% vs. Rock Band 2 – 49.24% (R1) – 1.52%
6. Pokemon RSE – 50.77% vs. Grand Theft Auto IV – 49.23% (R1) – 1.54%
7. Dead Rising – 50.91% vs. The World Ends With You – 49.09% (R1) – 1.82%
8. God of War – 51.46% vs. Tales of Symphonia – 48.54% (R2) – 2.92%
9. Marvel vs. Capcom 2 – 51.56% vs. New Super Mario Bros. Wii – 48.44% (R1) – 3.12%
10. Tales of Symphonia – 52.17% vs. Resident Evil 5 – 47.83% (R1) – 4.34%

Top 10 Smallest Day Vote Gaps
1. Team Fortress 2 – 30893 vs. Fable – 30856 (R1) – 37
2. Persona 4 – 23368 vs. Dead Rising – 23117 (R2) – 251
3. Morrowind – 25522 vs. Warcraft III – 25066 (R1) – 456
4. Deus Ex – 25117 vs. Rock Band 2 – 24365 (R1) – 752
5. Street Fighter IV – 27481 vs. Sonic Adventure 2 – 26673 (R1) – 808
6. Pokemon RSE – 30021 vs. Grand Theft Auto IV – 29113 (R1) – 908
7. Marvel vs. Capcom 2 – 26911 vs. New Super Mario Bros. Wii – 25287 (R1) – 1624
8. Golden Sun – 30920 vs. GTA: San Andreas – 26674 (R2) – 4246
9. CoD4: Modern Warfare – 26548 vs. Perfect Dark – 21350 (R2) – 5198
10. Borderlands – 27909 vs. Tales of Vesperia – 22346 (R1) – 5563

Top 10 Least Popular Day Polls
1. Persona 4 vs. Braid (R1) – 40360
2. Assassin’s Creed II vs. ICO (R1) – 44138
3. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 44238
4. Fire Emblem: PoR vs. WWF No Mercy (R1) – 45759
5. CoD4: Modern Warfare vs. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 46044
6. Persona 4 vs. Dead Rising (R2) – 46485
7. Half-Life 2 vs. Grand Theft Auto III (R2) – 46886
8. Diablo II vs. Eternal Darkness (R1) – 47075
9. Chrono Cross vs. Dragon Quest VIII (R1) – 47451
10. Oblivion vs. Soul Calibur II (R1) – 47843

Top 10 Most Impressive Day Losers
1. Fable (R1) – 30856
2. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 29113
3. GTA: San Andreas (R2) – 26674
4. Sonic Adventure 2 (R1) – 26673
5. New Super Mario Bros. Wii (R1) – 25287
6. Warcraft III (R1) – 25066
7. Rock Band 2 (R1) – 24365
8. Dead Rising (R2) – 23117
9. Tales of Vesperia (R1) – 22346
10. Crisis Core (R1) – 22089

Top 10 Least Impressive Day Winners
1. Persona 4 (R2) – 23368

2. Deus Ex (R1) – 25117
3. Morrowind (R1) – 25522
4. Persona 4 (R1) – 25820
5. Half-Life 2 (R2) – 26337
6. CoD4: Modern Warfare (R2) – 26548
7. Marvel vs. Capcom 2 (R1) – 26911
8. Assassin’s Creed II (R1) – 27315
9. Street Fighter IV (R1) – 27481
10. Okami (R2) – 27649

Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Golden Sun vs. GTA: San Andreas (R2) – 16.05%
2. Pokemon RSE vs. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 26.23%
3. Persona 4 vs. Dead Rising (R2) – 27.47%
4. Kingdom Hearts II vs. Bioshock (R2) – 29.25%
5. Paper Mario: TTYD vs. Gears of War (R1) – 29.33%
6. Morrowind vs. Warcraft III (R1) – 32.76%
7. Okami vs. Mega Man 9 (R2) – 36.41%
8. Deus Ex vs. Rock Band 2 (R1) – 36.61%
9. Kingdom Hearts vs. CoD: Modern Warfare 2 (R2) – 38.31%
10. Halo: Combat Evolved vs. Halo 3 (R2) – 41.28%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 9:17:53 PM | message detail
Okay, Portal's winning this if the first update wasn't a good enough sign of things to come...but Portal's still going to drop a lot. I don't think Portal > RE4's very warranted right now, but I'd take Portal to be Valve's new #1 game here over HL2 with a showing like this. I'll take FF12 > GTA3, and that got 44% on HL2 recently. Portal dropped 7% from its five-minute point in R1, but it'd have to drop more than that after the fifteen-minute mark before FF12 matches GTA3's percentage. FF's better at night, but that's still a tall order.
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E-p-o-n-a
transients | Posted 12/1/2010 9:18:17 PM | message detail
the first few minutes could be close. probably ends around 58-42 or something.
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xyzzy
transients | Posted 12/1/2010 9:19:13 PM | message detail
oh wait, it's a day match. maybe 60-40.
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xyzzy
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 12/1/2010 9:19:29 PM | message detail
TRE, in the future, do you think you could maybe add in what the max possible score is? I always get confused when you talk about -6's or -8's and stuff :)

Sure thing.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 9:21:36 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #2204
Sure thing.


Thanks :)
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 12/1/2010 9:24:34 PM | message detail
Nice job by the -6s and -8s(Luster). They both did around 80%. This is the match that kills the last -5 bracket. We nearly lose all of the -7s as well. At -9, prediction percentage starts to get close to 50% and at -15 even manages to break 60 before starting to fade away.

Heh, as a result of this match, the Lusterboard is back in action again near the bottom of the leaderboard. Too bad I picked FFXII today, so many of my accounts will fall off again.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:25:49 PM | message detail
Portal will finish this below 60%, the night vote won't be kind to it.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 96/108 Today's Matches: Portal & Mass Effect
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:25:49 PM | message detail
Hmm, assuming I'm calculating correctly, once Portal wins, I'll get past the Battle Challenge Lusterboard remnants. After the 211 at 74,100, there's just 2 ahead of me, and then 1 person tied with me.

Well, I'll be happy even just having made the leaderboard at some point during the contest, regardless of what happens after that.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:28:17 PM | message detail
Yeah xp, I'm the guy right behind the cLuster on the leaderboard. But there are still 21 people with a streak 2 longer than mine somewhere behind me that will pass me relatively soon.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 12/1/2010 9:28:39 PM | message detail
23 Tequilla_Gundam 100 Final Fantasy X

Almost thereeeee