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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 961

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creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 9:31:09 PM | message detail
Looks like after this recent patch of debated matches, the next debated match after PM vs. WoW is KH vs. KH2. The next truly big match is I think Majora vs. GSC. Lots of obvious winners coming up.

From: TheOneAboveAll | #2209
Yeah xp, I'm the guy right behind the cLuster on the leaderboard. But there are still 21 people with a streak 2 longer than mine somewhere behind me that will pass me relatively soon.


Hah, cLuster. I like that :)
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 9:31:43 PM | message detail
Yessss! Portal's got this.

I'd be feeling more excited if my bracket wasn't DOA. :(

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XxSoulxX | Posted 12/1/2010 9:31:52 PM | message detail
If something out-of-nowhere doesn't happen, I should make the battle leaderboard in a day or two. 66600 now and only 22 legit brackets ahead (not including Luster, of course).
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vcharon | Posted 12/1/2010 9:32:15 PM | message detail
Nice, Persona came back. I'm happily shocked.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:33:41 PM | message detail
debated match after PM vs. WoW

I haven't been keeping up with these debates all too closely. What's the reasoning behind WoW winning?
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xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:33:47 PM | message detail
Looks like after this recent patch of debated matches, the next debated match after PM vs. WoW is KH vs. KH2. The next truly big match is I think Majora vs. GSC. Lots of obvious winners coming up.

I take that to mean my worrying about PM:TTYD v Oblivion is just crazy, right?

Because for all matches from here to KH1/KH2, that's the one that worries me the most for some reason.

I really don't think WoW has a chance against PM.
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:34:01 PM | message detail
Thanks cn. I know I need to take a bunch of risks if I want to catch up from here, so I'm not banking for a while. I'm decently confident about all my picks until KOTOR/FFIX. That match is scaring me like heck, especially with Portal killing FFXII here.
WhiteLens | Posted 12/1/2010 9:34:28 PM | message detail
What about MGS2 vs. SotC?
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xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:35:52 PM | message detail
From: WhiteLens | #458
What about MGS2 vs. SotC?

I just kind of refuse to believe that MGS2 loses that one. I know the R1 performances make that seem kind of silly, but, I just can't see MGS2 losing that one.
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 9:37:01 PM | message detail
I'm weird I guess -- I see MGS2/SotC being more debatable than PM/WoW.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:37:16 PM | message detail
Really xp? That one wasn't even scaring me. I guess one of us will fall off after that match. :)
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:38:03 PM | message detail
I thought that SotC should beat MGS2 pretty easily.
LordOfDabu | Posted 12/1/2010 9:38:17 PM | message detail
I'm more surprised Diablo isn't being debated.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 12/1/2010 9:39:01 PM | message detail
Diablo isn't beating MGS4, sadly. It could beat MGS2 though.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:40:23 PM | message detail
Diablo has no debate. It is an awesome game and is very strong here, but it won't get past a (for this contest) elite, which is basically what MGS4 is.
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:40:43 PM | message detail
From: HaRRicH | #460
I'm weird I guess -- I see MGS2/SotC being more debatable than PM/WoW.

Well, so do I, in the sense that I think WoW has even less of a chance than SotC does. I feel good about both PM and MGS2 though.

From: TheOneAboveAll | #461
Really xp? That one wasn't even scaring me. I guess one of us will fall off after that match. :)

Well, I had written off my Battle Challenge a long time ago when all my streaks were getting stopped early. It wasn't until fairly recently when I realized I was actually in very good shape again, so now I've just been second guessing all of my picks because I feel like they actually matter again. >_>
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 9:42:50 PM | message detail
Diablo absolutely has a chance.
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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 9:44:02 PM | message detail
I'm more worried about Diablo than I am Warcraft.
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 9:44:51 PM | message detail
I just can't take Diablo 2 seriously as a threat to MGS4 after this:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3507
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3499

Really, looking at it like that, I don't know how much better Diablo 2 can do than AC did on MGS4. MGS4 would have needed to drop a lot or FFX/KH/Last Place Factor would have had to affect Diablo 2 a good bit to say otherwise.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:46:44 PM | message detail
I am not at all worried about Diablo or Warcraft. You guys are starting to worry me about MGS2 though. Why would it beat SotC? MGS did a good bit worse than Vice City in 2004. Are we really taking VC to handle SotC that easily?
HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 9:47:21 PM | message detail

From: xp1337 | #466
Well, so do I, in the sense that I think WoW has even less of a chance than SotC does. I feel good about both PM and MGS2 though.


Haha, see, I feel confident in WoW there, but that argument's for another day (and previous days, lost somewhere in the stats-topic records now).
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/1/2010 9:47:26 PM | message detail
And there are only 3 debated R3 matches that I see:

Uncharted 2 vs. Halo
Kingdom Hearts vs. Kingdom Hearts II
and Pokemon G/S/C vs Majora's Mask (and that's a BIG one)
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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 9:48:09 PM | message detail
Majora's Mask is the least debatable of those three.
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xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:49:41 PM | message detail
Yeah, Majora's Mask is the least debatable as a match, though amusingly the one with the most impact regarding brackets.
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/1/2010 9:49:43 PM | message detail
MGS2 > SotC just seems like common sense to me. It's one of those picks where you ignore stats and just remember the history of this site.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:50:14 PM | message detail
Well, apparently we have 3 debated round 2 matches in a row coming up in a few days.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:51:31 PM | message detail
I would say that about any MGS game but 2. And SotC has been pretty strong here historically IIRC. I feel like MGS2 is the weakest MGS game by a decent margin.
transience | Posted 12/1/2010 9:51:37 PM | message detail
they're not really debatable. no one's gone as far as to say that SOTC, WOW or Diablo will win, just that they're not absolute locks.
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xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 9:52:38 PM | message detail
From: TheOneAboveAll | #476
Well, apparently we have 3 debated round 2 matches in a row coming up in a few days.

Even so, I actually find that a lot easier to deal with than the two we just had, even if Portal turned this part of it into a joke.
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:52:50 PM | message detail
Umm, I think I'm going so far as to say that SotC will win. Do we have any stats at all that can say otherwise?
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 9:53:46 PM | message detail
Man, Portal's holding up great! Feeling awesome about taking it to the division finals.

It'd be nice if we'd get a match picture, though... >_>

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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 9:53:59 PM | message detail
you are? go for it, make it debatable.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 12/1/2010 9:56:11 PM | message detail
I will say though that the only upset of those I'd be shocked with is WoW over PM. I just don't see how that happens after R1.
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TsunamiXXVIII | Posted 12/1/2010 9:57:16 PM | message detail
Yeah, I was wondering where the match picture was.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 12/1/2010 9:57:26 PM | message detail
Well...

I guess Gears of War 2 looks a little better now at least
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 9:58:51 PM | message detail
Is anyone else scared of Paper Mario 2 after this? This makes Gears of War look better, which makes PM2 look better.

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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 9:59:48 PM | message detail
I don't think that MGS2 puts up 70% on the Sims and I think that SotC would put up more than 44% on 2004 Melee (which i think is much weaker than Melee now). And I realize that in 2009 MGS2 looked a lot better than 2004 (it beat Vice City by a considerable amount). Actually, now that I'm doing more research I'm comparing how they both did against KH (and KHII, assuming they're equal indirectly) I can't see how SotC wins. But I really feel like LOL 4-ways are really going to bite me in the butt here.
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:01:05 PM | message detail
From: KamikazePotato | #486
Is anyone else scared of Paper Mario 2 after this? This makes Gears of War look better, which makes PM2 look better.

Like I said, for whatever odd reason, that match has me more scared than anything pre-KH/KH2. And that was even before Portal did this, so it made even less sense then.
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 10:01:41 PM | message detail
Paper Mario: TTYD absolutely has a chance of winning - I'm pretty nervous as well.

Man, just imagine how ridiculously low the prediction % would be if Mario beat Oblivion. It'd almost definitely be below 10%.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 10:03:15 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4132
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4131

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4050

This is a pretty good comparisan.

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creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 10:03:56 PM | message detail
We'd all be pretty shocked if SOTC beat MGS2. That's not a debated match, it would be an out of almost nowhere upset.

From: Janus5000 | #2255
What's the reasoning behind WoW winning?


I don't think too many of us think WoW will win there, PM is a big favorite. I was just talking vaguely debated. And I think PM will get less than 55%.
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creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 10:06:32 PM | message detail
Well, it's a day match which might slightly favor PM, so I guess it has a decent chance against Oblivion. I hadn't really thought about that one.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:16:12 PM | message detail
Huh, just checked my bracket to see if I bit on TTYD > Oblivion. Turns out I have Oblivion > GeoW. 'whoops'

I also just noticed I have MKWii beating Crystal in round 2. <_<

...Maybe all the voters will be confused like me and forget it's associated with Gold/Silver? ...And associate it with something worse than Phoenix Wright?
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 12/1/2010 10:17:31 PM | message detail
Why would that be such an insane upset? SotC got 35% on RE4 with another top-level game in the poll. MGS2 got 37% on FFX when the other two options were fodder. And all of the LFF arguments I can think of only seem to add to SotC's strength. Why would this be so shocking?
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:18:19 PM | message detail
Huh, just checked my bracket to see if I bit on TTYD > Oblivion. Turns out I have Oblivion > GeoW. 'whoops'

My bracket bit on TTYD > Oblivion, but my bracket is a trainwreck, I almost count my bracket having that as points against TTYD! I mean, my bracket has Crisis Core in the Division Finals! And that may not even be the most objectionable thing about it!
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GotD (93/108) Portal v CC: FFVII
greatone10 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:18:33 PM | message detail

From: Janus5000 | #493
...Maybe all the voters will be confused like me and forget it's associated with Gold/Silver? ...And associate it with something worse than Phoenix Wright?


Considering it will be listed under the poll as "Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal" and probably have a match pic with Gold and Silver in it, probably not,
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-Tofa7- | Posted 12/1/2010 10:22:35 PM | message detail
Before losing my huge streak yesterday on Dead Rising, Paper Mario 2/Oblivion was worrying me. I felt confident in Portal and Paper Mario to beat FFXII and WoW, but I can just see Oblivion choking against Paper Mario 2 for some reason. It's a game that doesn't get a lot of praise, but everybody loves it. It has the potential to cause an upset that no one saw coming IMO.

For anyone still streaking, your best bet would be to wait and see how Paper Mario performs against WoW and judge Paper Mario 2/Oblivion on that.

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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 10:23:13 PM | message detail
A Persona game is going to Round Three, a Fallout game is probably making the semifinals, a division will be won by either Metroid Prime, Half-Life 2 or God of War... and Paper Mario 2 might beat Oblivion.

This contest, man.

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LordOfDabu | Posted 12/1/2010 10:23:26 PM | message detail
I didn't even know Paper Mario > Oblivion was an upset!

Then again I didn't know Morrowind could beat a weak RTS so I'm not a reliable source.
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Janus5000 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:23:27 PM | message detail
...Man, why did it have to be in the bracket as just plain Crystal?

I need to stop filling out these brackets in such a hurry. Not that it would help my chances much.
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