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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 960

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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:19:01 AM | message detail
400? The lead might be under 300 depending on how the timing for these bumps for each game hit.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:19:16 AM | message detail
We're heading for about 45k vote for DR to win it needs to average about 50.6% of the vote. It's not a lot to ask, especially when it's making those kinds of cuts.

DR is the favourite until we start seeing it choke the ASV.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:25:06 AM | message detail
I doubt the lead will be under 300. The trend so far is that we see 15-20 minutes of stall, and then Persona seems to make one huge (50+) gain. So far, it looks to have stalled around ~320.
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Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:26:50 AM | message detail
328/303/328/303

Time for a Persona 25 vote gain.
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:26:53 AM | message detail
Holy ****, Persona's votes just fell off a cliff there....
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
Hochimihnister | Posted 12/1/2010 11:28:06 AM | message detail
Dead Rising is en route to a fairly easy win
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2010 11:28:16 AM | message detail
These are very promising trends for DR. Persona has only won the last 60 minutes by 2 votes. It's losing the current hour by 30 votes.
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:28:22 AM | message detail

From: kinsho3 | #105
Holy ****, Persona's votes just fell off a cliff there....




Are we looking at the same chart o_0
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:28:51 AM | message detail
Oddly enough the US has only slightly gone up, it's been Canada that's been falling off the face of the Earth for P4.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:29:34 AM | message detail
BTW Persona almost down to 51 in Cali.
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:29:49 AM | message detail

From: shane15 | #108
Are we looking at the same chart o_0


For the last five updates, Persona 4 took in:

190
173
160
190
137
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:30:46 AM | message detail
300 vote barrier broken
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 11:31:12 AM | message detail
On a side note, I just checked the final results for RE4/VC...

Holy crap! RE4 seriously choked the night vote. This is definitely a blow to the RE4 > FFX upset. :(

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 95
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:32:03 AM | message detail
It was Grand Theft Auto at night, RE4 was always going to get smacked around overnight.
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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 11:32:07 AM | message detail
oh ya go my dead rising
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xyzzy
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:33:24 AM | message detail
*Can finally see match*

yesssssss Persona 4 is winn-

*Checks updates*

-...Well.

Is there any consensus on Persona 4's likely fate? I don't feel good about it, but that's probably because I always feel terrible when my bracket/battle challenge is at stake in a close match.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (89/104) RE4 v GTA: VC
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 11:33:54 AM | message detail
It was Grand Theft Auto at night, RE4 was always going to get smacked around overnight.

GTA's night vote is indeed great, but even still... DANG!!

On the bright side, this makes things look a bit less grim for HL2.

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 97
Did I mention that you should watch Outsourced?
red sox 777 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:34:16 AM | message detail
Persona only gained 71 votes the 2nd hour, and is negative so far in the 3rd hour. I think I'd call DR the favorite at this point- the percentage of votes coming from the US is only going to increase the rest of the match, once when we hit the ASV, and again when Europe goes to sleep. I was going to do some geolocation projections, but the geolocation trend chart we have is for weekend/summer matches, so it wouldn't work. But we can do a very rough projection nonetheless:

Currently, our continent's are probably contributing something like this:

North America 73%
Europe 19%
South America 3%
Asia 4%
Oceania 1%

By the way, this distribution would give P4 51.55% as of when the continental numbers updated.

Then if the percentages on each continent stay the same through the end of the poll, and we end with:

North America 80%
Europe 12%
South America 4%
Asia 3%
Oceania 3%

Our projection is.....Persona 4 wins with 50.08%. So roughly speaking, from geolocation trends, we're looking at a very close match. If the ASV in North America favors DR though, it should win comfortably.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2010 11:34:52 AM | message detail
Dead Rising up to 52.3% in the US and 49.5% in Cali. Persona won't be able to count on any US region for respite (not unless DR chokes the ASV like the stuff of legends).
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:35:29 AM | message detail
Like the God of Wuh?
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:36:24 AM | message detail
I told you, Blazer invoked "The Show Curse" by calling this early!
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Biolizard28 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:36:56 AM | message detail
Get some taste, you tools.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
Greyfeld | Posted 12/1/2010 11:38:07 AM | message detail
lol what amuses me about this match is that even if DR goes against my prediction and pulls out the win due to the ASV, I already lost all my points on GS/GTA, and my bracket has DR winning this round, so it would still be a win for me.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:38:17 AM | message detail
The US favored Civ IV. Sorry US has good taste. Maybe Persona fans should get some taste.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/1/2010 11:39:01 AM | message detail
Welp, it's over. It was a valiant effort, P4, but it just wasn't enough. ;_;
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Jman_maximum | Posted 12/1/2010 11:39:09 AM | message detail
you can't be a persona fan without having good taste.
Biolizard28 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:39:16 AM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #124
The US favored Civ IV. Sorry US has good taste.


Cool contradiction there.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
Achromatic | Posted 12/1/2010 11:39:28 AM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #124
The US favored Civ IV. Sorry US has good taste. Maybe Persona fans should get some taste.


Literally a Cleveland fan saying this.
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Sir Chris
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:40:12 AM | message detail
From: Greyfeld | #123
lol what amuses me about this match is that even if DR goes against my prediction and pulls out the win due to the ASV, I already lost all my points on GS/GTA, and my bracket has DR winning this round, so it would still be a win for me.

The only thing amuses me about DR's comeback is that if it succeeds it saves me from my agonizing debate over FFXII/Portal because it will have destroyed any hopes of me doing any significant in Battle Challenge and I could probably just set my goals to the much less difficult task of defeating Bacon. >_>
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GotD (91/106) Dead Rising v Persona 4
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:40:25 AM | message detail
Dead Rising probably deserved to win two matches less than any other game in the entire bracket.

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DFF
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/1/2010 11:41:01 AM | message detail

From: Achromatic | Posted: 12/1/2010 2:39:28 PM | #128
Literally a Cleveland fan saying this.


The irony is staggering.
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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 11:41:11 AM | message detail
Persona defense force activated
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xyzzy
Biolizard28 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:41:19 AM | message detail
Which is funny because it's poised to beat a game that arguably deserves to win the whole damn thing.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
red sox 777 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:41:22 AM | message detail
I just noticed Dead Rising is winning in Japan. It makes me wonder- who are these Gamefaqs voters from Japan? I think it might be mostly Americans living or visiting there.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:41:35 AM | message detail
Dead Rising should've died round one.There are much better games that lost round 1.
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Emporer_Kazbar | Posted 12/1/2010 11:42:06 AM | message detail
If DR wins, I will cry tears of happiness for my bracket and for having a favorite of mine get so far unexpectedly.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 12/1/2010 11:42:25 AM | message detail
Persona 4 is my second favorite game in the whole bracket and I don't care if it loses! What a bad fan.

Also I have Dead Rising in my bracket go Frank West.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:42:26 AM | message detail
No, Dead Rising is just a bad game. It's got one gimmick it does well (lots of zombies) and does literally everything else that makes a gamed good, badly.

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DFF
swordz9 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:43:05 AM | message detail
Persona defense force is the best. We all love it so much because it's an amazing game. I'd say it's easily the best JRPG in this contest by a considerable gap.
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:43:11 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #134
I just noticed Dead Rising is winning in Japan. It makes me wonder- who are these Gamefaqs voters from Japan? I think it might be mostly Americans living or visiting there.




I said it must be foreigners making up most of the Japanese vote the other week.Games that are popular in Japan seem to lose over there.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 11:43:29 AM | message detail
Why are you guys acting like this is over when P4 is still winning by 300? Am I missing something?
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Greyfeld | Posted 12/1/2010 11:43:36 AM | message detail
Yeah, P4 is tragically under appreciated on this site. It's loved by fans, but it seems everybody else would rather vote for Generic Zombie Killer 2.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2010 11:43:58 AM | message detail
I like Dead Rising because it's a current-gen 3D action game that doesn't hold your hand out the gate - it ****ing kicks your ass. It has a veeeery steep learning curve and everyone who plays it gets humbled right away. Kinda rare to see that these days.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:44:03 AM | message detail
Oh wait a gain

I fart in your general direction, DR.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:44:33 AM | message detail
Nice gain there, Persona 4. The ASV should be hitting any time now....
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:44:59 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #143
I like Dead Rising because it's a current-gen 3D action game that doesn't hold your hand out the gate - it ****ing kicks your ass. It has a veeeery steep learning curve and everyone who plays it gets humbled right away. Kinda rare to see that these days.


Demon's Souls does this 10x better and has text you can actually read!

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DFF
xp1337 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:45:01 AM | message detail
From: swordz9 | #139
Persona defense force is the best. We all love it so much because it's an amazing game. I'd say it's easily the best JRPG in this contest by a considerable gap.

Not even the best JRPG from its own series that had a match in the last 24 hours. >_>

That said, I would say Persona 4 is a Top 3 JRPG in the contest.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
GotD (91/106) Dead Rising v Persona 4
Achromatic | Posted 12/1/2010 11:45:29 AM | message detail
Persona 3 is in no way better than Persona 4.
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Sir Chris
Big Bob | Posted 12/1/2010 11:45:39 AM | message detail
To be fair, Dead Rising was a bit of a technical accomplishment, and was one of the first 360 games to put the system on the spot (Oblivion's the other one). But it's let down by terrible controls and game design, even if there are few things more fun than running zombies over with a lawnmower.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/1/2010 11:45:49 AM | message detail

From: swordz9 | Posted: 12/1/2010 2:43:05 PM | #139
Persona defense force is the best. We all love it so much because it's an amazing game. I'd say it's easily the best JRPG in this contest by a considerable gap.


I'd argue this, but not much. It's easily one of the best 8 games in the bracket.
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