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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 960

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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/1/2010 10:26:41 AM | message detail
300 votes breached. Delicious.
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Greyfeld | Posted 12/1/2010 10:27:45 AM | message detail

Persona 4 is also winning California. Hail Cali.


Thank you, thank you :P
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 10:38:07 AM | message detail
Match is probably over unless Dead Rising goes berserk with the ASV, which I doubt it can. The reason MvC2 was able to come back was how well it was doing in California + SRK rallying. Dead Rising doesn't have any of that.
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:40:55 AM | message detail
*looks at California*

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Shades.gif
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2010 10:41:32 AM | message detail
Another cut. Perhaps I called this too early. If DR manages a couple more cuts here, Persona will barely win this hour. Even now, it has only won this hour by 30 votes.
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machinegungeek | Posted 12/1/2010 10:42:50 AM | message detail
Good a small cut. REALLY need Dead Rising to win for my battle challenge. Would've banked if I had more points but oh well. A win here gets me top 50 in a couple days (37k on the line...)
shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:46:46 AM | message detail
Gotta love that lead incase
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:46:58 AM | message detail
increase*
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/1/2010 10:52:16 AM | message detail
followed by a cut
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:52:45 AM | message detail
Come on Dead Rising, just go 50/50 until the ASV.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/1/2010 10:53:08 AM | message detail
P3 did well in the ASV vs. FFIX
P4 lost the ASV to Braid

I'm not sure what to think, here
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Oracle contest - 18th
Today's pick: Persona 4 - 52.85% Status:
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:54:18 AM | message detail
What you should think is FFIX has a strong board vote compared to the rest of FF, and has a crappy ASV like FF would if it didn't have such a bad board vote.
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:55:18 AM | message detail
Beautiful cut. Dead Rising can turn this back within the next hour.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:55:58 AM | message detail
I mean, FFIX lost the ASV to Phoenix Wright.
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kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:57:05 AM | message detail
Dammit, DR, why do your votes keep fluctuating up and down while P4 stays steady for the most part?
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
transience | Posted 12/1/2010 10:58:02 AM | message detail
DR looking good to take the asv. if this is close though I can't see the Persona fanbase losing this.
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xyzzy
__Smurf__ | Posted 12/1/2010 10:58:42 AM | message detail
Braid is an xbox platformer, why wouldn't it have a strong ASV exactly?
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 10:59:26 AM | message detail
Good the American vote shifted back towards Persona
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 11:00:23 AM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #061
P3 did well in the ASV vs. FFIX


EVERYTHING wins the ASV against Final Fantasy 9.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:00:30 AM | message detail
Hey DR, generally when things take what I say literally I get annoyed, but that was a good update. More of those.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:01:08 AM | message detail
No not those.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/1/2010 11:01:11 AM | message detail
Not sure why people are so sure DR will win the ASV. Neither of them seem to be ASV beasts to me, it could go either way. Think of it like Golden Sun/San Andreas all over again.
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Achromatic | Posted 12/1/2010 11:01:14 AM | message detail
PERSONA
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Sir Chris
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:01:56 AM | message detail
Where is Albion, we have trends to mispredict
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Alec not at home
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 12/1/2010 11:01:59 AM | message detail
GALACTIC PUNT!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:02:15 AM | message detail
Going purely by trends, Dead Rising should take this easily. But considering fanbases...yeah.

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DFF
GrapefruitKing | Posted 12/1/2010 11:02:47 AM | message detail
love that gain
however P4 will probably lose because I can't predict a single close match correctly in this contest
sorry guys
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Oracle contest - 18th
Today's pick: Persona 4 - 52.85% Status:
charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:03:48 AM | message detail
DR looking good to take the asv. if this is close though I can't see the Persona fanbase losing this.

Just like P4 did with SFIV?

>_>


I would say DR is the favourite right now, but if P4 keeps making those 50 vote gains...
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
transience | Posted 12/1/2010 11:04:40 AM | message detail
I hope you're not claiming that P4 vs. SF4 mattered!
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xyzzy
legendmusketeer | Posted 12/1/2010 11:04:51 AM | message detail
Persona just climbed back over 49% in NA.
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LM
charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:06:00 AM | message detail
Interesting that this is turning into US vs. the World. Looking at the map P4 has a lot of support in some states and should they flip DR should be able to take this.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
transience | Posted 12/1/2010 11:07:04 AM | message detail
DR vs. TWEWY was the same way.

those trend charts are going to flip when the ASV starts. you can kind of ignore them for another hour.
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xyzzy
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 12/1/2010 11:07:35 AM | message detail

From: Lightning Strikes | #072
Not sure why people are so sure DR will win the ASV. Neither of them seem to be ASV beasts to me, it could go either way. Think of it like Golden Sun/San Andreas all over again.


Take a look at the TWEWY/Dead Rising match. DR jumped a huge amount when the sun came up.

It's going to be tough though. Dead Rising basically needs this to follow Pokemon/GTA IV trends. I can't see DR having a Pokemon day vote, though I would expect Persona to also be worse than GTA in the day. So who knows. At this point I expect it to be really close.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:07:36 AM | message detail

From: transience | #082
DR vs. TWEWY was the same way.

those trend charts are going to flip when the ASV starts. you can kind of ignore them for another hour.


Did TWEWY even have a lead over 100? I mean DR probably still wins but this isn't the same.

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DFF
kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:08:15 AM | message detail
I think those Persona 4 states will flip. We saw something similar during the Warcraft 3/Morrowind match.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:09:23 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #084
Did TWEWY even have a lead over 100? I mean DR probably still wins but this isn't the same.


No, but even if TWEWY had a lead of 350 by the time the sun rose, DR would have still won.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
EvilNcr | Posted 12/1/2010 11:09:55 AM | message detail
Well, anyway, it's really USA vs the World here. Even my Canada is for P4.
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Jman_maximum | Posted 12/1/2010 11:10:11 AM | message detail
at least seems pretty clear that P4 is stronger than TWEWY

if this was a night match like TWEWY had it probably wouldn't even have been debatable.
transience | Posted 12/1/2010 11:11:03 AM | message detail
Did TWEWY even have a lead over 100? I mean DR probably still wins but this isn't the same.


remember when people (perhaps you as well) were calling it because TWEWY had EUROPE? it was up like 60-40. then when the match went on, it dropped to like 51-49. trends are going to change when different voting blocs are involved.
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xyzzy
Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:11:41 AM | message detail
If DR's going to win this, it needs to kill the match before the SNV I think. Persona will do better then compared to the ASV, and with lower votals rallying will count for more... yeah.

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kinsho3 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:12:15 AM | message detail
Nice cut, but if P4 comes back with a few more 50 vote gains, the door is going to shut pretty fast on DR....
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:13:02 AM | message detail
For trend reference and state flipping, Persona 4 was at like 55% in Cali when this page started.

It's now down under 52. Cali's probably not going to be much help for Persona.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:13:37 AM | message detail
Did TWEWY even have a lead over 100? I mean DR probably still wins but this isn't the same.

The percent change will be enough, don't forget that DR will have a longer period and more votes in which to make its comeback.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:13:57 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
JaKyL25 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:14:05 AM | message detail
Hey it's not JUST the US vs. the World

The UK is solidly for DR.
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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 11:15:26 AM | message detail
I'd put Persona as the favourite just because people like it more than Dead Rising. I think Persona is an early vote kind of game, meaning it'll do really well in the initial afterschool vote and then slide from there. Dead Rising probably wins the afterschool vote but Persona will hang on long enough to build a lead at the end. that's how I'd assume it goes.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 12/1/2010 11:15:32 AM | message detail
I don't think anyone here outside of like, Albion, was calling it for TWEWY. Most people were saying that Europe would favor TWEWY, but how much it favored TWEWY would be suspect.

Either way, the difference is that Persona doesn't have that good of a DSV. It's strength lies in the night, and then it just sort of trails off for the rest of the match. It's probably not going to be as big of a trend switch as the TWEWY match was unless Dead Rising has a better ASV than morning vote.

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DFF
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 11:16:12 AM | message detail
Dead Rising 'storming' back right now.
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 12/1/2010 11:17:09 AM | message detail
If Dead Rising loses this match, my bracket will essentially be dead in the water. So, I have four words...

WAKE UP, MR. WEST!!!

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2010 11:18:12 AM | message detail
This lead will certainly be under 500 by the time we hit the ASV, and it could easily be under 400 as well. That's surmountable. I agree with tranny in that regions shift based on the voting blocs. We've begun to put too much emphasis on the geographic shifts while ignoring that time shifts could easily change things even in a particular geographic region.

Heck, Persona had 55% in CA during the end of that first hour. It's now under 52% and we're not even close to hitting the CA ASV.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!