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~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

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~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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"I wrote a sixteen page essay about why DAO is bad, but I had nowhere to post it so it's sitting on my desktop." -Anagram

yyy
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http://i125.photobucket.com/albums/p80/commanderxgreen/wp_1280x1024.jpg
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/7457/freezesubsdragonballkai.jpg

yeah zzz is sort of how I feel during God of Bore matches.
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
See You Space Cowboy

xxx


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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585

From: raytan7585 | #004
xxx

hot
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http://i125.photobucket.com/albums/p80/commanderxgreen/wp_1280x1024.jpg
http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/7457/freezesubsdragonballkai.jpg

So....figure less than 25% of brackets will get this one?

Come on, P4!

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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585

200 vote barrier. Now to double that.
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.

Nice update!
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LM

Dead Rising needs to make up ground in the first hour, while the percentages still move fast enough for it to do so. 53% is a big lead in a day match......if DR can't get to 48% in half an hour, it's basically done.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.

Is good.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!

PM > WoW is easy right?

bad news for DR: US trended back towards P4, meaning it isnt all 5 minute keke rush for US for persona
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Sir Chris

Persona 4 must have gotten the Moon effect.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!

P4 looks coasting to a win here, personas always done fine with the day vote so no reason for any dramatic collapse later.

Evidently Persona 4 > TWEWY

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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.

40 vote gain, that's what I'm talking about.
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.

come ooon P4

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DFF

Ah hell, a cut ;_;
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.

What
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!

Uh oh. A CUT!
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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585

OK, P4. You better go BEARzerk now, because you can't let DR keep gaining!
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.

Well, one of the things that helped the MvC2 victory was California's ASV IIRC.
So if it's any indication, P4 is at 55% there. So the evening vote would normally be his.
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"You have enemies? Good. That means you've stood up for something, sometime in your life." ~ Winston Churchill

Another cut...

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raytan. The Cream of Terra Branford Fanboyism.
http://myanimelist.net/animelist/raytan7585

Stop yourself.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!

go go persona 4!

I don't care if I have Dead Rising! GOOO Persona 4!
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~Zen is using Chrome because Firefox sucks now.

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Well, one of the things that helped the MvC2 victory was California's ASV IIRC.

There was no ASV. It was a weekend match. There was a rally for MvC2 that came from another site which helped out. Plus, after Europe went to sleep, MvC2 had no where to go but up. Europe was the only place keeping NSMB Wii alive.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!

I like how this match is essentially USA vs. The World.

Get your **** together America.
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See You Space Cowboy...

From: Bigwig_rah | #028
I like how this match is essentially USA vs. The World.

Get your **** together America.

Doubtful that the USA will make up the gap elsewhere, given it's trending toward P4.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://img.imgcake.com/Clockworkjpgyh.jpg

US is now going hard back for DR.

hrm
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Sir Chris

Well, DR is certainly trying. Not going to count it out yet.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.

I'm getting GTA4/RSE vibes from this.

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DFF

IZANAGI
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No need for words,
Just cast Luminaire and be done with it.

who has better chance against re4?
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http://i52.tinypic.com/2dgnzhz.png

This one is in the books. You don't score 47.6% in the first hour of a day match and come back to win. That just doesn't happen.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!

From: Assassin_Thane | #034
who has better chance against re4?

>____________________________________________>
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!

From: PartOfYourWorld | Posted: 12/1/2010 1:04:47 PM | #035
This one is in the books. You don't score 47.6% in the first hour of a day match and come back to win. That just doesn't happen.

Don't we have some instances of this happening?
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.

Both have no chance against RE4, but Dead Rising has a 'better' chance in case of the 1 in 1 quadrillionth chance it Zombie rSFFs RE4.
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http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png
"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab

If P4 gets a Human Teddie pic it wins by default.

Otherwise RE4 will crush
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"Have you tried the rolling jump? We apes have no need to obey the laws of physics" - Cranky Kong

Dead Rising would probably lose a lot worse. The idea of Capcom SFF is dubious and I've never bought into it, but those are two "similar-ish" games. RE4 would wreck Dead Rising's fanbase so bad - tripling at least, and I could honestly see 80/20. Persona 4 would do much better than that.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!

From: Assassin_Thane | #034
who has better chance against re4?

lol
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lol opinions

P4 wins if it gets this picture:

http://www.flickr.com/photos/onecrazyweasel/3103768060/
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http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png

BIG CUT

50,000 PP BONUS
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Yoblazer: http://oi54.tinypic.com/2h6bmza.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!

this contest.
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Sir Chris

*gasp* The enemy...!
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"Have you tried the rolling jump? We apes have no need to obey the laws of physics" - Cranky Kong

Percentagewise, P4 is only doing a slightly bit better than NSMBW at the exact same time.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!

Yoblazer invoked "The Show Curse"
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Alec not at home

Holy **** how did that happen?

oh wait lol I was looking at NA's percentage.

From: TRE Public Account | #046
Percentagewise, P4 is only doing a slightly bit better than NSMBW at the exact same time.

Persona 4 is also winning California. Hail Cali.

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DFF