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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 959

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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2010 4:45:10 AM | message detail
The GTAs in order of strength: III > VC > SA > IV

Glorious.
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transience | Posted 12/1/2010 4:50:36 AM | message detail
where did the GTA3 > all hype come from? it's never really been that way. I assume it's because it didn't get embarrassed like SA or VC did? that says more about Half-Life 2 than GTA3 for me and I'm pretty concerned about the God of War match, let alone the Prime match which to me has a clear favourite now (Prime).
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linkhatesganon | Posted 12/1/2010 5:21:16 AM | message detail
If RE4 is doing worse at night it's just because Vice City is loved in Europe, check it.
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 5:22:39 AM | message detail
I think GTA3 could look better this contest than any other GTA-game because of what it's done for this decade...but I don't really think it matters; GTA's still GTA. I also hate using that argument for other contests, so I'm not gonna get hung up on the idea. HL2's never really been safe in its path to the Elite Eight (or further), so nothing's changed. GoW's still a threat, though I don't see it beating a GTA-game like HL2 did either; it barely beat GTA:SA last year, we don't know much about L4D, and it's not like it made some big turn-around on ToS aside from turning a close loss into a close victory.

MP's the biggest threat for HL2, and I'm keeping HL2 for my pick right now.
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HaRRicH | Posted 12/1/2010 5:23:52 AM | message detail
Also, at some point, I'd like to see some comparative x-stats if we assume all the GTA-games are equal. I'd do them, but I'm about to go to work.
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Guess how many teens | Posted 12/1/2010 5:27:23 AM | message detail
Pretty sure the GTA ranking on this site is about VC>SA~=III>IV

We need some close matches to get to topic 1000 by the finals imo.
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Achromatic | Posted 12/1/2010 5:29:07 AM | message detail
for what its worth, I think 35 on RE4 is better than 44 on HL2.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 12/1/2010 5:39:06 AM | message detail
GTA is undoubtedly VC > 3 > 4 > SA

Everything we've seen points to this.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 5:45:28 AM | message detail
Unless you think RE4 wins (or finishes in second behind Brawl) the contest or somehow know where Golden Sun ranks I would disagree.

If GTA3 somehow ends up being the strongest out of the three I'm blaming the name of the contest. Then again Half-Life 2 does get its fair share of mention when it comes to discussing the Game of the Decade.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
Draco1214 | Posted 12/1/2010 5:49:46 AM | message detail
Why are people under the impression that Metroid Prime is a strong game and that it's the favorite against HL2? What has MP done? Beat up on a couple of weak games (DMC3 is awful). It's done nothing to deserve favorite status.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 5:53:28 AM | message detail
Probably because we have a hard time seeing GTA3 as the strongest game and when 3/4 games of the series flopped it's likely that the fourth one would as well which means bad things for HL2.

Then again I would've took LBP > Dead Space and Silent Hill 2 before the contest.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
Draco1214 | Posted 12/1/2010 5:56:28 AM | message detail
I can definitely see why this means bad things for HL2 but I need to see MP assert itself as the favorite before I start to call it that. To me, it's still the game that lost to Vice City and got creamed by KH. It's done nothing but disappoint in every poll it's been in.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/1/2010 6:06:07 AM | message detail
Well, this definitely looks less impressive from the 70% it had at the end of the Power Hour. Still, a doubling surpassed my expectations and I think its a good performance for RE4. Enough to take on FFX? Well, that's something else, but I don't think its out of the question.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 12/1/2010 6:07:20 AM | message detail
As far as GTA games go I think III>SA>VC>IV

But they're all around that same middle-ish area.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 6:09:28 AM | message detail
If you make VC=GTA3 HL2 gets 39% on RE4, last contest it got 40% on TP, a slightly stronger opponent.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 6:11:48 AM | message detail
Match LXXXVI: (12) Dead Rising vs. (4) Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 4

Last Round

The World Ends With You – 49.09%
Dead Rising – 50.91%

Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 4 – 63.97%
Braid – 36.03%

Analysis

Somehow we ended up with a fodder four-pack and one of these two games is going to make the third round. I could list a bunch of games that lost in the first round that could win this four-pack, but in the end it’s all about getting your fans to nominate you enough to get a decent seed and hope you get lucky. Sadly I’m getting this match wrong no matter who wins since I had The World Ends With You winning this match. You’d think I would side with Dead Rising in order to show that my pick wasn’t crazy, but I’m currently siding with Persona 4.

The main reason why a lot of people seem to think Dead Rising has a chance is that the match is going to be during the day. Last round it was until morning before Dead Rising really began to pull away getting 54% of the vote on the last hour. Persona 4 on the hand seems to have a terrible day vote with the little information that we know. I guess the main question is whether or not we would take Persona 4 to get roughly 55% on TWEWY which should be more than enough to defeat Dead Rising.

I must sound like a broken record be now, but should Persona 4 be stronger than Persona 3 then I feel that it won’t have too much of a problem winning. Dead Rising has never looked good in polls and I find it hard to believe that the game would break 30% on Final Fantasy IX and if it does it would just barely which I feel won’t be enough to win over Persona 4.

Of course if Persona 4 is indeed weaker which is possible considering that it only got 20% on Brawl last contest Dead Rising should have an easier time winning this match then it did last round. Persona 4 may have had a decent performance last round, but Braid is a downloadable game that isn’t Mega Man which should be enough to say that the game is weak.

charmander6000’s Bracket: The World Ends With You > Persona 4

charmander6000’s Prediction: Persona 4 wins, 53.52% - 46.48%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 6:31:45 AM | message detail
Hmm, last night I thought VC could push 33% but wouldn't break the doubling. Looks like it could break 35% in a 24 hour match.

The Power Hour against FFX is going to be ugly. FFX will swing it huge.

Tranny, lots of people were saying GTA3 might be the strongest before the contest. That's not a new theory. But they were always presumed close.

I don't think GoW is a threat to HL2. But I favor Prime slightly in a day match especially. HL2 is a night game.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 12/1/2010 6:45:14 AM | message detail
Aw man, that RE4/FFX power hour is gonna be amazing. RE4 builds a lead, FFX knocks it down through the night.
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pjbasis | Posted 12/1/2010 6:48:51 AM | message detail
Dammit the RE4>FFX train is derailing fast.

It'll still be interesting but...I think my bracket is safe.
shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 6:53:15 AM | message detail
If P4 loses today i'm done with this contest.
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EvilNcr | Posted 12/1/2010 6:54:24 AM | message detail
Pretty funny to see RE4 bleed during the entire night. And good for my oracle too. Just 1.5% less and I'm right in line for a top 5.
Anyways, RE4 being over 10% less popular in Europe is quite interesting. I think this match just ended the RE4>FFX bandwagon.
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 6:54:43 AM | message detail
O yeah and todays match pics are awesome.I used to have the Resi 4 one as my PS3 background
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 7:28:24 AM | message detail
GTA is really popular in Europe though

Then again so is Final Fantasy.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2010 7:36:24 AM | message detail
Well GTAIII was the only one to roll a night match (not to mention a day match against an opponent with a terrible ASV), so perhaps it only makes sense for it not to get embarassed. Either way, I think Prime will probably win with like 51% of the vote now, perhaps only because it's a day match.

From what I remember GTAIII is supposed to be stronger than Okami so if Prime does noticably (spelling?) worse we know that it knocks itself out of contention. Prime/Okami could probably also be used to gauge MGS2/SotC, since I think Prime is only a little weaker than MGS2 at worst while the same could be said of SotC with Okami.

Other M was released during the nomination period, right? I honestly think that's most of the reason why Prime is a 1 seed. Either way I think the game's deserving of GotD now, if only because the game popularized the "shooter that's not really so much about shooting". As I said when I actually played the game last its few flaws were certainly noticable.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/1/2010 7:40:53 AM | message detail
What exactly is the P4 argument anyway?

DR would've done plenty better against TWEWY in a day match and P4 looked laughable.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 7:49:46 AM | message detail
P3 looked pretty good against FFIX, if P4 > P3 DR would have to perform even better, defeating TWEWY wasn't really that impressive...
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
Ultimaphazon | Posted 12/1/2010 7:53:14 AM | message detail
I think the Persona argument comes down to consoles > handhelds, so Persona is stronger than TWEWY, which means it wins. I am not convinced that Persona is really stronger than TWEWY, and I'm sticking with Dead Rising in my battle. I don't have any confidence in that pcik though.
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Achromatic | Posted 12/1/2010 7:54:11 AM | message detail

From: Ultimaphazon | #377
I think the Persona argument comes down to consoles > handhelds, so Persona is stronger than TWEWY, which means it wins. I am not convinced that Persona is really stronger than TWEWY, and I'm sticking with Dead Rising in my battle. I don't have any confidence in that pcik though.


golden sun would eat this match <_<
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/1/2010 8:05:59 AM | message detail
Man if P4 loses, there goes my perfect R2 streak.
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Advokaiser | Posted 12/1/2010 8:06:39 AM | message detail
golden sun would eat this match <_<

With the Dark Dawn hype? Sure. 60-65% seems good. Without the Dark Dawn hype? It would be extremely close.

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creativename | Posted 12/1/2010 8:06:51 AM | message detail
I don't think DS and GBA games are comparable in strength.
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charmander6000 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:09:08 AM | message detail
With the Dark Dawn hype? Sure. 60-65% seems good. Without the Dark Dawn hype? It would be extremely close.

You're overrating the hype too much. GS would have defeated SA (or barely lose at the least) with or without DD coming out.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 94/104 Today's Matches: RE4 & TWEWY
vcharon | Posted 12/1/2010 8:11:24 AM | message detail
Love the hilarious overreaction to RE4's early vote and the belief it would stay near 70%.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 12/1/2010 8:12:15 AM | message detail
GS won 53-47, and would probably win 51-49 on a regular day (with one extra percent for the day match and another extra for the sequel's same day release).
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 12/1/2010 8:17:39 AM | message detail
Wow, this really was one heck of a collapse - 4% from the Power Hour until the end. This result is now right along with expectations, so FFX can breathe a sigh of relief for the time being.
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Solid_Mike86 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:19:46 AM | message detail
No Way HL2 is beating Prime. GTA is weak.

This makes me happy.
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/1/2010 8:28:04 AM | message detail
Eh, I wouldn't rule out that GTA III wouldn't break 40% on Prime, it isn't that strong either.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/1/2010 8:38:16 AM | message detail

From: vcharon | #383
Love the hilarious overreaction to RE4's early vote and the belief it would stay near 70%.


shut up. almost everyone qualified their statements with "if it stays like this" more-so hoping than really believing.


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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 8:52:31 AM | message detail

From: Solid_Mike86 | #386
No Way HL2 is beating Prime. GTA is weak.

This makes me happy.


It's like people forgot Vice City beat Prime.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/1/2010 8:52:55 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #389
It's like people forgot Vice City beat Prime.


paper mario in the poll bro
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:55:22 AM | message detail
The next match is my final change to get onto leaderboard.Unfortunately even though I knew RPG's would do really good,I always thought that Persona series is weak and that is a lie.Oh well...maybe next contest I guess.
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WhiteLens | Posted 12/1/2010 8:55:22 AM | message detail
The fact that it let Paper Mario sap votes from Prime says more about it.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207
UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 8:56:09 AM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #390
paper mario in the poll bro


You know that's not really a point in its favor, right?
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:56:46 AM | message detail
Based on 4-ways, Paper Mario might be stronger than Oblivion!

Based on more 4-way abuse, Paper Mario might be stronger than Resident Evil 4!
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/1/2010 8:56:47 AM | message detail

From: WhiteLens | #392
The fact that it let Paper Mario sap votes from Prime says more about it.


why does that matter?

We had already seen Samus get rSFF'd to hell by Mario. That doesn't stop her from doing things like get 47.20% on Cloud.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:57:23 AM | message detail
~2 minutes until asses get renovated
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 12/1/2010 8:58:31 AM | message detail
PERSONA FOUR I KNOW NOTHING ABOUT YOU, BUT YOU HAD BEST ****ING WIN THIS MATCH
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shane15 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:59:12 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYVJcdwpcnQ
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 12/1/2010 8:59:24 AM | message detail
Nice to see a good match have a great pic. to go along with it for once. Compliments to those who made them!

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 12/1/2010 8:59:31 AM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #394
Based on 4-ways, Paper Mario might be stronger than Oblivion!

Based on more 4-way abuse, Paper Mario might be stronger than Resident Evil 4!


Oh I get LOL 4-ways better than anyone, but Prime has sucked in EVERY poll it's ever been in.

Yes, including this one: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1134
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